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Crude

Will WTI follow Natty into the basement? Is WTI going to suffer the same fate as Natural Gas ? Endearingly referred to as Natty ? Well the good ship Natty got REKT last week. The long side which was overcrowded, overleveraged caught the "to da moon" bagholders off guard . Stunned whilst spitting out the kool aid they were seen gasping for air when the dead cat bounce rocked the boat ., Natty was batterred and was last seen heading into shallow water dangerously close to the rocks . Choppy water ahead alert the marine units. The setup on CL very same chart right before the dump so spread out grab your umbrellas !!! The trade : Let price action have the final say on your entry get the best price you can very important! Patience pays when shorting! Monday may get some purchasing for the week early on so shorts may get pinched a bit before any ride either way. Wednesday the EIA inventory numbers are relesed at 10:30 EST. OPEC meeting also this week I believe so expect volatility. Sell 83.60 & higher use stops longer time frames target 59.50 might be best move of the year if it goes. Record or near record inventory build over the last month so stay tuned! Not a trade recommendation or a reccomendation to buy or sell securites of any kind.
TVC:USOILShort
by Journeyman124
2
WTI REMAINS IN RANGECrude oil prices consolidate around 68 and 77 dollars per barrel, remaining below the heights of March and April. The risk of downside movement is fueled by the slow recovery of China and their slow demand increase, higher interest rates on demand and uncertainty around US economy. On the other hand, if the prices dip too low, the countries of OPEC+ will be fast to decrease the supply in order to mitigate further down movement. The price will most likely keep ranging between 68 and 77 dollars, but if it breaks the support, it might fall to 64, while if the resistance gets broken, the price might target levels of 83.50. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses
BLACKBULL:WTI
by legacyFXofficial
WTI OIL: Trend changing to bullish.WTI Oil pulled back as we expected on our previous trade and filled the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Consistent with the March 24th 0.618 Fib fill (and the RSI on a harmonic buy level), a rebound now is heavily favored as the Falling Resistance from the prior market top, has already broken. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 76.00 (MA200 4h). Tips: 1. RSI (4h) crossed above the MA, as it did on March 27th on the previous market rally. This is an additional strong buy signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingBrokersView
13
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOK CONTINUESThe weak trade and inflation data from China further casts doubt on the ability of fast economical recovery of the country after COVID. This puts a rench in OPEC's forecast that China will drive the demand for crude oil to record high. The technical indicators are also confirming the downtrend, with MACD histogram being below 0 and RSI under 50 neutral line. If this scenario continues, the price of the instrument might test levels of 64 and even 62. In the opposite scenario, the price might revert and test 77 point resistance. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by legacyFXofficial
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKThe price of WTI fell with 1.15 USD last trading day, due to expectations by investors that Fed will keep increasing the interest rate. US CPI had risen in April and is suggesting that the interest rates will remain high. Nearly 3M barrels oil inventory growth, weaker imports in April and slow export growth to China are putting additional downward pressure to the price of the crude oil. Both RSI and MACD indicators are also suggesting continue of the down trend. If this trend continues, the price might test levels of 64 USD. In the opposite scenario, the price might reach levels of 77 USD. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by legacyFXofficial
Crude Oil Ka-BoingNice long tail on the weekly chart, after a lower low. Technical indicators MACD and VolDiv appear bearish but this is suspiciously like a hidden dragon. Taken altogether, the first resistance is 76, and once close above 80 is firmed bullish. The lower low suggests more downside, but the length of that tail is telling a very bullish story for the next couple of weeks. So... expecting a consolidation range fighting between bears and bulls between 70-80; while leaning towards a bullish breakout much later... perhaps (ideally) after higher low. Do note that in alignment to the earlier post about the USD dropping, it does look like Crude now has a better chance of turning around to reinstate its bullish efforts.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Auguraltrader
Oil One Step From a Major Buy SignalThursday brings us a short update on brent oil. This instrument has been heavily bombarded recently by the macro data, not only for oil, but also the macro data for the USD. Let’s start with the one for oil. Yesterday’s inventories. Data came in hot (bullish for oil) as the number were significantly below expectation, showing a decrease of 4.5 mln barrels from the previous week. Well, how about that? As for the USD, yesterday’s less hawkish FED was bearish for the dollar, so again, bullish for instruments quoted in the dollar like our oil. So, we had two positive sets of information for oil and yes, brent used it wisely. Oil One Step From a Major Buy Signal As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 75 basis points (bps) at the July meeting, taking the target rate range to 2.25%–2.5%. This is just below the Fed’s estimate for a neutral policy stance in the longer run (2.5%). At the press conference, Chair Jerome Powell said that “modestly restrictive” monetary policy is warranted by the current economic fundamentals, including elevated inflation, and mentioned that another outsize rate hike may be necessary at the next meeting in September in order to ensure monetary policy is restrictive. The overall movement of gold prices was bearish since inflation numbers rose and the U.S dollar index moved bullishly. However, there might be a change in the situation as gold prices currently moving upward while the U.S dollar index stalled and the stock market is trading slightly lower. If gold prices could continue the bullish movement and close above $1,800 then the bullish trend is set to continue. Silver prices bounced from the $18.50 support level and made a bullish close yesterday. There is a bullish continuation in today’s trading session which brings the price near the $20.00 handle. If the price could maintain the bullish pressure and continue upward to close above $21.35 then the price will start a new bullish trend. Crude oil prices situation is not good for the bull as the price could not maintain the bullish pressure. There is a bullish attempt today but the price currently trading below the opening level. If the price is pushed lower and closes below $95.25 then traders will prepare for a bearish continuation. How far will OIL GO UP? Well, if you ak this question then you are no professional, experienced trader, but a naive one, and have not understoad the purpose of trading. Keep it simple. Keep your stops alert.
