My Long-term BTC Idea March 2025 IMPORTANT MONTH FOR BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) Analysis - Not Financial Advice
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. These are real trend lines that you can draw yourself. While the current trend appears bearish, it might also present a good buying opportunity. Personally, I’ve struggled to trade Bitcoin successfully because emotions often get the better of me. For instance, I saw WIF at $0.02 but didn’t buy because I had also seen it at $0.00002. This example highlights that the current price isn’t always a reason to avoid buying. That said, I am currently holding off.
Key Insights from the Chart:
Current Price Action: BTC is around $86,845, correcting after hitting a high near $96,500. It appears to be testing a support line within an ascending channel.
Trend Channels:
The broader ascending channel (orange lines) suggests a long-term bullish trend.
Mid-range correction lines and resistance levels (purple lines) highlight key price zones.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Key support: $69,077, $64,877, and $49,673.
Major resistance: $109,087 (upper boundary of the orange channel).
Buying Zones:
Golden Buy Zone: Around $15,446, ideal for long-term entries during deep corrections.
Perfect Buy Zone: Slightly above $29,166, a strong buy area if BTC pulls back.
Bear Market Bottom: Approximately $40,147, a solid long-term support level.
Market Outlook:
Short-term: The correction might continue until BTC tests the mid-level purple line or the $73,721 level. A bounce from these levels could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, potentially pushing toward the $109,000 target.
Long-term: If BTC stays within the ascending orange channel, a long-term target above $109,000 remains realistic.
Risk Factors: A break below the correction line or falling outside the channel would indicate a bearish reversal.
Personal Perspective:
With the monthly candle closing in three days, BTC needs to push upward to form a wick, signaling bullish potential. If not, attention shifts to the weekly candle. Predicting the outcome is uncertain—this could either be a buying opportunity or a liquidation zone. Remember, back in 2021, BTC hit FWB:65K , then dropped to $30k, which turned out to be a great buying opportunity as it later surged to $67k.
Altcoin Season:
Some believe altcoin season is coming, but I think it already happened in 2024. Raydium (RAY) soared from $0.12 to $9, and coins like WIF and Fartcoin also surged. Unfortunately, many low-quality coins have been pumping, with less-experienced investors driving the trend.
Conclusion:
Despite the current bearish sentiment, this market phase might offer solid buying opportunities if key support levels hold. The next few days are crucial—watch how the monthly candle closes and monitor the weekly candle for further signals. As always, trade carefully, and don’t let emotions dictate your decisions.
