Green Bull Flag in FCPO From a technical standpoint, prices have consolidated into a bull flag consolidation pattern since 14 March, breaking out of the flag resistance (orange trend channel) yesterday, albeit with normal volume. This localised breakout coupled with the breakout of the long-term parabolic bowl accumulation pattern at 4,150, a pattern forming since July 2023, signalled a possible continuation of the bullish climb to retest 4350 levels.
Fibonacci retracements can be seen respected at 61%, 50% and 38% respectively. Immediate support is foreseen around the 4,200 levels, a zone created from a combination of both 50% fibo and the high from previous surge – green line support.
Sustained prices above the bull flag pattern for the next two days are likely to drive further upward movement, aiming to breach the 4,350 level and potentially reaching 4,500 levels. This upward momentum may be fueled by short liquidations and breakout buys. Conversely, a drop below the 4,150 level could prompt a retreat towards the crucial support level of 4,000.
Regarding correlated edible oils, technical indicators for CBOT soyoil futures indicate a bullish divergence, with prices rebounding noticeably from recent lows. The trajectory suggests a continuation of the bullish trend following a retracement to the 47-48 cents per pound levels last week.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Long 2 lots FCPO @ 4230
SL: 4190
TP: 1 lot @ 4330 ; another @ 4480
- Darren, Phillip Nova Analyst
CPO
Palm and crude oil long term bullish? R u sure?! 21/June/221)On Charts : Charts consist of 3-Dimensions - The X-factor ( Time or Cycle ), The Y- factor ( Price Geometry ), AND The Z-factor ( The Speed ).. 2)On Elliot Wave / Market Structure : Unlike Textbook written rule : ALL Impulsive wave comprise of ONLY a-b-c sub-waves NOT 1,2,3,4,5 waves.. AND there is NO Truncated 5th wave BUT ONLY wrong wave counts...
Disclaimer
Open Jaws -Crude Palm Oil (CPO) vs Palm Oil ProducerI'm looking at daily chart of the price action in Golden Agri Resources E5H vs it's main product Palm Oil over a 5 year time period. Golden Agri looks to me to be one of the major producers of palm oil, and I'm pretty sure that most people have never even heard of them. To me this looks like an open jaw setup, and I believe those jaws will close. Palm oil is one of those things that takes a lot of time to add new supply. You can't just print mature palm trees. Note that this is a thinly traded low liquidity pink sheet ADR stock or listed on the SGX. Caveat Emptor. This is not investment and/or financial advice, and I am not a financial advisor or advisor of any kind. No-one should listen to anything I say, ever. I am long Golden Agri Resources and adding more to my position.
FCPO TRADING : 318) possible reversal but needs confirmationthis is haidojo and the number is 318 ...
After a mild rebound frm 5440-5520 range, fcpo-apr didn't make any New Structure High (NSH) but forming a Double Top (DT). The NSH is 5749 and any breakout pattern/trade needs to move higher than this level. The next level is 5220-5380 was also hit and rebound into 5570-5630 level. Now, fcpo-apr is at the crossroad again...
IF it moves higher, THEN it will breaks the previous NSH and creates more NSH...THEN uptrend resumes.
IF it moves lower, THEN it forms Lower-High (LH), and a possible reversal happens until the price breaks lower than the previous Higher-Low(HL).
So, now juz sit back and relax. Wait for the price to tell us what to do. Till then, do absolutely nothing.
That's all for the update today.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 5700-5749 (current NSH)
immediate support : 5440-5520
lower support : 5220 - 5360
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
CPO Breaking Historical High 5220Palm Oil prices extended gains and closed sharply higher at 4993. As market eyeing on upcoming MPOB data to assess the impact on production from flooding in recent weeks disrupting harvesting activities . MPOB data is scheduled to release its Dec data on Monday.
