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S&P500 Short, The rise of globalizationWith the US. Economy showing signs of a decline in growth be it through the freezing of hiring of new employees, personal savings decline even worse than before the pandemic, sky-high interest rates, etc. and with conflicts arising in Eastern Europe and the South China Sea putting a strain on resources, it brings to question whether or not everything should be globalized to efficiently manage resources like a bee hive, as a means to prevent global conflicts and give everyone a decent standard of living. SP500 bottom is a long way to go. 5th Generational warfare will likely play out as foreign currencies cash in on this opportunity to establish global dominance IF world leaders decide not to participate/continue plans for a technocracy. Blockchain technology can be the vessel to help govern us w/o bias from tradeoff, taking into account/analyzing the metadata we (individuals and corporations/stakeholders) provide through our thoughts and transactions. People may hate or dislike the WEF or the Bilderberg Group. Still, I believe they are Earth’s best hope for the continuation of government and civilization even if it means at the temporary cost of human life and individual quality of life via sustainability. A correction is coming either by force from mother nature or by choice from world leaders. I say this given the scarcity of resources and lack of continuous innovation to efficiently use the available pool of resources to sustain the infrastructure of society as it stands. Trade E: 412 SL:450 TP:273 Key dates to take note of: Sept. 26th Oct. 28th Resistance in from 440 to 410 given: -PA near VWAP sourced from Point of Deflection -PA near 0.5-0.618 fibs of wave A -PoC of wave A being defined as the upper limit at 440 Confirmation of signal will happen once we close under 410 on a daily candle. Dates noted earlier are like when volatility ends or begins. HV indi on the daily gives warning of vol expansion soon, but the weekly vol contraction is at play meaning we may distribute/consolidate around 400-430 for the next 3 months under the dates noted earlier to trigger the final nail in the coffin to ~$200 . BTC will likely consolidate as well during this time staying at a neutral bias until 21k is broken to the downside or it continues to coor. with SP500.
AMEX:SPYShort
by linebands
FEDEX SHORT (FDX SHORT) :(Hello, I have explained many things about the recession in my idea about the world crisis of 2023. And other articles such as the OIL SHORT, or THE BITCOIN CRASH (I will leave all these ideas linked.) But here I want to delve deeper into supply chains. I'm here again to show you a SHORT idea against FedEx , that company that is in the middle of all the orders in the world. What would we do without transportation chains? They are always in the middle of "customers", "retailers", manufacturers" and "suppliers". Transport chains like FedEx are very necessary, since without them the orders could not be transported. Now the words: "customers", "retailers", manufacturers" and "suppliers". Sounds me as a special effect, THE BULLWHIP EFFECT. You know, the BULLWHIP EFFECT, as the name suggests: "bullwhip", with a small change in the "whip", could cause devastating effects in the "whiplash". I recommend to search on Google about the Bullwhip Effect, there are nice videos on YouTube. The bullwhip effect in demand forecasting arises when each channel member forecasts demand based on information derived from the ordering patterns of an immediate inferior member. It basically consists in that consumer demand does not present significant fluctuations, while inventories reveal important changes, showing a decrease or excess in stock levels. If, in the different links of the supply chain, they do not handle constant and true information on their inventories and consumer demand for their products, the bullwhip effect gains strength, generating an excess of safety stock, which, as is known, radically increases the cost. , the end product. What are the causes of this effect? Lack of information between suppliers and intermediate buyers. Management without order in production orders, generating volatility in shipments. Possible periods without demand for the goods. Possibilities of obtaining wholesale discounts (Which generates time problems). Inflated or strategic orders. (Taking advantage of market conditions). Supply uncertainty. It can generate unnecessary orders. This effect is so devastating that it is very difficult to detect it really, but it is more difficult to detect it if we are in a "SLUMPFLATION"... I was not amused when the media said that the crisis would not yet come. OBVIOUSLY I don't want any crisis. What I don't want is for the crisis to be worse. They always make the same mistake, they hide the real data and say that the recession hasn't arrived yet. But in a few months the recession was sooner than expected. What is in the middle of all the BULLWHIP EFFECT? - Answer: "Transport Chains" Actually the transport chains will also be affected, just put on some music in a dark room, close your eyes, and think about it. Don't let your money foolishly burn! Bubble within bubble within bubble within bubble within bubble within bubble... SPLASH! I do not have much to add. You just need to do a little research on the internet, DON'T TRUST ANYONE, NOT THE FED, NOR THE PRESIDENT, NOR THE INTERNET, NOR DO YOU TRUST ME. You can only trust yourself and your research that you have done. I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND PLEASE SEARCH THE INFORMATION ON YOUR OWN, BEFORE MAKING ANY DECISION. YOU AND YOU ONLY ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR INVESTMENTS AND IN NO WAY WILL I BE RESPONSIBLE IF YOU USE THIS IDEA THAT I AM SHARING HERE. Thank you very much for reading this article and not closing it like others. Have a nice day, Esiquiel.
