Ready to short crude oilThere are still concerns about the banking crisis in Europe and the United States in the market. Some investors are even worried about the arrival of a new round of global economic crisis. Moreover, the market is still worried about the oversupply of crude oil, and the future of oil prices is still biased towards bears.
It was mentioned in the article shared yesterday that once crude oil is established to be effective in breaking below the 70 mark, it is likely to fall further below the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Near the position.At present, since crude oil fell below the low of 72.3 in the shock range, it has fallen sharply again. The lowest has reached near 65.6, and there is only room for 3 US dollars from the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Now the short market is very strong, even in a small cycle, after a short pause or rebound in the falling market, it will choose to fall again, and the bulls have no resistance.Therefore, the current thinking about crude oil is still based on emptiness.
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Crudeoilforecast
Crude oil continues to fall, where will it stop?After the recent bankruptcy of Bank of America, the pessimism of global investors lingered, and the increase in API crude oil inventories was greater than expected. It is expected that oil prices will still be at risk of further decline in the future.
In the trend of crude oil, the short-term decline continued during the day. The current lowest point during the day reached near 69.82, which broke the support near 70.09 at the bottom of the shock box for the past four months since December 9, and fell below the 70 integer mark, which means that oil prices have broken the shock trend for the past four months and have the possibility of accelerating the decline. Once it is established that the fall below the 70 mark is effective, further strong support refers to the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2. Near the position.
In addition, this trading day also needs to focus on the EIA crude oil inventory series data and the IEA monthly crude oil market report.
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Crude Oil (WTI) - Long; Load up on it!Just a near term play here on the anticipated, transitory USD weakness.
The main chart ought to be self explanatory - just follow the arrows. (The dates in the chart are only denoted because I am building a sizable option position here, one part of which consists of diagonal spreads.)
Fundamentally, Russian oil companies have already figured out - and are using to deliver -, alternate routes for most of their hydro-carbon exports, circumventing current and potential future EU sanctions. (Sales are already exceeding pre-sanctions levels!) As it turns out, contrary to EU and US delusions, Russian oil companies know their own businesses a lot better than their US or EU counterparts. - Who would've thought?! :-O
The majority of the anticipated price fluctuations are conditioned on a near term, transitory USD weakness/fluctuations.
Recap of my trade for todayGood afternoon traders, our trade for today on CRUDE OIL was as good as expected, after breaking the channel we got in with one contract exactly on the candle I put the 1st arrow on on the left, then after having a configuration I can't share with the public we added another contract on the 2nd arrow on the left, then the 3rd contract on the 3rd arrow and finally closed after having a squeeze pattern.
In case you got any question don't hesitate to ask !
WTI Crude oil : The retest to rule them all! 10.5Focus up!
100-101.50 is key retest level of support trend-line stretching back all the way to December 2021, with consistent higher lows.
At the same time, it's also a retest level of the second higher high breakout stretching back from the peak of 128.
China lock down is expected to ease within days, inflation is on the rise, EU oil ban for Russia is likely coming very soon.
An unlikely daily close below 100 could signal further downside to 97 though very unlikely with current fundamental/technical combo.
Do the math and keep the back noise out the picture, look only at key factors and act with caution and patience.
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Crude Oil Swing trading MCL / Crude Oil
I'm starting with monthly TF - Naked chart
Last months - On January - December can be seen that buyers push price higher and higer but still under $84
on $81,70-82,20 area, we have a support area that was resistence.
This area was touched 3 times, first time with an agresive rejection , second time, move some prices there but nothing wow but in the third touch..there was some move
We can see that it's possible to see a change of trend in this asset.
For stock market traders this is a great oportunity because there are a lot of undervalueated stocks.
Higher crude oil, higher prices for stocks but higher prices for everything
But for now, all we must to do is to wait to see if price move will confirm my analyse, I will wait to see if we have a breakout over 83, if we have, i m long in this !
