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Crudeoilforecast

Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup (refer to the trade marked with "2") 🔵 Entry: $62.24 🟢 TP & RR: $64.55 (2.69) ⛔ Stop Loss: $61.38 Trade Reasons: ✔️ Support Level 📝 A very basic setup relying on a support bounce. I still believe that we need to reach the 1.618 level before price reverts (the setup posted yesterday and marked with "1"). In the meantime I want to take advantage of the move up (if I even get a fill), but my position will be much smaller than usual due to the last trading day of the month.
TVC:USOILLong
by Quant_
Oil Short SetupOil Short Setup 🔵 Entry: $58.73 🟢 TP & RR: $53.73 (2.91) ⛔ Stop Loss: $60.45 REASONS FOR THE TRADE ✔️ Reaching a strong resistance level ✔️ Market Flow Indicator seriously overbought ✔️ Ascending channel upper trendline resistance ✔️ 1.618 Fibonacci Level (although not plotted on the chart as it becomes a bit clustered) 📝 Stop Loss is above the $59-$60 resistance level, although if you want a more relaxed trade you may move the SL higher to about $61. The confluence of the three factors above makes me believe that the price is due for a pullback if not even trend reversion. I will be monitoring the entry level mentioned above and may open the position prematurely if I see that the price is getting ready to take a dive down.
TVC:USOILShort
by Quant_
2
Crude Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup Entry: $53.68 TP & RR: $57.65 Stop Loss: $52.57 REASONS FOR THE TRADE Contrary to most expectations that Oil was overpriced, it continues to trend up. I won't open a long order at the current level, nor would I short obvious strength. However, if price retraces back to previous resistance, which is now support, I am more than happy to buy. I believe we are now in a channel and we are yet to see how we go through the awaited $55-$56 level. With that being said, we may not get filled at all. Should this be the case, we will be targeting the upper channel with a short order.
TVC:USOILLong
by Quant_
Oil Lower High Formation - Short TradeOil Lower High - Short Order Entry: $53.55 TP & RR: $51.05 (2.38) Stop Loss: $54.60 REASONS FOR THE TRADE Oil has entered into a bit of a range recently, but the formation of the lower high on Friday makes me think that we are about to see another lower high, which should then form a lower low. This is where we will be looking to take profit. The Stop Loss is set well above the highest high, so if we are to break that level, then we have clear invalidation of the setup. So, pay attention to the price action around this area, and should it break it, feel free to close the trade prematurely. The wide SL is purely for decreasing the position size, as I don't want us to lose a full 1% on a trade without a clear signal from my indicators.
TVC:USOILShort
by Quant_
Oil Descending Channel - Short TradeOil Descending Channel - Short Position Entry: $53.16 TP & RR: $51.61 (2.77) Stop Loss: $53.72 REASONS FOR THE TRADE Similarly to my previous trade idea about SPX500 from today, I am placing an alert at $53 and I will be patiently waiting to see how price action develops. You never know what's been going on in the traders' and investors' heads over the weekend, so we want to see the volume and a 1h close around that level before opening a position. I believe we are now in a downtrend channel, which should bring more balance to that longer-than-expected move up. My entry is quite high and we very much may miss it, so I have highlighted the upper trendline as an entry-level suggestion. Any position around that level with a SL place reasonably high should provide a good trade setup. Ultimately, I am expecting that we reach the $49 level (bigger trendline) before we move up again. Let me know what you think in the comment section below.
TVC:USOILShort
by Quant_
Oil Ready For a ReversalConsidering it's Friday today, I decided to post a general analysis on Oil as opposed to a specific entry-target-stop loss idea as I usually do. I refrain from keeping positions over the weekend as a lot can happen and I don't want to be overexposed. So, if it's not a setup that I feel very confident about, I rarely open trades on Friday. With that being said, here's what I am expecting to happen and I will continue to analyze over the weekend. As most of us have noticed already, the bulls seem to be a bit exhausted from this move up and I am expecting that soon the demand for oil will decrease. As a result, we should see the bears taking control of the situation and push the price down. On a daily chart, we are reaching the overbought level, while on the 4h chart we are about to print a divergence (following my indicator Market Flow for this analysis). I am expecting one last push up until we reach the next strong resistance (from a psychological and technical standpoint) of $55. Before we take a dive, I believe that price may go slightly above that level so that the Stop Losses are triggered and provide liquidity for the big players' short positions. I see two other possible scenarios, although I wouldn't bet my money on them at this moment: 1) Oil breaks down from this ascending channel prematurely and starts a downtrend or starts ranging; 2) Price reaches the resistance level, makes a small pullback, and prepares to penetrate that level. If that is the case I believe we can see quite a big move up. How do you guys see the situation? Let me know what you think in the comment section below.
TVC:USOILShort
by Quant_
4
Identifying the Crude Oil Price Next Big MoveAccording to this chart, MCX crude oil is trying to climb upward. It has started upside rally from the beginning of May. Here, I have applied Volume, DMI, MA, and Fib Retracement to identify the next move. Moving average of 50 & 200 is throwing direct up signals by crossover. And here, ADX is less than 25 but +DI above the -DI. Hence, we have chances to see slow movements. Smart investors can buy for 3260 - 3300 - 3360 - 3400 levels. In the previous trading session, it has created a Doji. It’s a direct sign of a reversal or trend continuation. But if it breaks the support line, the crude oil will fall to 88.6% (2982) - 78.6% (2735) of Fib retracement levels.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by freestocktips
1