WTI Crude Oil - The crossroad you need to know about !18.4 1) The breakout above the down trend-line starting from the highest high , when the price went above 101, marked the beginning of the movement we've seen so far (+$8).
2) There's 2 technical scenario playouts:
*Break above 108.20 with a 4h/1d close - 113.40 to 114.64 may be reached in the very short-term
*Break below 104.50 with a 4h/1d close - 97.90 to 93.20 may be reached in the very short-term
3) The circles on the chart mark the horizontal levels of support/resistance which play a very important role in price action.
4) Converging lows and highs are so far in the shape of a 'rising wedge" which could mean there's a higher potential for reversal down.
5) Fundamentally, oil is currently acting within an 'emotional' investor phase , which means in simple terms, there's no real shortage of oil so far - And reality may hit the price hard at any given time.
OPEC, Aramco, SHELL, USA all have capability to supply the entire world with oil if necessary.
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Crudeoilwti
Oil is the keyOil has respected the 92 support and looking at the current geopolitical situation, it seems bullish . Now for a good entry , the 98 level could be good for a long entry even for long term holding as it might go higher this time due to geopolitical situationss, Entry around the price of 100 dollars can also be a good entry with stop loss around 99
WTI oil - The EU ban on Russian oil risks higher pricesRecently, we stated that USOIL has bottomed out and is due to drift lower during the rest of the year. We continue to maintain this stance. However, over the past few days, there has been an increase in talks about the EU ban on Russian oil. Indeed, several media outlets reported that the EU is about to proceed with this step. Though, it is just a rumor at the moment. But if the EU manages to ban Russian oil, it will force us to abandon bearish bias for USOIL. Actually, in such a case, we think the oil ban would revive the rally and drag prices higher, possibly reaching a new high.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows USOIL on the daily time frame. It also shows the resistance at a slope (white line) and the bullish breakout above it (indicated by the yellow arrow). We will look for a potential breakdown in price and invalidation of the bullish breakout.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and MACD are bearish. However, MACD is trying to break above 0 points into the bullish zone. If it manages to do so, it will bolster the case for USOIL. Stochastic reversed to the upside and points in the bullish direction. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. However, ADX contains a low value, indicating no significant trend. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI started to flatten recently. However, its bearish structure remains intact. MACD is in the bullish zone; however, it began to decline first and then flatten. Stochastic is bearish. DM+ and DM- signal bullish conditions in the market. ADX declines, which suggests that the prior bullish trend of a higher degree is weakening. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above portrays the weekly RSI of USOIL. The bearish structure can be seen intact.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
4/17/22 HALHalliburton Company ( NYSE:HAL )
Sector: Industrial Services (Oilfield, Services/Equipment)
Market Capitalization: 36.626B
Current Price: $40.76
Breakout price: $39.55 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $38.80-$36.00
Price Target: $42.40-$43.60 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 31-35d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $HAL 5/20/22 42c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.91/contract
TRADE OF THE WEEK | Finally I Caught This Move 💰
Hey traders,
I was waiting for a quite long period of time to catch a bullish movement on oil after a pullback.
This week the price finally reached a strong zone of confluence.
From that, I was looking for a confirmation to buy.
My confirmation was a double bottom formation on 1H time frame.
I bought the retest of a neckline breakout.
Great winner and nice trade.
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
Uptrend - long positionCRUDE OIL FUTURES (MAY 2022)
WTI has stabilised in a thin $102-$106ish range and at current levels in the $103.00s trades broadly flat.
According to the International Energy Agency, oil markets could lose as much as 3M barrels per day in supply from Russia from April.
Daily Pivot Point S1 96.12
Daily Pivot Point S2 90.16
Daily Pivot Point S3 86.88
Daily Pivot Point R1 105.36
Daily Pivot Point R2 108.64
Daily Pivot Point R3 114.6
NATO countries-Russia Crude Oil CrisisDelicate situation with Crude Oil. Levels are almost to similar seen back on 2008. The price will definitely continue to rise if EU countries and other NATO countries don't find a new partner for Crude Oil. Venezuela and Iran are amongst the preferred choices to solve this crisis, but this could take a couple of months to see action from talks. Meanwhile the price keeps escalating as the pace as the war fought in Ukraine. We're adding more volume on Crude Oil and other commodities such as Wheat, Aluminium and other commodities affected by this crisis. Right now we don't own any stock, but only commodities, and we'll continue to add more volume as long as this crisis keeps escalating. Regarding technical analysis, it's very difficult analyse it from this angle, it's similar to March 2020 crisis, when this things happen, just take a look 1 weekly and 1 monthly chart with RSI and MACD and keep an eye on extreme levels. At any in the coming months we could see a trend reversal. There is no free meal here, and there's always an expiration date on commodities, don't stay there forever.
Crude.completed 1 wave as leading diagonalCrude going next level $105-$110-$120 now...it's completed its 1 wave as leading diagonal.. now 2 wave is going on as abc zigzag pattern...0.786 fib completed may be fly from here or either wait little lower from there..then make big move towards $103.....this is valid till not breaking.. invalidation level..🙏 thanks
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Move Initiates 🛢
On our morning's live stream we discussed Oil.
It looks like the market is finally preparing for a bearish move.
On hourly time frame, the price formed a descending triangle formation - a classic reversal pattern.
Its neckline breakout is our trigger to sell.
I expect a bearish move at least to 89.5 level.
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️