Crypto-trading
BTCUSDT Fresh Short Setup: Targeting Key Support Zones with SMC Description:
This trade setup presents a Bitcoin short opportunity on the 4H timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. After a significant reaction from the supply zone, Bitcoin's price structure aligns with bearish confluences, signaling potential downside. Additionally, external events, such as the recent announcement of China's AI application "DeepSeek," may have amplified market volatility, further supporting the setup.
Trade Setup:
Entry:
Between 103,300 and 104,500
Take-Profit Levels (TP):
101,897
99,825
97,565
95,208
Stop Loss (SL):
Above 105,975
Analysis and Confluences:
Market Structure:
Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H timeframe, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Supply Zone:
The price is entering the 103.3k–104.5k supply zone, a key resistance area where sellers are expected to dominate.
Fibonacci Confluence:
This zone overlaps with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, a high-probability reversal area.
Liquidity Sweeps:
Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, leaving the path clear for potential downside.
Bearish Targets:
The targets align with previous demand zones and liquidity pools at 101,897, 99,825, 97,565, and 95,208.
Trade Plan:
Confirmation: Wait for bearish price action signals or smaller timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) within the supply zone before entering.
Risk Management: Adjust position size to keep risk within acceptable levels. After reaching TP1, move your stop loss to breakeven and secure partial profits.
Final Note: While bearish bias dominates, unexpected macroeconomic events can cause reversals, so use tight risk management.
Bitcoin's Bullish Breakout: Targeting $126,500!
Introduction: Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a significant price surge, reaching new heights. For those new to cryptocurrency trading, understanding this movement is crucial. In this post, we'll break down the current BTC price action and discuss potential trading strategies.
Current BTC Price: As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $101,254.00 USD.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Level: $94,500 USD
Resistance Level: $105,000 USD
Market Sentiment: The market is currently bullish, with increased trading volume and positive news surrounding Bitcoin's adoption.
Potential Price Target: Based on the "Cup and Handle" pattern, a technical analysis chart pattern, the projected price target for Bitcoin is $126,500 USD.
Trading Strategy for Beginners:
1. Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price retraces to the $94,500 support level.
2. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the $92,000 level to manage risk.
3. Take-Profit: Aim for a take-profit at the $126,500 target.
Important Note: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. It's essential to conduct thorough research and only invest funds you can afford to lose.
Conclusion: Bitcoin's recent price action presents potential trading opportunities. By understanding key levels and technical indicators, beginners can navigate the market more effectively. Always remember to trade responsibly and stay informed.
Let's Discuss! What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's current price action? Do you agree with the projected target of $126,500? Share your insights and let's engage in a constructive discussion!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
By inviting readers to share their thoughts and engage in a discussion, you can foster a more interactive environment and encourage traders to participate in the comments section.
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DOGE potential for 19% short term gain based on Neural Network
Hi all, I developed an simplified AI indicator and I applied it to the DOGE 4 hour time frame chart and got positive results. On average, the backtest is showing roughly a 19% gain per LONG trade. According to the script, we just exited a short trade, and entered a long trade, and the average long trade yields 19%.
Looking at DOGE’s recent price action and leveraging my custom neural network backtest, there's a strong possibility that the coin could see a short-term gain. The model has been extremely accurate in predicting these types of moves, taking into account factors such as market momentum and volume patterns. With the technicals aligning, it appears that DOGE is positioned for a bounce, especially with the broader crypto market showing positive signals.
Keep an eye on DOGE, as the bullish momentum might just surprise us with something bigger.
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription:
This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan:
Analysis:
Market Structure:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows.
Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Zones and Liquidity:
Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance.
Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity.
Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower.
Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for Short Entry:
Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point.
The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control.
Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias.
Trade Plan:
Short Entry Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone).
Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level.
TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity.
TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling.
Additional Notes:
Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character).
Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision.
Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
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TRUMP/USDT NEW DAY INCREASETRUMP/USDT NEW INCREASE DAY TRADE
The study shows that Morpho has a good chance to break in the coming time for this reason a follow.
We choose the coins not based on what we expect or think but on what the data shows as having the highest chance of increasing. And then it will still be unexpected market. There are no guarantees in markets.
EURAUD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Is Bitcoin Heading to $78K? Key Patterns Explained!
''BTC/USD: Key Supply Zone in Focus''
This chart highlights a significant supply zone between $94,858.98 and $95,979.83, marked by previous price rejections (indicated by the arrows). This zone represents a key area of resistance where selling pressure has historically dominated.
If the price revisits this zone, there’s a high probability of another rejection, potentially leading to a downward movement. Traders should monitor this area closely for potential short opportunities or signs of a breakout.
👉 What’s your take on this supply zone? Will it hold, or are we breaking through? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
"BTC/USD: Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern"
This chart showcases a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, often regarded as a bearish signal. The price has already broken the neckline, indicating a potential continuation to the downside.
The target for this pattern lies near $78,490.59, calculated based on the height of the structure. Combined with the current price action, this setup suggests further bearish momentum could be on the horizon.
👉 Do you agree with this bearish outlook? Or do you see a reversal coming? Share your analysis in the comments below!
