CRWD
CRWD Long OCT 2021 CallGrabbing CRWD long option at this level.
Multiple factors are setting the stage for nice upside move here.
-Overextended W pattern retesting support
-Holding the 50 EMA on the daily chart
-Strong demand for this current stock
Targeting a 10/20% option move in the coming days/ weeks
We are allowing plenty of time for this trade to play out.
Good luck, lets catch those moves!
CRWD Stock 21/03/21 Analysis 4H ChartNASDAQ:CRWD
- Trend Analysis -
📑Value: 6/20
📈Growth: 18/20
💰Profitability: 18/20
🚀Momentum: 16/20
💸Earnings: 10/20
🖇️Total Score: 68/100
Data:
Volume 7.38M
Average Volume (3 months) 4.35M
Previous Close $190.21
Open $192.88
Shares Outstanding 195.25M
Technicals:
( Simple Moving Average )
10D SMA $196.82 (-1.11%)
50D SMA $216.58 (-10.13%)
200D SMA $153.83 (+26.53%)
Market Cap $42.09B
Total Debt $778.99M
Cash $1.92B
Enterprise Value $40.95B
Revenue $874.44M
Gross Profit $644.89M
Net Income -
EPS Diluted -$0.43
Free Cash Flow / Share $1.34
Buy FEYE on this weaknessEarnings didn't entirely please analysts so it has been trading down ever since but that's folly in my opinion.
Fire-Eye is the best cybersecurity play in the Small-Mid cap range; Crowdstrike has gotten too far ahead of itself for me to be comfortable buying at those levels.
Go long FEYE
Short-term Price Target: $25
Mid-Point: $30. (sell half)
Long-term Price Target: $35
WATCHLIST - WEEK OF 2/1 - 2/5QQQ broke the 20 day MA on Friday. Would love to see that level reclaimed for more upside in the market. Here are some levels I see for this week (note, these are intraday levels - not swing levels). Of course, this is just my opinion and I am not liable for your trading decisions.
INO calls over 13.1 or 13.7
CRWD calls over 218.25
BYND puts under 177
JMIA puts under 54.3
If the market rallys this week then calls over 60 will work too
PYPL puts under 232.6
$ZS - Bullish Exploration of even more ATH'sRevisiting $ZS after our incredible first trade on it.
Now that we've established new highs, this opens some further targets for continuation.
Trend looks healthy - but I would like to see a pop above the pitchfork midline 👍
TG1: 226.38
TG2: 237.69
TG3: 244.68
Invalidation under: 208.08
Leave some feedback below if you have any!
And don't forget to like and follow if you'd like more 👍
Is $CRWD ready for an $ABC correction to $195Is $CRWD ready for an $ABC correction to $195
CRWD is definitely a leader in its space but this run looks a bit extended and exhausted along with a potential corrective wave to $195.
Use options to define risk as premium paid.
Suggested options to use: Feb 5 Weeklies $200 put trading at $4 a contract.
Crowdstrike(Da most exhausting thing in life is being insincere)Updated View On Crowdstrike Holding (5 Jan 2021)
I was dead wrong on my prediction on this counter previously.
And here I am again.
It is true that it is up the UP trend, but the minor pull back might play out.
$180 will be a good gap close support and the price can/may go there.
Let's see.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment".
Thank You!
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US Stock In Play: $CRWD (Crowdstrike Holdings Inc)$CRWD momentum remains at strength, closing with an intraday gain of +6.76% during a session with broad market weaknesses. $CRWD have attained a cumulative gain of +46.85% in this 2.5 weeks rally from the Bullish Ascending Triangle chart pattern breakout previously highlighted.
The last 3 days session was traded with an average transactional volume of 10 million shares per day, a phenomenal that was last witnessed on 2nd September 2020. Additionally, $CRWD have broken its all time peak historical volatility of $8.60, with price volatility at $9.83 currently.
The above suggest there will be further aggressive price action (bi-directional) to be expected from CRWD.
US Stock In Play: $CRWD (Crowdstrike Holdings Inc)$CRWD have successfully played out its Bullish Ascending Triangle chart pattern breakout, attaining a cumulative gain of +32.81% in this 2 weeks rally.
