Dogecoin - The Final Break And Retest!Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) is confirming the final retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the textbook retest of the previous all time high about three months ago on Dogecoin, so far we also saw the expected correction of about -50%. However Dogecoin is about to confirm the bullish break and retest, which eventually leads to a parabolic rally and new highs.
Levels to watch: $0.2, $0.5, $5.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Crypto
BITCOIN Short term Channel Down rebounding.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having a rebound after the price hit the bottom of the 10 day Channel Down.
The bullish wave should attempt at least a +13.73% rise (similar to the previous one) and target 87000.
That is the short term bullish plan as the price may be rejected again at the top of the Channel Down.
If however the 4hour MA200 breaks, it will be the first time since February 4th and should be enough to restore the long term bullish bias back to the market.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Double Top Pattern / Wait For Neckline BreakWe are still looking for that neckline breakdown to happen from our "double top" pattern.
As soon as we get the break of the neckline, this would send the price back to lower zones (where the first target would be the 200 EMA zone at $86K, then the lower support zone).
Swallow Team
HBARUSD: Can it reach $1.00 by the end of the year?Hedera is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.045, MACD = -0.011, ADX = 33.721) as it had a strong 1D MA50 rejection and approached its 1D MA200 seeking support. If it holds, the Channel Down of the past 3 months will turn out to be a Bull Flag that will greadually push the price to the HH trendline for the Cycle's Top. We believe that could be at $1.00 by the end of 2025.
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ETHEREUM CRASH TO $786! (UPDATE)Remember my Ethereum sell prediction from September 2024? Despite it pushing a little higher, price has remained within the trendlines & bearish channel, keeping its trend in a 'downtrend'.
We're still within a 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) corrective channel, with the current bearish move down being Wave C. Wave C target still remains around $786🩸
#ZECUSDT #1D (Binance Futures) Descending channel breakoutZcash broke-out printing a morning star, looks good for recovery towards 100EMA resistance.
⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Binance Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (2.0X)
Amount: 5.9%
Current Price:
36.12
Entry Zone:
36.05 - 33.55
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 41.83
1) 47.12
1) 52.42
Stop Targets:
1) 28.92
Published By: @Zblaba
SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ZEC BINANCE:ZECUSDT.P #1D #Zcash #Privacy z.cash
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +40.4% | +70.8% | +101.3%
Possible Loss= -33.8%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
TIA Trade Setup: Potential Double Bottom FormationWith seller exhaustion possibly setting in, TIA is shaping up for a double bottom formation. If price deviates from launch levels and confirms a market structure shift, we could see a strong upside move.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $4.00
Take Profit Targets:
$5.50 (First TP - Key Resistance Zone)
$7.10 (Second TP - Breakout Level)
$9.00 (Third TP - Full Expansion Target)
Stop Loss: Below $3.00
Keeping an eye on volume confirmation and resistance reclaim before full conviction. 🚀
USDJPY Falling Wedge Breakout: 300 Pips Bullish Move AheadUSDJPY is currently trading at 147.50, having recently broken out of a falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. After the breakout, the pair has completed its retesting phase, confirming support at lower levels. With bullish momentum building, we now expect an upward move toward the 152.50 target, implying a 300 pips gain from current levels.
From a technical analysis perspective, the falling wedge is a well-known bullish continuation pattern, indicating that sellers have weakened and buyers are stepping in. Now that the retest is complete, the next key resistance levels to watch are 149.50 and 151.00, with 152.50 being the final target. Support levels are now formed at 146.50 and 145.80, where buyers could step in if any short-term pullback occurs.
On the fundamental side, USDJPY is influenced by Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan monetary policy differences. The Fed's hawkish stance and rising U.S. Treasury yields continue to support USD strength. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy keeps the yen weaker, allowing the bullish USDJPY momentum to continue. Additionally, risk sentiment and global economic trends favor the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
With the falling wedge breakout confirmed and fundamentals supporting further gains, USDJPY looks poised for a strong bullish rally. Traders should monitor volume and price action for confirmation, as a push above 149.50 could accelerate the move toward 152.50. This setup presents a great opportunity to capture a high-probability trade in the coming sessions.