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
Crude Oil Gives up OPEC Cut GainOIL STRATEGY POWER SELL Already predicted the Fall of ENERGY and Oil months ago. Crude oil prices edged lower Monday, extending a two-week slide in which macroeconomic concerns and signs of weakening refined product demand have outweighed a surprise supply cut made by some OPEC+ members on May 2. A group of large oil producers led by Saudi Arabia said Sunday they would cut more than a million barrels of output a day starting next month, a surprise move that upset Washington and led to a jump in crude prices amid concerns about the global economy. The output cut adds to a reduction of 2 million barrels a day agreed to in October by the Saudi-led Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and a group of other producers led by Russia. Taken together, the output cuts amount to about 3% of the world’s petroleum production taken off the market in seven months. Futures on WTI crude oil, the U.S. benchmark, declined more than 1% Friday's closing price and were trading for less than $76 a barrel, about where they settled on March 31, the last trading day before the surprise cut was made. That's down from a peak of over $83 a barrel reached in the second week after the oil cartel's announcement. Analysts are pinning today's drop on Chinese government data released over the weekend showing that manufacturing activity fell between March and April. China is the world's second-largest consumer of oil, behind the U.S.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDEShort
by DaveBrascoFX
CRUDE to bounce a bit, if at all, else dive hardBased on Crude's weekly chart, it clearly lost the bullish plot (posted 1st May, see linked post). As of the current Crude futures price action, a few preliminary observations can be recorded... 1. A lower low is recorded, and this aligns with the weekly technical outlook of a more bearish close to the weeks ahead; 2. Yesterday closing at 68.52 broke down all prior marked supports, except for the TDST at 66.12. Note that a close below and 3 days of closing below 66.12 changes Crude into a bearish primary trend. So, expect a lot of dancing about (or bounces off) this area, until that happens. 3. Today closing is important... IF closing at current levels, then a bounce to 74-76 can be expected, due to the long shadow/tail (green ellipse). Otherwise, a breakdown below the TDST support level turns all bearish. 4. Technically, it appears to favour further downside once market hours open. MACD and VolDiv on the daily are aligned to weekly indication of more downside momentum, having already crossed into bear territory. Watch the USD... it has a lot to do with the magnitude, although other fundamentals will affect Crude directly. Mindful that tomorrow is the Non-farm Payrolls.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Auguraltrader
WTI CRUDE OIL: Aggressive sellingWTI Crude Oil is on a strong selloff that was accurately anticipated by our firm on the 1D MA200 rejection, making a LH on the long term Channel Down and providing us with the most optimal sell entry. The 4H technicals are oversold but the 1D remains on standard bearish price action (RSI = 42.644, MACD = 0.240, ADX = 42.786) and we don't expect this selling to take a pause before the 1D RSI tests the S1 (39.50). Our short term target has always been 74.00 and after a short lived rebound we expect 72.00. Unless 1D closes a candle above the 1D MA50, in which case a bigger rebound is possible to 80.00 before an even deeper fall to 66.00. Prior ideas: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
HAS CRUDE OILD FOUND SUPPORT @ 77?A bullish close after today's trading will provide more confirmation. however, price has tested the support level at 77 for the past 4 days and bulls keep sending price high every time bears brought the price low... N.B! - USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #usoil #crudeoil #wti #brentoil
TVC:USOILLong
by BullBearMkt
Weekly FOREX Forecast: April 24 - 28th (Part 1)Welcome to another Forex Daily Forecast! We will be preparing for the trading week ahead: - Analysis of the individual currency Futures, to identify the strong and the weak - Analysis of the FX pairs (EURUSD, EURCAD, ...) - Analysis of Gold, Silver, and OIl too! - Plot and plan for the best setups. I'm taking my time with this analysis with the viewer in mind. I want you to see the markets through my eyes, so the analysis is fresh, done live, for you to learn how to do this yourself. I want to raise independent traders, capable of reading the markets and planning their own trades. I'm hoping we can end up raising each other's level, in an "iron sharpens iron" kind of way, coming together and sharing trade ideas in our community of traders. Always remember, just because they aren't setting up now, doesn't mean it won't set up later! So stay tuned for updates! We are going to look in depth at the forex market, using top down analysis. If you have a question on any of the content, please leave a message in the comments section. For beginners, this is how you analyze forex markets, identify supply and demand zones, key levels of support and resistance, and look for swing trade setups. Smash a LIKE and tell me what you think in the comments section! These things help to grow this channel! I appreciate your support and feedback, my people! It encourages me to continue to provide free content to the public, in hopes to grow a community of sharp traders.
by RT_Money
Crude Oil - Why i am BearishThere are several aspects that I am bearish on this chart. First of all, we have a huge GAP on daily that must be closed soon. Secondly, Wednesday's stock data came below those of the market, so the crude oil stock is higher than the estimates, which is very bad because they have already reduced production by 1.5mln/day, which means that unless they . had reduced production, now the price of Crude Oil would have been between 50-60 usd/barrel. Now the graph shows us a close below the resistance zone, which at least for a short time, I will have a SHORT position. Also, look at the RSI , its over bought and we need a corection of price to create more demand.
TVC:USOILShort
by sfc95