NYSE:FDXShort
by TheWaterBottle
8
USD/UAN Ritual devaluation of the Ukrainian UAN. Situation nowRitual figures on the chart that were ahead of the events in Ukraine. The timeframe on the chart is 1 week. 57 weeks (12) Time 399 days 21 (management changes) Potential maximum channel height + 303% 57 weeks. 399 days. It all depends on how the price fixes in these important areas. Fixing the price above a certain zone will mean further growth of the dollar and the depreciation of the hryvnia. Target 1 zone + 47% 2 zone + 173% 3 zone + 303% A well-run crowd works like one foolish person. This graph shows the 1 day depreciation of the hryvnia in 2014 on the timeframe. At that time, there were well-known sad events in Ukraine. Maidan. Coup d'etat. The war in the Donbass. Detachment of the Crimea. All numbers in key areas are readable in meaning and not random. The schedule and non-random numbers in key areas were far ahead of events in the country. And not all the way around as the crowd thinks. On the chart, the timeframe is 1 day. The former ritual devaluation of the hryvnia. Growth 288 bar. (18) -666 402d (42) Destruction change. Maidan. The war in Ukraine in the Donbass in 2014. Detachment of the Crimean peninsula from Ukraine. + 310% (13 mirrored). The birth of a new government. In order to always manage the herd, it is sometimes necessary to fulfill the insignificant desires of the sheep, so that faith in the herd is maintained that the wolf is not a wolf, but just a sheep in sheep's clothing. In a herd, a person plays the role that the herd has formed and given to him. He is experiencing this role, he is comfortable in this role. Without this role, there will be the realization that he is a jerk, bio trash, one of many. Background player in a game. But when he is in the role, he is an important person, primarily for himself. _____________________________________________ Coup d'etat. "Maidan" and ritual figures. Coup d'etat. "Maidan" - Independence Square in Ukraine November 21, 2013 - February 22, 2014. Everything is clear according to plan with pedantic observance of all ritual terms for the owners. It is very important. As we see the numbers are not random. 21 = our century + 18-666 + 3 (the birth of a new one). 22 - change of what is. Pay attention to which digits of the pulses of the maxima. 13,111 33,711 The years for the implementation of this local project are also not random. 2013 (13 new management) 2014 (14 destruction of the old government). Not understanding people that they do not decide anything in their life, but are just fuel in someone else's game, just makes them that fuel _________________________________________________________________ Ukrainian bonds OBGZ and an hourly nuclear bomb for this country. The issue of OBGZ exceeded UAH 100 billion ($ 4.06 billion)! This is a nuclear bomb with a clockwork for the Ukrainian economy, which would work without the global financial crisis. The hryvnia will be in a very sad position. What do you think is the secret to strengthening the hryvnia against the dollar in the fall of 2019? The trick is issuing bonds of the internal state loan (OVDP) of Ukraine. For the first time in history, the issue of OBGZ exceeded UAH 100 billion ($ 4.06 billion) !!! The vast majority of bonds owned by foreigners are issued in hryvnia (an average of UAH 98.17 billion, or $ 3.61 billion). The rest are issued in dollars and euros. The Ministry of Finance on September 24 raised 13.2 billion hryvnias from the sale of government bonds. Most of which came from 5-year bonds. Reports the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. The total volume of 5-year government bonds reached 33.9 billion hryvnia. Weighted average rates of return were: for 6-month government bonds - 15.89% for 1-year government bonds - 15.09% Who does not understand all the salt that the state is forced to pay anyway! Even if there is a collapse of the economy! And he will be! Only default announcements give the state the right not to pay interest to investors, but then there is a risk of lowering the country's credit rating. And this is tantamount to default. As in this case, Ukraine will be equal in carelessness for investment with African countries. If directly without water, then the whole of Ukraine was completely sold for a