ETH/USD Main Trend Pamp/Dump Cycles. Accumulation/distributionThe time frame is 1 month. The graph is logarithmic. The main trend is almost entirely from May 2016 (the network was launched on July 30, 2015). Then the “hacking” story and a fork in ETC (initial) and ETH (more centralized).
A week later, ETH will become even more centralized and no longer a cryptocurrency (a true understanding of what a cryptocurrency is). In a year or two, there will be no cryptocurrencies left. No decentralization, complete centralization (substitution of concepts, to achieve the goal).
Coin in coinmarketcap: Ethereum (ETH)
The graph shows accumulation zones and distribution zones. These are not lows and highs. Notice how the percentage of the average of the smart money set and reset prices differs from the percentage of the maximum lows and highs that the “dumb money” is so chasing. Potential lows and highs may need to be considered, but the basic work should focus on average values of the accumulation and distribution.
Here's how this main (long-term trend) looks like on a line chart without “market noise”.
1 cycle of the secondary trend.
The accumulation zone after the distribution started at -92.69
Before the exit from the accumulation and the reversal, it reset at -69%.
It is up to you to use it or just watch from the side. You should always keep it in mind.
Linear chart (trend direction without market “noise”)
Note that the super reset of -69% before the trend reversal on the line chart is simply not visible. This is all local fear for capitulation of “weak hands”.
So at such times you can use it or watch from the sidelines if you feel you are the “weak link”.
Even larger scale between the two cycles.
cycle 2 of the secondary trend Now.
The cycle is now on a larger scale. Note that the price is now down from the high of -82%
Linear graph.
Local secondary trend work now ahead of Paris.
ETH/USD Secondary Trend (part). Pivot zones. Channel. Paris
Crypto
Bitcoin Short - Final Squeeze?Negative ETF Inflows and positive ETF Outflows. We go after data right? I'm bearish until ETF data prooves otherwise. Which level will be the final one? I'm deciding on speed and time above 100k. For now target is 104-105.5. If we hover around several days at 100k without hitting any, I'm more into the 103 lvl.
Bought timehello friends
Considering the sharp back and forth movement of this currency and hitting a higher ceiling, we expect that it will move to the specified targets now that the pullback has started.
Be successful and profitable.
ALTCOINS Relentless alt season started after Christmas.This is the crypto total market cap excluding the top 10 of crypto and the 3 charts show the price action around the Christmas day of the last three Cycles. This is best to be kept simple. The months leading to Christmas are normally either correction or accumulation phases. What followed straight after Christmas in 2020 and 2016 was a relentless rally. Given that the altcoin market just tested the 1D MA50 and is rebounding, historically we can see a similarly aggressive rally as soon as January 1st 2025. Especially considering that the 1D RSI got bearish at 40.000 and rebounded immediately. The market can technically reach as high as 2 Trillion in capitalization during this run.
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BITCOIN SELL TO $86,000 (UPDATE)BTC has already smashed our TP1 target & now hovering around the $98,000 zone. It is still possible that price might dump lower towards the $86,000 zone but overall you can DCA (Dollar Cost Average) into buy's now if you're willing to hold. I personally won't be buying at these prices.
Bitcoin price is on a crossroadHello, Traders!
After reaching a new ATH at $108k, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following Jerome Powell's speech that the Fed cannot hold Bitcoin and is not seeking to change that, which seems to have caused some uncertainty in the market. As a result, BTC price saw a steep decline, but it recently rebounded, almost touching the $100k level again.
The current focus for Bitcoin is a critical support area at around $91k. This area has held up well in recent price action, and we saw a recovery bounce from this region again. There is a strong chance that BTC could revisit this support area in the coming days, and it could provide another opportunity for a potential rebound. This support area is essential because it represents a significant price range where buyers have stepped in to defend the uptrend.
If Bitcoin does test this zone again and holds above $91k, the probability of a further upward move remains high.
In addition to the immediate price action, there’s a key factor to consider: the monthly candle close. Bitcoin needs to close the current monthly candle above $96k for the market to maintain its bullish sentiment. A green monthly close at this level would provide strong confirmation that the overall trend remains intact and that BTC is on track for further price appreciation.
The next few days are critical for determining whether BTC can sustain momentum to close the month in the green. If Bitcoin can hold above $96k by the end of the month, it would signal that the upward trend is still in play and that a continuation toward higher levels could be on the horizon.
Looking ahead to next week, there are two possible scenarios:
1. Continued Support Test: Bitcoin may dip back towards the $91k support area. If this area holds strong, it could set up another bullish reversal, targeting a move back toward the $100k area or even beyond.
