Crudeoilwti
CRUDE OIL Elliott waveGlobal news can say whatever you want . It is not physical oil-2.80% . This are futures . and future's price is constituted by those who trade these futures - banks. There are 3 major traders in the market of oil-2.80% - JPMorgan , Goldman Sachs, Citi, in their turn they are getting money from the Federal Reserve System . And the Federal Reserve System has only two targets - to keep holding dollar as a the world's reserve currency and to make it stronger. That why in the first quarter of 2017 the oil-2.80% price will be 12
123 low fail?One important thing is false breakout. 123 low or 123 high at 90% can't do breakout. So now, I must keep in mind a fundamental analysis and speculation rules... there is no reason for breakout to 49$ and it can be a possible trading range at 49 and 44.30. So I try to keep short to 44 or lower and long when test the first important support. Have a fun.
123 low seem resistYesterday I was looking for 123 low confirmation. So.. now I'm short from 47.30 and long from 46.50. The last support for this long il 46.40 under this price could be rail short... but for long rail the first resistence is 47$ breakout could be the next target at 47.30, then 47.60 and 48 and the last 48.38. The price 48.38 is in touch with the trendline. Have fun and have a gain!
US OIL - ELLIOT WAVE IN CHANNELOil seems to be favouring wave theory of late with fib and technical analysis being secondary , its just completed a 5 wave pattern the big red candle confirms the end of this rally as its broken the neckline.....we should now see a corrective ABC pattern before it resumes its uptrend....... RSI is overbought......This is how I see it going....trade your own plan with care
AB=CD ending at downtrendline and upper MLHCLU's recent price action hints at prolonged bullishness (which vibes with iea's assessment of a deficit in Q3).
However if we look at the structure there is a very real chance of a drop at 45.50 area where AB=CD ends at both the last downtrendline measured from the top of the advance at the beginning of this year and the upper MLH of a mod schiff that has been capturing the path of price.
Copying BC onto that point projects to the bottom of that same mod schiff (around 43.13)
In the short term i am also weary for bulls as we are at the end of a rising wedge atthe upper MLH. When i copied a minor swing from the AB structure it projected right to the median (at 43.39)
I will be buying that for a target of 45.50 and monitoring to see if we make it past that.
Bearish Gartley/Butterfly FormationWith increasing # of US oil rigs and subdued global oil demand, I am expecting the retracement strated from 40.00 to lose strength between 46.00 - 45.00 area and eventually another leg down towards 40.00. This formation supports my idea on technical side with a caveat; the price could go little bit higher and turn gartley into butterfly thus manage your position/risk accordingly.
Recommended to go short at @ 44.70
SL 47.50
1st TP 43.00
2nd TP 41.00
OILGlobal news can say whatever you want . It is not physical oil . This are futures . and future's price is constituted by those who trade these futures - banks. There are 3 major traders in the market of oil - JPMorgan , Goldman Sachs, Citi, in their turn they are getting money from the Federal Reserve System . And the Federal Reserve System has only two targets - to keep holding dollar as a the world's reserve currency and to make it stronger. That why in the first quarter of 2017 the oil price will be 12
Continues rally
Elliott wave +fibonaci
Way to 12