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Crude Oil

WTI OIL Rising prices are here to stay for years to comeUnderstanding WTI Oil (USOIL) on the larger, long-term time-frames such as the 1W or 1M charts can broader your perspective and allow you to consider market dynamics that you never thought they were possible to affect the trend. From time to time we tend to make such studies in order to give you an idea of how the long-term trend may be shaped. Example of such pieces of publications include the following, where a slow down on the Oil rise allowed us to realize that inflation peaked and get a timely sell: Or the following that got as a timely buy while the price was still at $69.20 to target $100 after a break above the 13 year Lower Highs Resistance: ** Why is Oil rising now? ** On today's study we look into the 1M time-frame and attempt to explain the current non-stop rise (completed 4 straight green 1M candles) that has taken most of the market by surprise. Let's start by acknowledging that it started on strong foundation as the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) held on 3 separate tests. The 1M MA100 (green trend-line) that was formerly the Resistance (had 2 emphatic rejections on June and October 2018) since October 2014, has been holding as Support since the April 2021 bullish break-out. ** The MA levels, Inflation and comparison with DotCom ** At the same time it is the first time we have all three 1M MA50, 1M MA100 and 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) squeezed so close to each other since late 2001. That was during the DotCom Bubble burst. As you can see, the patterns of now and then aren't all that different. In our time the market is attempting a recovery from the Inflation Crisis, coming off a war and the generational COVID crash (that led to the inflation crisis of course). The 1M RSI fractals have started and peaked on similar oversold and overbought levels respectively, while holding on their strong corrections the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Similar situation with the 1M MACD, Oil is about to form the 2nd Bullish Cross of the fractal, placing us in relative time terms to the 2002 rise. ** Importance of MACD and conclusion ** Similar oversold 1M MACD Bullish Crosses were during the 2016 Oil crisis (May) and in the aftermath of the 2008/09 Housing Crisis (October 2009). As a result, in our humble view, if Oil completes that Bullish Cross, it will give the market a signal that the price will continue to rise for many years to come (unless of course a higher fundamental intervention takes place). In conclusion, this shouldn't surprise us, as Oil has risen along with stocks following such Bear markets. Do you also expect rising Oil prices in the near future? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
3
WTI CRUDE OIL Correction not over yet.WTI Crude Oil has been correcting, more aggressively than most thought after a High outside of the Channel Up. It is already under the 4hour MA50 and MA100 and is aiming for the Channel's bottom below the MA200 at 86.00. You can sell on the current market price and pursue this target. If the 1day MA50 and bottom hold there, buy and target Resistance A (95.00). If the Channel Up breaks downwards, don't jump in immediatelly even if it breaches lower for a short while, but wait for the first rebound near the 4hour MA50 to sell and target the 1week MA50 at 79.00. Note: A 4hour RSI Double Bottom, can be an indication that the Channel Up bottomed. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:USOILShort
by TheCryptagon
11
OIL, Crucial Wedge-Formation, Huge PLUNGE to Follow Next!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis of OIL. Within the recent high inflation development with continued rate hikes in a lot of economic fields, it has to be mentioned that OIL could be on the brink of major market disruptions especially when the rate hikes continue to rise further together with the DXY printing the next new highs. In this case, I have detected important underlying dynamics within the analytics dashboard and I have put them into perspective to determine what should be considered with OIL in the upcoming times. As when looking at my chart now, OIL could since May 2023 recover from the crucial bearish wave lows nonetheless this wave does not have a fundamental open interest and volume backing and this is why it can turn any time especially when a massive bearish supply wave is entering the market because of grievous rate hikes and potential new supply-chain disruptions that are going to trigger a supply shortage. Taking these crucial factors into consideration a major bearish decline and bearish momentum acceleration may be just around the corner. OIL has also formed this gigantic descending channel formation in which it has the major bearish distribution resistances within the upper boundary as marked. The most determining factor here is the massive ascending triangle formation that leads directly into the upper resistance zone and is now about to complete the wave count within the ascending triangle. This means, that as the wave-count directly approaches the crucial upper resistance zone it is going to lead to an increased bearish volatility breakout below the boundaries within the next times. Once the gigantic ascending triangle formation has been completed it is going to activate the next bearish continuation below the 100EMA and 300EMA. Especially, once the price-action formed the breakouts below the levels this is going to massively accelerate the bearish dynamics towards the lower levels and continue into the bearish momentum direction. The bearish price dynamic is going to continue till the final targets have been reached and in this case, it will be highly determining how the final targets are actually approached especially when the interest rates continue to rise together with supply-chain disruptions to accelerate this is going to trigger the next bearish waves even below the final target zones. Taking all the factors into consideration and because of the gigantic ascending triangle, together with the underlying indications with the interest rate dynamic as well as the supply-chain disruptions dynamic I am keeping the symbol on my watchlist and I am going to re-evaluate the situation once important changes happened within the bearish formation. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of OIL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