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Bitcoin 1D Pitchfork & Correlating Tops Where To Next For $BTC Basic little draw up from now just checking market sentiment with the MACD providing great analytical insight into where we are NOW and were we were MID bull run from $75k ATH to $109k. See the bearish MACD over the ATH of 75k and the same over the 109k ATH. We are back to zero on MACD we should see small dips or sideways movement but more volatile as price is higher. It will always seem more volatile as %s of BTC price are larger. So 10% drop or gain now on $93k is $9.3k where when 1 CRYPTOCAP:BTC was 9.3k 10% drop or gain was only $930! Yes same % loss or gain but more capital required to make or loose hat 10%. Still you can always order less but this is just a sentiment driver when you look at the % math of now and back in the day even 4 years ago or pre covid.
Currently we sit at $93,250 USD at time of writing. Up from the down turn to $91k. IF we keep the market moving up growing and more $ flow in to longs and or buying bitcoin the better.
I think also as its in a DIP phase people WONT be selling who brought in at or between 50k-80k. At least I wouldn't be. Even if it goes to any price pre Covid so under 25k~ This will take a while to occur with many chances to exit before or you will see much increase from where we are now.
The market sentiment is good. Its down but its still dominant and will be for another 10 - 100 years plus. It's almost perfect and the coins doing other things BTC can mostly achieve but in directly. However it is no1 and will stay that way for some time.
Love you Holders let us know you thoughts on this projection to upward of $200k within a few 6 months ?
Not finical advice I trade on my own and use my own methods the post here isn't method to trade its just an assumption of what could happen with little degree of success. Thanks for reading!
Price Oscilattor with Entry and ExitPrice Oscillator Trend Reversal Strategy
Source: commodity.com -oscillator/
Indicators:
Price Oscillator (PO): Calculated as the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
Short EMA (Fast Period): 9 days
Long EMA (Slow Period): 18 days
Thresholds:
• Overbought Level: PO >+2
•Oversold Level: PO <-2
Entry Conditions
Buy Entry (Long Position):
•PO crosses above the zero line from below (bullish crossover).
• OR PO moves into the oversold region (<-2) and starts to increase, indicating a potential reversal.
Sell Entry (Short Position):
• PO crosses below the zero line from above (bearish crossover).
• OR PO moves into the overbought region (>+2) starts to decrease, indicating a potential reversal.
Exit Conditions
Exit Long:
•PO crosses back below zero line.
Exit Short:
•PO crosses above 0 line.
Zcash (ZEC/USDT) – 30-Minute Timeframe AnalysisZcash (ZEC/USDT) – 30-Minute Timeframe Analysis
We’ve observed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming in Zcash (ZEC/USDT), signaling a potential bullish reversal. The price has successfully broken through the resistance level, confirming the pattern and indicating a move higher.
The Target
Based on the breakout, the next target aligns with the black level zone, which serves as a key resistance and profit-taking area.
XRP – Bullish Flag Pattern Suggests Further Upside PotentialTechnical Overview:
Bullish Flag Formation: XRP is consolidating within a bullish flag pattern, typically indicative of a continuation of its prior uptrend.
Previous Rally: After surging from $0.60 to nearly $2.80, XRP has demonstrated strength by consistently holding support above $2.40, signaling accumulation rather than distribution.
Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout Point: A breakout above the flag's upper trendline, accompanied by increased volume, could confirm the bullish setup.
Targets:
Initial target: $3.00-$3.20, aligning with measured moves from the flag pattern.
Longer-term potential: Continuation above $3.20 could open doors to further price discovery.
Supporting Factors:
Long-Term Base: XRP’s breakout earlier in 2024 from a long-term base adds strength to the current bullish setup.
Volume Confirmation: Increased trading volume during the breakout would validate buyer interest and bolster the bullish case.
Risk Management:
Key Support: Maintaining support above $2.40 is critical for the bullish thesis. A breakdown below this level could signal invalidation of the pattern.
Conclusion: XRP's bullish flag pattern indicates potential continuation of its prior uptrend. A breakout above the flag's trendline with volume confirmation could set sights on $3.00-$3.20 and beyond, reinforcing Ripple’s strong bullish potential heading into 2024.
Ethereum (ETH) – Bullish Outlook for 2025Technical Outlook:
Bullish Trend: Ethereum has confirmed a bullish trend across all time frames, indicating strength and continued upward momentum.
Resistance Zones: A breakout above the $4,100-$4,200 zone, forming part of a saucer pattern, could trigger a rally toward the $5,400-$5,600 region. This marks a key resistance level, and clearing it could set Ethereum on a path to new highs.
Long-Term Target: With the $8,000 target in sight for 2025, Ethereum holds substantial upside potential, especially if it continues to maintain bullish momentum in the short term.
Support Levels:
$3,300-$3,500: As long as Ethereum holds support above this range, the bullish momentum remains intact, with potential for further price appreciation.
Key Takeaways:
Bullish Setup: Ethereum's bullish trend is solidifying, and as long as it stays above critical support levels, the outlook remains positive.
Next Target: A breakout above $4,100-$4,200 could signal the start of a significant rally toward $5,400-$5,600, with the potential for even higher levels in 2025.
Long-Term Optimism: Ethereum is poised for strong gains in 2025, with an $8,000 target potentially within reach.
Conclusion: Ethereum's technical setup suggests a strong bullish continuation heading into 2025, with a focus on $4,100-$4,200 as a key breakout point for a rally toward new highs. Holding support above $3,300-$3,500 remains crucial for the bullish outlook.