BREIFING Week #6 : Volatility is LyingHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Crypto
NAS100USD and BTCUSD correlationJust been recapping on the SPXUSD and NAS100USD charts, both look like they could head lower in the short term at least. Not sure crypto has proven it can trade independently from that just yet, at least based on the short term. Plus if things get disorderly then everything could get wacked. I'll be monitoring my positions over the weekend (BTCUSD, HBAR, XRPUSD), but I may reduce them again irrespective of how crypto moves in anticipation of potential downside in the wider markets. Looking at the recent declines on NAS100USD compared to BTCUSD, BTCUSD tends to overperform to the downside in % terms, you can see the percentages on the charts of the past declines. The recent decline which has just started sees there NAS100USD declining by -1.76% and BTCUSD by -4%, no guarantee that pace will continue, but assuming NAS100USD declines to the first target area and BTCUSD matches the drop in % terms BTCUSD could be looking at $94,500 and if it overperforms then it could reach $90,000 which is a potential measured move target based on how the NAS100USD could decline.
XRPUSD thread here which gives some background to recent positioning.
CHILLGUY/USDT BACK TREND TO $0,27?This coin has had a huge breakdown since the start of the coin launch, are we going to see a recovery for this coin that can have a comeback?
This is exactly what we are going to follow.
If this coin is able to have the recovery in the coming time, then it would be an interesting change of data.
If there is an increase coming.. then this could be the confirmed bottom.
Dogecoin (DOGE/USDT) Technical Analysis - February 2025Overview:
Dogecoin has shown a notable shift in its price dynamics, with significant retracements and key technical indicators suggesting potential upcoming moves. Analyzing the 4-hour chart on Binance, we observe critical support and resistance levels, along with key Fibonacci retracement zones.
Price Action & Key Levels:
Current Price: $0.24647
Key Support Levels: $0.24330 (1.618 Fib), $0.23188, $0.11269
Resistance Levels: $0.30 (psychological), $0.40, $0.48500 (recent high)
The price is hovering near the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $0.24330, acting as a critical support zone. A breakdown below this could push DOGE towards the next support at $0.23188 and potentially $0.14499 (2.618 Fib level).
Indicators Analysis:
MACD: The MACD line is slightly below the signal line with a histogram showing minimal bullish momentum. This indicates a potential for continued consolidation or bearish pressure unless a bullish crossover occurs.
RSI: Currently at 37.85, the RSI indicates that DOGE is approaching the oversold territory. The RSI-based moving average at 38.72 suggests bearish sentiment but not yet in extreme conditions.
Volume: A noticeable decrease in volume signals weakening buying interest, supporting the bearish outlook unless renewed demand emerges.
Fibonacci Retracement Insights:
The retracement from the recent high around $0.40236 shows DOGE struggling to maintain key Fibonacci levels. Failure to reclaim the 0.618 retracement zone could lead to deeper corrections towards the 2.618 and 3.618 extensions.
Outlook & Trading Strategy:
Bearish Scenario: A break below $0.24330 may trigger further declines towards $0.14499. Traders could consider short positions with tight stop losses above $0.25.
Bullish Scenario: A rebound above $0.30 could reignite bullish momentum, targeting $0.40 and beyond.
Conclusion:
DOGE is at a crucial juncture. While bearish indicators dominate, the proximity to key support levels and oversold RSI conditions hint at a potential short-term bounce. Traders should monitor volume spikes and MACD crossovers for confirmation of trend reversals.
Possible top for BTC for this cycle?Trying to see what the bullish outlook is for #BTC, however I am finding a lot more bearish arguments at this stage then bullish.
Looking at the Daily, Weekly and Monthly Chart:
- RSI printing Bearish Divergences
- Failing to break above the heavy pitch-fork channel formed since 2017 Highs through to the highs in 2021.
Daily:
- 50MA is approaching closer and looks to roll back around.
- Super Guppy band is starting to tighten and turn neutral.
- 5th Wave of Elliot has finished, with a truncated top.
