No trades on EURUSDYesterday EURUSD rose above 1,0900 again and didn't provide any entry opportunities.
There are no grounds for new trades today.
We will only look for new selling opportunities on a break of a previous low to confirm a reversal.
It is likely to see higher values before that, but there is no reason to buy at these levels.
During this time, we prefer to look at other instruments with clearer movement.
Correction
EURUSD is heading towards 1,0724On Friday EURUSD failed to breakout the top at 1,0933 and pulled back.
It is now heading towards the low of 1,0724 which is the first support and we will watch to see if will break it out.
We continue to look at sales opportunities only and look for confirmations in that direction.
As we mentioned on Friday, we are looking for opportunities in JPY crosses and possible reversals there.
GBPCAD Short Term Bearish Possibilities
Hello everyone:
Similar like GBPUSD, we can see GBPCAD here is looking like there is one more short term move to the downside.
After the initial move up to the previous highs, price failed to continue higher, and formed a double tops, rising wedge reversal.
At the of the week, some bearish price action has begun on the lower time frame.
Be interesting to see if price can form bearish continuation price action, that can confirm one more short term move down within the larger, higher time frame correction.
thank you
GBPUSD Could Reverse, Watch For Bearish Price ActionHello traders:
GBPUSD is currently at the top of its higher time frame correction.
What's interesting is price is showing signs of bearish price action at the top, with bearish reversal development.
This week be on the look out for, bearish impulse phase on the lower time frame to kick off the reversal momentum, a
and wait for continuation correction to confirm the sell before entry.
Thank you
XAUUSD We expect XAUUSD to correct towards 1840 in the coming week(s)
Expecting short-term USD strength, correction on XAU and other cross currencies is likely.
Currently, we are in a triangular pattern of congestion in a smaller and smaller area. The market seems to be acquiring liquidity for the next move, which we expect to be to the downside,
as volume on the recent highs was higher than usual if it would be an upside continuation therefore we expect MMs to push the market down for further liquidity grab.
Don't hesitate to reach out let's discuss! If you have any questions please don't be shy!
EURUSD remains without tradeAll week we’ve been looking for reasons to sell EURUSD but we have not received any.
Today is the last day of the week, month and quarter. This may lead to more profit taking and position closing. Often start new trends this way.
Therefore, we will watch for opportunities to start a clear trend in all instruments, with JPY pairs remaining the priority!
On EURUSD, we will look for new trades upon confirmation of the situation early next week.
S&P 500 Update: Monitoring Key Developments in Early AprilThe S&P 500 Index (SPX) futures have recently deviated from prior expectations, exhibiting a lot of overlapping and corrective price action. This irregularity has led to uncertainty about the market's near-term direction. As we approach the end of the week, let's take a closer look at the anticipated trends and key levels to watch.
Today's upward movement may entice many bullish traders, but a cool-off period seems more likely in the short term. I expect tomorrow's price action to decline, allowing the market to take a breather. Should the S&P 500 continue to rise, however, it could signal a significant bullish shift.
As the week comes to a close, the index may experience a downward move, possibly reaching as low as 4000 or cutting short around 4010. A key trendline on the chart should offer some support during this period.
Next week, my focus shifts to the April 6th target. The apex of the converging upper and lower trendlines forms a wedge, which I believe will be broken in an upward direction. This coincidental alignment with my April 6th target demands attention. Once the market moves above the wedge, I anticipate a considerable decline either on April 6th or in the following days.
While I won't disclose my downside target yet, I predict a potential spike in the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) if the S&P 500 declines after April 6th. You should closely monitor the VIX and the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY), which could exceed $6 within the next 3-4 weeks if my projections are accurate.
I urge traders to exercise caution, avoid overleveraging, and remain adaptive to market changes. It's crucial to remember that the market controls your actions, not the other way around. Stay alert and prepared to adjust your strategy as necessary, and always trade carefully.
Waiting for EURUSD We’re looking at selling opportunities on EURUSD.
