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Crude Oil

Crude Oil Review and Forecast API Actual: 9.047M API Consensus: 1.467M EIA Crude Import Actual 0.259M EIA Crude Import Previous: -0.385M EIA Crude stock Actual: 8.701M EIA Crude stock consensus: 1.160M As Saudi Oil production had shrunk to nine million barrels per day in July since its last OPEC meeting with Russia to restrict supply amid signs of weakening global demand in slowing economy, Saudi, the largest oil supplier in the world had expressed its opinion on keeping the production to remain low until the end of this year. As foreseen through such decisions from the major suppliers, the most recent Crude inventory within the states has turned out to be way larger than expected. Since September of 2023, the Crude oil future TVC:USOIL plunged by $-22.35 (-23.62%) to $72.28 per barrel during the last week trading session. Slower than expected recovery in economic activities(PPI Nov 2023) adding fear of the constant weakening of the oil demand, forecasting a skeptical view towards a short term recovery of the oil demand and its price as well. The key major resistances are as follow: Top: $77.8 Mid: $75.5 Low: $72.12 The weekly upside trend is still the last hope for the Bullish traders. Once both the Four-hours and the daily candles closes below the $64-60 zone, we will then be able to finalize on such ambiguous consensus. With OPEC+ meeting pushed back to this weekends, every commodity investors focus is on the meeting report, hoping for the decision to give them the better foresight of the future of the market. The Best Futures Trading Hours in Crude: CL opens for trading on the floor, called the pit session at 9AM EST European trading closes at 11:30 AM EST The best hours for trading are the most liquid, between 9:00AM and 11:30AM Pit session closes at 2:30PM EST, when floor trading stops for the day Therefore, the best trading in the afternoon is the last hour between 1:30PM to 2:30PM EST
TVC:USOILShort
by Kim_CLSPX
Crude oil looks set to bounce ahead of OPECWith oil prices having fallen around -25% from the September high, a correction higher may be due. And as prices failed to hold beneath $70, Wednesday's bullish hammer (which is also a higher low) has caught out eye). The hammer was coupled with above-average volume to suggest demand around $75, and the initial break below $70 was seen on strong negative delta (more sellers than buyers) which means the subsequent move higher likely forced them to cover and reconsider their direction. A move towards $75 could help improve the reward to risk ration for an anticipate move to $80, a break above which brings $82 into focus just beneath the January and April highs.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
USOIL (CRUDE OIL ) SELL ON REJECTION HELLO TRADERS !!! As i can see CRUDE OIL 🛢️ The anticipated OPEC+ meeting set for this weekend to a postponement to Nov 30th. The delay stemmed from challenging discussion between Saudi's and fellow members regarding oil production levels.... Saudi Arabia currently implements an additional 1 Million barrel per day output cut since July engaged in talks without specifying the cause for the delay.... Recently weeks have seen oil prices fluctuate amir signs of expending supply..... CRUDE OIL 🛢️ INVENTORIES ROSE 8.70 MILLION BARREL while this presents another bearish factor 🔥 and technically it is showing us a rejection here on a fake breakout of trend line so we planing for these design TP and expected more fall in USOil its just an trade idea do a proper analysis before trade on ur real account share ur trade idea with us it will help alote the trader community
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
Crude Oil Correction - Bearish Scenario (4H)Brent Crude Oil Forecast 🛢️ TVC:UKOIL Recent sessions saw a surge in Brent crude futures, hitting the top of a descending channel and undergoing huge correction currently. This paves the way for potential fall from 82.00 to 80 then 79. The bearish trend remains strong as price got rejected from the 100-day moving average (4H timeframe). A break above 83 could signal bullish move. Note: Keep an eye on unexpected movements due to Fed's meeting minutes and ongoing conflict between Palestine and Israel. Support lines: 80.00 Resistance lines: 83.00 Comment down below your thoughts about my analysis, Thank you!
TVC:UKOILShort
by InvestScale
2
4H OIL: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USOUSD Pattern – Continuation 4H Support – 76.77 Resistance – 77.64 - 78.20 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at USOUSD on the 4H chart. Today's video asks if USOUSD can continue to hold above support and start a new continuation backing in the last leg higher. We have reviewed price action and a few different scenarios in today's video. Will we see a new short/medium uptrend develop on USOUSD, or could we see resistance rule out and price break lower, testing the support? Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSDLong
by Eightcap
Oil continues to slide within the channelThe price of WTI crude oil continues to rise ahead of the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Sunday, during which cartel members will discuss policy regarding production. The group will likely decide to lower the output in response to more than a 20% decline in the oil price since September 2023 highs (now, closer to an 18% decline). While a drop in supply is normally bullish for oil, it is important to note that some of it will get offset by the United States trying to ramp up its domestic production. Furthermore, the prices are already rising in anticipation of the cartel’s decision. Nonetheless, our outlook stays unchanged, with a price target of $70 per barrel for 2024. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
1
BUY USOIL !!! TIME TO RETRACE hello traders as i can see its a great entry point for oil to caught some easy pips oil had created a good support zone on last daily low in shorter TF its seems more upside to test broken support zone Saudi and Russian are stick on their cut policy and war is also creating more demands trade with ur on risk its just and trade idea if ur like our prediction we appreciate ur support it help our trader community stay tuned for more updates
TVC:USOILLong
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
Crude Oil Found The Support?Crude oil is trading lower, currently showing blue wave C in late stages of a corrective wave B pattern. We can also see now five subwaves down within C from 88/89 zone, where final subwave (5) of C can be now coming to an end with a huge volume increase. We can actually already see a sharp bounce from the support that can be signal for a minimum three-wave recovery back to 80 area. If we get a five-wave impulsive recovery back above channel resistance line and 80.00 level, that's when we may call a bottom for crude.