- Double top pattern
- Wyckoff Distribution looks to be in play
Of course if we can break out of this massive channel, this bearishness is no longer valid.
What case for Bullishness can you give me for BTC?
UNIUSDT: A Massive Bullish Move Loading… or a Trap?Yello, Paradisers! Is UNIUSDT finally gearing up for a major breakout, or is this just another fake move before a deeper correction? Let’s break it down.
💎UNIUSDT is currently trading within a descending channel, increasing the probability of an upcoming bullish move. The key support zone is holding strong, and we might be witnessing the early signs of a double-bottom formation—a classic reversal pattern.
💎However, confirmation is everything in trading. To increase the probability in our favor, we need to see: Bullish divergence, Bullish I-CHoCH (Internal Change of Character), Bullish reversal patterns such as a W-pattern or inverse head and shoulders from our support zone.
💎If UNIUSDT retraces further, we expect a bounce from the strong support zone—but again, we must wait for clear bullish confirmations before taking any positions.
💎The invalidation level? If price breaks and closes candle below the strong support zone, the entire bullish setup gets invalidated. In that case, we wait patiently for better price action before considering any new trades.
🎖Patience and discipline are key, Paradisers. Many traders will get trapped in bad positions, but those who wait for the right confirmations will be the ones making money. Trade smart & stick to high-probability setups only.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ETHUSD: Replicating Bitcoin's past Cycle to $14,000?Ethereum is almost oversold on 1D and straight bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 41.942, MACD = 3.920, ADX = 30.130) struggling to find bullish momentum and get detached from the consolidation it's been inside since March 2024. The whole Cycle however is technically much like Bitcoin's 2018-2021 Cycle. As the 1W MA200-1M MA50 zone supported Bitcoin on the Cycle bottom and later during the COVID crash, it is doing so on Ethereum for the past 2 years and most recently this week. If it holds, we may see a massive rally starting to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (TP = 14,000).
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FTT ANALYSIS📊 #FTT Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a breakout and currently trading around its major support area🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a successful retest
👀Current Price: $1.946
🚀 Target Price: $3.050
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #FTT price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#FTT #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BTCUSD: Is it about to explode while the Dollar tanks?Bitcoin remains bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 62.733, MACD = 8478.500, ADX = 61.463) but neutral on 1D, which suggests that it is a buy opportunity long term. What can really help the price explode from this point onwards though, is a strong drop on the DXY, which has already shown signs of peaking. Based on the last 2 Cycles, it is out of the Accumulation Phase and is has completed the fake-out, which traps investors into thinking that higher prices are coming. This is where a bearish reversal has taken place in the past, lasting 399 days until its bottom, which is where BTC tops. Get ready for a full 2025 Bitcoin rally.
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AVALANCHE at Critical Support: Rebound Toward 33.00?COINBASE:AVAXUSD has reached a significant support level, marked by prior price reactions and strong buying activity. This level has historically acted as a key demand zone, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal if buyers step in.
The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms a rejection within this zone, an upward move toward the 33.00 level is likely, aligning with a logical retracement within the current market structure.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, to validate potential long entries.
DEFI Crypto Set to Skyrocket: Listing on 10 Exchanges TodayThe cryptocurrency space is buzzing with excitement as DEFI, the groundbreaking token powering the DeFi Web3 AI SuperApp, gears up for listings on 10 major exchanges today. This milestone marks a significant leap forward for the project, founded in 2020, which has steadily gained recognition for its innovation and utility in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.
The Backbone of Web3 Innovation:
Backed by heavyweights such as Consensys, 21Shares, OKX, and HOF Capital, DeFi has positioned itself as a leader in the DeFi and Web3 revolution. With a cutting-edge AI-powered SuperApp, DeFi aims to simplify and amplify user experiences across decentralized finance, enabling seamless access to DeFi tools, analytics, and services—all in one intuitive platform.
Strong Institutional Backing:
What sets DEFI apart is its robust backing from top-tier venture capital firms and prominent DeFi investors across the globe. This level of support not only validates the project’s vision but also bolsters its credibility as it expands into mainstream markets.