The levels we were expecting have been reached and now it’s time to see a reaction, in order to get a confirmation.
One more rise and pullback is what we need to get into a trade.
Closing below previous lows will confirm the trend reversal.
As long as the gradual rise continues there is no reason to enter a trade.
SPX Futures: Navigating the Current Market PhaseI'd like to examine the recent performance of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) futures and provide a simplified analysis.
I initially targeted the 3990 level for SPX futures, but the market fell slightly short of this target. It's still possible (and likely) that we could see a move down to this level (or 3970-3980) in the near future. The current market movement appears to be corrective, and since March 13, we've been in a predominantly corrective phase.
As long as SPX futures high of around 4075 holds, we can expect a downward move towards 3750. Identifying invalidation levels (points at which a specific analysis or trading strategy is no longer valid) is crucial for long-term success in this consolidating market. Trading options has been challenging for inexperienced traders, as theta decay (the decrease in an option's value as time passes) is working against them.
My current expectation is for a move to the 3970-3980 range short-term, followed by a return to around 4050 in a few trading sessions. Take the market one day at a time, but keep in mind that reaching the 4050 level presents an excellent opportunity to establish a short position with a clear invalidation level and manageable risk. The risk-reward ratio is favorable here, as a drop to 3750 would represent a move of over 200 points. Keep in mind that this shift might not happen quickly, and for now, trading futures contracts may be a more suitable approach. Make sure you understand how futures trading works before diving in head first.
Always monitor market developments closely and be prepared to adjust your strategy based on new information. It's essential to balance risk and reward while considering the current market phase and your own trading experience.
Important levels on EURUSD We’re looking at selling opportunities on EURUSD.
The levels we’re expecting a reaction from, are 1,0836-46
Upon reaching these levels and pullback, we will look for the selling opportunities with SL above 1,0930 or aggressive one above retracement.
The target is a breakout of 1,0710 and confirmation of the downside move on H1.
Reduce the risk upon a test of the previous low.
NZDCHF Same Bearish Outlook, Short Term Sell Setup
Similar like NZDUSD, we can also expect a bearish development on NZDCHF.
As usual, after an impulse phase, price formed a continuation correction to correct the impulse.
From the correction, there is a confirm impulse push down the price. This is good confirmation of bearish trend.
Now price has form another smaller correction,
watch for price to break out and look for lower time frame entries to sell to previous lows.
Bitcoin 2D Timeframe Bitcoin is having a pull back after a few bullish weeks.
Go to the higher timeframes to make it clear.
We should see a reaction around $24632 - $25108 once its at the AOI price will should you where the support level is then it will go up to recap the support level that will be an opportunity to get in a quick long setup.
SPX Futures: Understanding Impulse Waves and Market CorrectionIn this brief idea, I will discuss the recent performance of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) futures and provide some educational insights for new traders.
Over the course of Friday and the weekend, SPX futures experienced a considerable incline, followed by a slight correction. From the low at the Europe open, it appears that a 5-wave impulse has completed, and based on the subsequent rejection, we may be looking at a downward move.
Before I go deeper, let's take a moment to explain impulse waves. In Elliott Wave Theory, impulse waves are the building blocks of market trends. They consist of five waves, with waves 1, 3, and 5 moving in the direction of the trend, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves that move against the trend.
Returning to my update, I have a downside target for SPX futures at around 3985, but if the decline occurs more quickly, we could see a drop as low as 3970. This would correspond to a touch of 3950 on the cash SPX index.
If my interpretation is accurate, SPX futures should be completing a wave A, which would imply another upward move before descending towards our target. It's still too early to confirm this scenario, but we should see resolution within the next couple of days. If we reach the downside targets of 3970-3975, I expect a subsequent move back up to roughly 4020-4050.
It's important for new traders to understand that market conditions can be unpredictable, and having a solid risk management strategy is crucial for long-term success. Identifying impulse waves and other patterns can provide valuable insights into market direction, but always remember to consider other factors and technical indicators when making trading decisions.
