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Crude Oil

WTI turns lower after surprise crude stocks buildNews of a surprise inventories build in the US has caused oil prices to give up earlier gains and turn lower. The EIA US weekly crude oil inventories came in at +3591K vs -2850K expected and -2547K prior. The 3.6-million-barrel build suggests weaker demand despite hopes that inventories would draw down more meaningfully due to the US driving season. However, gasoline stocks also rose, coming in at +2654K vs -1024K expected, while the refinery utilization fell to -1.3% vs +0.1% expected. As a result, crude oil prices turned lower on the session to take out the lows of the past several days. The key support to watch is at $80.00 – if it breaks this level decisively now then we could see some follow-up technical selling towards $79.00 next. However, if instead oil prices rise to hit a new high on the session, then this would invalidate any bearish signals we may have seen today. So, watch the closing prices attentively. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
Weekend Wizardry On Crude OilRight now It makes no sense in my mind why the market would want to return to being bearish. Yes we are in a premium and after a couple days of upwards movement there can be some stagnent action for traders who like to take more than 25-40 ticks ona single move. So again why would market want to move lower on a htf bases as pointed in my arrows we have a Daily FVG whcih I will be watching price to respect and create a discount in that FVG The wicks from Friday and Monday Daily chart show immediate rebalance and a propell higher is what I am looking for. Given Monday can be opposing price to what Tues and Wed Provide... wink wink Magnet shows my target for next week. to revisit this and whilst in fvg how do we close? Daily fvg CE? I really do look at price on the day to day basis weekly targets yes but this is a subconscious thought when im trading pacific times of the day.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by IamThattrader
MarketBreakdown | Dollar Index, Silver, EURCAD, WTI Oil Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ Dollar Index #DXY daily time frame 💵 Dollar Index nicely respected a key daily horizontal resistance. We see a nice bearish reaction to that today. Because of the absence of important fundamentals, I think that DXY may keep staying under a bearish pressure. 2️⃣ Silver #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙 The price action on Silver contracts. The market is currently stuck between 2 trend lines, forming a classic symmetrical triangle formation. Before the release of the news, the market will most likely stay within the triangle, respecting its upper and lower boundary. US fundamentals this week can be a catalyst for a breakout. The side of the breakout will indicate you the future direction of the market. 3️⃣ #EURCAD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇨🇦 The market is approaching a significant confluence zone based on a recently broken horizontal support and a trend line. The broken structures compose a supply zone from where we may see a bearish movement. Patiently analyze the reaction of the price to that on lower time frames and look for a confirmation to sell. 4️⃣ #WTI CRUDE OIL 🛢️ The market is currently stuck between 2 horizontal structures within a narrow range. I will wait for a breakout of one of the structures to confirm where the market will go next. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:DXYShort
by VasilyTrader
1
oil crudewe anticipate a long term buy for crude oil based on the following analysis of crude oil which is an amalgamation of both fundamental technical analysis. WTI crude oil continues its upward trajectory, with hourly prices testing the upper bounds of the ascending channel. If the short-term ceiling holds, prices could still experience a rapid pullback. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level stands at $80.02, with larger pullbacks potentially reaching the 50% level at $79.51, followed by the 61.8% level at $78.99 near the channel bottom and the 200-day SMA dynamic inflection point. The stochastic oscillator dropping from overbought territory indicates rising selling pressure, with room for oscillators to decline further before reflecting bearish exhaustion, which suggests that the correction could persist until such exhaustion is observed. The RSI is also trending downward, indicating that crude oil prices may follow suit until oversold conditions are met and oscillators rebound. However, the overall structure shows the 100 SMA above the 200 SMA, confirming that the path of least resistance remains upward, or that support levels are more likely to hold than break. In this scenario, oil prices may continue to rise toward the swing highs around $81.69 or higher. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to buy the dips. ENTRY ; 80.00 tp 85 sl 78.80 risk reward ratio ; 120;500 (approximately 5 times more reward). Follow us for such market related updates contents and news boost us for increasing our reach to more people.
TVC:USOILLong
by realmillionairefx
WTI stages breakoutCrude oil's rally today underscores its recent resilience. Prices surged despite weaker Chinese industrial data, suggesting investors are expecting the oil market to tighten as we head deeper into the US driving season. Thanks to the rally, WTI has broken its bearish trendline that had been in place since April, finding strong support around $77.80, where the 21-day exponential moving average is present. Today's rally has lifted WTI to its 200-day moving average, just below the $79.50 level. Previously, it had struggled within the $79.50 to $80.00 range. Considering last week's V-shaped recovery and the subsequent break above the bearish trendline, crude oil bulls are now looking for a move above May's high of $80.63. Achieving this would mark the first higher high and confirm a bullish reversal signal for WTI. Conversely, if oil prices turn lower in the coming days and fall back below the breakout area around $77.80, the bearish trend would likely resume, leading to further technical selling. However, the bullish scenario appears more probable to me. Written by Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com Follow me on twitter: x.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
Daily Timeframe suggests Bearish Price ActionWe are currently inside a 12$ Range on Crude Oil on the monthly timeframe. Support being 71.32 and resistance being 83.22. After two weeks of trading in June, Oil is up roughly 2/3 of 1 Percent. The First week being quite bearish but which was corrected, plus an additional some to the upside on the second week. Price came awfully close to the weekly resistance level ( about 25 cents) on Wednesday but coincided with US weekly Inventories and dropped on a higher than forecasted number. Weekly Bearish Target for Crude this week I have 75.36 Weekly support level. Weekly Long target for crude this week I have 79.58 Weekly resistance Level. What's interesting is that after the initial climb on last Monday, Crude simply consolidated for the rest of the week. It actually printed 3 Daily candles that had a larger top wick than the body of the candle. My Bias is bearish to kick off the new trading week and short term targets are 77.30 for the upcoming session.