NYMEX:CLF2024Long
by ew-forecast
Crude Oil Futures ~ November TA V2 (4H Intraday)NYMEX:CL1! chart mapping/analysis. Note: TradingView chart B-ADJ adjusted for contract changes. What's on the chart: Converging parallel channels (light blue) aka diamond box pattern, framing price action into a pennant formation on higher timeframe. Descending parallel channel (white) emphasizing current downward trend since late September peak. Fibonnaci levels highlight key support/resistance zones. Short-medium term outlook: Sharp reversal (short-squeeze?) from over-selling after breaking out lower range of parallel channel (white). Bullish reversal = rally back above 50% Fib. Bearish continuation = further selling below previous low towards 78.6% Fib / lower range of parallel channel (light blue) confluence zone. Watch for commodity trading trend/sentiment in either direction - leading into upcoming OPEC+ decision re: 2024 supply cuts, TBC.
NYMEX:CL1!
by BlueHatInvestor
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
FX:USOILShort
by ShahedZare
Oh Crude!!What's with all this volatility!To begin with, if you did see my earlier post on Crude, I would want to admit to have counted the waves wrongly. What i expected to be a third wave top was in fact a wave v top and the pullback i was considering to be wave iv pullback turned out to be a much deeper wave II pullback. If you follow Elliot waves you would have gotten an idea what i am talking about, if not then do not bother. Here is what is important thing to focus on. Where is the crude standing on this chart? It is at the most important spot that it could be at right now. i. this area of 73-75$ zone is a previously tested horizontal support/resistance zone. ii.$74.09 is the 61.8% retracement level of the May-Sep rally. iii. this is also a area of support from the lower boundary of the rising channel. This therefore is the most important confluence zone for crude and the level that will determine whether it will head to the 60$ mark or the 100$ mark from here. I have made the necessary changes to my wave counts and I am definitely on the $100 team and not the 60$ team. Wave iii will achieve wave i equality at $107(Elliot wave projection). On the downside the swing low of 72.22 is the crucial support level to watch out for.
TVC:USOILLong
by neeraj_2_sharma
Are Recession Fears Still Looming? Gold is Flying Gold has enjoyed an impressive rally over the last 5 weeks - up 6% in the month of October. Historically, gold has always been the quintessential “flight-to-quality” asset. Whenever there are geopolitical or macroeconomic fears permeating financial markets, gold has outperformed. As it stands, December gold is on the brink of retesting the psychologically significant $2,000/oz level. So is the recent price strength evidence of investors’ fears of a looming recession? What other evidence would support this? www.tradingview.com Crude Oil is Crying Crude oil has fallen as sharply as gold has rallied. Since the swing high to 89.85 on October 29th, crude oil prices have fallen more than $13/barrel - settling at $72.90 on Thursday. Price contractions of this magnitude are typically demand driven, which would be another feather in the cap of demand growth fears on behalf of market participants. But, how could you explain the recent performance of the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000? In short - interest rates. As we near what is expected to be the end of the Fed’s rate hike cycle, equities have performed very well in anticipation of rates eventually coming down. The primary reason that the Fed would halt rate hikes, or begin lowering rates would come as a result of economic slowdowns. Stocks Are Strong All in all, the American economy has proven resilient. The rally underway in the equity markets has been substantiated by strong economic data, and disinflationary CPI readings. The proverbial “canary in the coal mine” could be consumer credit and lower-than-normal personal savings rates. However, there are very few signs of a robust economic breakdown coming in the immediate future in the United States. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
WTI Crude oil front expirationOverview: with today's fall in price, having reached $73.80 support area, and with a divergence on RSI, we consider close the corrective structure ABC on the daily time frame. Strategy: Moderate bullish position's delta , Our current position's delta: +0.30 Bullish first target: $75.00/$75.30 Bullish second target: $76.00 Mandatory rebalancing level / Stop loss: on breakout of the daily's low Bearish first target: $73.00 Bearish second target: $72.20
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading