DOGEUSD Started its final rally and can hit $1.300Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) just broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) again for the first time since March 24 2025 and is doing so after a clear rebound on its 1W MA100 (green trend-line). This is a technical bottom formation, that resembles the one on September 11 2017, right before that Cycle's final rally was initiated.
The 1W RSI has already broken above its MA trend-line (yellow) and every time that took place since October 16 2023, DOGE posted a strong rally. As you can see, the similarities between the two fractals are remarkable, both unfolding a structured bullish pattern on similar stages, with a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross leading to the massive Bull Flag (green) that bottomed on the 1W MA100 and initiating the parabolic rally.
In 2017 it topped on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, so if it continues to replicate that fractal, we expect this run to hit $1.300 by the end of the year and make the Cycle's Top.
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Cryptocurrencies
BITCOIN Monthly RSI Heatmap reveals ultimate Cycle Sell Zone!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has resumed the long-term bullish trend and as of the writing of this analysis, it is about to test the $100k key psychological level. Now that the Bull Cycle is entering its final stage (most likely for the next 6 months at most), it is time to see potential exit levels as close to the expected Top as possible.
There is no better long-term indicator to assist us on this than the 1M RSI, which historically offers a great level to Sell when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range of its Channel Down. Currently it is still considerably distanced from that Zone, so the upside potential despite the recent break-out, is huge.
The Sine Waves indicate that in symmetrical terms, the Cycle Top should be priced around November 2025 (previous ones on November 2021, December 2017, December 2013). The closer the 1M RSI is to this date when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fib Zone, the better as the higher the price will most likely be.
Based on this Cycle's Channel Up (blue), a fair Cycle Top range would be $150k - $200k. Would you agree? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TIAUSD just broke above the 5-month Falling Wedge!Celestia (TIAUSD) made a major bullish break-out today as not only did it break above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the 5-month Lower Highs trend-line (December 06 2024), which is the top of the Falling Wedge pattern!
With the 1D RSI also on Higher Lows, this bullish momentum is targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level at 4.000, which is where contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is expected to be made.
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Bitcoin is Overbought, but $100,000 Target is Still at HandFenzoFx—Bitcoin is overbought at $97,000, a signal indicated by the Stochastic Oscillator. The price is expected to consolidate before the uptrend resumes. In this scenario, a dip toward $93,565 may provide a favorable entry point into the bull market.
Watch this level, followed by $91,720, for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns.
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CAKEUSD Ahead of a monumental Triangle break-out.PancakeSwap (CAKEUSD) has been trading within a Triangle pattern since the December 04 2024 High and the price has been on the tightest squeeze possible since.
As you can see, it has been ranged for the past 2 weeks withing the 0.382 - 0.618 Fibonacci range and this is also reflected on the 1D RSI sequence.
If the price breaks above the top of the Triangle (Lower Highs trend-line), we expect a rally towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (5.3000). Alternatively, you may target on a safer note either Resistance 1 or the 1.618 Fib ext.
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BITCOIN Mirror fractal from the past calls for massive rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) appears to be repeating almost the exact same price action as mid-late 2020 as it has broken above the Pivot trend-line that separates the recent distribution from the 2nd Accumulation phase and has successfully re-tested it while the MA50 (blue trend-line) is holding as Support.
If the latter continues to hold, then it might fuel a massive rally similar to October 2020 - April 2021. As you can see both fractals started of with a 1st Accumulation Phase (blue Rectangle) being supported always by their respective MA200 (orange trend-line), which led to the eventual Distribution Phase (red Arc). Even their RSI sequences are identical.
Is this another pattern supporting that BTC will reach at least $150k next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Litecoin Consolidates: Wait for This Before BuyingFenzoFx—Litecoin surged from $80.0 as anticipated. A candlestick pattern signaled this move yesterday morning. Although the bullish wave broke above the $91.9 resistance, the uptrend has since paused. Currently, the price trades slightly below this level, consolidating gains.
In swing trading, the key rule is to buy at the dip and sell at the high. Thus, we are not entering at this stage. Notably, the LTC/USD 1-hour chart shows a long-wick bearish candlestick, confirmed by another bearish close, with a decline in volume.