temporary benefit before the financial crisis. All national enterprises and lands will be transferred to "investors" who will force Ukraine to pay debts on their investments. A default announcement will not save how the IMF will declare a loan to repay the same debt on bonds at a certain percentage. Ukraine owes huge amounts to the Navy. And every newly made temporary "king" is not averse to taking a loan from the IMF to appease the people during his reign. And what will happen then does not interest him. Do you think local actors in the government did not understand this? No, everyone understood and I am sure all these billions are already where they are needed. In the future, no one was planning to pay a percentage of income to investors in Ukrainian bonds, as it is physically impossible even without a financial crisis. Just local authorities took the opportunity. And it is clear that this was an order from above. _______________________________________________________________ EUR / RUB I also did the EUR / RUB trading idea several days before the price increase at the lowest entry point when confirming support and the zone, I think this is also relevant, as it is the same trash currency. Symmetric triangle. Trends Reversal zones. The situation is now. 2 target achieved + 32%
Long
by SpartaBTC
21
THE BITCOIN CRASHIt is clear that the cryptocurrency bubble has suffered a fall, but the worst is yet to come. Bitcoin does not have any kind of value, and this reminds me of the .com bubble of 99... where only those companies that really provided good value survived. Well, I think something will happen this way with the "Blockchain" technology. Many worthless projects will be destroyed and only those with a very good value will survive in the future. The currency "Bitcoin" is not a PONZI. What is a PONZI is the number of projects that are created in order to scam people, we have already seen many scams... Squidgame token... Omicron Coin... LUNA... USDT?? These scam projects or projects with pure FOMO and meaningless, as they happened in the 99's, will devastate the entire Blockchain and economic sector... Bitcoin has provided a great technology, the "Blockchain" that is why I appreciate it like many other people. Bitcoin is great and I'm a big fan of it, but sadly, the bubble is going to burst. Without a doubt THE WORST WORLD CRISIS as I mentioned in my other article of "2023 Global Crisis". It's literally not one bubble, it's several... You would see this bubble as a bubble within a bubble within a bubble within a bubble within a bubble within a BIG bubble. If any bubble bursts (which will burst), the rest will too, maybe a little longer or a little less, but they will. In the graph you can see that my levels to which Bitcoin can fall are between $6,000 and $25 Some people will call me crazy, but in reality my figure is not true since no one can predict the PRICE of the market. What people can predict is how other people predict a price with FOMO. You don't have to be a genius to see it, you just have to walk away from the party and see how others enjoy very loud music while the next morning everyone is on the floor. Please do your own research and do a lot of research on this. DO NOT PUT YOUR MONEY IN CRYPTO STABLE COINS, Thanks. I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR. YOU AND ONLY YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR INVESTMENTS AFTER READING THIS ARTICLE. Thank for reading this article (if anyone has read it), A pleasure to share my advice, Esiquiel ;)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheWaterBottle
3
SP500 recovery or dead cat bounce?Hi traders this analysis is very simple and uses some basic methods. I'm using the "filling gaps" method, the SP500 During the last years this method has been simple but effective. I'm worried about the gap left in November 2020, the SP can easily go and fill it considering we are only 15% above it, and in June 2022 we dropped 12% in a single week. This gap confluates with the ATH before the COVID crisis, so by technical analysis we know: “Previous resistance, now new support.” So I am considering a bounce of the SP500 until 4000 and then possible sell off. All financial markets follow SP500 including crypto. So I'm expecting a DEAD CAT BOUNCE on all markets.
