USOIL Crude Oil WTI Price Prediction for Winter The potential for an increase in oil prices looms as supply disruptions in Libya unfold. Additionally, heightened tensions in the Middle East, fueled by another attack on a container ship in the Red Sea and explosions in Iran, contribute to the uncertainty. Shipping giants temporarily halted Red Sea shipments last month due to attacks by Houthi rebels, who were influenced by the conflict between Hamas and Israel.
On a recent Wednesday, the Yemeni militant group, supported by Iran, claimed responsibility for targeting a container ship en route to Israel.
Concurrently, OPEC announced its members' commitment to unity and cohesion within the organization, emphasizing their dedication to shared objectives.
Adding to the complex landscape, last month saw Angola, a member of OPEC for 16 years, decide to exit the cartel due to disputes over quotas. In light of these developments, my forecast for oil prices is set at $80 by March 2024.
Crude Oil
USOIL - BEARISH MOVE 📉
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
The USOIL Reached a Resistance Level (74.03 - 74.75).
The Price Formed a Rising Wedge Pattern.
The Support Line is Broken.
Currently:
The Price Pull Back to Important Structure,
and Now It Will Continue Its Bearish Movement📉
TARGET: 69.50🎯
USOIL Sell signal Hello traders, over the last few months, Usoil has seen a bearish trend. I anticipate this selling momentum to continue until we reach 67.68 and we could go lower. In the past days, we've established the buy side of the curve and formed a market maker sell model.. I'm interested in engaging in a sell position once the daily FVG is reached, of course after a shift in momentum.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
WTI H2 / RETRACEMENT FROM THE OB, SHORT TRADE OPPORTUNITY 📉🛢Hello Traders!
As expected, we can see a retracement of the OIL H2 from the resistance level, and also, from the OB at the price of 74.900. I see this retracement as a good signal of bearish domination, representing a good opportunity to execute a short trade.
Treaders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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Disruption to the oil supply chain averted (at least for now)Following the initiation of Operation Prosperity Guardian in the Red Sea, major shipping companies like Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd began to reverse their recent decisions to halt transit through this waterway. That is positive news for the world as the region is estimated to account for about 12% of global trade, with 340 million metric tons of cargo and 8.2 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Nonetheless, as disruption to the oil supply chain seems to be averted, this news is likely less favorable for the oil price, which is currently trading near $75.50 per barrel. With that said, we have no reason to change our outlook for the next year, and our price target stays at $65 per barrel; however, in the short term, we acknowledge that USOIL may move higher (potentially somewhere in the range between $77 and $78) before reversing. We will update our thoughts with the emergence of new developments.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL. The yellow arrow indicates a bullish breakout above the upper bound of the downward-sloping channel, which is quite bullish (unless invalidated).
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Slightly bullish
Weekly time frame = Bearish (turning neutral)
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
⚡️USOIL CMC TRADING ⚡️ REVERSALUSOIL has demonstrated a potential surge in buying pressure within the identified demand zone, prompting a bullish breakout amid the recent bearish trend. These significant levels are distinctly recognized on the daily timeframe. Presently, there is a perceived potential for a movement towards the major Order Block (OB) situated at higher levels.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Crude oil up tonight!Crude oil rose too much before, so it needs a technical pullback, the big trend we still insist on bullish!
At present, there is a small top of the daily line signal, it has a technical retreat, will continue to rise after the retreat, the weekly line stabilization signal is very obvious, so the bulls have begun a big counterattack in the retreat is not a trend change but we once again layout multi-single opportunity!
So today, oil prices should focus on the first support near 72.70
WTI OIL: 1d Death Cross calls for selling but MA50 has to hold.WTI will complete a Death Cross pattern on the 1d time frame. This will be its second since September 02 2022.
That pattern initiated a strong decline which was a bearish leg inside a Channel Down pattern.
Oil is again trading inside a Channel Down since Sep 28 2023 and the Death Cross can be the sell call for the final leg to the 63.70 Support.
We expect at least 65.00 but the 1d MA50 has to hold. On a different occassion, i.e. a candle closing over the 1d MA50, look for a buy to the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 84.50. That will be almost a +25% rise, which we've seen 4 times since the last 1d Death Cross.
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Crude oil continues to go longIn recent days, we have been bullish on crude oil, whether it is the shape or the indicator has formed a big counterattack signal at the daily level of bulls, 74.40 resistance position has not been able to suppress the bulls of crude oil, yesterday we bought at 72.70 and took profits at 74.10! A perfect profit. So how does the oil trade at the current price?
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Key Levels to Watch 🛢️
Here is my latest structure analysis for WTI Crude Oil.
Resistance 1: 74.1 - 75.0 area
Resistance 2: 78.5 - 79.8 area
Support 1: 71.7 - 72.9 area
Support 2: 67.7 - 68.7 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Crude Oil 21/12Pair : Crude Oil
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and Making its " ABC " Corrective Waves. Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Its Currently Rejecting from the Upper Trend Line to Complete the Retracement for Break of Structure
Entry Precaution :
Wait for Breakout and Retracement
Oil tankers and cargo ships at danger in the Red SeaSince the breakout of the Israel-Hamas War on 7th October 2023, there has been an increasing number of attacks on military and transport ships sailing through the Red Sea, with Houthi rebels from Yemen standing behind many of these incidents. About a week ago, the group went as far as to announce the blockade on ships traveling to and from Israel through the Red Sea, which prompted large transportation companies to announce a pause on shipping through this particular route. The Danish shipping company, A.P. Moller Maersk, announced last Friday that it would halt all shipping via the Red Sea route following a near-miss incident involving Maersk Gibraltar on Thursday and another attack on a container ship. The next day, the Medditerean Shipping Company announced the same thing following Friday’s attack on its vessel MSC Palatium III. These two companies were quickly joined by Hong Kong based Orient Overseas Container Line, Taiwanese Evergreen, Belgian Euronav, and French CMA CGM Group, which happens to be the third-largest container shipping company in the world. Then, yesterday, the first major oil and gas transporter, British Petroleum, announced it would also halt shipments through the Red Sea. As a result, many of the mentioned cargo ships and oil tankers will have to be rerouted via alternative paths; such changes are likely to cause (some) supply chain disruptions and soaring costs for transporting goods (as well as operating expenses for the companies themselves). To resolve the situation after weeks of relentless drone and missile attacks, the United States finally announced yesterday that it would no longer tolerate Houthis’ aggression in the region and that it would form a task force responsible for protecting international waters in the Red Sea and Bab Al-Mandev Strait. As for our outlook for the oil market, it remains unchanged, with a price target of $65 per barrel in 2024. However, we are aware that the situation could deteriorate further if Iran-backed Houthis continue to ramp up their attacks in the foreseeable future (especially against U.S. warships, which has been the case recently). We will closely monitor the situation and report new developments once they arise.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish (turning neutral)
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.