Factors continue to affect palm oil prices:
1. Ongoing flash floods in several states continue to weigh on palm oil prices
2. Seasonal low production cycle during the 1st half year with higher demand expected ahead of Chinese New Year.
3. Labor Shortage remained key issue
4. Higher CPO prices raising worries over stiff competition from Indonesia
5. Persistent supply concerns in Soybean Oil due to hot and dry weather in South America served support in palm oil prices
Technical View:
1. Market closed sharply higher at 4993, right below level of 5000
2. Stochasctic shows K% line is crossing up which indicates market turning up and resume uptrend.
We expect market continue to move higher if market stays above level of 5000.
Suggestion Trade:
Long if stay above 5000
Target Stop Loss (support level) 4850
Target Profit (resistance level)
TP1 5100 TP2 5250 TP3 5350
FCPO TRADING : 314) reversal of trend, invalid bearish bat this is haidojo and the number is 314 ...
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year ! Today is 6th Jan 2022 and fcpo-March22 is still the active third month. This is the first post this year. The previous bearish bat pattern is no longer valid as the "X leg" is violated. Yesterday, fcpo-march22 not only broke abv the resistance of 4850 but also retest the previous higher-resistance at 5040. Hence, by doing so, the price has broken abv the previous lower-highs at 4950 and 4914 and a "bullish rotation" is said to have had happened. Now, the tide has changed and the new preference is going for the "long on the dip". The first "killing zone" to lookout is ranging frm 4890 - 4810 with the solid support at 4845-4850...If you have observed dearly, this is the first "resistance-turn-support" region to look out for. The next support to look at is ranging frm 4730-4710.
That's all for the update today.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 5040
support : 4810-4890
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
Can CPO Sustain Above 4500?Palm oil plunged as expected last week. Market hit weekly low at 4567 and closed at our 1st resistance level.
Main reason of the weakness in CPO market due to the uncertainties over the impact Omicron coronavirus variant which dented demand for CPO.
Technical view:
1. Immediate resistance level: 4700-4730
2. Stochastic level= Sell Signal remain
Suggestion Trade:
Initial Short position
Stop Loss at resistance level: 5000-5100
Target Profit level (support level)
S1 4500 S2 4385-4400 S3 4200
Disclaimer: Trading Carries Risks.
Happy Trading, Cheers.
FCPO TRADING : 311) downtrend and review of the previous gartleythis is haidojo and the number is 311 ...
Today is 2nd Dec 2021 and fcpo-Feb22 is still the active third month. After bouncing on and off within the range till 19th Nov 21, the price has descended gradually by showing lower and lower highs. The new low was at 4636 yesterday and this was a lower-low than the previous one (4709). So, we have a continuation of downtrend.
As for the bearish gartley pattern in the precious episode, it missed the entry 5070 by juz 1 point, rollover frm 5069 and fell all the way to form lower-highs and lower-lows. It hits 1st tp at 4850 multiple times and 2nd tp at 4755 on 29th nov 2021. Next supports are at 4560-4480. Now, the price is hanging loosely ranging frm 4660-4680, slightly lower than the formation of leg A at 4708. Next resistance level to watch are 4755, and 4850.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 4755, 4850
support : 4560, 4480
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
FCPO TRADING : 308) a possible bearish gartley pattern this is haidojo and the number is 308 ...
Today is 18th Nov 2021 and fcpo-Feb22 is the active third month now. After bracketing the market, you probably find that the market price has broken below the perceived support level (4850) and reached a new low at 4709. Then, we got a problem. It is still between the bull and bear territory. The 2 monsters are having a tug-of-war and the market price refused to fall. Then it is the sideway market then. This is an absolute disadvantage to me.
As the saying goes, "consolidation breeds advanced patterns". SO, here we are now, with a possible bearish gartley pattern. Before the price could advance back into the selling zone of 5070-5085, SL can be make 10-20pts abv that, there is a wall of barrier that might kill the beast before it is reaching for the target. The resistance zone from 4970-5040. This trade if valid is very fruitful as the 1st tp could be seen at 4850 and 2nd tp at 4750. Advanced patterns traders could look out for this.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
bearish gartley resistance : 5070-5085 (kill zone)
resistance : 4970-5040
support : 4750-4850 (bull validity is here)
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
Will Palm Oil Back to 5000?FCPO formed hammer at immediate support level at 4750 by last Friday and bounce following MPOB data today.