WTI Crude oil : Last chance to buy before new ATH? 18.05Inflation, inflation, inflation.
In China, 15/16 districts have zero Covid cases and all restrictions are set to be cancelled by June.
Globally, the disease is under control - Pretty much insuring a very busy summer for travel.
So fundamentally - Crude oil has plenty of room to rise in the short-term and mid-term.
When we look at the technicals we see :
1) Clear breakout and retest above triangle consolidation which led to strong bullish movement and bull trend ongoing now.
2) Clear close above key support/resistance zone of 108-109.
3) Probable immediate term target is resistance zone of 112.90 to 114.80.
4) A break above 114.80 could be strong confirmation for rally back to previous high and above.
5) Range trading between 108 to 114.80 is also very possible.
Bottom line -
Good chance for strong rally, downside to 108 is possible.
A close below 108 would be bearish in the immediate term.
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Crude Oil Cycle Analysis 12-19-22This is a crude oil series I'm doing as of late.
In this video, I go over the Weekly & Daily cycles, look at the Elliott wave count, and some statistics for the month of December.
I'm looking at how this week is going to close, positive or negative.
Let me know your thoughts on what you see playing out in November for crude oil.
The chart master from CNBC Crude oil analysis
www.youtube.com
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe Oil market has been gripped with fear and uncertainty in the last couple of weeks (s) to impose selling pressure as we witnessed a drop of over 1,000pips during the course of last week's trading session. Now that the price cap of $60 per barrel on Russian oil has been agreed upon by the G7 last week; how will the market react or respond to this development in the coming week(s)? From a technical standpoint, this video illustrates how I intend to use the current structure in the market to project a trading opportunity during the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Crude Oil Cycle Analysis 12-16-22 This is a crude oil series I'm doing as of late.
In this video, I go over the Weekly & Daily cycles, look at the Elliott wave count, and some statistics for the month of December.
I'm looking at how this week is going to close, positive or negative.
Let me know your thoughts on what you see playing out in November for crude oil.
Crude Oil Cycle Analysis 12-13-22This is a crude oil series I'm doing as of late.
In this video, I go over the Weekly & daily cycles, look at the Elliott wave count, and some statistics for the month of December.
I'm looking at how this week is going to close, positive or negative.
Let me know your thoughts on what you see playing out in November for crude oil.
Crude Oil Cycle Analysis 12-12-22This is a crude oil series I'm doing as of late.
In this video, I go over the daily cycles, Elliott wave, and some statistics for the month of November.
I will start my December analysis to see if there is any edge to it.
Let me know your thoughts on what you see playing out in November for crude oil.
Crude Oil Cycle Analysis 12-1-22This is a crude oil series I'm doing as of late.
In this video, I go over the daily cycles, Elliott wave, and some statistics for the month of November.
I will start my December analysis to see if there is any edge to it.
Let me know your thoughts on what you see playing out in November for crude oil.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThis is a follow-up video to my previous publication on this commodity where we closed the week with over 1,000pips in profit (see link below for reference purposes).
The price of oil dropped by about 10% during the course of last week trading session and this is likely due to concern about weakened demand in China and further increases to U.S. interest rates. From a technical standpoint, we must keep our expectation open for the week as the tendency of price going either way becomes stronger as the weeks go by. The breakdown of the key level at the $85 level is a strong bearish and we are not sure if a retest of this structure will happen before another phase of decline in price.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CRUDE OIL TRADE ENTRYIn the crude oil we have strong level of resistance where price close on friday and sort of rejecting from 84.87 level and we also have 200 ema at 87.91 so this zone is very strong and oil need high volume to break this area and after this we have a strong trend line resistance to upside and price rejecting multiple time from this level also so i am looking selling entry from the current price if oil break its support to downside than we expect price come to yellow zone to fill the gap area and if price break to upside than we looking short from the selling close from the trend line for the target of yellow zone becoz crude oil have a very big gap and price need to fill this gap must/