Crude Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup
Entry: $53.68
TP & RR: $57.65
Stop Loss: $52.57
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Contrary to most expectations that Oil was overpriced, it continues to trend up. I won't open a long order at the current level, nor would I short obvious strength. However, if price retraces back to previous resistance, which is now support, I am more than happy to buy. I believe we are now in a channel and we are yet to see how we go through the awaited $55-$56 level.
With that being said, we may not get filled at all. Should this be the case, we will be targeting the upper channel with a short order.
Crudeoilanalysis
Oil Trending Up - Long PositionOil Buy Order
Entry: $52.61
TP & RR: $53.79 (3.37)
Stop Loss: $52.26
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Price is breaking through the upper trendline and unless this is a fakeout I expect it to continue going up until the recent highest high and maybe up until the dotted resistance around $54-$55. The market Flow indicator is showing momentum up and I hate to open a position against it, so I am definitely not shorting anywhere around the current level or unless the indicator shows otherwise.
The only thing I may suggest is for you to change the SL if you are afraid you might get stopped. I have the tendency to place it quite far from the entry, but this time I am taking a bit of a risk. It's your call here.
Oil Lower High Formation - Short TradeOil Lower High - Short Order
Entry: $53.55
TP & RR: $51.05 (2.38)
Stop Loss: $54.60
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Oil has entered into a bit of a range recently, but the formation of the lower high on Friday makes me think that we are about to see another lower high, which should then form a lower low. This is where we will be looking to take profit. The Stop Loss is set well above the highest high, so if we are to break that level, then we have clear invalidation of the setup. So, pay attention to the price action around this area, and should it break it, feel free to close the trade prematurely.
The wide SL is purely for decreasing the position size, as I don't want us to lose a full 1% on a trade without a clear signal from my indicators.
Oil Descending Channel - Short TradeOil Descending Channel - Short Position
Entry: $53.16
TP & RR: $51.61 (2.77)
Stop Loss: $53.72
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Similarly to my previous trade idea about SPX500 from today, I am placing an alert at $53 and I will be patiently waiting to see how price action develops. You never know what's been going on in the traders' and investors' heads over the weekend, so we want to see the volume and a 1h close around that level before opening a position.
I believe we are now in a downtrend channel, which should bring more balance to that longer-than-expected move up. My entry is quite high and we very much may miss it, so I have highlighted the upper trendline as an entry-level suggestion. Any position around that level with a SL place reasonably high should provide a good trade setup. Ultimately, I am expecting that we reach the $49 level (bigger trendline) before we move up again.
Let me know what you think in the comment section below.
Oil Ready For a ReversalConsidering it's Friday today, I decided to post a general analysis on Oil as opposed to a specific entry-target-stop loss idea as I usually do. I refrain from keeping positions over the weekend as a lot can happen and I don't want to be overexposed. So, if it's not a setup that I feel very confident about, I rarely open trades on Friday. With that being said, here's what I am expecting to happen and I will continue to analyze over the weekend.
As most of us have noticed already, the bulls seem to be a bit exhausted from this move up and I am expecting that soon the demand for oil will decrease. As a result, we should see the bears taking control of the situation and push the price down. On a daily chart, we are reaching the overbought level, while on the 4h chart we are about to print a divergence (following my indicator Market Flow for this analysis).
I am expecting one last push up until we reach the next strong resistance (from a psychological and technical standpoint) of $55. Before we take a dive, I believe that price may go slightly above that level so that the Stop Losses are triggered and provide liquidity for the big players' short positions.
I see two other possible scenarios, although I wouldn't bet my money on them at this moment:
1) Oil breaks down from this ascending channel prematurely and starts a downtrend or starts ranging;
2) Price reaches the resistance level, makes a small pullback, and prepares to penetrate that level. If that is the case I believe we can see quite a big move up.
How do you guys see the situation? Let me know what you think in the comment section below.
Tristar pattern on USOIL 15 minute chartHappy Friday oil traders! I just noticed this Tristar on the 15 minute chart for USOIL. I had never seen 3 dojis in a row so I had to look it up. According to my reference, a Tristar is 3 doji candlesticks that appear at the end of a run, either long or short. They typically indicate a change in direction. Considering the decline in oil today, maybe this is an indication of some upward movement. If so, trade with caution, and use your stops accordingly. Trade safe, and have a great weekend!
Crude oil Price Limited Downside, Big Upside The trend is making a symmetrical triangle.
In the symmetrical triangle, you can see the trend is descending, and it will continue to fall up to the particular targets, which are shown in the charts (T1 2886 & T2 2800 ).
After knocking the lower ascending trendline with higher lows (support), It will bounce to the upper descending trendline with the lower highs (resistance). After that, If the trend makes consecutive candles, there will be an ascending trend. B ut don't sell if the trend falls and crosses the stop loss.
CRUDE OIL SELL SIGNAL Heytradomaniacs,
welcome to another free trade-setup.
CRUDE OIL: Day-Swingtrade-Exexution
Sell-Stop: 39,71
Stop-Loss: 40,74
Target 1: 38,90
Target 2: 39,23
Target 3: 37,28
Target for One-Target-Trader: 39,23
Stop-Loss: 100 pips
Risk: 0,5% - 1%
Risk-Reward: 2,45
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
Crude oil Forecast: Using Fibonacci Retracement LevelsWas That the Top in Crude oil?
Crude oil price is running nearby a 78.60% retracement level, and it can act as support. Hence, trade with the trend: sell positions executed around 78.60% retracement level area for the targets of 2660 – 2600 – 2560 – 2500.
For long-term investors: they can hold for 2410 – 2320 levels.
Don’t sell crude oil above the 2740 level. It can start raising for 2980 – 3260 levels.
Where will oil go?Happy Friday oil traders! Let us pause for a moment and remember those who gave all 19 years ago today... Let us never forget! With that said oil appears to have dropped and is hovering around the June low. There is not much support at this price range so will it go up or continue to fall? I am not sure. I believe it wants to continue back up to its $40-$60 price range and will eventually get there. However, with the market as crazy as it is right now, I think we could see some further downside before that happens. If oil continues to drop I believe it will settle at a bigger support line around $30-$32 range. I hope this helps. Trade responsibly, and have a great weekend!
BRENT- 4h 50 EMA just crossed 200 EMA for the first time in 4 MoLet's see what we have:
50 EMA crossed below the 200 EMA
2h Chart: Sep 04, first time since May 05
3h Chart: Sep 07, first time since May 07
4h Chart: Sep 07, first time since May 18
1D Chart? 50 EMA was always below 200 EMA since January
In the 4h Chart 50 EMA crossed 200 EMA in the last hour of trading.
First time in 4 Months. If there are no unexpected news, the direction seem to be south.
Take it with a grain of salt, this market is highly risky, can go +$3 then -$3 in a few hours...