MPOB data showed flat to lower production and extended labor crunch slowed harvesting activity continued.
Technical view,
1. touched support level at 4750 and bounced
2. hammer formed at support level
3. stochastic at oversold level
Can seek for long entry with immediate resistance level at 5100 and immediate support level at 4800.
FCPO TRADING : 306) bracketing the market and potential reversethis is haidojo and the number is 306 ...
Today is 8th Nov 2021 and fcpo-Jan22 is going to expire next week. Nov is a bit tricky with last Friday when suddenly fcpo-Jan22 gap down close to 100pts and went down...If you are holding long positions, then thr is really not much u can do...cutting loss is the most logical thing to do btw...
As for the previous trading day, we could see a false breakout formed on thursday and a huge gap down on friday...it is not looking gud for the bull but the resistance is still at 5040 while the support is at 4844 - 4750...IF the price moves abv the 5040 level, THEN we can look for long on the bullish ride. IF the price moves lower than the 4750, THEN we could short on the bear grip. what IF the price locks somewhere in between?
for me, I shall do absolutely nothg...well, that's my plan...bcox market is moving sideway...sideway is no gud for me...
ok, folks. that's all for tdy...I try to update more often but really, duty calls...and it sucks...
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 5040-5220
support : 4750-4840 (bull validity is here)
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures, cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
FCPO TRADING : 304) RM5k here we come! this is haidojo and the number is 304 ...
Today is 13th Oct 2021 and fcpo-dec21 is going to expire in 2 days or less. October has been blessed with the continuation of aggressive bull which resumes the rally frm last month. Still, the momentum of the long-run bull persists and there is no sign of slowing down. If you are trading some kinda trend-following/continuation trades, this could be your month.
As for today, the fcpo-dec has broken abv and closed abv RM5k. A historical benchmark and also an important milestone in the history of the fcpo price. So how far it could go? that is a million dollar question. U can projectile it using whatever indicator/method you like, but my conclusion is simple. I shall continue trading "long" as long as it is an uptrend. IF it reverses, THEN stick to the downtrend. Follow the trend. As simple as that. IF it consolidates, THEN it is not gud for me. haha. I dun have strategy for sideway yet. There is idea, but not yet tested.
One more precaution we might want to take heed is the tide might change after the exchange date of 16th Oct 21- which will fall upon us in no less than 3 days. SO, till then...stick to "long on retracement", with effective stop-loss. THEN wait for the new trend OR continuation of uptrend on 28th Oct 21 with new active third month, fcpo-Jan 22.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 5040-???
support : 4930-4980
critical support : 4753-4820 (bull is valid till here)
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
FCPO TRADING : 302)into the abyss....no man landthis is haidojo and the number is 302 ...
Today is 1st Oct 2021 and fcpo-dec21 is the active month. After a long awaiting of consolidation since July this year, fcpo price finally made a move which breaks into a new structure high yesterday, 4598 high and closed at this all-time high. Yes, that is correct. You are witnessing a history being made right now. This price and level has never been reached before, therefore I named it as the "no man land".
As the excitement grows, so does the danger which lurks behind the high price, as I am watching it right now, it opens at slightly lower level, 4550++...but still very close to the highs. The closest support I am observing is 4525, the previous highest close ever in mid-aug this year. As long as the price doesn't break lower than the support of 4320-4374, then it is still considered as uptrend...
Another move we need to take note is, as yesterday, the last day in Sept, fcpo-dec21 opened with a gap-up of nearly 90pts++(closed on 29th Sept at 4451 and opened at 4544). A gap could mean a continuous of the trend and also could mean an exhaustion gap, depending on what will happen next. Watch out for Double-Top formation or any kind of gap-down-go-down scenario in this week. That could becomes some kinda "head" formation and indicates a possible reversal...IF none of these happen, uptrend prevails...bull still has strong grip.
