BTC TA MARCH 5 2022BTC is still looking pretty bearish, altough I do expect it to probably go up to 40-40,5K before dumping again to 35K, yesterday i posted on twitter to take profits near 38,5K and congratulations to those who followed the trade and made profit. If the price gets above 41,5K we will most likely see a 45K retest but this scenario is very unlikely as indicators are all bearish at the moment. For trading this current movement I would wait for price to hit 40-40,5K and short it, but set a stoploss with good risk management as the market can be unpredictable.
Crypto-assets
I knew it... And I sure am not coming back to crypto!Bitcoin is not a currency, no companies are doing business with it and using the market to hedge.
There is no commercial whales moving money around, and no central banks regulating it either.
And so the price behaves differently.
Gold doesn't have a lot of import/export currency management, but alot is similar, central banks and sovereign funds are major players.
As gold goes up I expect it to behave more in a "speculative way".
EURSEK did "top at 6000" as it should be! They call FX a "complex and efficient market" no that is wrong.
It is simply a - well yes more efficient market but - a market without hordes of bagholders and bottom chasers.
I think that 95% of the time the Forex market is random, but the rest of the time it's pretty predictable I guess.
Much less noobs, and this is why regulators hate Forex and want filthy casuals to avoid it entirely.
This is just 1 price move I know, but it is yet another example of how BTC is different.
What is the point of learning to trade crypto? 90% of what you learn will be lost and can't be transmitted to other assets when the ponzis fall to zero.
Or perhaps that knowledge and skill and experience can be useful... Trading hyped stocks and future speculative bubbles with very high retail participation.
I'm not a stock expert and clearly I'd rather continue to OTP FX (+ macro commodities), althought I plan on one day investing long term in stocks maybe even speculate short term on those.
I would even go as far as saying...
Someone reminded me of Pacific Ethanol today, good memories. They were in the news recently, more money problems.
Markets are abstract, speculating is the most abstract activity there is involving markets.
90% can't understand something as simple as buying high and selling low.
"Ooga booga first degree you have to buy low and sell high tihi it's obvious"
Simpletons like this do not stand a chance in stocks & crypto already, so Forex that is "harder" they don't even stand a crumb of a chance.
"Muhahaha every one thinks Bitcoin is going to zero but I noticed that last time it went up haha I am a genius visionary no one thought of that I outsmarted them all"
I don't know if it's sad or funny.
As Jean Claude Van Damme said "they are not aware" ;)
If you want to learn more about this you have to be sneaky and ask or search for something like "when intuition is wrong" not "morons that don't understand abstraction" or so, "oh it's ok to be wrong it doesn't mean you are stupid" because no one will ever admit they are an idiot and no one thinks they are anyway.
It's like in South Park where 99% of the town men have a certain part of their body "well above average" 😆
Every one's above average, sure, this shows how smart they really are. "Every girl is beautiful, well above average" kek.
Maybe there is a girl that is so terrifyingly ugly she drags the average down, is that what they mean?
Euphemism and comforting lies, always. But when you're too smart to believe those...
Have to look for dumb beliefs centuries old because most people dumb beliefs of today are actually the ones that are correct....
Lmao takes the average person literally centuries to understand something.
I'd like to meet the magicians that have plenty of signals in choppy markets.
They're so good that they aren't more active during major trends, they produce just as many ideas in dead choppy markets as in ultra trending ones.
And they almost all sell something.
Jesse Livermore about 'experts' and 'teachers': "makes his money from selling trading books because he can’t make money in the markets."
The simple facts that these signal services are not more or less productive in changing market conditions, and their systems don't change, is just so hilarous and a huge red signal.
I might short Bitcoin Monday but I'm not "coming back", just taking a look here and there. Made some money when I bought 10 days ago with 10k as a target, got kicked out way before 10k because I trade it as Forex and run for the exit quickly.
Crypto Bagholders are right about something: money is made by holding. They don't understand exactly what they are saying.
They are right that crypto has big pullbacks, in either direction, and to stay in and extract as much as possible from trends one has to sit through very big pullbacks (ewwww). Reward is large but risk too, there are no free lunch.
But where crypto investors trully amaze me is that while they "understand" that crypto has really deep pullbacks, they rush in to buy at the slightest dip.
Should I just short the pair? What's even left of the non swedish europe? I think I'll just make a small bet, been right and missing out alot lately.