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US Recession Imminent! WARNING!Bond traders are best when it comes to economics. Stock traders not so much. As the chart shows, historically, when rates bunch up, what follows is a recession. During the recession, the economy tries to fix itself by fanning out the yield curve, marking it cheaper to borrow and boosting the economy. The best time to be buying up stocks and going long the market is when the yield curve is uninverted and fanned out wide—not when it is bunched up like this. My followers know this is my first warning of a recession since FEB. 2020. WARNING! Things can get ugly from here very quickly!
TVC:US30YShort
by RealMacro
6
SPX: You Need To PrepareLast time I posted on SPX I said that I was sounding the Alarm I'm going to reiterate that you need to prepare No fear mongering, no fancy Elliott Wave Charts and no History Lessons in economics Lets just ask ourselves some really simple questions: If you lost your job today, how easy do you think it would be to find replacement employment that could maintain your current lifestyle? How many months of emergency savings do you have? What is your level of credit card/ debt in general and are you paying more than the minimum payment? Do you want to own a home? How hopeful are you about your chances to own in the near future? Are you saving for retirement? No really are you saving..be honest. If not, why? How happy, hopeful, worried, sad are you? Be honest And finally: Do you believe everything will be ok financially for you 10/20 years from now? Be honest Now ask yourself: What do I have to do so that I can move from believing/not believing to KNOWING that things will be ok?
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
2025-04-02 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: This is the event bears have prayed for, full blown trade war and this market is not positioned for any downside risk. Let’s see where we close this week. Below 21500 would be amazing but let’s close below 22000 first. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21800 - 23000 bull case: Tbh, best bulls can hope for, is to stay above 22000. I can’t see this going above 22800 for the near future. If bulls do it, I am clearly wrong. Invalidation is below 21900. bear case: Bears got the event gift and now it’s about how fast do they want to get out of this. I expect the worst but stops for now are 22800. First target is a strong move below 22300, then bears need to break 22000 and print a lower low. If they do that, we most likely freefall to 22000. If things become real bad, we hit the big bull trend line from August tomorrow, likely around 21800. Invalidation is above 22800. short term: LFG. Trade small with wide stops. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Germany takes on huge amount of new debt. Dax is rallying hard and broke above multi-year bull trends. This buying is as real as it gets, as unlikely as it is. Market is as expensive as it was during the .com bubble but here we are and marking is pointing up. Clear bull channel and until it’s broken, I can not pound my chest and scream for lower prices. Price is truth. Is the selling around 23000 strong enough that we could form a top? Yes. We have wild 1000 point swings in both directions. Look at the weekly chart. Last time we had this volatility was 2024-07 and volume then was still much lower. We are seeing a shift from US equities to European ones and until market closes consecutive daily bars below 22000, we can’t expecting anything but sideways to up movement. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Big up, big down. Triangle on the 4h chart and both sides made decent money today.
EUREX:FDXS1!Short
by priceactiontds
Robinhood: Turn Off the SELL Button?I don't have to remind you what Vlad and the boys did back in 2021 Crime has always been a part of Markets..I get that Crime will ALWAYS be a part of markets as long as GREED is rewarded But thats where Regulators are supposed to help hold the crooks accountable..right? As we all know that has NEVER happened Why? Because the size of fines are never large enough to truly deter..they are simply a cost of doing business But hey...according to the crooks we see paraded across our TV screens we need LESS REGULATION anyways because you know..FREE MARKETS!..and all that stuff right Ok cool, well then lets do the whole Free Market thing..you know the whole, "We need LESS REGULATION because Free markets will take care of Bad Businesses" thing Well then thats fine by me... MAJOR PUT POSITION COMING SOON..Vlad And GME is going to provide me with the ammo..now isnt that poetic :)
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
4
TIA: 40% Crash in Sight – What's Next?TIA recently lost its strong $4 support, and that level is now acting as resistance. For the past two months, the price hasn’t been able to climb back above $4, leaving us with one burning question: Is more blood on the table? Broken Support: TIA has given up its $4 support, which now serves as resistance. Looking at November 2024: The low from November 2024 was around $1.9. Revisiting that level could provide us with a high-probability long trade. Trade Setup Opportunity Entry Point: Set an alarm for the $1.9 low. A successful bounce here would signal a potential long trade opportunity. Target & Reward: With the goal of targeting the $3 level, this trade could offer a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 5:1. Implication: If the $1.9 level is revisited and holds, we could be looking at a scenario with roughly 40% more downside in the current trend—but also a setup for a low-risk long if the bounce holds.
Short
by SiDec
2
$BABA on its way to $120s into AprilI would honestly be surprised if it doesnt gap down this Monday before the open. The weekly imo, looks like a mess atm and could gap into $120s easy. If it doesn't, I would expect some consolidation for a fall into the First week of April. We're right at the golden pocket retrace at the .618, very common retracement level, if we look at Fibs with a bearish perspective and measure a retrace back to the lower golden pocket at 1.61 fib from highs, $112.30 would be my ultimate target if we can break $126. $126 opens the flood gates to our ultimate target at $112.
