Bullish on Crude oilNYMEX:CL1!
TVC:DXY
Right now as the Crude Oil prices are at *premium and technically we are around a strong support area I think we would see a rally somewhere between 67.5 and 72.5. However, this week, we have PMI and NFP news ahead so if the reports come out to support DXY, Crude oil might stay around this area for a while (as it's seasonality suggests)
* look at the closing price of the futures contracts between July and December 2024.
Crudeoilanalysis
Crude oil trade analysis
International oil prices fluctuated slightly on Thursday (May 30), with U.S. crude oil currently trading around $79.13 per barrel. Oil prices fell about 1% on Wednesday on worries that weak U.S. gasoline demand and economic data could lead the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer. High interest rates aimed at countering high inflation could drag on economic growth and reduce demand for oil.
Crude oil persisted despite the headwinds yesterday. Both short positions at 79.4 and short orders at 80.2 made profits. Today's white market resistance is 80 and yesterday's high of 80.6, while support is 78.5 and 77.7. At present, the 4-hour SAR indicator has completed the top-to-bottom transition and appears at a high level. Today, Thursday, the trend continues to rebound high and bearish. Crude oil strategy: short after rebounding at 79.7, covering short positions at 80.3, stop loss at 80.7, target 78.5-78, hold if it breaks below;
Wednesday Forecast Crude OilWe had a very expansive two days From the Bank Holiday Monday and Tuesday.
I do expect the market to slow down a little before we start to move higher to 81.50 as long as price stays above the 1hr fvg and the 1hr +ob my bias will be Bullish.
If we close bellow these pd arrays then a retracement is in order and different targets will have to be looked at.
Pretty simple
Friday retracement?? Forecasting.I am looking at crude to make a retracement today after couple days of down movement its been nice but can;t last forever.
So the arrows display where I think price will go today as a first target and second PDL
Keep it real simple on Fridays you got the weekend coming and you don't want to go into it with a loss or a win stay neutral.
Crude Wednesday Pre NewsSo this is the forecast for Crude pre 1030est news.
I'm favouring some BSL to be taken if the 1hr FVG gets disrespected.
With 1hr fvg above and the BSL that is pointed out with the arrows.
If we show rejection from the 1hfvg we are currently near then PDL will be the target.
With news there is no certainty.
Overall I am HTF bearish however a sweep on BSL could be on the cards today.
Crude - Testing the waters...We saw our weekly target hit yesterday,
I have a hunch as on the Daily we are constantly going back to the middle of the range that bsl of some form is in the eye of the market before we would want to move down.
I ask myself.... Why would we want to go all the way back (weekly ssl level) if we have been here and raided Sell Stops... If I was the market I would want some breakfast first before I head down for lunch and dinner right?
So for PRE 0930EST im watching to see if price respects the 4hr FVG's.
This will indicate some bsl to be taken.
Crude oil trade analysis
The overall trend of crude oil hit the bottom yesterday, and the rebound did not break after testing 80.7 for the second time. It's still going strong. A positive hammer line collected on the daily chart. A close like this meant the market would rebound, and it has now. The key pressure level is 83.6. As long as the market does not break here, the market will continue to fluctuate at a low level. If it breaks through and stands firm, you can rest assured to be bearish and buy up. Friends who are stable can wait patiently after breaking through 83.6 and then buy up when approaching 82. Continue to watch for a breakthrough of 83.6 above!
Crude Oil Technical Analysis
The crude oil market is as expected. The Asian and European markets are falling. The US market continues to be optimistic about the bulls. The market has tested as low as 80.7. Our stop loss is placed at 80.5. The US market still maintains low and long positions. The lower defense is placed at 80.5. The target is first. See if 82.5 breaks. If it breaks 82.5, it will test the high point of 86.4-87.7. We are optimistic about the range between 80.5 and 86.7. Before breaking through 80.5, keep the overestimation and underestimation within the range, and pay attention to the rational use of your own positions.