The trend stays bullish above the 50-period simple moving average. With immediate resistance at $93.65, the bearish momentum may test the previous day's high at $89.5. If this support holds, the uptrend could resume toward the $96.7 target.
BITCOIN Climbing the Fibonacci Staircase..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has come into the Fed Rate Decision week stronger that ever, having staged an impressive rebound from the early-April Low. The consolidation of the last few days is of course a market reaction in anticipation of the big interest rate news.
Regardless of that, the Channel Up that is the underlying pattern from the start of this Bull Cycle has been filling on an impressive symmetrical scale all .382 Fibonacci extensions one by one. The most recent has been the 4.382 and naturally the next in line is the 5.382 Fibonacci extension.
Since the last one (4.382) was almost hit before the price pull-back, it would be more fitting to assume the next peak slightly below the 5.382 Fib ext as well as $170000.
This may very well be the final High i.e. the Cycle's Top before the next Bear Cycle begins, depending on the time it hits it.
Do you think that would be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN 1st 1W MACD Bullish Cross in 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of completing this week a Bullish Cross on its 1W MACD, which will be the first one after 7 months (since October 14 2024).
This is a major technical bullish development as since the very first one (Sep 26 2022) right before the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, it has always kick-started the Bullish Legs of this 2.5-year Channel Up.
In addition to that, this was accompanied by an Ichimoku Bullish Cross, where the Conversion Line (green) crossed above the Base Line (black). Considering also that exactly 4 weeks ago BTC found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we can safely confirm a Bottom there and call for the minimum +100.73% rise, similar to the first Bullish Leg of this Channel Up. We remain consistent to our $150000 Target.
So do you think this 1W MACD Bullish Cross is the final confirmation we need for the new Bullish Leg? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Ethereum is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring ETH/USDT for a selling opportunity around 2,000 zone, Ethereum is trading a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
POLUSDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring POLUSDT for a buying opportunity around 0.2220 zone, POLUSDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.2220 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SUIUSDT Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring SUI/USDT for a selling opportunity around 3.40 zone, SUI/USDT is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3.40 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 2, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin prices have significantly exceeded our previously completed Interim Rally 95000, thereby positioning the cryptocurrency to aim for the forthcoming Interim Coin Rally marked at 100000. Nevertheless, current price movements indicate a potential retracement toward the Mean Support level at 94000, with a further possible decline likely toward an additional Mean Support target at 91800. It is imperative to recognize the potential for upward momentum to develop from a retest of either support level, as this could facilitate a trajectory toward the next Interim Coin Rally at $100,000 and beyond.
SUIUSD is consolidating ahead of massive Leg. Can it hit $9.500?Sui (SUIUSD) has completed Stage 1 of its recovery process following the April 07 bottom. That was a Higher Low on the 2-year Fibonacci Channel Up and having already broken above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the price is now consolidating.
This is fairly similar to what it did on September 20 2024, which was followed by a strong rise to the 1.0 Fib (previous High) where the price pulled-back to the 1D MA50. That was its final test before the peak forming rally just above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we expect SUI to hit at least $9.500 on the long-term.
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BITCOIN is filling all gaps as it should.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having its strongest 1D green candle since April 22 (for now) and basically today's analysis is a continuation/ modification of our April 14 buy call (see chart below):
Our Target was $99500 but we now update it to $106000 as we see a different pattern through filling the Lower Highs gaps. As you can see, since BTC's April 07 bottom, the rebound has filled one Lower High of the downtrend after the other.
At the same time, it has posted identical rallies before consolidating, the 1st one +15.37% and the 2nd +15.11%. We are currently on the 3d and if it makes again +15.11%, then it gets us to $106.9k. That is marginally above the Lower High of January 30, practically the first Lower High after the January 20 All Time High (ATH).
Moreover, the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level is at $106k and this is why we've moved our short-term Target there. This fills all dynamic conditions of this uptrend.
Do you think that's a fair estimate? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHEREUM vs BITCOIN fractals you'd never thought to look at!Odd comparison but you'd be lying if you say those fractals between Ethereum (ETHUSD) 2024 - 2025 and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 2021 - 2022 don't look similar. But if you do believe it, can this mean ETH is about to see a rally to a new All Time High?
Anyway as the title says, this is fun fractal for comparison purposes only. The conclusion is yours!
