Crypto
Would you sell against BTC?After BTCUSD reached its All Time High (ATH) of 108,451 on Dec 17th, it dropped strongly to the support area of 91,600.
In the first week of the year, BTCUSD has bounced off the support to trade up to the 101,900 area again. Which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
At this point, the TSRI MACD is indicating the potential for a crossover to the downside.
However, if the price stays above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level AND the bullish trendline, further upside is likely!
Would be looking to buy at value rather than trying to short it down.
Why You Shouldn't Be a Trader: The Emotional RollercoasterEver thought about diving into trading? Here's the honest truth from someone who's been there. I used to think trading was all about numbers and charts, but boy, was I wrong. It's more like riding an emotional rollercoaster that can make you feel like you've aged years in a single day.
Imagine this: one day you're on top of the world, feeling like you've finally figured it out, and the next, you're down in the dumps, rethinking your entire life. Here's the deal:
-Heart-Stopping Volatility: The market's ups and downs can turn your emotions upside down. One second you're ecstatic with a win; the next, you're in despair over a loss.
-No Off Switch: Unlike most jobs, there's no "clocking out" with trading. Your mind never really stops, even when you're supposed to be chilling.
-The Lonely Trader's Path: It can feel like you're on this journey alone, with no one to share the load or celebrate the victories with.
But here's the twist - I've learned how to navigate this wild ride. With a bit of community and some laughs, trading doesn't have to be a solo act.
If you're feeling the weight of this rollercoaster or just curious about how to keep your emotions in check, why not hit me up? Drop me a DM or check out my profile for more on how we can tackle this together. Give this post a boost, a like, or leave a comment if you've felt the same way. Let's share the journey, not just the journey's lows.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Trading Anxiety: When Fear Messes Up Your TradesEver had that scary feeling in your tummy before you make a trade? I totally get it. I used to let my worries take over my trading days. Every time the market went down, it felt like it was out to get me, making me sell stuff too fast or miss out on good deals because I was too scared.
Here's what happened:
- Always Scared: I was so afraid of losing money that I kept questioning every move I made, even when it was probably the right one.
- Stuck in Thinking: I'd look at so many charts that I couldn't make up my mind. It was like being stuck because every choice seemed like it could be wrong.
- No Sleep: I thought staying up late to watch the markets would help me, but it just made me super tired and even more worried the next day.
But I learned how to deal with it. I started using stop-losses, like safety nets, so I wouldn't lose too much. I tried mindfulness stuff to keep calm. And I decided no more screens after trading time, so I could get a good night's sleep.
If you're feeling the same kind of worry when you trade, you're not by yourself. We're all in this together. Let's talk about how we can stay chill even when the market gets crazy. Leave a comment or send me a message if you want to chat about dealing with this stress.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
My FOMO Nightmare: How Missing One Trade Changed My Trading LifeI remember the day like it was yesterday. I was scrolling through X (Twitter), seeing everyone go wild over this one stock. My heart raced as I watched the price skyrocket, but I hesitated. I hadn't done my homework on this one, and something felt off. But the fear of missing out? That was eating at me.
The next day, I woke up to see the stock had crashed. My initial relief turned into regret. Maybe I could've sold at the peak if I had just jumped in like everyone else. That's when FOMO, or Fear Of Missing Out, became my trading nemesis:
-Hasty Actions: I started jumping into trades at the last minute, driven by the buzz on social media, not by my own analysis.
-Screen Addiction: I couldn't step away from my screen, worried I'd miss the next big move. My life began revolving around the market's every twitch.
- Chasing Losses: After missing a few opportunities, I found myself in a dangerous cycle, trying to make up for lost gains with even riskier trades.
But here's the twist in my story. One evening, after a particularly bad day of chasing trends, I sat back and realized how this fear was controlling me, not my strategy. I decided to change. I set strict rules for myself: no trading based on social media hype, sticking to my research, and remembering that every market has its patterns - there's always another chance if you miss one.
Now, I trade with a calm mind, knowing that if I miss one trade, there'll be another. If you've ever felt that burning desire to join the rush, only to regret it later, you're not alone. Let's share our stories and strategies for overcoming FOMO. DM me if you want to chat about how we can keep our heads in the game, not just our eyes on the screen.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
#TLM Ready For Another Bullish Rally or Not? Key Levels to WatchYello, Paradisers! Could this be #AlienWorlds' moment of glory or a sharp turn south? Let’s dive into this critical setup for #TLMUSDT:
💎#TLM has been consolidating within a falling wedge, a pattern often signaling a potential bullish breakout. However, the price needs to decisively break above the descending resistance for the move to materialize. Currently, #TLMUSD is trading around $0.014, eyeing the next major resistance at $0.016.