XAUUSD Bullish Pennant Breakout: Gold Aiming for 3020XAUUSD is currently consolidating around 2920, forming a **bullish pennant pattern**, a strong continuation signal indicating potential upside momentum. Gold has been in a steady uptrend, and this consolidation phase suggests that the market is gathering strength before the next move. A breakout above the pennant resistance could push prices toward the psychological level of **3000**, with an extended target of **3020**.
From a technical perspective, a **bullish pennant** is characterized by a brief consolidation after a strong rally, typically leading to another upward surge. If gold **breaks out with strong volume**, it could confirm further bullish momentum. **Key resistance levels** to watch are 2950 and 2970, while **strong support levels** are at 2900 and 2880. A successful breakout could attract more buyers, fueling a strong rally toward the **3020 level**.
On the **fundamental side**, gold remains well-supported by **geopolitical tensions, central bank gold purchases, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate adjustments**. If economic uncertainty increases or the Fed signals a more dovish stance, gold prices could gain further momentum. Additionally, a weaker **U.S. dollar and falling bond yields** could add fuel to the bullish case for XAUUSD.
In conclusion, XAUUSD is forming a **bullish pennant**, signaling a potential breakout toward 3020. **Traders should watch for volume confirmation and breakout signals above resistance levels** to enter positions strategically. If the breakout is confirmed, we can expect gold to gain further strength, presenting a great buying opportunity for traders.
Is the U.S. building a crypto reserve?The United States (U.S.) is no longer just a bitcoin holder – it may be laying the groundwork for a national crypto reserve. Is this the moment bitcoin goes fully mainstream?
Strategic bitcoin accumulation?
Recent estimates suggest that the U.S. government is sitting on 200,000+ bitcoins – over $13 billion worth – mostly seized from criminal operators such as the Silk Road1. That stash makes Uncle Sam one of the largest bitcoin holders in the world. But here is the real question: what is the endgame?
Historically, seized bitcoin was auctioned off at deep discounts, flooding the market with sell pressure. This time, however, President Donald Trump’s latest executive order has put a halt to rapid liquidations, signalling a strategic shift. Instead of fire sales, the U.S. government is deliberately holding onto its bitcoin, driving speculation about a potential long-term reserve strategy.
Is this merely a temporary pause, or the first step toward establishing a full-fledged crypto reserve? While the executive order marks a clear change in approach, formally integrating bitcoin into the U.S. financial system would demand congressional approval, regulatory coordination, and a robust custody framework. The path forward is not just about policy – it is about power.
Digital gold for digital age
Crypto is not just a speculative asset anymore – it is a strategic economic lever in global power dynamics. With the U.S. dollar facing growing pressure from alternative currencies and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), bitcoin’s appeal as a neutral, hard asset is undeniable.
Unlike traditional assets, bitcoin cannot be printed, seized by sanctions, or easily manipulated. If the U.S. sees what other nations are beginning to recognise – that bitcoin is the 21st century version of gold – it may rethink its role as a long-term reserve asset.
The conversation around crypto is no longer confined to industry circles. President Donald Trump recently issued an executive order officially recognising bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, marking a significant policy shift. This move has sparked widespread discussion about the future role of digital assets in national reserves.
Further reinforcing this shift, the White House is set to host a Crypto Summit on March 7, where top policymakers and industry leaders will discuss digital assets. While details are scarce, this could be the first step toward formal integration of crypto into U.S. financial policy.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has remained largely silent, leaving questions about its stance on bitcoin’s role in national monetary policy. Will the central bank embrace digital assets, or will it resist this historic shift?
What would it take to make it official?
Turning bitcoin into a recognised U.S. reserve asset is not just a simple executive order. It would require:
Congressional approval to classify bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as strategic reserves.
Regulatory coordination between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Federal Reserve, and Treasury.
A secure custody framework to manage holdings without risking security breaches or market instability.
A phased rollout – starting with bitcoin before expanding to other cryptocurrencies or beginning with small holdings before gradually increasing them.
This would not happen overnight. A realistic timeline? Years, not months. Expect feasibility studies, pilot programs, and intense political battles before crypto earns a seat next to gold in the U.S. balance sheet.
