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Crisis

Short on US30 SELL SELL SELL !!!I personally have been short on this pair since December :) Okay some may see this as a crazy setup but i believe US30 setup will fall to around 7000 in the next year or so There are many reasons for this setup Fundamentals and technicals FUNDAMENTALS - jubilee year ? - shemitah Year ? - every 8 years a financial crisis - FED raising rates to signify economy in a recession - The possibility of QE4 ? - A possible world disaster ? i can keep going on in regards to such things but ill keep it short TECHNICALS - Price has hit a all time high and after the US30 booming for around 8 Years isit time for a change ? - Price found strong KEY LEVEL (RES) at 18000 - Price is now down trending - Price has put in lower high and lower lows - Price has broken many key Trendlines - Also price is on the verge of breaking a key level (SUP) at 16000 - If price breaks that key level we will possibly see a huge drop to the downside I can go on abit more too but i am sure you all get the idea i am portraying i do believe and confident of the drop too 8000/7000 :) so here we come 8000 POINTS PROFIT ;)
FX:US30Short
by ARFXC
12
Again a bitcoin fractal.That is where I think we are now. We`re in a quite similar fractal of the "small" rally of 2012. As you might remember, that rally took place a few months before the halving, after a long bearmarket, a situation strangely similar to where we are now. My prediction: I think we´ll slowly rise back to 450, build a plateau at 450-500 and stay there stable for a few months. Then we might see a rally unfold, if bitcoin continues to do fractals. It would fit also the upcoming halving in the middle of 2016. However, for that, the potentially upcoming economic crisis needs to fully unfold, with lots of capital flowing into bitcoin. The chances for that are not so slim.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SebastianofMoon
Bitcoin: A Commodity?Bitcoin has long been a favorite for those looking for an alternative to centralized fiat money. Although I always thought bitcoin was promising, the technological aspect always held safety and liquidity concerns. Due to the fact that it is hard to prove peer-to-peer transactions, financial institutions - especially in the U.S. - have strict policies and layers of purchase authenticity that make buyers wait from a few hours or longer to actually receive the bitcoin. Could the inception of other bitcoin trading products add to liquidity or the general acceptance of bitcoin? Recently, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has designated that bitcoin is a commodity. By doing so, adding bitcoin derivatives is an attempt to regulate the bitcoin market. Some find it strange that the CFTC has said that bitcoin, among other digital currencies, has the same properties as physical commodities like gold or oil. It is true that there is a defined supply of bitcoin, but it is more than likely that the designation is more of an attempt to regulate than to legitimize bitcoin as a true commodity. Furthermore, the addition of bitcoin derivatives could simply open up the bitcoin market to more traders. Because let's face it, on a day-to-day period, trading bitcoin can be a snooze-fest. With futures trading being as digital as bitcoin, less than five percent of futures are ever exercised for delivery which may lead to more bitcoin speculation. One thing is certain: bitcoin could an alternative to traditional safe-haven assets. For the last year, I have been the only one, that I know of, that has noticed that bitcoin has been trading the inverse of the most traditional safe-haven - gold. Bitcoin's largest movements seem to stem from money flowing in and out of gold. Unfortunately, in a crisis situation, I believe gold would win because it is tangible and that is physiologically comforting. If gold garners support from another central bank led financial crisis, bitcoin could see dark days. Please follow me on Twitter @Lemieux_26 Check my posts out at: bullion.directory www.investing.com www.teachingcurrencytrading.com oilpro.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CommoditiesTrader
3
Next Fin. Crisis?It's been more than 6 years since the last major financial crisis occured in 2008. If we assume financial crisis come out almost perodically in every 8 - 10 years then I think it's time to start thinking whether we are close to the next one. 10Y US treasury notes have always been preferred investment tool for non-risk takers regardless to the financial environment. But what about 2Yr treasury bonds? Can it tell us tell of something different? So I looked at how the spread between 10Y and 2Y notes changes. I took the difference of 10Y and 2Y note yields (drawn in blue line) and looked how it changes with time. I marked with green circles where the spread is equal to 0 (10Y yield = 2Y yield) First 1990, second (little one) 1998, third 2000, fourth 2007. I'm sure you're very familiar with these years:) Before every major crisis 2Y note yield became equal to 10Y note yield. Why? Because smart money managers see the uncertainty and the approaching crisis in the market and move their money from short term bonds. Up to this point maybe that was what you heard before. But can we predict the next crisis time? So when I drew 2Y note yield (red line), I noticed the 2Y note yields at the time of crisis are decreasing linear starting with 9,55% in 1990 and ending with 4,92% in 2007. (the green descending trend line) This confirms today's ongoing deflationary markets in all over the world. If we assume the trend will continue as it is, 3 - 3,5% would be most probably the next 2Y treasury note yield at the time of the next financial crisis. If we look at the FED rate history, we see the fund rate is pretty similar to the 2Y note yield. So did you recall the FED fund rate projections for the next years?? Most of the FED members project the fund rate will be around 3,5% at the end of 2017. Bingo! And also in 2017 we will have had 9 years after the last financial crisis. Be careful in 2017 if the spread of 10Y and 2Y notes yields close to each other.. www.federalreserve.gov
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by REDRUNNER73