CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Move From Key Level 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil formed a double top pattern after a test of a strong horizontal resistance.
Its neckline breakout is a strong bearish confirmation.
We can anticipate a retracement at least to 73.0 level now.
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Crude Oil
Light Crde Oil ( CL1!, US Oil ).... BULLISHAs I mentioned in the Weekly Outlook video, I expected the fair value gap + the bullish breaker block to hold price, and provide support for a potential rally. It chopped since Tuesday, but we've seen the bulls come in and slowly start to move price higher.
I expect that price will continue that move today.
I am looking for price to pullback a bit, after taking the yesterday's high. I should pullback halfway into Thur's candle, and push higher towards the highlighted draw on LQ (red line).
If it doesn't happen today, then I look towards the beginning of next week for it to play out.
May profits be upon you.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Key Levels to Watch Next Week 🛢️
Here are the important key levels & structures to watch next week on WTI OIL.
Support 1: 69.3 - 70.4 area
Support 2: 67.7 - 68.7 area
Resistance 1: 75.2 - 76.2 area
Resistance 2: 78.5 - 79.7 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Crude Oil (#WTI): Detailed Structure Analysis 🛢️
Please, check the important key levels on ⚠️WTI Crude Oil.
Support 1: 69.3 - 70.4 area
Support 2: 67.7 - 68.7 area
Resistance 1: 75.2 - 76.2 area
Resistance 2: 78.5 - 79.7 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Crude oil 1H Potential Inverse H&S ( Multi-timeframe analysis )On the 1H chart the Crude oil is forming a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders. What is more important about it is that it's happening after a retest of a bigger symmetrical triangle.
I am leaving the link toward the 4H oil analysis so that you can see the bigger picture:
USOIL Trading Ideaased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
How you can earn money from this ICT setup?Here you are, please read the summary about Oil price below~
📈 Oil prices surged in early trade on Thursday, extending the previous day’s sharp gains on concerns about Middle Eastern supply following disruptions at a field in Libya and heightened tension around the Israel-Gaza war.
🛢️ Brent crude rose 33 cents, or 0.42%, to $78.58 a barrel by 0101 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 40 cents, or 0.55%, to $73.10.
📈 Both benchmarks rose by around 3% to settle higher for the first time in five days on Wednesday, with WTI seeing the biggest daily percentage gain since mid-November.
🚫 On Wednesday, local protests forced a full shutdown of production at Libya’s Sharara oilfield, which can produce up to 300,000 barrels per day. The field, one of Libya’s largest, has been a frequent target for local and broader political protests.
💥 Also on Wednesday, nearly 100 people were killed in blasts at an event to commemorate commander Qassem Soleimani who was killed by a U.S. drone in 2020. Iranian officials blamed unspecified “terrorists” and vowed revenge. However, no group has yet taken responsibility for the attack. The U.S. has seen no indication Israel was behind the blasts, White House national security spokesperson John Kirby said.
🔥 Swirling regional tensions from the ongoing Israel-Hamas war also continue to support oil prices.
🚀 On Tuesday, Hamas’ deputy leader was killed in a strike in Beirut - the first strike to hit the Lebanese capital in almost three months of near daily fire between the Israeli military and Iran-backed Hezbollah that had been confined to the border region.
🚢 Shipping concerns in the Red Sea also remained after Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis said on Wednesday they had “targeted” a container ship bound for Israel. U.S. Central Command said the militant group had fired two anti-ship ballistic missiles in the southern Red Sea the previous day.
Technical Analysis:
As we can see there are demand zone and FVG near $68 to $70 since the middle of 2023.
Here is a sharp rebounce (Pin bar) on the demand zone. A good ICT Long setup for both Swing and Intraday traders!
WTI (Crude oil) 1H Double bottomThe Crude oil is forming a potential double bottom on a 1H chart
Zoom out the chart to see the Bigger picture.
The price has been moving in a general down trend channel. Recently the price broke out of it to the up side and now it's retesting the former down trend resistance. On it, it's forming a potential double bottom.
Additional confluences:
- Oversold RSI on the first bottom
- MACD Bullish crossing between the 2 bottoms
WTI crude looks set to retrace before its next big leg higherWTI appears set tor a cheeky retracement. Volumes were falling during its leg higher from $68, and Wednesday closed with an exhaustion candle. Note the strong trading activity around $70 which indicates some bears were caught short and bulls initiated, which assumes short-covering helped fuel the rally and any retracement towards $70 could also be supported.
From here we’re looking for prices to revert to $70. But given the strong support around the June lows / $68 and false break of $70, the bigger picture view is for a bullish rally to develop following a retracement heading into the new year.
$80 seems feasible as an initial target, around the 200-day EMA. But as you’ll see in the next post, a bigger bullish reversal could be unfolding on the weekly chart.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Consolidation before a long term rally.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 48.178, MACD = -0.770, ADX = 19.024) as the price continues its fierce consolidation within the 1D MA50 (Resistance) and 1W MA200 (Support). In fact the 1D MA40 has been unbroken since October 23rd 2023 and when it breaks we expect a strong rise like the July 5th 2023 breakout. A strong consolidation similar to today's preceded the July 5th breakout.
Consequently, when the price does cross over it, we will go long and targwt the symmetrical Resistance (TP = 83.50), which has been the target twice before inside 2023.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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USOIL ForecastTVC:USOIL Crude oil futures rose toward $76 per barrel on Friday, cutting the 5% plunge from the prior session that took prices to their lowest since July. CBOE:OVX ended on $40.43 nearly 7 percent lower than its previous session.
Breakthrough 75.63 resistance. Still it is within acceptable deviation range, the short stance is yet too early to be declared over.
API crude inventory scheduled next Tuesday, 11/21. The analysts are not expecting for any significant change in the inventory supply. While OPEC and the IEA both expecting supply tightness in the forth quarter, the downtrend rally won't seem to be make a comeback until any significant mood changing event introduces.
During last PPI, while the market is forecasting a significant slowdown in overall business performance, the key is whether 2023 will be able to meet the expected average 82.6 mb/d, respectively.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)