Market shockwaves
If the U.S. openly adopts bitcoin as a reserve asset, expect seismic shifts in global markets:
Sovereign bitcoin FOMO2 – other nations would likely follow suit, sparking a global race to accumulate bitcoin.
Institutional confidence surge – a U.S. endorsement would cement bitcoin’s status as digital gold, driving massive institutional inflows.
Reduced sell pressure – unlike past cycles of seized bitcoin dumps, retention would tighten supply and bolster price stability.
If this trend accelerates, we could be looking at a fundamental shift in the financial system – one where bitcoin plays a central role in sovereign wealth strategies. The question is not if, but when and how fast governments will adapt to this new reality.
The bottom line
With the world’s largest economy holding one of the biggest bitcoin reserves, the question is not just about policy – it is about power. Will this be the turning point where bitcoin cements itself as the next global reserve currency?
1 US Government Bitcoin Holdings, Bitcoin Treasuries by BiTBO (treasuries.bitbo.io)
2 FOMO = fear of missing out.
VETUSDT on the Edge – Is a Major Breakdown Coming?Yello! Is VETUSDT on the verge of a bigger drop, or could a reversal be in play? The price action is signaling a critical moment, and traders need to stay sharp. A major move is brewing let’s analyze the setup.
💎#VETUSD remains under strong bearish pressure, repeatedly rejecting from the descending trendline and key supply zone. Price is also trading below the 200 EMA, reinforcing the bearish momentum and signaling that sellers remain in control. Until VET reclaims $0.02695, the risk of further downside remains high.
💎The next major support level to watch is $0.02117, where a temporary bounce could occur. However, if selling pressure continues, VET is likely to push lower toward $0.01906, a historically strong accumulation zone. This level will be crucial either it holds as a buying opportunity, or we see deeper downside continuation.
💎For the bulls to regain control, it must reclaim $0.02695 and break past the supply zone. A sustained push beyond $0.025, combined with strong buying momentum, could indicate the start of a recovery. However, a true trend reversal will only be confirmed if NYSE:VET closes above $0.02695 and reclaims the 200 EMA, invalidating the bearish setup and signaling bullish strength.
Patience is key, Paradisers. The market rewards those who wait for confirmation instead of chasing every move.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
Ethereum at Key Support: Will it bounce to 2,800$?COINBASE:ETHUSD price is moving inside a clear ascending channel , with the upper boundary acting as long-term resistance and the lower boundary providing dynamic support. After a steady climb, the price started showing weakness, confirmed by a head and shoulders pattern, a common sign that the trend might reverse. This led to a strong drop, bringing the price down to a key support zone around $2,000.
This support area is important because it meets with a major trendline, making it a likely spot where buyers could step in. The volume profile also shows a lot of activity in this zone, meaning traders have been interested in these levels before. If the price holds above this support, there’s a good chance it could bounce towards $2,800, which lines up with a previous resistance.
A breakdown below the trendline shifts the bias bearish toward 1,414. For now, as long as Ethereum stays above the support zone, a recovery toward $2,800 is on the table. But if it falls below, the bearish trend is likely to continue.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Bitcoin Cash shows signs of resilienceBitcoin Cash MARKETSCOM:BCHUSD is currently resisting to go for lower lows. Instead, the crypto is forming higher lows. If this remains like this, there might see some buying interest coming through. Let's dig in.
CRYPTO:BCHUSD
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BITCOIN at Key Support – Ready to Bounce to $94,000?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading at a key demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support within the ascending channel. The recent retracement has brought the price back into this area, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction. The confluence of the support zone and the ascending trendline suggests that buyers may step in to regain control.
If price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish continuation toward the $94,000 level, aligning with the channel’s midline and the next major resistance. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish bias and signal a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increasing buying volume, before considering long positions. A breakout above minor resistance levels along the way could further strengthen the bullish outlook.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
MSTR📊 MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) – Technical & Simple Fundamental Analysis
1️⃣ Technical Analysis
🔍 Overall Trend Analysis
Long-term uptrend remains intact, but the stock is currently in a pullback phase from its $500 peak.
Testing 50-day EMA support ($238.91) – a key level for bulls to defend.
Short-term momentum is bearish, with declining RSI and a bearish MACD crossover.
