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Countertrend

GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Nov21,Wk3On the Daily Chart, GBPUSD has finally broken and closed below the support level and has been deemed Double Bottom, Mission Impossible. A key resistance level at 1.3428 works on all 3 major timeframes, namely the daily, the 4-hourly and the 1hourly chart. You can wait for a double top setup on the 1-hourly chart the engage for a shorting opportunity. If you are looking for a counter-trend trade, the ABCD pattern that forms at 1.3314 and if it happens to touch the bottom of the Bearish Parallel Channel would give you an advantage to long.
Long
by RaynLim
EURUSD | Perspective for the new week In the wake of a stronger than expected US labour market report for October 2021, the Euro appear to be taking a bounce from fresh annual lows under $1.1520. Despite citing a Double Top pattern with a successful Breakdown of Neckline confirming a reversal pattern, I am looking forward to taking a "quick" countertrend in the coming week with my eyes still on the long-term expectation of a Bearish momentum evolving. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. Since the beginning of September 2021, the Euro recorded a 3.39% drop against the Dollar and this is represented by the prior leading price action (Bearish Impulse leg). ii. And since hitting bottom around $1.15200, the Bearish momentum appears to fizzle out as Buyers find what looks like a Demand level at this zone in the last 6 weeks to incite a Correction phase. iii. It is also appropriate to note here that finding a bottom in a zone ($1.15200 area) that has a memory as far back as 2017 for the demand for Euro might not be a coincidence and seems to be a very good opportunity to take a "quick" countertrend😊. iv. With recent structure and considering the Double Top pattern identified on the Weekly chart, I suspect that this potential correction phase will stall at the Neckline zone to incite a risk of further decline for the Euro. v. Double Bottom: We do have a highly bullish technical reversal pattern forming at this juncture in the market with structure revealing a change in trend and a momentum reversal from the prior leading price action (major downtrend). vi. Even as we await a confirmation which will happen if the price breaks out of resistance level @ $1.16750 (Neckline of potential Double Bottom) which equals the high between the two prior lows; I am willing to take a long position at a break and stay above of $1.16100 with an opportunity to add to the existing position at a Breakout/Retest of Neckline in the coming week(s)... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 5 to 12days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
8
EURUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct21,Wk5On the daily chart, EURUSD has broken and closed below the support. However, the 1-hourly chart, it presents a different view. There are 2 potential development over here 1) A sideway bounce setup that gives selling opportunity on the red line and buying opportunity on the blue line 43pips opportunity on the 1-hourly chart is not too bad. 2) If the candle breaks and closes above 1.1666, then a Bullish Flag Pattern would complete. However, it is a rather weak Flag Pattern caused by the retracement move on the 1st move. What intrigue me is the completion of the assumed Flag Pattern ends before the Key Resistance Level at 1.1683. Let's see how this trade pans out.
Long
by RaynLim
EURUSD - Bullish Flag @ Low Price(*This idea is not meant to be any kind of advice. Trade on your own Risk!*) Here is the summary of the indications: Low Price Daily Broadening Wedge Above weekly Support Bullish Flag Pattern Target is at the height of the bullish flag pole ------------------------------ Hi Traders! The setup of this idea is that the market is at a relatively low price at the moment. Now, it is going up. If you zoom out towards the daily chart, you can see that the market is moving in a Broadening Wedge, from which it lastly touched the lower Trendline. However, now we are in a Bullish Flag Pattern. Simultaneously, we are above the major weekly Support. The target would be the next major Resistance at around 1.17400. This target is also at the height of the bullish flag pole - the distance, which is typically used for the Bullish Flag Pattern. If you have any questions, another point of view or something to add, please comment! Thanks and successful Trading :-)!
Long
by swissmoneymakers
7
Potential Conter trend corrective underway in the EUR/NZDGood afternoon folks, Happy Friday! On our hunt for some potential ideas forming this morning, we came across an opportunity in the EUR/NZD. At the moment price seems to have formed a nice higher low and has surged to the upside with a particular degree of momentum. Given that we have such a huge gap away from our 8EMA, I would expect the gap close to be well under way before long. We did see something similar to this counter trend view earlier in the week before we saw another leg down but given where price is in the wider picture, having closed beneath major support, the likelyhood of a deeper corrective certainly seems to be on the cards. Wait for a potential trigger via the breakout and retest of the 1.62400 zone for a potential window of opportunity to seek longs to approximately 1.63300-400. Dont rush the process and trade the plan. Have a lovely weekend!
Long
by TheTradingRoom
USDCAD - Indications for a PullbackHi Traders! The main concept of this idea is that the market broke the ascending daily trendline in the past. Since then, it is moving lower in a tight descending Parallel Channel. As the upper Channel "measures the Trend Change" we see that the market tends to make a Trend Change, because it is more touching the upper TL than the lower TL. That's why we think it will pullback. After the Pullback, it is possible that it continues lower. Here the indications which supports our view: Downwards Movement --> daily Trendline Break Going Up --> Touching the upper TL of the descending Channel Going Up --> MACD shows Divergence The first target would be the nearest Top at around 1.24000. The last Target would be around the next psychological level of 1.25000. If you would like to know more about the thinking process of this trade, feel free to comment! Thanks and successful Trading :-)!
Long
by swissmoneymakers
EURJPY - Bearish Deep Crab HOP LevelA Bearish Deep Crab pattern has touched the D-Point completion at 132.45. Counter Trend traders can consider engaging in the trade. Conservative traders can wait for 1) Further consolidation and make sure it didn't break and close above 132.77 for a shorting opportunity. 2) Wait for consolidation to happen at 133.60 for a shorting opportunity as a second chance entry for a shorting opportunity. That level coincides with the daily chart bearish bat pattern.
Short
by RaynLim
GBPAUD - Another Bullish SharkHowever, this is my prefered bullish shark to engage and there are 2 reasons for that. 1. At this moment, the bearish movement is still strong, it seems like it can go a bit lower before any reversal happens 2. The Shark Pattern that forms at this level coincide with the completion of the Bullish Bat, or better known as Fib3 Bat or Alt Bat Pattern at the 4-hourly chart. 3. The current Shark Pattern is the last level of possibility for a buying opportunity. Shark Pattern can be a tricky and crafty one so if you are not familiar with it or do not have a coach who are well-versed with it, stay out of this pattern.
Long
by RaynLim