CRON - Cup & Handle or W PatternCould do with some more volume, but broader market sentiment appears to be changing. With the HEXO's, CTST's, TGOD's and the likes, in turmoil, I suppose it is scary to stay true to your thesis. CRON is one of the potential long term winners, and even though it is trading at a ridiculous multiple, it is currently above resistance.
If we look at the hourly chart, we see a short term Cup & Handle emerging, and we're currently looking at a beautiful Bull Flag. If we look a bit broader, we see that the current Cup & Handle are part of a larger W pattern, which in this case seems to have started to form at the temporary bottom.
I was hoping that CRON would close the week above $9.30, but with peers just leisurely laying off hundreds of workers, I suppose it is impressive that she stayed above resistance on a typical low volume Friday. Indicators do show a good underlying strength. I'm looking for a test of the lower $10 levels next week, so that we soon may seen CRON attempt a double top, or even a higher high.
What are your thoughts?
Cronos
CRON - ShortingDon't get me wrong, overall I am bullish on this stock. Coming up, however, we are due for a correction from a market driven largely by news / media. Check the financials.
Keep in mind everything from 1/28 -> on could be artificial movement due to Kramer calling it out on TV. I would expect quite a big profit taking coming up, wouldn't be surprised by a drop of 38% from current rise ($14 price), or even more, before the strong resistance kicks in. I love this stock (bought in at $7.62 / pre Altria) but all rides up have their downs.
2 things to look at on longer charts. 1D, and 1W. Developing rising wedge - unavoidable from recent news attention. Bearish Divergence seen in the RSI. Overbought, and decreasingly so. My sell limit is at a conservative $20. However, it may be reasonable to expect a $22-24 price before the correction.
I have charted a Fib Retrace from current low, expecting a 38% profit taking. Keep in mind, if the price goes > $19.50, the Fib Retrace needs to be adjusted for newer buy targets. Currently, I am looking at nice round numbers of $14 (best estimate), $12, or $10 (least likely). At least we have our Resistance levels marked, if there is a correction.
ACB 50/50 Probability - Breakout ModeACB NYSE is currently in the dead center of the bull flag trading range, and a converging triangle. This is where the directional probability is very close to 50/50. However the bulls have a slight advantage because it is a bull flag trading range, and there are bull gaps below. Prices are currently stalling at the failed bear reversal, where trapped bears may soon buy and contribute to a rally. However there is no valid but setup yet this week. The Bears want a test of the 5 low, and to fill the bull breakout gap. If this gap is filled, it will decrease the bull strength and prices will likely remain range bound for the next 20-40 bars. If instead the bulls keep the breakout gap open and form a higher low in the coming weeks, it will increase the probability of a test of the all time high and possibly bull trend continuation. But since prices are in a trading range, there will probably be some profit taking and short selling at a new all time high, unless the bull rally and breakout is exceptional.
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Short-term / Technical study of TLRYAs shown in chart. TLRY could benefit of a big rally if we can cross the $56.50 SMA(50) line with strong volume.
Technicals
RSI @62 with a stronger comeback from being oversold. (Check chart drawings)
* Always set your stop-limits to protect your position, as well as exit-profit targets to get your gains.
Happy trading!
dorfmanmaster