WTI international trade analysis
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell in all areas, and the dollar plummeted amid expectations that the Fed's interest rate hike cycle would stop. Crude oil prices rose on the back of that reversal and a weaker U.S. dollar that triggered a rise in black fuel prices.
Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, oil prices have continued to fall since the second rebound failed in late October, and eventually the trend formed a downward trend. Oil prices have hit the August low of 77.80. At present, short sellers are showing strong performance. Pay attention to whether there will be a clear rebound in this week's period. If the mid-term trend of crude oil continues to be weak, the mid-term trend of crude oil will continue to decline towards 70.
The short-term (1H) crude oil trend fluctuated and continued to be blocked near 80, forming a repetitive rhythmic market with alternating main forces. The U.S. dollar plummeted across the board last night. Compared with precious metals, the trend of crude oil is relatively weak. It still needs further momentum to accumulate for a full-scale rise. It is expected that crude oil will seek support around 77.30 after a slight fall during the day and rebound upward.
Crudeoilanalysis
WTI Global Trade Analysis
The crude oil market experienced a volatile last week, rising first and then showing signs of weakness. This market volatility has investors wondering whether prices are being overextended. This has been happening repeatedly in this market for months. However, in the current environment, it's not hard to believe that this could happen.
If the market is able to break above the $90 level, it could pave the way towards the $95 level. Conversely, if the price declines from current levels, the $87.50 level represents a key support area. Beneath this, the 50-day EMA near $85 provides major support. We expect continued volatility and volatility in this market.
Crude Oil 17/10 MovePair : Crude Oil
Description :
Completed " 123 " Impulsive Wave. Bullish Channel as an Correction after Impulse , It has completed " abc " and Rejection from the Upper Trend Line with Strong Bearish Price Action if it Breaks the Lower Trend Line then Sell
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Breaks or Rejects Trend Lines
OIL: where are you going to?This is my preferred count for OIL as the most recent downmove was so violent that it seems to be the beginning of a new trend.
Looking for continuation lower into a three wave move to compose higher degree wave Y.
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Crude Oil (WTI)This looks like it is poised to head back into a well established $70-$80 range (and then some!). Anticipated long-term USD strength, as well as extended Global economic weakness bodes well for an enduring price weakness outlook.
Technically, Crude is at a major pivot, both, at the top of a rising daily channel, as well as at the top of a descending weekly channel trend line, resulting in a significant confluence region - both of those having price-negative connotation.
The Daily (main signal);
SHORT on any reversal!
... and the 240 min. (secondary signal);
WTI overall analysis
The continuity of the rebound is not strong, which belongs to the rhythm of shocks and upwards. It bottomed out twice at 77.5 to form a double-bottom probe structure. In the early morning, it bottomed out and rebounded to a depth of 78.0, closing at the 80.0 line. Crude oil is around 79.3 on Monday, the stop loss is 78.5, and the target is 80.4-81.0!
Time to enter Crude longs again? Perfect entry point from technical point of view, I suggested this trade before too.
You should target $71 and $74 as TPS.
The market will tighten in the second half of 2023 partly due to ongoing OPEC+ supply cuts and Saudi Arabia's voluntary reduction for July. The combination of robust demand reduced exports, and a larger-than-expected drawdown in inventories suggests a positive outlook for the crude oil market.
Short Crude Oil on ResistanceIn crude oil trading today, we made good profits in the trading strategy of shorting crude oil in the 70.6-70.8 area twice.
Judging from the current structural trend, crude oil will maintain range shocks in the short term, and fundamentally still maintain a short position. Although the inventory data has declined for two consecutive weeks, the pressure on the demand side is still very weak, and the U.S. dollar index has rebounded.Crude oil as a whole tends to run in a bearish trend. In terms of short-term structure, crude oil is currently facing the resistance of 71-71.2. If this area cannot be effectively broken through, then crude oil may still fall to the 69 position area at any time.
Therefore, before crude oil fails to break through the short-term resistance, it is mainly to short crude oil.
USOIL: @70.8-71 Sell, TP: 70.2
For more trading signals and trading plans, you can follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 6/20/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 82.33 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.
Downside, a weekly settlement below 62.14 indicates 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.
Upside, a weekly settlement above 82.33 indicates 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs.
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For Tuesday, the 67.08 - 67.54 region can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 74.29 remains a weekly target, 76.68 attainable within 2 - 3 weeks.
Upside Tuesday, 72.40 can contain intraday strength, while pushing/opening above 72.40 allows 74.29 intraday, able to contain buying into later week.
Closing today above 74.29 signals 76.68 within several more days, able to contain weekly buying pressures, possibly into later July.
Downside Tuesday, breaking/opening below 70.49 allows 67.08 - 67.54 intraday, able to contain weekly selling pressures and the area to settle below for indicating 62.14 longer-term support as a 1 - 2 week target.