💎A 4-hour candle close above $0.0168 would confirm a bullish breakout. If this occurs, the price could rally toward the $0.02278 strong resistance zone, where sellers are likely to re-enter the market. Beyond that, the next major target sits near $0.028, signaling a potential continuation of the upward momentum.
💎To validate a breakout, you must look for strong bullish candles and increased trading volume. Without these signals, any upward move risks being a fakeout, trapping overenthusiastic buyers. You must watch this zone closely for a decisive push.
💎On the flip side, failure to break above the descending resistance could lead to a retest of the immediate $0.0143 support level. Failure to hold this support may push the price lower toward the strong $0.01151 support level. If this level is also lost, #TLM could spiral toward $0.00800, wiping out short-term bullish sentiment.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers🥂
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ETH Retracement before next Upside LegPrice has been in an uptrend, and we expect it to continue its ascent towards the 0.79 fib retracement level (near $3,900), which is a key resistance zone.
After reaching the 0.79 level, we anticipate a retracement to the demand zone (marked in gray around $3528), which is where buying interest may increase.
The demand zone represents a region where price previously experienced significant buying pressure, making it an ideal area to look for entries after the retracement.
Once the retracement completes in the demand zone, we expect ETH to rally and create new highs, pushing toward the next resistance zones.
XRP/USD Long-TERM Bullish TA 2025-2035It is time to update our long-term technical analysis for XRP. The mathematical principles remain unchanged, but the time intervals have been adjusted. We present you with an updated chart for the next 10 years.
Regarding prices, we anticipate a price range of $28 to $60 during the current cycle, which is expected to conclude within the next 12 months.
Subsequently, we anticipate a correction between $3 and $5, followed by another substantial increase to $25.
After that, we enter a prolonged period of low prices for #Bitcoin, which we expect to bottom out in the range of $1 to $3 between 2027 and 2030.
These prices will serve as potential purchase opportunities prior to the commencement of the next altcoin cycle, which is projected to begin in 2032 and continue until 2035. During this cycle, Ripple is expected to attain the coveted price of $600.
Historically, XRP was launched in 2012 by Ripple Labs as part of a vision to revolutionize global payments. Its innovative consensus ledger and transaction protocol offered faster and more cost-effective cross-border transactions, setting it apart from its peers.
Over the years, XRP has forged strategic alliances with financial institutions worldwide, enhancing its credibility and adoption. Despite facing regulatory challenges, particularly with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in 2020, XRP has demonstrated resilience, maintaining its relevance within the crypto ecosystem.
It is imperative to recognize that this journey will be protracted and challenging, but it is worthwhile to pursue it at a steady pace.
Best regards, Earliers!
Check my other Charts to be informed!
Xrp - The New +400% Bullish Triangle!Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) is creating another bullish triangle:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the recent rally of +300% on Xrp, this crypto coin is still totally bullish. However at the moment, Xrp is starting to reject a quite significant all time high resistance level. We could see another drop lower from here before bulls will take over again and eventually create new highs.
Levels to watch: $2.0, $10.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ARB LONGThis analysis compares the current price action of ARB/USDT (left chart) with the previous Bitcoin cycle (right chart). The price action suggests a potential setup for a long position at a favorable discount, identified around the 0.382 retracement level (shown in red on the ARB/USDT chart).
Key observations:
We expect a significant pullback towards the 0.382 level, which has previously acted as a key support zone, creating a potential buying opportunity.
Similar to the previous Bitcoin cycle, the current price structure shows a sharp retracement followed by a possible continuation to the upside.
The next potential resistance zone, or "buyside liquidity," is marked on the chart, which could act as a target for the upcoming move higher.
Trade Plan:
Entry: At the 0.866 level or lower, near the 0.382 retracement zone.
Stop Loss: Below 0.7558
Take Profit : Target the next resistance zone near the 1.10 level, aligning with the buyside liquidity area or higher.
SUI TRADE IDEA SUI has performed remarkably this Bullrun and it doesn't look to be slowing down. This is just some thoughts on the low timeframe:
Bullish scenario -
A retest of the green zone which is a clear bullish orderblock and the last local high would be an ideal place to get into a Long to then fill the wick up to local high. The general rule of thumb is that wicks get filled and this move would be a near 20% with good R:R. A poor reaction/ no reaction in the green zone would void the trade idea and the Daily support is the next area of interest.
Bearish scenario -
A SFP once the wick gets filled would be a potential bearish trigger with the midpoint and green zone providing areas for the bulls to fight back. SUI is very overbought on the higher timeframes so a larger cool down could be triggered by this pattern playing out. I do also think BTC would have to pullback in order to drag SUI down with it as SUI is just so strong at the moment.