TVC:USOIL
by VincePrince
11
Crude Oil ~ 4H Swing V2 (Sept-Oct)Updated 30/09/23: - Revised up-trending parallel (green) - Added down-trending/consolidation parallel (white) - Added horizontal lines (yellow/dashed) to mark upper/lower range (94.239-87.829) Everything else stays the same (chartist holy grail lol). Notes: - Further write-up on Daily Swing V2 Chart - Faded out longer TF parallel lines (light blue) TradingView has a sh*tty chart bug where any trend-lines drawn on longer TF become misaligned when you switch to shorter TFs. Temporary workaround = set "Opacity" on affected lines to "0%" before publishing & restore afterwards so you don't have to manually erase/re-draw...just remember where you drew them to begin with lol.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by BlueHatInvestor
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
FX:USOILShort
by ShahedZare
Crude Oil ~ Daily Swing V2 (Sept-Oct)Updated 30/09/23: - Revised up-trending parallel (green) - Added down-trending/consolidation parallel (white) - Added horizontal lines (yellow/dashed) to mark upper/lower range (94.239-87.829) Everything else stays the same (chartist holy grail lol). CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE has done an amazing job respecting its upward parallel channel since June. Could see period of consolidation (foreshadowed by prev price action) into lower trend-line before deciding whether to push higher towards Golden Fib (break upper trend-line), or capitulate to global recession fears & collapse towards 200DMA/23.6% Fib, TBC. Price action would be biased towards upside given OPEC+ bullish manipulation, however OPEC+ would also be hyper-vigilante on excessive Crude Oil prices which could threaten demand destruction - hence why they opted to review production cuts on a monthly basis to maintain price/economic stability.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by BlueHatInvestor
Oil Surges to a New High of the YearAs the chart shows, the day before yesterday, a barrel of WTI cost USD 87.87, but this morning, the price exceeded the level of USD 93. That is, the growth was more than 6% in just 2 days. The main driver of such growth remains the voluntary reduction in oil production by OPEC+ countries. Added to this was the market's reaction to yesterday's news about the reduction in oil reserves in the United States (expected = -0.7 million barrels, actual = -2.2 million). Inventories are approaching historical lows, according to Reuters. Probably, the US authorities, by releasing oil from storage, are trying to reduce the impact of its high price on inflation, but the graph shows that these efforts are unlikely to give the desired result. The A→B decline in oil prices observed since September 19 was merely a correction (shown in red) within a longer-term uptrend (shown in blue). Wherein: → the price sharply pushed off from the lower border of the blue channel around 87.5 - we wrote about this scenario earlier; → after a short respite, it broke through the median line of the red channel at around 90.25; → confidently overcame the level of 91.35, where growth clearly slowed down 10 days ago when approaching point A; → exceeded the upper limit of the red channel. Now it is important for the bulls to gain a foothold at the achieved highs around USD 93. But if the upward impulse has not exhausted itself, then we may witness continued growth towards the upper border of the blue channel. On the other hand: overbought market, the desire to lock in profits from long positions before the weekend, a possible reaction at the level of statements from the US authorities — all these can become factors contributing to the formation of a correction (for example, to the median line of the blue channel). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
CVX, Major CONTINUATION-SETUP, Sector Rally, BREAKOUT INCOMING!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about CVX on several timeframe perspectives. The oil market since the corona pandemic supply-shock dynamics has formed a important dynamic and had the ability to form a major rebound recovery with several new highs being formed and CVX having the ability to bounce into a new all-time-high. Now a big part of the dynamic is the consideration of if CVX has the potential to continue with this established formation and with the established trend moving on with further determinations. CVX on the local timeframe perspective is building this main wedge formation with great supports above the 140-150 area. If this wedge formation completes with the appropriate momentum breakout this will activate initial target-zones and above this considering the whole global big picture CVX is forming a much larger formation here with the broadening-wedge-formation on the global perspective being completed once the breakout of the local formation also setup. With the projection of this formation targets above 400 will be activated. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
NYSE:CVX
by VincePrince
15
Last Dance of the Loonie and WTI? The correlation between WTI and Canadian Dollar seems to be breaking down, at least in the short term. Not sure the reasons for this, but posting to hear thoughts. For those unfamiliar with the WTI/CAD correlation, I have added some context. The Correlation: How Are They Connected? Commodity-Driven Economy : Canada is known for its abundant natural resources, including oil. The Canadian economy is heavily reliant on its energy sector, which includes the production and export of oil. When WTI crude oil prices rise, Canadian oil exports become more valuable, leading to an influx of foreign capital into Canada. This increased demand for the Canadian dollar can result in its appreciation against other currencies. Economic Health : The Canadian economy's overall health is closely tied to the energy sector's performance. When WTI prices surge, it often indicates increased economic activity, which can benefit Canada's economy and, consequently, the loonie. Conversely, when oil prices plummet, it can have a negative impact on the Canadian economy and lead to a weaker Canadian dollar. Risk Appetite : Like many commodity currencies, the Canadian dollar tends to strengthen during periods of risk appetite. When global economic conditions are stable, investors often flock to assets like oil, which can lead to higher oil prices and, in turn, boost the loonie.