Crude oil trade rise and fall analysis
On Friday, during the European trading session, WTI crude oil prices fell slightly. WTI crude oil futures experienced modest gains during the Asian session after Israel attacked Iran, initially surging 3% but later giving up most of those gains. The escalation briefly raised concerns about potential supply disruptions, but those concerns faded as the situation developed as it became apparent that there was no immediate threat to oil flows. WTI crude oil has fallen 6.5% from last week's 2024 highs, despite ongoing tensions in the Middle East and important U.S. economic data that cannot be ignored.
The short-term outlook for oil prices is bearish, driven by high global inventory levels and lower immediate impact of tensions in the Middle East on supply channels. While markets remain wary of geopolitical escalations that could disrupt supply routes, the current supply glut is likely to depress prices. Investors should remain vigilant and pay close attention to geopolitical developments and strategic policy changes that may affect market conditions.
Today's price surge and then rapid reversal points to the presence of bears, putting further downward pressure on WTI crude oil futures. Clearly, traders are selling on the rallies and this selling is likely to continue as long as demand issues persist and there are no offsetting supply disruptions. This keeps traders’ eyes focused on the 50-day moving average at $80.10. This level affects the medium-term trend.
Crude Oil Technical Analysis
Real-time crude oil market analysis: Futures crude oil prices are rising slowly, with real-time quotes at 86.8. Let’s first look at the position breaking situation between the hourly upper rail of 87.2 and the hourly lower rail of 85.8. If the position breaks upward, pay attention to the pressure range formed by the 4-hour Bollinger Band upper rail of 87.5 and the 4-hour error upper rail of 88. Above, focus on the 89 integer mark. In terms of support, pay attention to the hourly lower track of 85.8, followed by yesterday's low support position of 84.6. For defensive support, look at the weekly MA5 moving average of 83.6. Overall, crude oil prices are rising slowly and gradually breaking through highs, but the span of increase is not large. The European market is tentatively set to fluctuate in the range of 87.5-85.8, and the market will continue to trend after subsequent breaks.
WTI crude oil technical analysis
Crude oil prices opened lower on Monday. WTI crude oil prices were at $85.75 per barrel, down 1.05%. Brent crude oil prices were at $89.97 per barrel, down 1.32%.
Oil prices retreated on signs of a possible ceasefire between Hamas and Israel. However, Iran's response to the Israeli attack on Tehran's consulate in Damascus remains a factor in rising oil prices, and a bullish one at that.
WTI crude oil prices opened the week with a bearish gap, bringing the price close to the bullish channel support line. The EMA50 is near the channel’s support line to protect continued trading within the channel. Price is waiting to cover this gap and resume the bullish trend towards the next major target.
WTI crude oil's current trading pivot point is located at $84.62, with resistance levels at $86.14, $87.47 and $89.10. Support is found at $83.47, $82.23, and $80.56.
Crude oil rises, can it reach $90?
WTI crude oil futures fluctuated higher, trading at $84.89 per barrel, an increase of 1.09%.
Since March 27, oil prices have continued to rise and have hit a five-month high. During the European session, WTI crude oil prices continued to rise, hitting $85.42 during the session, before falling slightly during European midday trading.
To some extent, oil's rally is managing to emulate gold, which has also seen a steady increase in buying since the start of last week. The recent rise in oil prices can also be attributed to signs that China's economy is accelerating, as well as continued strength in U.S. manufacturing data, which bodes well for energy demand.
These all suggest that oil prices should rise further, with the line chart showing that oil prices have accelerated since the second half of March, with the upper boundary of the ascending channel turning into support last week. We are also watching for a "golden cross" to form, which may attract more speculative buying in the coming days.
The target is around $90.
Crude Oil (WTI) at ResistanceCrude oil is currently facing resistance on a 1-hour time frame.
We've established an upper and lower zone for trading.
On the weekly candle from last week, the price closed above the previous week's level, which indicates a possible uptrend towards higher levels around 83.
If there is a significant gap in the price on Sunday, we should watch for how the price reacts at these levels before closing the gap.
I'd appreciate your thoughts on this.