The closing session this morning was met with 15.26mil of transactional intraday volume, exceeding 315% of its average 50D volume at 4.45mil. Additionally, it is also observed that $CRWD is currently trading at its all time ATR-14 high, breaking the peak historical volatility of $8.60. The above suggest there will be further aggressive price action (bi-directional) to be expected from CRWD.
The immediate classical support to hold this accelerated rally is at $193.00.
PD: The Forgotten Child Of The SaaS FamilyThe Business
Pagerduty is the most overlooked publicly traded company with 70% 3-year CAGR revenue growth that also has 85% gross margins. The stock has fallen since its IPO in the spring of 2019, while it’s peers who also IPO’d in 2019 have soared (see Page 2). Pagerduty sits in the middle of all business software applications, taking in real time data from all these different applications (See paragraph 3). This real-time data is filtered through Pagerduty’s proprietary AI function, identifying future software problems. It then takes it one-step further by identifying specific personnel, or a team, who is responsible to resolve the digital breakdown while giving it context. This all occurs before the problem actually happens. Not only do employees experience less software headaches, the customer will have a more streamlined digital experience. Pagerduty helps reduce digital issues and outages for both customers and employees software.
Pagerduty is a double-edged sword that eliminates problems that negatively effect businesses both internally and externally. In a rapidly growing virtual world, where customers expect a flawless experience and companies are shifting to remote work, Pagerduty sits in the middle of this digital transformation. Pagerduty provides businesses the jump on future software problems that employees and customers will face. This is the only software that takes in real-time data, from multiple software programs, that analyzes and identifies future problems, alerting the correct team responsible for resolving these issues. Ensuring a seamless digital experience every time.
Pagerduty integrates with software giants such as AWS, Servicenow, Zendesk, Okta, Zoom, Slack, Microsoft Teams, Cloudfare and Datadog to name a few. Many of these partners are also customers including Okta, Datadog, Zoom and Cloudfare. The company has a robust customer base, growing from 34% of the Fortune 100 when they became public, to 60% as of their most recent earnings. Brick by Brick Capital believes it is clear that Pagerduty has a superior product as highlighted by the robust costumer base, revenue growth and an outstanding 95% renewal rate.
The Peer Group
A major proponent of our bullish thesis on Pagerduty stems from its discounted value when compared to its peers. Both Zscaler (ZS) and Cloudflare (NET), SaaS companies, have seen significant stock appreciation since they became public in 2019 rising 160% and 315% respectively, while Pagerduty has fallen 10% since its IPO. There is no fundamental reasoning for this discrepancy between the stock appreciation of its peers and the deprecation of its own.
Pagerduty has shown robust growth, margins, liquidity and a focus on spending towards research and development. These factors along with the macro-tailwinds of businesses expanding their digital footprints and their need to synthesis all the data, puts Pagerduty in a great spot to benefit in the long run. Brick by Brick Capital strongly believes that the company will get rerated over the coming months to something that is more comparable to its peers P/S ratio.
The Technical Analysis
At Brick by Brick Capital, our edge is discovering unique companies that have great fundamentals, macro-economic tailwinds with a large economic moat. We then use astute technical analysis to identify optimal entry points to minimize risk and maximize alpha. Pagerduty’s current price is at a significant level. It is breaking above both the short-term resistance line ($32.70 since 6/19/20) and its long-term resistance trend line (since 6/17/19). We believe now presents an optimal time to enter into the name, before a subsequent break out from these resistance levels. However, it is critical to point out that it has a near term immediate downside of $26. If earnings on 12/4/20 are not well received by the street, a retest of the post earnings low of $23 is in store. With this in mind, an opening position in Pagerduty should be no more than 50% of a full position. This allows an investor to average down on a pullback.
Conclusion
Pagerduty presents an exceptional risk-reward scenario for investors. It is a high growth, high margin business that has macro-economic tailwinds at its sails. Usually in these scenarios it requires an investor to pay sky-high valuations, however because of the lack of interest that the company has received this is not the case. Pagerduty is a true growth-value hybrid play in a market that is littered with overvalued tech companies.