Directional view on CrudeoilmMCX:CRUDEOILM1! trading near resistance and 50% fibonacci retracement level. may come downwards if made a reversal successfully between 59010-5880.
Disclaimer - This chart analysis is only for educational purpose. Do proper research before trade/investment or consult with your financial advisor. This expressed opinion/view/analysis isn't a trade/investment advice/recommendation.
--SEBI unregistered independent trader/analyst.
Detailed Trading Signal Sharing of Crude Oil on MondayIn terms of crude oil, the daily line rebounded on Friday, and the previous low of 64.1 had strong first-line support, forming a double-bottom pattern. Crude oil on Monday focuses on the position above 70.0, with a stop loss of 69.2, and the target is above 72.6-73.0; sell backhand empty orders near the pressure line of 73.8 above!
Crude oil is steadily making profits every dayCombined with the trend of the hourly chart, U.S. oil continued to stay high and fluctuate within a narrow range after pulling up yesterday. This state indicates that the market may rebound again, but whether the top can break through 74, and whether it can press 75.5-7 is irrelevant. It's too easy to judge, after all, this wave of recovery still seems very sudden.
In terms of operation, choose to wait and see conservatively within the day, and try to operate long and then short if you are aggressive, that is, a retracement around 72.2-72 within the day, aggressive short positions and long positions, set a stop loss at 71.5, and target at 73.5-74. Hold a single to see the 74 competition, and if it breaks through, keep watching the 75.5-7 test expectation.
There may be resistance around 74 above the top within the day, but whether you can fight short or short depends on the actual situation. However, 75.5-7 above can still be regarded as the key pressure. If the pressure measurement reaches this point today, you can try short-term participation.
For detailed suggestions, you can join my circle to view. In a word!
Follow my footsteps if you want to make money, you won't be disappointed Jesus said
Crude oil is about to return to the upward pathAt present, oil continues to fluctuate in the 70-83 region. Last month, OPEC suddenly announced a production cut and opened higher. After a month of fluctuation, the gap was finally filled last week. Then the top-bottom conversion to the 75.7-75 region has become an important support in the short term. As for crude oil short orders, there is no rush to participate for the time being, and the technical outlook is rising;
News that lower oil inventories are also a factor in the rise in crude oil; in addition, Saudi Arabia and Iraq will reduce production at any time to protect oil prices and revenue, and the probability of a sharp decline is very small, so today's crude oil trading is mainly based on low-level long positions.
So our trading strategy and signals are very clear. I have published the detailed trading signals in my channel. You can enter to receive them.
Has crude oil stopped its decline?Can we buy crude oil?Because of market concerns about the recession, the demand for crude oil has been hit to a large extent. Then the acceptable price of crude oil in the cycle of slow economic development is in the 70-65 area. People familiar with the crude oil market must know that crude oil basically fluctuated in the 70-82 area in the early stage. Judging from this, crude oil still has room to continue to fall.
Judging from the current crude oil trend structure, crude oil has fallen sharply and broken below the flag-shaped consolidation structure, and the bearish trend is obvious. Although the current downward trend has paused, there is no signal to stop the decline completely, and the rebound here is extremely weak, so the pause here may be to build a downward relay structure.
In addition, in the ultra-short-term structure, crude oil has repeatedly tested the support near 74 without breaking below, so in the case of a short-term plunge in crude oil, there is a need for technical upward repair.And there is 50% support for Fibonacci below the short-term, so crude oil may also use this to launch a small-level rebound.Therefore, pay special attention to the defensive situation near 74 in the short term.
In trading today, the trading signals I announced on the channel to go long gold around 1980 and 1976 all reached the take-profit target of 1986. The trading signals in the last two weeks have achieved a comprehensive victory, and the result of 0 losses is enough for us to reap satisfactory profits.In trading, whether it is gold or crude oil, I have the ability to satisfy your desire to make money. I have announced detailed trading signals about crude oil in the channel. Please pay attention to the trading signals in the channel.
Is CL Preparing For A Big Bounce?Technical Analysis:
- Crude Oil(CL) is still doing a ((W)) ((X)) ((Y)) correction structure in Daily Chart
- We present two possible Paths
- For Path 1 in Black with 65% probability. We expect that the correction will be completed at around HKEX:53 -56 where the smart buyers can appear
- For Path 2 in Blue with 35% probability, We expect that the correction will be completed at around HKEX:40 where the smart buyers must appear
- In short term, It's doing wave ((X)) in black once it's done we can forecast the buy area more precisely
- H1 right side is up
- H4 right side is turning up
- In orange decision area, the Path 1 will increase the odds if H4/Daily RSI divergence are erased
- CL is still not preparing for a big bounce really
Technical Information:
- Don't sell CL in short term
- As a swing trader, you must wait for the correction to be completed in wave II in red in order to buy at around HKEX:53 -56 in Path 1