SP:SPX
by Ylesc4s
OIL SHORT :(As I mentioned 10 months ago about the worst World Crisis of 2023. I wanted to share this analysis on the price of OIL and its derivatives, as well as gasoline, it will be affected and is being affected along with oil. There are many indicators that indicate the coming crisis of 2022-2023... This crisis, the worst of all, "The crisis of everything" creates a gigantic DOMINO effect. MASSIVE MONEY PRINTING, Inflation, Oil inflation, transport price rise, food price rise, real estate inflation and exorbitant prices, etc.... It's very simple: when the first "domino" falls and begins to push the rest (the bubble bursts), and I reach the "domino" of oil, there will be a SUPPLY SHOCK in Oil and its derivatives, obviously. People will not be able to afford the exorbitant and INFLATIONARY prices of Oil and derivatives. There will be no time nor will it be possible to reduce the SUPPLY in advance, because by reducing the SUPPLY at this moment, as there is a high level of demand right now. The price of oil and gasoline will rise shamelessly... It would be UNSUSTAINABLE and would produce new bubbles ("refilled with oil") distributed by all the oil companies, gas stations, and in turn throughout the world. Where they are, they WILL BURST IMMEDIATELY "when exposed to transportation traffic." I also wanted to talk to you about the Gas Stations and their arrangements with the Bank... Banks hold Oil as well as Gold and other financial assets. Imagine that a bank has a paper that says that it has $1B dollars in oil, and this oil was provided by a gas station and/or its relations and suppliers of this gasoline / oil. When the gas station goes BANKRUPT, the paper that the bank owned will become "Wet Paper"... Please think about it... The number of gas stations that can go bankrupt and the number of producers of oil and its derivatives that can be greatly affected. As you can see in the graph this is my analysis and I think that Oil will not be saved from this crisis... I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE OR A FINANCIAL ADVISOR, PLEASE DO YOUR OWN INVESTIGATION IF YOU WISH TO INVEST. Thank you very much for reading and a like will be appreciated ;)
TVC:USOILShort
by TheWaterBottle
SPX - Update on the S&P500 last moveHello traders, Today on SPX, a lot of movement with the announcement of the CPI index report, which equals to 8.6%....wHaT a SuRpriSEeee!! even though we know it is supposed to be even higher....anyway... all investor are afraid aff, of course, and here are the result...! I show you in the analysis below how I approach the last move with the Elliott Waves analysis Wave green (b) retracement on (a) Wave orange C extension Wave white 3 extension Wave white 5 extension
OANDA:SPX500USD
by ModTrades
1
🔥 NASDAQ Following 2008 Crisis Fractal: Bad Omen?Before we dive deeper into the analysis I want to state clearly what I always state in fractals: no one can predict the future and price patterns/fractals are valid until they aren't, take them with a grain of salt. However, try to keep an open mind. In today's analysis I want to take a quick look at the NASDAQ, which is the main technology index for the US stock markets. I found that the current pattern very closely resembles the fractal from back in 2008, right before the main crash and meltdown of the stock markets. Main differences are the heights of the tops/bottoms in relation to each other, there's some small differences in height here and there, but fractals are never 1-to-1 perfect. Second main difference is the speed at which the pattern plays out. In 2008 the it took the market 213 days to get from step 1 to step 6. In 2022 it took just 90 days. If the market will continue to follow this bearish fractal we can expect another bullish push towards the yellow box on the chart. From this box, the price will reverse sharply and make a new macro lower-low, resulting in a crash. Naturally, this fractal will be invalidated if we either make a new high above 5-6 or if we fall further below 4. The future will tell whether we're going to see more downside in the near future. However, the markets are not signaling much (macro) bullishness at the moment, so I won't rule a crash out in the coming months.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by FieryTrading
7
XAUUSD Ascending tunnel 4h Since 5th of June to today - ascending tunnel formation built out of higher highs and higher lows creating the shape of a tunnel going up. The range to sustain the pattern is 1789 - 1825. A break below 1789 with a 4h close, will allow for further decline down, as a first stage to 1760 hourly support. A break above 1825 with a 4h close, will allow for target of 1920 weekly resistance to reach in the short-medium term. Important levels range at the high 1790's and low 1800's. Triple top between 2011-2013 on the weekly level show around 1800 - relevance to today is high. A break above will be significant for the continuation of the uptrend breaking new highs. On a fundamental level, needless to say, 10 trillion USD printed money together with overall lack of certainty and hysteria continue to push Gold higher. Printed money dropping the US $ value and lack of real investment in equities don't provide much ground for drop of Gold price below important supports.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Exactus
₿itcoin / Facing crisis / New cycle / CommerciumHispanus🌎🟠Bitcoin: After more than a decade “overheated” with exponential but increasingly reduced rises, it seems to be entering a calmer stage where corrections will not be lacking and it can lateralize on important levels for a time, typical of a market that matures and reaches a significant capitalization. BTC has a trend and polarity level ahead in a monthly time frame that will serve as supports if the crypto asset continues to decline, until now that I am writing this paragraph it is my main scenario. To recover the price level of $52,000 by breaking the monthly polarity level exposed in my other trade ideas –resistance- after a breakout of a level where it could not do it for more than 75 days, $44,500, –right now this achievement is compromised- is the task of the buyers to return Bitcoin to the upward rhythm it has had in the last 2 years and continue in a yellow channel invalidating any low this 2022, where reaching 6 digits in 12 months or less will be the most likely, scenario where I will change my current view. I propose and believe today, that Bitcoin enter the blue zone, a "cold" zone where we will see it oscillate -at least- the average time it has previously taken to "cook" its new bull run, perhaps going down from its previous maximum (2017), time-space that will be the origin of new cycles, where it will gain greater adoption, an opportunity that will give it to those who still do not know it to take it into account - But, as I've said in some of my other reports, "regulators are the doctors trying to keep a patient who has suffered from multiple ketoacidosis stable" In my opinion, the forecast for this model is reserved Any criticism, comment, suggestion is welcome. –see related ideas at the bottom of this idea- To enter the market you must have: Strategy Market vision Domain of emotions Capital management Quality tools 👍If this publication has been useful for you, remember to LIKE it and share it on your social networks 👉🏻Follow me on tradingview, activate notifications in your browser and keep an eye on your email where you will receive my regular updates. 👏🏻If you want to support my work you can make a donation on this same platform. 💬 If you require any additional information contact me by private message, I will gladly assist you. Thanks for your support! Greetings to all and good luck! 🌎 Commercium Hispanus Cryptocurrency trading is subject to high market risk. Carry out your operations with caution. I always do my best to choose high quality coins, but I will not be responsible for your trading losses.