So far a strong start from the US market with the first meaningful day back since the holidays providing strong volume and a bullish bias.
Analyzing XAUUSD: Support and Resistance Dynamics Driving a BullXAUUSD, representing the price of gold against the US dollar, is currently trading at 2635 with an anticipated target price of 2800. The price movement is based on the support and resistance pattern, where the current price is bouncing off a strong support level. This suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, preventing further declines and creating upward momentum. The support level at 2635 is critical, indicating strong buying interest, while the target price of 2800 reflects bullish sentiment. This pattern demonstrates the interplay of technical levels, with the price expected to rise as it moves toward resistance zones. Traders anticipate a potential breakout above intermediate resistance levels as the price progresses toward the target. The market sentiment is supported by gold's status as a safe-haven asset, attracting investors during uncertain economic conditions. To confirm the upward move, traders may use additional technical indicators like RSI or MACD. However, risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders below the support level, are essential to mitigate potential losses. Overall, XAUUSD is poised for an upward trajectory, highlighting the importance of support and resistance dynamics in forex trading.
Bitcoin's Ultimate Pump: The Trap Before the CrashBitcoin continues its “hype” and is close to forming the next spurt. Globally, the picture looks like close to the distribution zone. We are approaching the biggest “cheat” in history. I expect a final spurt into the zone around 120k, from here a long trade will start where altcoins will shoot up and show incredible gains. The crowd will be experiencing FOMO, heads of state and big companies will start making noise that this is just a pro-trade level for Bitcoin before the next spurt. Only the majority will fall back into the trap and end up in a bear market with huge losses. The market is set up so that only 10% will make money and the other 90% will be cheated. After the distribution is completed, I expect the bitcoin price to fall below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The RSI value will drop below 30 units on such a drop and we will enter a global fear phase. I would attribute the next bull market to the rise of the DeSci and AI sectors. My research on the cryptocurrency market sectors shows that large funds and corporations are starting to invest in projects in these areas.
Horban Brothers.
Technical Report: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Looking DownwardTechnical Report: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Looking Downward
H ello!
The current technical picture and the recent market activity points to the Bearish perspective of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). Having passed the powerful psychological support at $100,000, many signals suggest we’re on the verge of correction, with target support in the $92,000 area.
Weak RSI Signals Overbought Conditions
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the primary indicators hinting at a potential decline. Currently, the RSI hovers around the 60 mark, resistance, reflecting weak momentum and failing to indicate a robust buying trend. While an RSI above 70 typically signals overbought conditions, the lack of a strong rally and an RSI below 50 often signal bearish sentiment. This suggests Bitcoin’s earlier bullish momentum may be fading, increasing the likelihood of a near-term price correction.
Rising Bitcoin Dominance
Another key factor is the rising Bitcoin dominance within the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s growing market capitalization relative to other cryptocurrencies may signify a shift in investor sentiment, positioning Bitcoin as a safe haven amid altcoin volatility. However, this trend could also indicate fear-driven behavior rather than confidence, with investors hedging against broader market instability.
If Bitcoin dominance continues to rise without a corresponding price increase, it might signal an impending sell-off. Investors could be looking to liquidate their positions amid market uncertainty, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price downward.
Regulatory and Macroeconomic Pressures
Recent regulatory developments and macroeconomic factors also threaten Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. Heightened scrutiny from financial regulators worldwide has created uncertainty in the market. Proposals for stricter regulations on cryptocurrency exchanges and potential tax implications could dampen trading volumes and dissuade new investors. This regulatory pressure may contribute to bearish sentiment.
Macroeconomic factors, including rising interest rates and inflation concerns, further complicate Bitcoin’s position. Traditional investments offering higher yields may become more attractive, reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an alternative asset. In this environment, the $100,000 resistance level becomes a critical barrier. Failure to breach this level could trigger significant selling pressure.
Price Projection: $92,000 Support
With a weak RSI, potential for increasing Bitcoin strength, and the latest regulation headlines, a strong reversal below $100,000 seems foreseeable. If it doesn’t have support above $100,000, then it could sink right back into the $92,000. This has been a level that has been resistant in the past, but an attack would open the door for more losses.
Currently technical analysis and overall market picture shows Bitcoin (BTC-USD) in bearish direction. The low RSI also signals lost upward momentum, rising dominance and regulatory issues mean that there could be instability. When Bitcoin reaches the important $100,000 resistance, traders should be patient and prepare for a drop towards $92,000 resistance. Conditions are not set in stone, so stay on top of what’s to come as Bitcoin’s price action shifts.
Regards,
Elysian Signals