TVC:USOILShort
by ShrewdCatfx
#202425 - a weekly price action market recap and outlook - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil futures Quote from last week: bull case: The best the bulls can hope for, is for the lows to hold and to move sideways and hit the daily ema again. They failed at keeping it above 75, which was huge support. Last bear leg inside this bigger trading range was 11 weeks long from high to low and we are currently at 9 weeks. Bulls will want to find support here around 70-72 and trade back up to at least 78 over the next 8-12 weeks. comment: After Monday there was no question that bulls took control again and the bear trend is over. Bears now fight to keep this a lower high and retest the 72.48 low but for now, market is in balance around 78. Bulls want to break out of the bear channel and test 80 again. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 72-79 bull case: Strong week by the bulls with 3 pushes up but still a lower high. Their next target is to get back above 80.22. Right now they have momentum going but big down, big up mostly creates confusion and that means trading range. Above 79.5 I will probably long for 80. They need to stay above 77 or odds favor a retest of the lows below 74. Invalidation is below 77. bear case: Huge bear surprise the week before and now a big bull surprise. Most reasonable thing here is for the market to move more sideways, probably still inside the very big triangle 73 - 81.5. If bears get below 77, they want to retest the lows below 74, which is also what I think has the slightly better odds next week but I would wait for confirmation. Invalidation is above 80.6. outlook last week: “Neutral because I think we will hit the daily ema again and a retest of 72.5ish. I am not a fortune teller so I don’t know which comes first. I will watch the price action and give daily updates here on substack and intraday in my trading room.” → Last Sunday we traded 75.53 and now we are at 78.45. I said we will hit the daily 20ema which was 140 upwards. On Monday there was no question we will get there, so I hope you made some. Did not expect bears to just disappear afterwards and let the market trade above for the whole week. short term: Neutral right under the bear channel line and daily ema at 77.5. Can break to either side. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 82. The high of the triangle got tested until mid of April and we have now tested the lows around 72.5. Market will probably move more inside this big range until we get a new big cycle to either side. —unchanged current swing trade: None chart update: Adjusted both two-legged corrections to fit the current pattern better but the C target is very questionable as of now. We need more price action to know where market wants to go from here.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
USOIL Possible shortUSOIL has been moving bearishly for some time now since it's overall higher time frame direction is bearish. It has recently formed an interesting structural pattern where it swept previous equal highs before breaking the previous low with MASSIVE momentum. It has currently retraced back towards the deep inner range, where the kick the this previous enormous bearish momentum began, to fill imbalances that were left behind in the process. So price could potentially use a 4h supply zone to push further to the downside with the help of a triangle liquidity that has currently formed below it. The target is the latest low as it is weak due to the nature of the tend being bearish.
TVC:USOILShort
by BlackTygaTrades
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
FX:USOILLong
by ShahedZare
OIL: First red day, three days cycleHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅ day 3 cycle 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day ✅ First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout 3 Days Short Breakout Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump ✅ Dump&Pump Frontside Backside ✅ 4. THESIS: Long: secondary, the market could go to retest the HOW for further move during the upcoming week, not really interested in this scenario, unless a clear dump and pump made in 3 sessions. Short: primary, first red day, failed breakout of the HOW, potential backside move back into the LOW. However, the market is In Balance, no other time frames triggered yet. Before shorting this market I will be waiting for one of the two yesterday extremes to be triggered, looking then for a sell high opportunity. Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by GianniPichichero
11
Crude Oil peaks on OverSupply of Commercial Held Barrels?Hello Traders.. Today Crude Oil went up and up and up and was beginning to resemble a small cap crypto.. this was until US Inventories data release showed an oversupply of 2/3 items. The number of barrels held by Commerical firms was forecasted to decrease by -1.2 million barrels in this weeks readings. Maybe this is why we saw crude hiking up and up (+1.15$) throughout Asian session and London session. The Actual reading, released 30 minutes prior to London close, showed an increase in the number of barrels held by commercial firms. 3.7M is the number. This increase is signnifcant , especially since the last 4 releases have been forecasted to show a decrease in the number of barrels held . With an oversupply, price naturally dropped , abiding to the laws of supply and demand. In our previous forecast we were anticipating a retest of 77.8 and consequential increase. We indeed observed this after price dropped dramatically. We saw 77.8 1Hr Zone hold firm. The Monthly, Weekly and Daily timeframes are still screaming buys and I'm still thinking there is some momentum bullish in the market. These are the prices that I like for scalping in the upcoming sessions. 78.80 1hr zone, 77.8 1hr zone. 77.30 is target for sells for upcmoming session while 79.25 is the target for longs in the upcoming sessions.
TVC:USOILLong
by ShrewdCatfx
2