Crude Oil
Why Crude Oil is Trending Higher Again, Breaking Above US$100In this tutorial, I will explain both its fundamental and technical reasons for crude oil likely to break above and stay above US$100.
I am having two portfolios at all times, one for long-term investing and the other for short-term trading.
For the long-term I am mindful the current global inflationary pressure is real and it may last many months or even years ahead.
Therefore, my current investment mandate:
• U.S. stock markets – To trade them
• Commodities – To buy them
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
For your reference:
NYMEX Crude Oil
$0.01 = US$10
Example:
From $94.00 to $100.00
(10000-9400) x US$10 = US$6,000
Oil forming a new uptrend? Hi, and thanks for stopping past for Monday's video update. Today's focus is USOUSD (oil). We are looking at oil on its current daily chart and asking if we are seeing the start of a new uptrend.
We all saw last Friday's fireworks and the effect they had on the USD and risk markets. Oil acted no differently at the start moving 1.98% lower, but this was short-lived, and buyers came back into the market, cutting losses and closing at a very small gain.
This was a good sign to us as we had been watching the last leg higher from $870.50 - $95.75, which broke out of the downtrend. The previous two days of trade last week continue to paint a bullish picture for oil as we have now seen a retracement and a new HL. Today's price action so far has continued to catch our attention, as it looks like buyers are trying to get a new move going.
From here, we would like to see a break of Friday's high and a new move back to test resistance at $95.80 - $96. A break of those resistance points could start suggesting that we have a new short-term uptrend underway.
If we see a new move lower that closes below last Friday’s low, this would be a worry that seller numbers are still very high. A new move below $90 would most likely cancel out bullish momentum in the short term.
We would like to hear from you. Don’t agree or have something else to add? Please feel free to comment.
Good trading.
Crude Oil is once again probing its 200-day maCrude Oil is probing key resistance - a close above which is likely to suggest another leg higher.
The Society of Technical Analysts' next course starts in October. Those wishing to learn more about technical analysis can take a look at the Route to Diploma - Society of Technical Analysts, www.technicalanalysts.com
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Crude Oil's rejection from its 200-day ma is negativeThe Society of Technical Analysts' next course starts in October. Those wishing to learn more about technical analysis can take a look at the Route to Diploma - Society of Technical Analysts, www.technicalanalysts.com
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Oil back at key support who will win this battle?Hi all, thanks for checking in for Wednesday's video analysis on oil.
Once again, we find ourselves back at key support. This level has stood since March, and till today sellers haven't been able to break through this level. For the last two sessions, sellers have tried and failed at breaking $95.20 support, but the question now is, do buyers still have the numbers to defend a new assault?
Monday saw a strong move down by sellers, but they continue to be blocked at support. Things above are not much clearer as resistance continues to look firm from $101-$102.
Our question today is will we see a new break lower or will support hold, and with price now starting to be squeezed, could this become a defining point that continues the current downtrend or sprouts a new reversal?
One thing I didn't cover in today's video is the danger of breakout selling at this point. The current point looks as good as any for a bear trap after a false breakout out lower, as we have already seen one in July.
Regardless of the breakout direction, we see it might be a good idea to wait for a new LH or HL to gauge that the move is valid and won't get sucked back into the range.
Thanks for watching and reading. We hope you enjoy the rest of your day.
Good trading
USOUSD OIL,Yesterday's buyer fightback to push a new leg higher?Thanks for tunning in TradingView community. Today we're looking at USOUSD oil and wondering if yesterday's price rejection could lead to a new leg higher from buyers.
So far this week, we have seen mixed trade with buyers coming close to breaking last week's high before sellers took hold and set up a two-day retracement. It would have been three, but buyers had other ideas yesterday, stopping sellers once they tested 112.75. Buyers quickly took price back up above 117 and posted a higher close for the session.
Today so far price has been on the quieter side. If we can see a new move above yesterday's high, we will be looking for a new up leg, but if sellers can close below 115.14 this could be a warning that the current retracement could have further to go.
If we do see a new leg higher would look for price to possibly get back into the 120/21 area if buyers can maintain momentum.
Happy Friday, all. We hope everyone has a lovely weekend and good trading.