BRIEFING Week #21: Market Breadth & DominanceHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Crypto-trading
DEGEN NEW POSSIBILITIES IN PRICE ACTIONHi Traders,
I hope you all are doing well and navigating the crypto market with your best strategies.
This update is for DEGENUSDT.
Degen is looking interesting over the next time frames and may show increased volume. That's why we're keeping an eye on this coin.
$0.025 is a key confirmation zone. If the coin breaks this level, there's a high chance it could reach $0.039.
Remember, there are no guarantees in the market. Always follow a consistent system based on your own strategies and analysis.
Good times, everyone.
This update is not trading or financial advice .
Ethereum (ETH): Strategic Entries and Potential DropsFor Ethereum, we're observing a chart pattern that has developed a weak divergence, and we believe it is now correcting wo the end of Wave 4 of Wave (3). We plan to place multiple entries; our first entry was at the upper range of the Wave 4 target area around $3200. However, the price has continued to decline. We are now looking to DCA and make a second entry at $2600, with a final entry in our worst-case scenario at $2277. We suspect there might be further downside potential, but the extent is uncertain, and we intend to buy additional spots. Those already in from the first entry can choose to hold or buy more—this is on yourself. Given the expected market weakness, there could be opportunities to establish substantial long-term spot positions.
Upon examining the annual VWAP, we're observing a scenario where the 2021 VAH is acting as a current resistance level. We briefly surpassed this level but quickly fell below it again. We believe there could be good entry opportunities in the area between the 2021 VWAP and the 2022 VAH, which closely align around $2,500 to $2,450. Below this, the next significant level could be the 2023 VAH around $2,000, indicating a substantial gap in the middle. This will be elaborated further in subsequent sections of our analysis.
However, this setup on the larger chart presents a probable scenario, yet we're also considering managing our positions above this range as shown above. The 61,8% Fibonacci retracement is still the second entry target for us.
12H
On the quarterly VWAP, we observe that the VWAP from Q4 2021 acted as resistance at exactly $4,100. Since then, we've experienced a downward trend and identified several levels acting as resistance or support. Currently, we're situated right at the 2022 Q1VWAP and the 2021 Q3VWAP, which could provide enough support to push us above the $3,000 mark. Ideally, surpassing the $3,200 mark would be beneficial, but we perceive this as challenging since the current quarter's VWAP is likely to act as resistance around $3,200. We think it's possible we might revisit the levels of the 2021 Q2VWAP to the 2024 Q1VAL, ranging between $2,670 and $2,426. While we don't anticipate falling much below these levels, it's not outside the realm of possibility. These remain our critical levels for now.
4H
Considering the monthly VWAP, there's a scenario where we might see an upward push toward the Previous Monthly VAL, given that the February VWAP has acted as support three times already. This aligns with the desire to see Ethereum exceed $3,200, which would surpass both the February VWAP high and the Previous Monthly VWAP. Achieving and maintaining a position above this level is crucial for a sustained upward move.
If we fail to reclaim and hold this level, it's plausible that Ethereum could revisit lower levels, potentially down to the February VAL around $2,500. Holding above the February VWAP is vital; otherwise, we might see a retracement to these lower support levels.
Bitcoin We can take new long after some range or SL huntBitcoin We can take new long after some range or SL hunt
In a vidoe i shared why i think BTC can reach new ATH soon. Main reason - Big Liqudations levels
But to take a trade we need clear entry with good risk to reward ratio.
that's why better if price create some range. Example how it can look i shared ina video.
BITCOIN: A Volatile Journey Towards New HeightsBitcoin (BTC) has always been synonymous with volatility, and recent market conditions are no exception. Currently priced at $67,700, Bitcoin is capturing significant attention as it hovers around this pivotal point. The market sentiment is mixed, with expectations of potential pumps, possible rejections, and opportunities for buying at lower prices.
As we stand a few weeks post-halving, the anticipation of new all-time highs is palpable among investors and analysts alike. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to reach record prices following a halving event. This pattern fuels optimism that another bull run could be on the horizon.
However, caution is warranted. Should a price drop occur, it is unlikely to last long. The underlying fundamentals and increasing institutional interest provide strong support for Bitcoin’s value, suggesting that any dips could be temporary and present attractive entry points for both new and seasoned investors.
In summary, Bitcoin's journey remains as thrilling as ever. With the current price point being a critical juncture, the market could see significant movements in either direction. Investors are advised to stay vigilant and consider both the opportunities and risks in this dynamic environment.
BRIEFING Week #20 : Pay the Price, Receive the Value !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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BRIEFING Week #19 : Watch out for potential StimulusHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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ETHUSD Analysis (12th May 2024)
Crypto Analysis (12th May 2024)
ETHUSD Analysis
On 1 hour timeframe , Price has created a 1 hour bearish FVG, indicating bearishness.
Currently, price action is retracing towards the 1 hour FVG slowly, but hasnt tested it yet. There are 2 high probability scenarios that could play out.
1) Price taps into this bearish FVG and rejects created a 15 minute Change of Character. IF prices does this, I want to see a body candle closure to ensure that the Change of Character is a strong one. After that happens, i want a retest into the CHOCH level before looking to sell.
2) IF price just continues to push higher past the 1 hour FVG, the FVG will be invalidated and wee will be looking for buys above 3019 level with a body candle closure above that level. Break and retest will be valid here.
long RNDRRender broke through the descending trendline and the resistance level. The bullish movement to a local high of $13.5 is expected to happen.
BRIEFING Week #18 : Short term Ranges maturing, Patience..Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Upcoming buying opportunities for BTCWith the price having broken down from the 200-day Moving Average (200MA) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turning down from the overbought level, the price action on Bitcoin is signaling increasing strength for a possible reversal.
However, to continue trading significantly lower, BTCUSD would have to break through the price area of 51,000 and 56,000. And beyond that, it could open further decline towards the support level of 40,000.
Another perspective could be to view the identified price levels as hurdles which the BTCUSD could bounce, presenting good value entry positions for long term investors.
Buying opportunities on BTCUSD:
56,000 to 51,000 price area (short term 50% & 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level)
40,000 price level (long-term 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level)
IS BTC READY FOR NEW INCREASE TO 68KBitcoin seems the last day in a broken downtrend with here and there what stability.
There are some important levels if BTC can hold them, we could see a new uptrend weekend, which weekends are known most of the time on their stability volume.
The trend of now.
BTC trying to find the right way to get out to new building volume, out of the playing trend.
Can this weekend have a new change since we are by the key level that's exactly what we will follow if BTC can break the key level
l of 65K with a high chance of 68K
There is always a chance there will be manipulation volumes, it depends on building volume and that's hard to count. small changes can always be targeted, its BTC.
For day traders, there change noting, since day traders trade depending on what the market shows, this can be short or long at any time.
This is not trading advice, markets going on their way.
BRIEFING Week #17 : After the Volatility, the Rotation ?!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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ETHUSD Analysis (29th April 2024)
Crypto Analysis (28th April 2024)
ETHUSD Analysis
On the 4 hour Timeframe, Price action made a bullish Change of Character after a heavy retracement on ETH. In the process, a new 4 hour bullish FVG has been formed.
Ideally, I want to see price pull back to the 3282 level to retest the 4 hour minor resistance level it broke out off before creating confirmations on the 15 minute or the 5 minute to go higher. This is in line with retesting the bullish FVG created as well.
However if price action fails to continue bullish and breaks past 3074 with a body candle close, I will more inclined to look for sells using the break and retest strategy, ideally with a 15 minute timeframe confirmation using Change of Character or a bearish engulfing candle, targeting 2868 level.