📌 Key Levels
✅ Support Zones:
$230 - $240 → Testing 50-day EMA, crucial support.
$180 - $200 → Stronger demand zone if $230 fails.
$120 - $140 → Near 200-day EMA ($118.00), deeper correction level.
Below $120 → Supports at $100, $80, $60, $40 (historical levels).
🚀 Resistance Zones:
$280 - $300 → Immediate resistance after rejection.
$340 - $360 → Next resistance from recent peaks.
$420 - $500 → All-time high resistance.
📉 Indicators & Volume
📊 Moving Averages:
9-day EMA: $297.18 (short-term resistance).
20-day EMA: $297.58 (confirming short-term bearish trend).
50-day EMA: $238.91 (being tested as support).
200-day EMA: $118.00 (long-term uptrend remains intact).
📉 RSI (43.94) → Approaching oversold territory.
📉 MACD → Bearish crossover, showing downward momentum increasing.
📊 Volume → Selling volume increasing, but not extreme yet.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Technical)
✅ Bullish case: Price holds $230-$240 & reclaims $280.
⚠️ Bearish case: Break below $230 → Potential drop to $200 or lower.
2️⃣ Fundamental Analysis NASDAQ:MSTR (Simplified)
📌 Revenue: $57.53M (-3% YoY), Net Loss: -$670.8M in Q4 2024.
📌 Bitcoin Holdings: 478,740 BTC (~$45.1B market value, acquired for $31.1 billion).
📌 Capital Raising: Issuing $21B in preferred securities to fund further Bitcoin purchases.
📌 Stock Performance: Down last 3 months
📌 Workforce Cuts: Laid off 20.7% of employees in 2024.
📌 Rebranding: Now officially called "Strategy", symbolizing its Bitcoin-focused direction.
🔭 What to Watch Next (Fundamental)
✅ Bitcoin price movement – heavily influences MSTR.
✅ Earnings improvements – need to reduce losses.
✅ Institutional buying trends – support or sell-off?
🔥 Final Thoughts: MSTR is at a critical support zone. If Bitcoin remains strong, a bounce is possible. However, a breakdown below $230 could trigger deeper downside. 🚀📊
ETHEREUM CRASH TO $786! (UPDATE)Remember my ETH short bias from last September? Despite it pushing up a little, price has remained within the trendlines & bearish channel, keeping its main trend in a 'downtrend'.
We are still within a 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) corrective channel, with the current bearish move down being Wave C. Wave C target still remains around $786🩸
Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation AnalysisQuick analysis of BTCUSD downside targets. Remains to be seen whether the near-term Bitcoin lows will hold, but if they don't, a "bear trap" setup could be in play. There's a daily demand zone (77075-74305) wedged between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. The bear trap will be dependent on momentum, but watch this area if we get a flush below 78180. If bullish divergences form, bulls could look to trap bears and buy within said range.
That said, keep the focus on longer-term charts. Larger timeframe buy zones are ~70K. Should the weekly RSI take a dive < 40, look for reversal signals on smaller timeframes before getting long. The high of the corrective segment denoting ideal buys is 73808 and the anchor low securing the long-term uptrend is 49351. Entries within that range, which is wide, are viable. Also multiple support/resistance "flip zones" in play circa the abovementioned levels.
Bitcoin found some support ~50% Fib retrace, anchored VWAP, and sub-daily demand. It could hold here (trying to put in a intraday higher low as I type this), but I'm hoping it trades lower before higher.
Godspeed!
JHart
Possible top for BTC for this cycle?Trying to see what the bullish outlook is for #BTC, however I am finding a lot more bearish arguments at this stage then bullish.
Looking at the Daily, Weekly and Monthly Chart:
- RSI printing Bearish Divergences
- Failing to break above the heavy pitch-fork channel formed since 2017 Highs through to the highs in 2021.
Daily:
- 50MA is approaching closer and looks to roll back around.
- Super Guppy band is starting to tighten and turn neutral.
- 5th Wave of Elliot has finished, with a truncated top.
- Double top pattern
- Wyckoff Distribution looks to be in play
Of course if we can break out of this massive channel, this bearishness is no longer valid.
What case for Bullishness can you give me for BTC?