(Episode #419) EURJPY - Bearish Bat (29Nov2020)EURJPY is the most interesting setup for this week analysis. It has a head and shoulders formation on the daily chart, emerging gartley pattern on the 4hourly chart and a bearish bat setup on EURJPY 1-hourly chart.
When the market open we are going to observe if the market has a confirmation signal before we engage the trade.
Countertrend
GBPUSD - Price Action Analysis --> Counter Trend TradingHi Traders!
The market is in a longterm Uptrend.
To get an overview of the current situation, take a look to this chart:
This is the Daily Timeframe.
As you can see there is an uptrending market.
An ascending Trendline is supporting the Trend and this is also viewable on the weekly timeframe.
We should take into consideration, that the market is at strong Resistance now and simultaneously in a Parallel Channel.
Moving on to the H4-Timeframe:
Here you can see a comparison of the three Up-Movements.
This is a part of the Price Action Analysis.
As you can see the Movements are getting weaker.
In conclusion of that we expect a Down-Movement in the next candles.
We recommend to trade the Breakout of the Trend towards the Parallel Channel.
Thanks and successful Trading :)!
USDCAD - Trading towards the Trendline - Pullback EntryHi Traders!
Here are the screenshots for the Multiple Timeframe Analysis.
If you want to know more about any methode, thought process or anything else, please ask in the comments.
The timeframes we analysed are:
Weekly Timeframe - Daily Timeframe - 4 Hour Timeframe - 1 Hour Timeframe
Weekly Timeframe:
Daily Timeframe:
H4-Timeframe:
H1-Timeframe (Entry):
We recommend to trade with a candlestick pattern confirmation.
Thanks and successful Trading :)!
USDJPY - RSI DivergenceUSDJPY has a Bearish RSI Divergence when it is forming it's ascending triangle. We have headed in for a shorting opportunity instead of a buying opportunity as President Donald Trump said there won't be a smooth handover.
On trade management, we will observe closely if the 1-hourly candle can break and close below the trendline, failure to do so, we might exit the trade in advance.
Based on the daily chart, it is a trend trading trade but on the 1-hourly chart, it is considered as a counter-trend trade.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Nov20,Wk2GBPUSD is at the major resistance of the Daily Chart, a great consideration for a counter-trend trade, on the 1-hourly chart the same level marks the completion of the Bearish Shark pattern. I will wait for the market open to observe if there's any gap when the market open, what's caused by the US Election Results.
USDJPY - Bullish SharkOn the 16:00(UTC+2) or 10pm(+8GMT) if the candle before it closed as a long shadow candle, I'll head in for an aggressive buying opportunity. Take note that 3am(+8GMT), Fed Reserve Chair, Powell is going to speak, traders who aren't ready for that shouldn't consider engaging the trade.
However, if the long shadow candle didn't happen I will not engage this trade.
GBPAUD - Bullish Deep CrabWell, is rather rare for me to share my workings this way as I prefer clean chart, so bear with me on this.
There's a bullish deep crab setup on the GBPAUD, the level that the setup end was at a Major Support Level, on the daily, 4-hourly and 1-hourly chart. The first target of the bullish deep crab pattern coincides with the assumed retracement level I was looking at, with RSI at the overbought area and other things, I've already engaged the trade.
USDCAD - Head and Shoulders A head and shoulders pattern has already set up, if you are looking to short USDCAD, there are 2 approaches you may like to consider.
Wait for a break and close below the trendline for a shorting opportunity or a retest of the bearish crab and shark pattern for a shorting opportunity(link at the bottom).
USDCAD - Head and ShouldersA head and shoulders formation coupled with RSI Divergence give a strong call for me to engage another shorting trade. A long shadow candle would help me to make that tough decision. On top of that, I still have my existing shorting trade on bearish shark and bearish crab harmonic patterns engaged. Shark Pattern and Crab Pattern are the harmonic patterns that potentially drives lots of profit and at this moment it is at a risk-free zone(I'd shifted my stops to entry).
Which means every pip the market move towards my target(down) I earn double and if the market move against me i lose single.
USDCAD - Shark PatternThe USDCAD on the 4-hourly chart has a bearish shark pattern as well as a bearish crab pattern on both 4-hourly and 1-hourly chart. If the 1hourly candle close at 16:00(+2UTC) or 22:00(+8GMT) is a long shadow candle, I will short USDCAD aggressively as 2 harmonic patterns turn at a major resistance area.
Gold (XAUUSD) - AB=CD PatternGold on the 4-hourly chart didn't have a break and close below the trendline, on the 1-hourly chart it did break and close below the trendline but do note that it still fails to break and close below the previous low.
If you are looking for a more certain trade then wait for the AB=CD pattern completion at $1887.45 for a buying opportunity.
An aggressive trader can wait for the market pull-back to the navy trendline or the bullish channel to short the market and head towards the AB=CD completion.