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SOLANA's massive 1W MA200 rebound hints to enormous rally ahead.Solana (SOLUSD) made a very strong rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the very first week of April. Now that the month is about to close, it has already completed three straight green 1W candles and is aiming for the critical 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test.
If broken, we expect it to turn into a long-term Support again and target the Higher Highs of the Wedge at $350. After all, the 1W MA200 rebound also made contact on the 2-year Higher Lows trend-line of the Bull Cycle, so technically it is a massive Bottom cluster. The 1W RSI also broke above its MA last week, confirmed the buying pressure.
Given that the recent 3-month correction was -67.23%, identical to the last correction (May 2021) of the previous Cycle, we expect one final rally to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $900, if the Higher Highs trend-line breaks.
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BITCOIN This is where the real BULL started in 2017.We've mentioned on numerous occasions how Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle resembles that of 2014 - 2017 and this evidence is self-explanatory on the chart. What we want to bring forward today, and the timing couldn't be better, is that symmetrically speaking, it was the exact same time of the year (April 2017) when the past Cycle started printing predominantly green candles that lasted until the very end of 2017 (December) and the Cycle Top.
The 3W RSI sequences are identical among the two fractals with a Pivot trend-line dominating both Cycles, first as a Resistance (red arrows) and then turned into Support (green arrows). Before the end-of-year Parabolic Rally, the Bull Cycle was classified into 3 pull-back/ consolidation Phases (blue Rectangles) and, no surprise, the mini rallies started around the same times.
Can this indicate that we are about to see a strong rally of predominantly green candles towards the end of the year to form the new Cycle High? What do you think?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Why is this rally surprising you?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green weeks, with an impressive last 1W candle closing and started the new one right where it left. This rise shouldn't be surprising to most as it has fulfilled all the conditions that initiated all major rallies since the November 2022 Bear market bottom.
The first week of April rebounded strongly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which as mentioned numerous times on our channel, has been this Bull Cycle's main Support and kickstarted the Q4 2023 and Q4 2024 rallies.
At the same time, the 1W RSI broke last week above its MA, which has been the final confirmation of those Bullish Legs. With the 1W Bollinger Bands (BB) still ranged, the top trend-line is expected to rise aggressively as BTC's uptrend accelerates, something that resembles October 2023 and October 2024.
Throughout this Bull Cycle, those rallies have lasted around the same time, the longest being 14 weeks. As a result, the latest the current Bullish Leg tops should be on the week of July 14 2025 and a +92% rise as February - March 2024 should deliver a test of the Higher Highs trend-line around $140000.
Do you think that's the most probable scenario? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN's Trump effect: The 2025 PARABOLIC FINALE is coming!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green 1W candles, making an impressive start into Q2 2025. But is it a coincidence or systemic behavior of technical trends?
It certainly is no coincidence the structure that the market has with Trump under President. Q1 has been undoubtedly disastrous due to the Trade War fueled by back and forth tariffs. But this is a pattern we've seen before and more specifically in Trump's 1st Term during Q1 2017.
As you can see, BTC was again under heavy volatility during Trump's 1st Term Q1, even though the correction wasn't as hard initially. What's more interesting however, is that in both Terms, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, blue trend-line) topped in Q1 and started collapsing. In 2017 that was the catalyst that fueled BTC's insane Parabolic Rally for the rest of the year.
Can the current Dollar collapse kick-start a rally for the rest of 2025? If the Trade War stabilizes, it certainly looks so. It is no coincidence that in 2017 Trump came out storming that the Dollar was too high just like he states now that the Interest Rates are too high, pressuring the Fed to cut.
So what do you think? Is the rest of 2025 destined to be as strong as 2017? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Ethereum Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring ETHUSDT for a buying opportunity around 1620 zone, Ethereum was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1620 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
BITCOIN $140k will come sooner than you think!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) eventually made the strong rebound we've been talking about on the highly important Support cluster of: a) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), b) the former All Time High (ATH) trend-line and c) the Higher Lows Zone of the current Bull Cycle.
This Triple Hold Move is expected to produce the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. But even if it is similar to the 'weakest' rally of this Cycle, then we should be expecting at least a +92.94% rise from the bottom, which translates to a price marginally above $140000. And that could come as early as this August.
So do you think we'll be seeing a rally at least as strong as last year's? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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