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250+ Pips Profit On Gold On CPI DATATrade Setup Review: Gold Sell on CPI News We recently capitalized on a strategic trade setup that involved selling gold in anticipation of higher CPI data. As predicted, the CPI data came out higher than expected, leading to a significant market movement that favored our position. Result : Our foresight and timely action yielded a remarkable +250 pips profit. This outcome not only demonstrates the effectiveness of our trading strategy but also underscores the importance of staying informed about economic indicators and their potential impact on the markets. We'll continue to monitor the markets for similar opportunities and aim to leverage economic news to our advantage. Stay tuned for more insights and trade ideas! Follow For More Updates, Analysis And Free Signals.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by itmecrypomania
How To Trade Gold On CPI News DataAs a Gold Trader understanding and interpreting CPI data is crucial for making informed trading decisions. Here's a guide on how to read CPI data and a trade idea based on potential CPI outcomes: --- Understanding CPI Data: CPI Basics: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures changes in the price level of a market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. Core CPI: Core CPI excludes volatile items like energy and food, providing a clearer view of inflation trends. Gold's Reaction: Gold is often seen as an inflation hedge. A rise in CPI may lower real interest rates, which can be positive for gold prices. However, gold reacts primarily to strong increases in inflation¹. Trading on CPI Data: High CPI: A higher-than-expected CPI may strengthen the dollar, putting pressure on gold prices. Consider a short position if CPI is significantly above forecasts. Low CPI: A lower-than-expected CPI could weaken the dollar and boost gold prices. In this case, a long position may be favorable⁷. Trade Idea: Entry: Monitor the CPI release. If CPI is higher than expected, enter a short position; if lower, consider going long. TP and SL: Set your take profit (TP) near the next resistance level for long positions or support level for shorts. Place your stop loss (SL) just above the recent swing high for shorts or below the swing low for longs. Position Sizing: Adjust your position size to manage risk effectively, ensuring the SL does not exceed 1-2% of your trading capital. Example Trade Setup: If CPI is high: Short gold with SL above the last swing high and TP at the next significant support level. If CPI is low: Go long on gold with SL below the last swing low and TP at the flag high or next resistance level. Note : Always use proper risk management and adjust your strategy based on the actual CPI data and market reaction. --- Remember , CPI data can cause significant volatility in the gold market. Stay informed and be prepared to act quickly following the data release. Good luck! 📈 Follow for more setups and educational material
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by itmecrypomania
Japanese yen steady ahead of Tokyo Core CPIThe Japanese yen is showing limited movement on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.34, up 0.13%. Japan releases Tokyo Core CPI, considered the most important inflation indicator, on Tuesday. The index fell to 1.6% y/y in January, below expectations and the lowest rate since May 2022, but the market estimate for February stands at 2.5%. Inflation remains a key factor for the Bank of Japan as it mulls exiting its ultra-loose monetary policy. According to a report on the weekend, the government is considering announcing an official end to deflation. This would be a symbolic move but would likely be viewed by the markets as another signal that Tokyo is planning to remove negative interest rates in the next several months. After years of an ultra-accommodative policy, such a move would mark a sea-change for the Bank of Japan and would likely give a strong boost to the ailing Japanese currency. On Thursday, Bank of Japan board member Hajime Takata said that the BoJ must overhaul is ultra-loose monetary policy, including an end to negative rates and removing bond yield control. Takata added that the BoJ was “seeing prospects of achieving our 2% inflation target”. The initial results of Japan’s annual wage negotiations will be released on March 15th, followed by the BoJ meeting on March 19. The wage talks are expected to result in workers receiving higher wages, which will likely result in higher inflation. The BoJ isn’t expected to make any policy changes at the March meeting, with April or June the likely dates for a major announcement. There is resistance at 150.90 at 151.69 150.05 and 149.26 are providing support
by OANDA
Gold royalty streamers oversoldAs a group, gold royalty streaming companies reacted negatively to the drop in gold price on February 13, 2024. This movement was triggered by US CPI for February printing slightly higher than expected by consensus, on the index and also MoM and YoY readings. Reaction was an immediate spike in TVC:DXY and commensurate selloff in FX_IDC:EURUSD . This dragged risk assets down, with equities markets getting hit. TVC:GOLD also lost more than 1% in lockstep reaction. The opportunity here is in the unwind of yesterday's outsized movement amongst the gold royalty streaming companies as a group. While some have performed better than others over the past year, they were all punished on this move. Typical drawdown was 10% on the day . For consideration: A) a short term buy of one of these names and holding to pre-CPI price level, or B) a longer term entry for those with a bullish view on gold and appetite for leveraged exposure and desire for dividend income.