Today’s Exchange Listings: A Catalyst for Growth:
The 10 exchange listings set to happen today are expected to significantly increase DEFI’s liquidity and visibility, paving the way for broader adoption and market participation. With the involvement of major exchanges like OKX, DEFI is primed to become one of the most accessible and widely traded tokens in the market.
What Makes DeFi Unique?
Under the leadership of CTO artemDeFi, DeFi combines the power of artificial intelligence with decentralized finance, delivering next-generation solutions for both individual users and institutional investors. The SuperApp’s comprehensive suite of Web3 tools is designed to redefine how users interact with DeFi protocols, ensuring security, transparency, and efficiency.
Why This Matters:
Today’s listings are more than just a market event—they signal the arrival of DeFi as a major player in the cryptocurrency and Web3 space. With its innovative technology, strong team, and powerful backing, DEFI is not just another cryptocurrency; it’s a gateway to the future of decentralized finance.
As the listings go live, the market will be watching closely. Will DEFI be the next big thing in the crypto world? With its unparalleled vision and support, all signs point to yes.
$BTC BITCOIN TRADERS EYE ‘HUGE’ US JOBS DATA AS BTC RISKS $95K BITCOIN TRADERS EYE ‘HUGE’ US JOBS DATA AS BTC RISKS $95K DIP
1/7
Bitcoin is hovering around GETTEX:97K , after dropping 3.5% yesterday. 🚀📉
Now, all eyes are on the upcoming US January jobs report—could it ignite the next major BTC move?
2/7
Prediction markets signal a 28% chance of a “huge beat” (300K+ jobs) vs. Wall Street’s 169K forecast. 📊
A stronger-than-expected jobs print might fuel more Fed hawkishness, pressuring risk assets like BTC.
3/7
Market Sentiment: If job numbers soar, the Fed could keep rates higher for longer. ⬆️🏦
CME’s FedWatch Tool shows a 14.5% chance for a 0.25% cut in March, meaning rate reductions are still unlikely.
4/7
Price & Liquidity: BTC sits in a narrow trading range. 💹
Traders see liquidity around $95K—we could dip there before another leg up.
5/7
BTC is “pinned” until a catalyst—like the jobs data—sparks real volatility. ⚡️
Will an oversized payroll number push BTC toward $95K or trigger a surprise bounce?
6/7 Where do you see BTC heading after the jobs data drop?
1️⃣ Dip to $95K
2️⃣ Sideways chop
3️⃣ Break above $100K
4️⃣ Something else?
Vote below! 👇🗳️
7/7
With strong job numbers, the Fed might keep its foot on the brake 🏁, challenging $BTC. But if the data disappoints, a relief rally could be on the table. Keep your risk management in check!
OFFICIAL TRUMP OPPORTUNITYThe Official Trump meme coin is currently valued at $25.79, having experienced a notable drop from its peak of $75. Even with this decline, the coin continues to capture attention in both the market and mainstream media. It's worth mentioning that some early investors might still be enjoying substantial profits. While the price is on a downward trend, there is potential for a recovery.
Moreover, the coin has established real-world applications, as it is accepted for bookings through Travala, a platform that facilitates crypto payments for flights, hotels, and activities. This acceptance could lead to increased selling as investors cash out, but it may also enhance the coin's value in the long run.
A significant portion of its supply remains unreleased, with 800 million coins set to enter circulation over the next three years, which could result in token dilution unless the market cap grows accordingly. The token's market has been volatile, characterised by swift price changes followed by steep declines.
Currently, it’s uncertain whether the coin will achieve lasting success or gradually fade away. Major exchanges hold a considerable share of the coin, while retail investors typically possess smaller amounts, yet they still play a role in the trading volume. Although there are worries about the coin's future due to intense selling pressure, it hasn't reached a stage that could be labeled a 'rug pull.' Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, there is optimism that the coin could experience significant growth again, with some forecasts suggesting it might hit a $100 billion market cap.