2. Break Below Support: If Bitcoin fails to maintain support in the $91k area, we could see further downside, potentially testing lower levels. In this case, caution is warranted, as the next major support zone would be considerably lower.
Conclusion
The next week could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. A monthly candle close above $96k would reinforce the bullish outlook, but if Bitcoin fails to hold support or closes the month in red, we may see more volatility in the near term.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Key Moment for RLC: Breakout Opportunity or Bearish Threat?Yello, Paradisers! Is #RLCUSDT setting up for a powerful bullish continuation, or are we facing a bearish rejection? Let’s dive into the key levels you need to watch right now.
💎#RLC has made a strong rebound off its support, showing promising signs of strength. A successful breakout from the falling wedge pattern could confirm a bullish continuation. For this, we need a daily close above the trendline to validate the breakout. If this happens, the next target would likely be the minor resistance at $2.67. This level is crucial because a breakout here could lead to the highest probability of reaching the major resistance level.
💎If RLC fails to break the falling wedge and faces rejection with bearish candles, the price might drop back to retest the support zone around $1.87–$1.72.
💎The real concern arises if RLC fails to rebound from this support and breaks below it. In this case, the price would likely continue its downward trajectory toward the strong support at $1.30.
💎The $1.30 level represents the last line of defense for the bullish scenario. A rebound from here, followed by a reclaim of the $1.87 support, is necessary to reignite bullish momentum.
💎However, if RLC breaks below the major support at $1.30 and a daily candle closes under this level, it would confirm a bearish trend, with the potential for further downside and deeper dips.
Strive for consistency, Paradisers, and trade smart. This market rewards the disciplined and punishes the impulsive. Let’s stay focused and make the best decisions possible.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
XAUUSD on the way to 2900 Price LevelThe currency pair in focus is XAU/USD, representing the exchange rate between gold (XAU) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price of XAU/USD is 2611, meaning one ounce of gold is valued at 2611 US Dollars. The target price is 2900, indicating a projected increase in gold's value to 2900 USD per ounce. The expected gain is 2000 pips, with each pip representing a small price movement in the currency pair. The pattern being observed is a Symmetrical Triangle, a chart formation that indicates a period of consolidation. In this pattern, the price moves between converging trendlines, suggesting that the market is uncertain and waiting for a breakout. A breakout occurs when the price breaks above the upper trendline or below the lower trendline, signaling a strong price movement. Traders are watching for this breakout, as it could push the price toward the target of 2900. The symmetrical triangle pattern typically leads to a significant price movement once the breakout occurs, making it a key technical indicator. This setup is used by traders to anticipate the direction of the next major move in the market.
LPTUSDT Ecpecting 30%+ Gain LPTUSDT, currently trading at $18. Analysts predict a target price of $26, indicating a potential gain of over 30%. This forecast is based on the coin's price movement, which is following a support and resistance pattern. Specifically, the price is bouncing off the support level, suggesting a potential upward trend. Investors may consider buying LPTUSDT at its current price, with the goal of selling at the target price to realize the predicted gain. To manage risk, a stop-loss order can be set below the support level. Overall, the investment strategy for LPTUSDT carries a medium to high level of risk.
BTC vs USDT.D - Who Follows Whom?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
I always keep an eye on USDT.D to gauge the overall sentiment of the crypto market.
📚 Today, I want to demonstrate the correlation between BTC and USDT.D:
- A couple of weeks ago, BTC was rejected at the $108,000 zone, while USDT.D bounced off the 3.6% support.
- BTC is currently hovering around the lower bound of its rising wedge, while USDT.D is approaching the upper bound of its falling wedge.
- As long as BTC doesn't close a full day below the blue trendline and USDT.D doesn't close a full day above the upper red trendline, this phase can be considered a correction.
- Conversely, if both trendlines are breached, expect a momentum shift, potentially leading to a deeper bearish movement in the crypto market.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BITCOIN in a LIVERMORE FunnelThe accumulation and distribution volume matches the positive and negative money flows of the first 5 waves in a Jesse Livermore stock cylinder.
Will wave 6 see a rush of positive money flow into #Bitcoin into the end of the year?
Let's see
If it does
then that will further cement this pattern of accumulation , sideways movement then breakout with continuation of buying power into the Bull market top.
Let's observe this in real time shall we?
Should be a fun few months ahead of us after a long period of churn.
S/O to @arvine11 for bringing up the Livermore stock trend analysis.
SOL/USDT: Are We Heading for a Breakdown or a Massive Rebound?Yello, Paradisers! Is #SOLUSDT gearing up for a major breakout, or are we staring at a looming collapse? The charts are heating up, and you need to see this analysis to stay ahead.