BNC:BLX
by UnknownUnicorn6489805
4
SPX Short, Retirement Crisis?A possible explanation behind the incoming crash, the retirement crisis. Will boomers transfer their wealth to the next generation via free market (allowing the market to rightfully correct and have the younger generation (Gen Y & Z) buy equities at low prices), or will the government (federal reserve) step in and increase the balance sheet (and thus "prevent" a crash on paper)? Perhaps both. Gen Y and Z have decided to adopt and develop crypto to digitize and decentralize the old financial system (DeFi, NFTs) as the fed continues to print more money (as seen from the 2020 $ printing/stim. checks). This younger generation will not buy the bags of the old financial system (from the stock market to real estate) that are overvalued (Stock market with P/E ratios in the 30s, multimillion $ single-family homes), but rather force the old money to buy their crypto bags in the pursuit of the high ROI against inflation that crypto offers. As more inflation continues, crypto will get more adoption by traditional VCs, HFs, Central Banks, etc. This adoption will come from the firm's inability to answer two questions: 1. How will we get millennials and Gen Z to invest their saving with us? 2. How will we be able to keep the promise of paying out pension funds to the Boomer Generation? Privately, a few leading heads of these institutions (like Michael Saylor, Elon Musk) have entered the space after the 2017 and the 2020 DeFi Boom, but there are tens of trillion dollars left to enter it from the firms themselves. Hopefully in this great reset of economics, the young will own everything, and be happy.
SP:SPXShort
by linebands
Saturn Square Uranus CrisisSaturn square Uranus in the sky 1929-31 Data analysis through use of the amazing planetary aspects indicators created by @NasserHumood "The stock market crash in America on October 24, 1929 signaled the start of the Great Depression; and in November 1929 Saturn in the sky moved into orb of a square aspect with Uranus. Throughout 1930 and 1931 they formed four square aspects – on April 9, 1930, December 12, 1930, July 21, 1931 and October 17, 1931. This is the first time in BTC history this square is taking place. The last time we saw the same square was during the 2000 .com bubble. This already gives us an indication of what will happen to the general economy, as well as the legacy markets. To add to this even further, the last time these two (Saturn and Uranus) were in a difficult aspect was during the 2008 financial crisis. Another bubble was formed which was popped. This time it was the opposition of the two that did it. But the problem is with BTC because we haven’t seen BTC in action during this square. So far there has been a correlation between BTC and SP500 for example and the general stock market. If one goes down, the other one goes down as well. Will it continue? We don’t know, we will have to wait and see."
TVC:SPX
by EsotericTrading
3
Long Entry for GoldAs the past have shown us over and over again, in terms of crisis, commodities such as gold, energy or petrol tend to have much more demand than the rest. Because of this, their prices tend go raise exponentially compared to normal times. I believe at the moment, due to the Ukraine and Russia situation, there is a big long opportunity for assets like gold or oil. And not just that, but we also have to take into account, that this year, Feds are going to try their best to reduce the inflation levels, and this can also lead to a potential increase in these assets prices. Key points for this scenario Long entry TAKE PROFIT POINT 2100 TAKE PROFIT POINT 2200 TAKE PROFIT POINT 2300 TAKE PROFIT POINT 2400 STOP LOSS 1850 RISK REWARD RATIO : For 1 $ lost we have the possibility of making 0.75/1.25/1.75/2.25$
TVC:GOLDLong
by exlux