Stay cautious of a PEAK/TOP in the markets today.My SPY Cycle Patterns suggest the markets will establish a PEAK/TOP today - then trend downward.
I created this video to help my followers stay aware of the short-term nature of price in a reactionary price trend - like today.
If you are chasing this rally, stay very cautious of risks related to my SPY cycle patterns. Overall, I expect the markets to peak, stall, then trend downward over the next 48 hours.
Take quick trades with targeted profit targets. This is not a friendly market uptrend in my opinion.
I believe the $408 level is a likely downside price target for the SPY by Thursday.
Follow my research
CPI
EURUSD Post CPI Breakdown episode 2Here is a quick recap and breakdown of price action post CPI data on EURUSD. If you did not watch my first video on Pre CPI data for EURUSD make sure to check it out. Take notes, Study, level up your trading and remember - only a fool dismisses demo trading. Cheers and be safe.
U.S. stock market remains unchanged despite soaring CPI figures
U.S. stock market futures S&P and NASDAQ have not changed significantly.
The market predicted a fall in inflation compared to the previous month, but it showed an increase not only above the forecast but also compared to the previous month.
Elliott Wave Science Meets the Consumer Price IndexIt would be awesome if TradingView offered a candlestick chart for CPI but considering its only updated once per month, maybe the line graph/chart is the best option (not sure how that works). As for the data available to me, I've done a best effort markup using the science of Elliott Wave Theory. Considering the fluctuations seen on the M(onthly) chart, I believe its possible that CPI is sitting in the midst of a shallow Wave 4 correction. With this in mind, I find it possible that the number stretches into the low-mid 7.xx range between now and March. From there we may see a 2023 low within the 4.xx level.
I will share my thoughts here as I know there is much interest in "what will the CPI numbers be?"... Being that this CPI data is directly based on the actions of humans and the habits that we act on, it should work pretty well with Elliott Wave Theory. I will keep this post fluid and apply analytical updates as monthly results are publicly announced.
Remember these three important things: 1) trade the chart instead of the news and 2) stay safe /3) don't drown!
Plan for XAUUSD with CPI AnnouncementOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been trading in the range since last Friday (10th February 2023). It is clear that speculators and investors are waiting for something: maybe some economic indicators like CPI will decide the movement of Gold by today (14th February 2023)
Within the 1H timeframe, It is clear that gold has a strong chance of continuing its downtrend if it breaks below the trading range of 1850-1865 with the the following key support levels:
1st Support at: 1835
2nd Support at: 1825
Key Support at: 1800
On the contrary in a bigger picture of Day timeframe, Gold can still push for another leg upward as the price action has slowed the downward movement. If CPI number comes out in favor of Gold then it has a chance of testing the following key resistance when it breaks the range between 1850-1865 upward:
1st Resistance at: 1880
2nd Resistance at: 1885
Key Resistance at: 1900
The most importance part of all; Place a trade where the Risk to Reward favors in the direction that you choose!!!
#HEX Wyckoff accumulationLike some other #altcoins
#HEXUSDC appears to be showing a #Wyckoff accumulation pattern
not textbook , but a very good guide as to what has occurred during this #bear market
could we have CPI dump today , quite possible
but I am favouring a lower CP LIE and grounds for continuation in the #stock market
Why US30 Will crash hard? CPI data is tomorrow and yet if Feds pivots still alive.
Bad news the inflation still high and slowly cooling down but not at eased. This is a cause of disinflation.. we supposed not to go there way too fast ! This is big reason for markets to crash.
Overall we should expect the big fall pay attention for the CPI news tomorrow morning
This will be the biggest bull trap in history
AMD: SUPPLY & DEMAND / MARKET MOVER / FORTY-FIVE MADESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a MACRO to SEMI-MICRO analysis of AMD's price action. With a large amount of history backing AMD's price action and overall impact on economic factor I would personally consider AMD to be a MARKET MOVER.
POINTS:
1. MACRO Deviation: 13.75, SEMI-MICRO Deviation: 6.8
2. Current Uptrend Channel
3. WATCH 45 MA SINCE THE START OF BEAR MARKET THIS IS THE SECOND TIME THE 45 MA RISES ABOVE THE 200 MA.
4. WIDER UPTREND CHANNEL has developed.
IMPORTANT: IF PRICE ACTION FALLS BELOW 82.50 FURTHER DOWNWARD MOMENTUM CAN THEN BE ON THE WAY.
SCENARIO BEARISH: Current RSI & MACD levels falls in tandem with overbought territory being shown where current price action stands in NEW CHANNEL. Watch for loss of 82.50 if this is the case it is crucial 68.75 does not break because this can signify an opening for a new downtrend channel.
SCENARIO BULLISH: IF 82.50 is lost watch for strong bounce on 75.63 to PRESERVE BULLISH MOMENTUM OF MA's.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AMD
Important USD news (CPI) Important USD news will be published today at 15:30!
By default, they cause large fluctuations.
All active positions must be reduced risk.
New positions are wanted after the news!
The more likely direction remains for the downside to continue towards 1.0620 and 1.0565.
This scenario breaks down on a closing above 1.0790.
GOLD SHORT TERM INTRADAY IDEAIntraday Analysis - ( 14 FEB 2023 )
Price setting up for CPI data today with many choppy price action and no smooth upside or downside moves. However on the higher timeframe we can see lower lows printed respecting the bearish structure.
Personally am looking at cpi to continue being high with a strong labour data as reflected on NFP day. Potential liquidity grabs to the upside whereby i am eyeing 1876 and 1865 regions for shorts. Would be best if there is straight melts ofcourse. However this is in the event inflation still prints high.
HRHR SELLS 1883
MRMR SELLS 1876 / 1865
SAFEST SELLS below 1850
Will be looking at 1820 if cpi data prints with dollar domination and weakness in risk assets
If CPI data prints low, showing signs of improvements, i would be looking at longs only above 1883 cancelling out the entire downside move.
Either ways stay adaptive to the markets and safest is enjoy a glass of wine with your girl and stay away from the charts.
HAPPY VALENTINES DAY