IF you are frm Malaysia, stay safe. juz go to work, buy groceries and go home. Get vaccinated.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
resistance : 4600 -???
immediate support : 4525-4560
critical support : 4320-4374 (bull is valid till here)
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD… any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
FCPO TRADING : 301) consolidation and a bearish gartley patternthis is haidojo and the number is 301 ...
today is 14th Sept 2021 and fcpo-nov21 is going to end soon. In two days or less, fcpo-dec21 is going to emerge as the new third active month.
We have been in this sideway since the retest of the high near the end-of July 2021. It is almost 2 months now. Adding on to the chart is that, now we are having an "ascending triangular pattern" which could break on either side. If the price breaks below the previous higher-low at 4100-4180, then we might have risk a reversal to the downside. If the uptrend continues, then the price will move towards the previous high ranging frm 4476-4525 and even break the recent high of 4560 and create a new structure high.
Sideway is bad for my trading style as I trade following the trend. So as u see, there is a bearish gartley pattern but pls DON'T enter now as it is a late entry now. ...and I don't trade advanced pattern in fcpo...because there isn't much advanced patterns in fcpo. Average 8-10 trades per year. Don't trust my words 100%, go test for urself. Believe ur own eyes and brain instead of senseless rants I am saying here. Do the same thing to the rest of the "gurus" out there. As recently, I see more and more unlicensed, marketing gurus try their very best to pretend as traders and trading masters.
You probably ask, " How do you know? How do you know they are not real? "
Answer, "It is simple. Look at what they promise u. Normally 3 things. 1. U can learn trading fast. 2. U make tons and tons of money with little or less experience/modal. 3. There is ONLY ONE way of trading, which is their way. They hold the "holy grail/loopholes" in the system and if u use other method, u are going to lose money."
I know some ppl don't like this kind of comments, but for whatever reason, I think I need to warn ppl especially frm Malaysia, as I see more and more ppl claim they are this ...they are that...but when prompt to show their trading records and such, they will start gibbering. If they are those who really been through the trading struggles and live to share their stories and experience, I welcome these ppl. They are the light at the end of the tunnel. PLiz don't hide behind the mask of a trader whose real identity is a marketer who sells course for a living...I have been scammed many times by these marketers pretending as traders therefore I despise these ppl so much. It is already a troubled time. Don't add burden to the ordinary ppl and those who really try to seek the way to trade for making a secondary income.
IF you are frm Malaysia, stay safe. juz go to work, buy groceries and go home. Get vaccinated.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
higher resistance : 4476-4560(the record high)
immediate resistance : 4300-4335
support : 4100-4180
lower support : 3880
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
FCPO TRADING : 300) head and shoulder patternthis is haidojo and the number is 300 ...
today is 2nd Sept 2021 and fcpo-nov21 is still the active third month.
so u will see a huge head-and-shoulder pattern in hourly and daily charts. IF the neckline/blackline is broken, THEN we have a confirmation of reversal and we can start turning to short on rebound as our strategy. the support level to take caution is between 4180 - 4090...almost a 100-pts range. next level of support to look at is 3880.
however, IF this level holds and the neckline is not broken, THEN it will most probably search back retest at 4300-4335. My biased opinion is we have a pretty high chance of witnessing a breakout today and it could be a gap down too. haha, juz my wild guess.
fcpo price has been hovering in the high (4476-4560), the record high since the end of July 2021. SO it is more than a month now. we got some chance that the market is having some kind of new move right now. Tug-of-war between the bear and the bull has to come to an end. The winner will appear pretty soon. IF they fail, THEN the buffalo will remain in charge. Buffalo? Yes, it stands for sideway market. Heavy and not moving.
that's all for now, folks. IF you are frm Malaysia, stay safe. juz go to work, buy groceries and go home. Get vaccinated.
*plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck*
higher resistance : 4476-4560(the record high)
resistance : 4300-4335
immediate support : 4180-4190
lower support : 3880
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures, cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!