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Correctivewave

The November Bulls Forgot Wave CSeptember was a perfect wave A down while October was wave B up. I projected the original top for Friday but we were still shy of 460. Today's open got us there. Wave B quickly retraced 100% of wave A without its internal 5 wave pattern so I set the next stop around 460.58 which was the Fib 123.6% extension. Additional wave analysis of wave C's internal 5 wave structure revealed two potential end points for wave 5. The first top would have been around 458.49 which would have been 100% of internal wave 3, the second is 114.6% of wave 3's movement at 460.71, with the third probable top at 123.6% at 462.08. Today we saw a top at 460.70, which was 1 cent shy of one projected top and 12 cents higher than the first projection based on the main wave A's movement. ***IF THIS HOLDS*** we likely witnessed a correction wave described as an irregular/expanded flat. These typically have the final wave C move 123.6% to 161.8% of wave A's movement. This puts the conservative bottom (123.6%) at 419.83 with a potential bottom as deep as 409.25. While this would not quite be a 10% drop, this will certainly catch all the bulls off guard. I think November will be red and maybe into or through December as well. I have typically found the length of wave C to be nearly that of A, but it is likely to fluctuate as it moves on. The current projection has us red into the first week in December but time will tell. CAUSES: Fed red? Inaction in Congress? Does Congress pass tax regulations forcing investors to pull out gains this year at a cheaper tax rate before major hikes next tax year? I ultimately have the markets rebounding after this December bottom. However, the next drop around September-October 2022 will be very deep (not catastrophic yet--maybe the year 2029).
AMEX:SPYShort
by StockSignaler
5
Trading Chaos Part 5 | CorrectionsHello, everyone! Last time we considered the Elliott waves 1-2-3-4-5 cycle. Today we are going to talk about correction types. Corrections contains of 3 waves A-B-C. Bill Williams recommends to trade only Simple Zigzag corrections, but we also should be able to distinguish other types of corrections. Let's go! Simple Zigzag Correction If you find that the corrective Wave A consists of 5 waves there is a high probability that current correction type is simple zigzag. If you decided to trade this correction, you should wait the Wave B end and execute the short trade. How to spot it's end? Find the target zone, usually it is between 50% and 62%, one of the three bars on the top should be the squat bar. Also you should find the fractal on the top.
Education
by Skyrexio
1