I see a chance to accumulate within the designated area on the chart. Avoid becoming overly attached to lofty market cap predictions. Instead, establish an accumulation box and a profit-taking box. The strategy of dollar-cost averaging in and out has proven to be a reliable trading approach.
How High Can BITCOIN go versus GOLD (sorry uncle Peter Schiff)One of the frequent topics of discussion revolves around the legitimacy of this pattern. There’s a widespread misunderstanding about the continuation type of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern.
Indeed, it is a valid and dependable chart pattern.
Let’s explore this often-recognized chart pattern in more detail.
The Head and Shoulders chart pattern can manifest as a continuation on price charts. In an uptrend, a continuation H&S will closely resemble a H&S bottom, while in a downtrend, it will look like an inverse H&S. The implications and interpretations of a continuation H&S are generally consistent with those of reversal patterns. Price targets can be established in the same manner as they are for reversal patterns.
When a head and shoulders continuation forms during an uptrend, it typically breaks out to new highs once the pattern is completed. Breakouts to all-time highs from bullish continuation patterns are often reliable and robust.
Edwards and Magee highlighted the H&S continuation in their book, "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends," back in the 1930s. The pattern remains largely unchanged in today’s price charts.
BTC & ALTCOINSIn this chart we can see Bitcoin historical Highs , lows , halving years (green->green) and halvings ... we can see some patterns here , not price patterns but sessionality patterns .. for example .. strong probabilty next btc HIGH will be in November/December this year , or we can also see on chart of BTC.D .. we are close to date when BTC.D breaks and fall as much as alts shine .. But all of this was history what about today ? What if , in this one cycle is something different , for example players ... Old good BTC and Crypto OG players now have less power as manipulators , we have some guys from wallstreet also here , Trump and much more .. Macroeconomic was totaly changed ... so what do you think guys ?
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) descending channel breakoutBitcóin just regained 20EMA support, printing a three-white-soldiers pattern. Looks good for bullish continuation from here.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (10.0X)
Amount: 4.9%
Entry Zone:
98356.7 - 97312.9
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 102615.4
1) 106215.9
1) 109816.3
Stop Targets:
1) 93834.3
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +48.9% | +85.7% | +122.5%
Possible Loss= -40.9%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
QTUM ANALYSIS🚀#QTUM Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #QTUM that after consolidation there was a huge bullish move. Right now we could see #QTUM is trading around its major resistance zone. After the breakout we would see a good bullish move
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #QTUM price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#QTUM #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
ONDO - The Sweet Spot!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After rejecting the $2 round number, ONDO has been in a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of its rising broadening wedge marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support and round number $1.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the $1 round number and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #ONDO approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BADUSDT Breakout: Is a Massive Rally Coming or a Sudden crash?
Yello, Paradisers! Are you keeping an eye on #BADUSDT? Because what’s unfolding right now could either ignite a powerful rally or trigger a sharp drop that catches many traders off guard. Let’s break down the current situation.
💎#BAD has shown a strong breakout above the previous resistance zone at $1617, which has now turned into a key support level. Following this breakout, the price experienced a pullback and is currently testing this critical support. This level will be decisive in determining the next move.
💎If the $1617 support holds, we could see a period of consolidation before an upward continuation. A successful rebound from this zone may lead to a retest of the $2400 resistance level, and in the case of sustained bullish momentum, we could be looking at an extended target around $3100. However, if the price fails to maintain this support, we will shift our focus to the lower support zones. There is juicy liquidity down there, which increases the probability of a bullish reversal. But if a daily candle closes below this lower support zone, it could indicate the start of bearish momentum, leading to a significant price drop.
💎Monitoring price behavior at the current support zone is critical, as it will determine whether #BADUSD sustains its bullish momentum or shifts into a corrective phase.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits.
Discipline and patience are the keys to navigating volatile setups like this. Play it smart, Paradisers, and always wait for the highest probability opportunities if you want to stay in the game long-term.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