💎#SOL is currently holding its support trendline, hinting at a potential rebound. If this level holds, we could see SOL pushing upward to test the $204.60 resistance. A breakout above this level would likely trigger a strong continuation toward all-time highs (ATH).
💎If the support trendline gives way, the price is likely to test the $169–$155 demand zone. This area has consistently proven its strength, with previous price action respecting it multiple times. A rebound from here could still offer significant opportunities for the bulls.
💎The real danger arises if SOL fails to hold even at the demand zone. This area aligns with the support trendline, and a breakdown would signal a bearish trend, with the price potentially heading toward the strong support zone around $115.
💎Historically, the $115 level has acted as a major lifeline for SOL. If this level is broken and a daily candle closes below it, bullish momentum would be invalidated, and we could see a deeper plunge. This would be a clear bearish signal, and prices might dip even further.
Stay focused, Paradisers—this market rewards patience and strategy. Let's trade like champions.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
WLDUSDT: Ready for a Bullish Surge from Key Support?Yello Paradisers! WLDUSDT is maintaining a bullish market structure and respecting the supportive trendline, which increases the probability of a bullish move.
💎If WLDUSDT approaches the key support zone aligned with the supportive trendline, or if it forms bullish patterns like a bullish Internal Change of Character (I-CHoCH), W-pattern, or Inverse Head & Shoulders on lower timeframes, it will further increase the likelihood of a bullish continuation.
💎In the case of a retracement or panic selling, a bounce from the strong support zone is anticipated. However, to strengthen the probability of a reversal, confirmation via a bullish I-CHoCH on lower timeframes is essential.
💎However, if the price breaks down and closes a candle below the strong support zone, it will invalidate the bullish outlook. In such a scenario, it would be wise to remain patient and wait for a clearer price action to develope.
🎖Stay disciplined, Paradisers. The market rewards patience and strategy, not impulsiveness. Stick to your plan, wait for confirmations, and approach every trade like a pro.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
#VETUSDT Ready For a Pullback or Will it Slide Down Further? Yello, Paradisers! Is #VeChain gearing up for a pullback, or are we looking at a potential retracement? Let’s dive into the details of this crucial setup for #VETUSDT:
💎#VET has been trading within a broadening wedge for months, with descending resistance and support lines guiding the structure. Recently, the price broke out of the wedge’s descending resistance, marking a key technical development. However, VET saw a massive profit taking and came back for liquidity capture.
💎The immediate resistance is resting at $0.060. A clean breakout above the $0.06067 resistance, confirmed with a daily close, could trigger an aggressive bullish rally. The possible targets following this move would be $0.08000 and potentially higher. Such a rally could attract fresh buyers and propel #VETUSD into a new bullish trend.
💎On the downside, the immediate support lies at $0.03811. Beneath this level, a strong demand zone exists between $0.03119 and $0.03811, which has previously acted as a reliable area for bullish rebounds. If the price revisits this zone, it could present an excellent opportunity for buyers to step in again.
💎A daily candle close below the $0.03119 demand zone would invalidate the bullish structure. Such a move could lead to further downside pressure, with the price likely targeting the $0.02000–$0.01500 levels. This scenario would also indicate a shift toward bear control.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers🥂
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
FET/USDT Chart Analysis and Trade Setup. FET/USDT has broken out of a descending trendline, confirming bullish momentum.
The consolidation along the trendline suggests a potential continuation toward the target.
The price has reclaimed the moving average (purple line), which now acts as dynamic support, strengthening the bullish case.
Around $1.27 after a successful retest of the breakout level.
Below $1.24 to minimize downside risk.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $1.50 (interim resistance)
TP2: $1.62 (major target)
Ensure a steady increase to confirm breakout strength.
Watch for overbought conditions near $1.60.
FET/USDT has strong bullish potential after the breakout. A well-placed stop loss and high reward potential make this a favorable trade setup. Monitor closely for volume and momentum confirmations.
DYOR, NFA
@Peter_CSAdmin
CAKE SWING LONG IDEAI know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now.
People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what?
BTC is sitting on daily support.
BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis).
The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared.
Funding rates are extremely negative.
Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!).
All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows.
All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows.
Let’s look CAKE as an example:
Cake has currently hit the monthly and weekly demand zones. It has rejected the weekly demand and broken the 4H structure.
We’ve seen strong upside movement following this, confirming the second leg of the higher high formation on the 4H timeframe.
TARGETS:
TP1: $3.41
TP2: $4.02
TP3: $4.50
SL: Below $2.05 (daily close)