Full disclosure: I covered my short position this morning and am currently waiting for the market to resolve itself before taking any further action. As a trader, it's essential to avoid unnecessary risk and be patient when the market presents unclear signals. Keep a close eye on market movements and be prepared to adapt your strategy as needed. And most importantly, always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bottom found for bitcoin Final too I see and expect 30-35K at least for a long drop. Feds are still raising interest rates but will do 1 more in May. The economy are feeling the pressure of the inflation but very shaky;
Unemployment is nearly almost 5 percent but might expect to hit 10 percent as the recession are coming hard landing; something bigger going to break but buy Bitcoin Wisely, choice hard to sell the high and buy new entry with big money until bitcoin hits the bottom.
Russia and China teamed up in Ukraine even Belarus just made a nuclear threat.. World War 3 will start soon and big feeling Putin will start it off using nuclear weapons.
Wonder what will happens next it is coming closer than we think will be.
Now the news out of the way ..
bitcoin is near at the resistance if it breaks out it will not go fully as we speak because the Feds still needs to finish the job to bring the inflation down. Bitcoin has to hit 30-35K in order to complete the correction and will expect Zig-Zag bearish structure and sideways consolidation; * HINT,HINT* bitcoin will forcefully collapse to drop down into a recession. Bitcoin bull run won’t start until 2024 and until also Feds finish the job.
Bitcoin halving takes place in 2024 of April.
Short buys and sells will still on a go ; trade safe and economy isn’t really in a good shape.
Short Term - Navigating Potential Correction and Managing RiskOver the weekend, I've been analyzing Bitcoin's performance, seeking to determine its next market move. Similar to my view on the S&P 500, I believe that Bitcoin is due for a correction in the near future.
It's possible that we could see a spike to $30,600 or even slightly above before experiencing a larger rejection. This level represents an equality target based on my wave analysis. While it would be an extended move, I'd assign it a 40% probability of reaching that high. If Bitcoin does approach $30,000, be prepared for a swift spike, as numerous stop losses could be triggered at that level.
Following a rejection, we can expect Bitcoin to revisit the 200-week moving average, currently around $25,000. It's not unusual for price action to oscillate around this crucial indicator. A drop from even our current levels to $25,000 represents a $2,500 move or roughly a 10% decline.
While entering high-leverage short positions on Bitcoin futures or perpetual swaps might be tempting, it's essential to manage risk wisely. I personally liquidated (note: sold to cash) a portion of my BTC holdings at $28,000 last week and plan to wait for a significant pullback before re-entering the market with those funds.
As for the much-anticipated altcoin season, exercise caution and consider reducing risk in this area as well. It might be prudent to take some profits now and look for re-entry opportunities when Bitcoin eventually corrects. Remember, market conditions can change rapidly, and it's essential to have a well-thought-out strategy in place.
The current Bitcoin market outlook suggests a potential correction in the near future. As always, it's crucial to manage risk and avoid overexposure in high-leverage positions. Keep a close eye on market movements and technical indicators, and make informed decisions based on your own research and analysis.
Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
PINS ARE RE-SETTING- BUCKLE UPThe bear is done with the cigarette break and is about to come back strong.
I am seeing a re-start of the beginning of the correction, except with greater price magnitude.
SQQQ is oversold and the MACD is about to turn up.
Except an interesting next couple of weeks.
This correction has several months to go.
SQQQ could easily reach $50 and my most aggressive estimate is $90+ by the time correction hits bottom.
Good luck!
Not financial advice.
EURUSD & CADJPY Educational AnalysisAnalysing the current trend and wave count in the short term in the EURUSD and the CADJPY.
The pairs have both made a significant decline in the past 24Hrs and based on the wave structures count, I believe these pairs are ready to correct upwards in the short term.
Enjoy!
AUDJPY I Safer to wait for the short 🎯Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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