NYSE:BABAShort
by TazmanianTrader
BTC - ABC Correction to Absorb Long Liquidity Further to my previous recent post, I wanted to highlight two indicators that accurately present us with liquidity on the BTC chart. Connecting the pieces of the puzzle of this prediction - this ABC correction pattern allows the market to absorb the Long position liquidity left in tact on the chart. Since these long positions leave a trail of leveraged sell orders (stop losses) - we should expect a mass chain reaction of these orders setting off one into the next, with increasing speed and momentum of the drop. We do not need a black swan event for this to occur. The orders are already in the chart to allow it to happen, as an adverse consequence to open interest and open traders positions during the last 2 years. There is many confluences to support this correction pattern, if interested in learning more, see my previous posts on Trading View. Enjoy!
Short
by DickDandy
8
MARKET ALERT: Sound the AlarmOver the past few years as price has reached major potential turning points in the market I have sounded the alarm that LONG SIDE RISK has risen and to be on HIGH ALERT for a potential downturn. Of course as we have seen this Bull Market has had significant legs and has continued to grind higher. What now? I told you in September that it did not matter who was elected that the Market would turn weak...and it did We have been going essentially sideways since November I also said that around Jan 15th the market would turn lower...and it has I also said that lower move would take us down to the 5600-5700 region..and it did Now I am telling you that we are setting up for what appears to be ONE FINAL PUSH HIGHER Where does that move take us? Somewhere near 6500 What happens after that? You can expect a SWIFT CRASH LIKE move back to almost exactly where we are now but probably around 5400 And its at THAT point that ALL CARDS WILL BE ON THE TABLE You should expect a retracement back up from that 5400 region If that retracement is CLEARLY CORRECTIVE in nature then you can expect a move down to 5000 and if the market cant hold that region then its: GAME OVER Can I be wrong? Absolutely...and for the sake of the people I love, this country that I call home and my brotherhood of fellow humans around the world I HONESTLY HOPE I AM Because if I'm not wrong then whats coming over the next decade will be potentially MUCH WORSE THAN A RECESSION PREPARE YOURSELF
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
$QQQ Dead Cat to 10 WMA, then lower. Buy $496, Sell $514 What I see here is a double top on the weekly just like 2022. I can see our last 9 count in 2022 produced a 30% rally to the top. After the rally several months of sideways movement until we break trend. If we are Indeed Repeating the 2022 TOP. Then we have a harsh year ahead of us. As I said in previous posts, we should close February at the low of January. I have KRE falling out next week so I'm skeptical about what's going on. We've got DOGE checks and what not, who knows. I'm extremely bearish and I do believe we will bounce into a rejection this next week, then fall even further the week of 3/14. I will update day by day. For now, $496 will be my Buy. and $514 will be the Sell. Take Care Yall.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by TazmanianTrader
3
My current XRP 'flash crash in April' thesis chartThis is the current chart that I'm using, which includes approximate areas and an approximate timeline for my coming 'flash crash in April' thesis. This involves XRP bottoming out very soon, then going on a 'false breakout' heading into April, followed by a flash crash sometime in mid to late April. This will then mark the low of this area of the chart, and the real breakout will occur sometime in May, which I believe will take XRP to a new all-time high and true price discovery. Keep in mind that this is a theory, which is developing day by day, and may or may not actually come to fruition. It's based on a chart I've released in the past called 'THE XRP BREAKOUT CHART.' *** The yellow line on the chart is a simple wave count, and not affiliated with Elliot Wave Theory, just for clarification. Enjoy the ride. Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by MetaShackle
The current BTC chart, incorporating my 'flash-crash' thesisThis chart illustrates the current Bitcoin pattern, with my 'April flash crash thesis.' I believe we will see another thrust lower into the green box ranges before a spring into the fifth wave. However, the fifth wave will be a "false breakout," as a flash crash in mid to late April is likely to occur, intentionally designed to sweep liquidity by liquidating overleveraged positions and triggering stop losses—driving price past the previous low set in the green box, only for the market to recover shortly thereafter and continue its breakout to the upside. This breakout will likely push beyond the pattern, taking out the all-time high, and setting a new high somewhere in the 20K to 25K range. There could be some opportunities in the next 4 to 6 weeks, but with opportunity comes risk. Always use a proper risk management strategy suited to your skill level and wallet size. Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by MetaShackle
$QQQ WARNING! April Fool's Market a Joke this year at SUB $400Is this happening? I'm going to have to bet my money on yes. I have been doing this for a long time. Pattern Chart Trading . This has a high probability of happening imo. Is it absolute? Of course not. Is it better to be prepared? Absolutely. Now for the technicals of it.. I'm trying to do better with this... If we take a bearish perspective on the fib from the previous high in December , and the most previous lower low mid January , we have ourselves at the 1.61 Golden Pocket below. I have a Bullish perspective if we hold here and move above the 1.00 Fib Level, mid January Lows at $499.70 . Last defense would be a 50% retracement to the .786 FIB at the $508 area. Currently, I expect a rally to the 50 day SMA for a retest, then a SLAM to $380s in April . This is the possibility. Take it with a Grain of Salt. The possibility is there. I have one Bullish outlook.. I will post after this...