TSX:SSLLong
by StrobeT
1
US30: Thoughts and Analysis Post-CPIToday's focus: US30 Pattern – Diagonal Support – 38,135, 37,135 Resistance – 38,810 Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 on the daily chart. What a solid run we have seen till yesterday's CPI data. After US CPI came in hotter than expected, this shocked the market and led to heavy selling on stock indexes and risk currencies with a flight to safety (USD). We have broken down price action, price patterns and levels we are watching. Is this nothing more than a buying opportunity, or is this a potential momentum change? Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:US30
by Eightcap
5
🔥 XAU/USD - CPI is coming , Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)Well, as you can see and we mentioned it in the previous analysis, today we will have CPI statistics! The predicted rate for CPI Y/Y is 2.9%, if the actual number is higher than the expected rate, we will witness the growth of the dollar index and consequently the heavy fall of gold! Note that this scenario is only valid if the actual rate is higher than the forecast! If this scenario is realized, its targets will be $2020, $2016, $2012, and $2007, respectively! What do you say ? Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
92
NZDUSD,🔴CPI is coming...🔴(Details on caption) Hello traders As you can see the market maker sell model is forming on the NZDUSD 15 minutes chart and now we are on the second distribution phase. We looking for a mid-term high form in the premium, then the price goes down for the sell-side liquidity as a final target. Simply put, the market structure shifted after touching the 4-hour bearish order block and we can expect the price to continue downtrend to sell-side liquidity. In this scenario, I don't want the to price reach 0.61400 or higher. 💥Please pay attention: Today we have the CPI today and High volatility is expected💥
Short
by VahidTradingCR
1
CPI Setup GOLD | Safe Zone CPI Setup GOLD | Safe Zone H1 Timeframe Current point 2027.50 - This Setup is not based on Sell or buy - According to last CPI Gold firstly moves 100+ pips in buy and then lay down - After Structuring the data we expected 100 pips buy then gold will fall - We set the safe zone if and if gold break the 2041 area then next move would be 2047 furthermore on the major support level if gold retest to break the 2012-2011-2010 next target would be 2000.00 - At a same time CPI , CORE INFLATION RATE , YOY AND MOM all are highly impact news - use proper lot size and risk management to secure profit because patience is a major key This Analysis is uploaded at 13/02/2024 Cheers ..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by professionaltradersfx
1
🔥 EUR/USD - Time To Rise ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the EURUSD chart, we see that the price is trading in the supply range of 1.077, and I think that if the price can maintain the support of the range of 1.072 to 1.075, we will probably see the break of the resistance of 1.080 and rise to 1.088! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
7
⚡️Strifor || USDCAD-13/02/2024Preferred direction: SELL Comment : Before the publication of inflation data in the US , the Canadian dollar also has the prospect of strengthening. Scenario №1 , which we gave in the previous trading idea for this instrument, is already active. However, given the economic calendar today, scenario №2 is also actively being considered. The target for the fall remained at the same level, namely 1.34000. Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Strifor
1
⚡️Strifor || AUDUSD-13/02/2024Preferred direction: BUY Comment: Today is a very important day for the current week, since the publication of data on the US CPI is expected. Against this background, most majors retain their buy priority, and especially the Australian dollar continues to look up in the medium term. At the very moment of publication of CPI data, of course, anything can happen, but the main direction is still in favor of the buyer. In a more negative case, you need to count on scenario №2 , which can still be activated. Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
Oil to Clear 79.00 Big FigCurrently watching Crude Futs (NYMEX) to clear an Intermediate term High at 79.00 Big Fig. As my mentor says... "To & Through" Reasons: Crude Bullish Seasonally until march/April (Possible Quarterly Shift to downside) Commercials Net LONG DXY Bullish Failed to break lower on Daily (Indicating to me higher prices are in order) HTF MMSM, however Long in play to clear Buyside before reversing above highs & clearing distribution leg Sellside HTF (Daily): Expecting BSL to be ran and staying Bullish until trend broken & IOF Turns Bearish (Should happen above Highs) H4: Expecting a retracement into Internal Range Liquidity as outlined to target External Range Liquidity (Markets are booked like this, in a form of "Handshaking") LTF: Tuesday Feb 13th: US CPI Weds Feb 14th: US Crude Oil Inventories If Bias is correct and Weekly candle is due to expand to upside, I'd be looking for Tuesday to Form Weekly Low & take Longs Wednesday NY IF my model plays out.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Gremza_0x
EUR/USD eyes German inflationEUR/USD is slightly lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, the euro is trading at 1.0751, down 0.20%. Germany's CPI is expected at 0.2% m/m on Friday, which would confirm the initial estimate from two weeks earlier. On an annualized basis, the initial estimate for CPI came in at 2.9% in January, down sharply from 3.7% in December. A deceleration in energy and food costs was the driver of the downturn in January, which was the lowest inflation rate since June 2021. Core inflation has also been falling, with the initial estimate showing a drop to 3.4%, its lowest rate since June 2022. The drop in German inflation is not all that surprising, as the eurozone's largest economy has been struggling. Germany's manufacturing sector has been in prolonged decline and the services sector is sputtering, with five declines in the past six months. The economy declined in the fourth quarter and another contraction in Q1 would mean that Germany will have entered a technical recession. The eurozone is also grappling with a weak economy, with the latest evidence earlier this week as retail sales slipped 1.1% m/m in December. Despite weak economic conditions in the eurozone and Germany, the European Central Bank has been hesitant to cut interest rates. ECB members have expressed concern that inflation could make a comeback if the ECB were to cut rates too early. That could force the ECB to raise rates again and the optics of such a zig-zag would be disastrous. For now, the ECB remains hawkish on rate policy and is content to continue holding rates until inflation falls closer to the 2% target. Since last week's Fed meeting, a host of Fed members have delivered the message that inflation is heading in the right direction but the Fed plans to be patient and is in no rush to lower rates. The markets have taken note of the Fed's pushback and have pared expectations of a rate cut in March to 18%, down from over 70% in January, according to the CME's Fed Watch tool. EUR/USD tested support at 1.0746 earlier. Below, there is support at 1.0704 There is resistance at 1.0822 and 1.0864
by OANDA