This is the U.S Dollar Futures contract expiring in December. I usually use this in Forex but lately the crypto market has been moving like the Forex market so i might as well drop it in here so you can use this information to analyse for the 4th Quarter of the year. Below the chart, there are 2 panes (the 1st pane indicates the Commitment of Traders report and...
We executed a 31 days put option on the NZDUSD. Price pierced the previous monthly lows. Net positions of large speculators are bearish while strong demand for the dollar remain untamed on the backdrop of sustained risk-off sentiment. We look ahead for RBNZ for move hawkish reaction to the economy
My analysis based on chart patterns and COT data I think the NzdUsd will be heading down in the near future but wait for clear movements downwards before entering
My analysis on CADJPY based on COT data and market movements. Looking to go long if the markets presents an opportunity.
looking at the chart we have marked out key levels with active Options strike prices supported with high volume and open interest. We plan to observe how price reacts at 1.3300 and 1.2500 levels prior the the expiration of these contracts. In terms of price action , Cable still maintains an upward trajectory in line with non-commercial sentiments and seasonal...
Declining UK10 year bond prices represented by the blue line overplayed on the GBPUSD price chart suggests rising yields. We can observe in hindsight that the bond correlates inversely to its exchange rate. We have also seen a shift in net positioning of large speculators shift to positive territory. Data from CME group on forex options contracts suggests...
Looking at the yield spread between the German 10-year and US 10-year bonds, the Euro may be undervalued giving more potential to the upside. Though the correlation between the prices of EURUSD and the bond spreads may not be perfect, in hindsight we have seen prices trail this phenomenon. Asset managers and hedge funds have been placing big bets pushing net...
AUD bond yields have been declining relative to that of NZD. Price is trending downwards nicely to reflect the bond yields but price is resting towards the monthly lows that could provide a strong support. we are seeing a maxed positioning in AUD sentiments but the seasonal forecast may defy the bearish play. would consider a strong sell if price can break below...
In this analysis, the pair had rejected a weekly support and started the move to the upside. With help of the COT data we can confirm this is the start to the pair moving to the upside. ~Leave any feedback or ideas you have about this analysis
In this analysis I saw that it had broken above the .786 Fib level on the weekly measuring the impulse retracement with the fib. however with the recent COT data, I am expecting the market to make a move to the downside. -Leave Feedback if u have anything to say
In this analysis I saw a impulse move to the downside on the weekly with a correction on the impulse with a rejection on the 0.618 Fib level. From there I would like to see a continuation to the downside. With the COT data I can see that they are shorting the Pound and Longing the swiss. Wait on a confirmation from the 4HR chart that it will be heading down before...
In this analysis, from a weekly perspective the market had made a impulse move to the downside and corrected it with what seems like a W formation, from this I would like to see it go back to the neckline at least. It started rejection on the .786 Fib level, also with co relation to the COT (commitment of traders) report showing signs of the pair moving to the...
Short EUR/GBP @ 0.86100 SL - 0.87850 TP1 - 0.85710 TP2 - 0.85200 The COT reports below are a bit unclear although they show more entities shorting the EUR. ------NON-COMMERCIAL---|---COMMERCIAL -------LONG------SHORT--|---LONG-----SHORT GBP 21,400 94,000 183,500 109,600 EUR 147,000 228,000 265,000 222,400 The...
Our CFTC prop research points out the Bloomberg commodity index is headed lower. This has a wide ranging effect on global indices and sectors that are heavy weighted trading or using Metals, Natgas and Oil.