CME:6C1!
by LonnieMSP
Crude Oil Short OpportunityI posted a lot about Crude Oil on my Website and also on YT. The first short was nice success. Now we get the chance to do it again "Sam" §8-) This current test of the L-MLH of the white Fork was brutal. The squeeze is similar to the one of the 23rd of September. Just a little smaller, but more vicious. As for a Stop, I think it needs top be at least above P2. This gives us a Risk to Reward > 3, if price can tank down to P3, at the L-MLH of the red Pitchfork. As always, play it small in these vertical markets. Don't try to be a Hero. Just protect your Capital. All the best Tr8dingN3rds §8-)
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Detailed Technical Outlook 🛢 I received a lot of questions about WTI Crude Oil. Analyzing a weekly time frame, we can spot that the market is currently approaching a significant supply zone. Even though we see a strong bullish rally since the beginning of summer, I will anticipate a further growth only after a bullish violation of that entire area: 92.5 - 97.8. Alternatively, analyzing a daily time frame, we can identify a recent retracement from the underlined red area and a strong daily support that was nicely respected. At the moment, I also see a completed cup & handle pattern there. A bearish breakout of its neckline - daily candle close below 87.5 will be your bearish confirmation. I am monitoring oil closely and if I see a good trading setup, I will definitely share that with you. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by VasilyTrader
6
WTI CRUDE OIL: Long term target hit. Reversal to 1D MA50 imminenAfter WTI Crude Oil hit our long term target it managed to close a 1D candle under the 4H MA50 and on prior displays inside the three month Channel Up, that was a sell signal. The 1D timeframe has been normalized from the previous overbought technical state (RSI = 67.378, MACD = 2.060, ADX = 37.892), the 1D MACD is past a Bearish Cross, which makes a complete sell opportunity. We are short, targeting the bottom of the Channel Up and potentially the 1D MA50 as well (TP = 85.00). We are on an early long trade, targeting the course of the 4H MA50 (TP = 1.2275), even though a Channel Down top extension can even reach as high as 1.2425. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
6
NIFTY - M.O.A.B Vs "Optimus"MOAB, Mother of All bubble is the analogy lots of social media posts. Some even calling for that to unfold in the month of October itself. Talk of not 100 but 150 dollars doing the rounds. Bonds Down (yields up), Credit Ratings coming down, Crude prices hit, liquidity is squeezing, USD up, Equities wilt, Signs are omnivorous. US economy continues to print more than expected growth, China returning, Japan inflation still manageable. Higher Crude prices at the current prices are not going to hurt, unless they move past the 110 mark to start. Every aspect of the base effect has increased. Despite all the known bearish information, one has to ask the basic question then what is that the market expecting it to unfold for the MOAB. If despite all this information markets are not tanking, then this is the best bull market of all times when seen in retrospective. Let that be resolved by the markets than by us. Another interesting information is the unveiling of OPTIMUS, the new ROBOT from Elan Musk. With horizontal gravitation, built completely by the AI not humans, ability to identify the colour, one more step to positivity. Fear Greed are the two forces, but the bigger force is ignorance that drives the markets either up, down or neutral. Today that ignorance can be cause and effect of market inability to leap either way. It is almost six continuous days of down move. Yesterday just flat, but then sold off from the highs. Cues are not green. In the current frame held at the MBB, next is the long trendline drawn from the recent base (a place of failure of H n S pattern. The support line drawn from the previous top points closer to 19K. The shorter horizontal line which is around the 19580 is the worry as it is not far off. Big frames 19200-20200 dictates for consolidation, while shorter frames push towards 19500-19800 range. For the day below 19730 19580 is one stab. Trade small and profit taking remains the sane word in any place, size and value. The Congestion Index is clearly showing slowing down, but still positive. Struggling to keep the upside, cues overseas also are in similar or much more bearish tone. Stay cautioned by Risk than by Reward.
NSE:NIFTY
by sreebhashyam