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by TazmanianTrader
Solana: Time to Buy or More Pain Ahead?Solana has been in freefall since peaking at nearly $300 on January 19, 2025, dropping a staggering 61% to $115,47 in just 50 days, currently trading at around $119. A support zone for potential reversals. The big question now: Is this the time to go long, or is more selling pressure ahead? Let’s break it down. Key Support & Resistance Levels Lost Key Level at $120 Solana lost the key support at $120, turning it into a resistance zone. For bulls to regain control, SOL must reclaim this level with confirmation and increased volume. Next Key Lows to Watch Below the current price, the next key liquidity zones are at $110 and $105, where buyers may step in. Major Support Zone – $104 to $96 If selling continues, we have a strong support zone between $104.14 and $96.96, backed by multiple confluences: Anchored VWAP Support: Taking the anchored VWAP from the 2023 lows at $8, we find it currently aligning near $100, a key psychological level. Monthly Order Block: On the monthly timeframe, an order block sits right at $100 mark, reinforcing this level as strong support. 2024 Yearly Open: The yearly open from 2024 is at $101.72, adding another layer of confluence. 0.666 Fibonacci Retracement: Measuring from $8 to the all-time high of $295.83, the 0.666 Fib retracement is at $104.14, further strengthening this support zone. Liquidity Pools: There's a lot of liquidity around the $100 area Fib Speed Fan Support: The 0.7 Fib speed fan also aligns perfectly with this support zone. Conclusion: The $104–$97 range becomes a high-probability long entry zone with minimal risk. Long Trade Setup Entry Zone: $118 – $97 Stop Loss: Below $95 Take Profit Target: $135 Average Entry: $105 (DCA) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): a solid 3:1 or better Strategy & Execution With SOL already down over 60%, scaling into a long position makes sense. Here's how to do it the right way: 1️⃣ DCA Strategy – Instead of going all in, scale in gradually within the $118–$97 range for a better average entry. 2️⃣ Volume & Price Action – Watch for a spike in volume and bullish price action before adding to the position. 3️⃣ Psychological Level Play – There are likely many buy orders around $100, meaning a bounce before hitting lower support is possible. Stay tuned for updates as this trade unfolds! 🚀
Long
by SiDec
1
$1.51 to $3.25 casually DOUBLED while rest of the market crashes$1.51 to $3.25 casually DOUBLED today after being mentioned in chat many times Sweet catch on NASDAQ:HMR 👏🤑 All while the rest of the market continues to hits new lows on a big red day NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:GOOG Got to love these type of stocks AEON 1.26 - 1.33 (+5.5%) HMR 3.02 - 3.16 (+4.6%) Total profit today: +10.1% Nice profit today again while the rest of the market goes into deeper red. Bulletproof strategy delivers again, no matter the overall market conditions. Congrats! See you in the morning!
NASDAQ:HMR
by ProfitTradeRoom
Market Snapshotwww.saferbankingresearch.com In light of Jerome Powell speaking Friday thought this was a great article The below quote is from the FED as referenced in the article and Avi Gilburt rightfully asks why they would make stress tests LESS STRINGENT....hmmnnn "The current severely adverse scenario features a slightly smaller increase in the unemployment rate in the United States compared to the 2024 severely adverse scenario. The current severely adverse scenario also features slightly smaller declines in house prices, which reflects the Scenario Design Framework’s response to the slightly lower ratio of nominal house prices to per capita disposable income at the end of 2024. The current severely adverse scenario reflects a decline in commercial real estate prices that is 10 percentage points smaller compared to the previous year’s severely adverse scenario, recognizing that those prices have already declined by a little more than 10% relative to their most recent peaks and limiting the procyclicality in the stress tests. The potential for spillover effects in asset markets and sharp changes in investor sentiment are captured by a decline in equity prices and an increase in corporate bond spreads, although these changes are less severe relative to last year’s scenario, reflecting less severe stress in commercial real estate markets. The international component of the current severely adverse scenario shows a recessionary episode that, relative to last year’s severely adverse scenario, is the same for the euro area and less severe in all other countries or country blocs."
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
1
Greatest Volatility of all times is approaching...#vix the volatility index has been accumulating since covid 2020 crash. In higher time frame, TVC:VIX has broken out in 5th August 2024 and it was just a test!.. Then continued consolidation till this time , also doing the retest. at this zone, accumulation of the 2020 covid crash for a new impulsive wave!.. In lower time frame , several days ago VIX broke out the accumulation zone coming from 5th August and this warns you about your greedy positions my friends. We haven' t seen a real great volatility since covid crash and VIX chart is getting alarming. You' ve been warned. Not financial advice. Temporary INVALIDATION: If VIX dumps below 13 zone , this will be more secure. Below 10 is the main invalidation.
TVC:VIXLong
by naphyse
12