The market is uneasy ahead of the halving eventAfter failing to gain bullish momentum earlier this month (with a breakout to the upside from a triangle-like pattern), Bitcoin continues to trade erratically. Currently, it hovers around the $63,500 price tag, which appears close to the ascending trendline that connects peaks from December 2023 to mid-January 2024. If this trendline is broken to the downside, it will bolster a bearish case in the short term. The same will apply to a breakout in MACD below the midpoint (on the daily time frame), a bearish crossover between 20-day and 50-day SMAs, and a further uptick in ADX (on the daily chart, signaling bearish momentum is growing). Considering these developments could foreshadow a significant correction (or even a trend reversal), we think it is proper to stay highly cautious. While technicals on the daily chart are growing increasingly bearish, there have not been any significant changes in the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 100 BTC and those exceeding 1,000 BTC. This is quite odd, as we would expect large players to unload some more coins amid high prices and the approaching halving event.
Illustration 1.01
The image above depicts the daily graph of BTCUSD and two simple moving averages, 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA. The yellow arrow points to the impending bearish crossover between these two moving averages, normally signaling a trend reversal.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 portrays the daily graph of MACD. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish crossover through the midpoint, generally a bearish sign.
Illustration 1.03
Illustration 1.03 shows simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bullish (turning neutral)
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of multiple indicators.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Cryptocurrencies
BITCOIN Is this simply a big Bull Flag?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched today the bottom of the Channel Down pattern that started a month ago on the March 14 High. Ever since is posted Lower Highs and Lower Lows, dropping under the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the long-term trend for months has been a parabolic rally, this pattern can be seen just as a big Bull Flag, a necessary short-term pull-back before new Highs.
As BTC is approaching the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), it is important to know that the last time it did was on January 23 and it held it as Support, closing the 1D candle above it. Technically that is the tolerance limit, in order to the uptrend to stay valid with low entry buyers.
The January 23 Low initiated a rebound that peaked marginally above the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, the March 14 High. If the same pattern is repeated, we can see $95000 by June.
How probable do you think that is? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ALTS withstanding the final Resistance before ATH rally.It couldn't be any more simple than that. The altcoin market is having the last short-term correction before an surge past the All Time Highs (ATH). The Pressure Zone 2, which is the Resistance Zone coming off the Bear Cycle's first Lower High, is the last volatility variance and effectively last opportunity to enter before alts start the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle.
As you can see, they traditional lag behind Bitcoin (BTCUSD), which has already broken past (even marginally) its previous ATH. The pattern is identical to the last Cycle and based on historical behavior, there is no reason to expect something different this time too.
Get ready for a very aggressive Altseason.
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Big Time $BigTime #BigTimeCrypto traders and so called investors still have not changed much from last cycle. Everyone wanted to APE into this at $0.47-$0.67 and wait for retest of $1 and or talking about WHEN $3-$5. BUT no one wants it at $0.17 LOL
THIS is why most of you are #NGM
BUY the RED and the FEAR.
NOT the GREEN and the GREED.
If you ever wanted to follow early to accounts that stay in the game and up with what's going on and wish you made a appearance with them prior to them being bigger followings etc. this is a great opportunity lol with me, my larger OG account I've spent the last several years and all through the bear building was killed by X and now I'm starting over from scratch.
I've purposely given you the same chart and layout but on two different time frames to help newer traders coming into this cycle see how different things can look on a daily vs a weekly time frame.
I think that this can really help speed up learning for many and to open their minds to variables.
As you see the daily can easily in this case look much more instantly bullish and give you the greater feeling of FOMO #Fomo to jump in. Whereas the weekly can give you more of a tactical view and help with your approach being so.
Hopefully some of you find this chart helpful during this stressful pullback/flush that I'm aware has really beaten down and or killed many portfolios for traders.
I've fallen off on posting/sharing my charts these last few months while I was trading ALOT myself and on multiple platforms and various ideas. However, during these more stressful times I will try and stay more active with updating what community I have.
For my birthday without cause or warning X shutdown my larger account @RareBreedOG so I'm starting over fresh with almost no followers now for the algorithm. That being said I would greatly appreciate help with you hitting the like /Follow/share buttons as much as possible if you find these charts helpful at all or even just want to help me rebuild my following after getting Fu**ed by X. For this reason, I don't plan to pay for a checkmark this time around either, but you can all help give me reason to keep sharing and not just leave to other platforms.
Everyone stay safe and trade wisely and be careful with leverage in these uncertain times.
Bitcoin Q2 2024 Outlook - ElaborationHello guys,
today I am back with an Elaboration on my previous Q2 Outlook ↓↓↓
With halving in front of us and all the hype it brings in, I can see mostly people who think that after halving we have to go to ATHs no matter what. So I decided to bring counter points to their views with reasonings as to Why I am currently more bearish than bullish. If you are interested in Why, you should definitely keep reading.
As I stated previously - " My Base Expectation for now is that this MAY(June/Q2), MAY be the worst time to become a Buyer/Bull for a prolonged period of time as we potentially already reached our TOP.
That is because, as I mentioned in the Q1 Outlook:
"6. - !!! New REAL Bullmarket didn't Start until Interest Rates reached their bottom rate !!!
Note, this time can be different due to inflation & elevated price levels, which cause more money in rotation, but IT SHOULD NOT change base line of reverse expectations when the correct time comes -> 1. FED start cutting, 2. FED stop (is DONE) with cutting, 3. bottom Rate is found" " and to that statement, I would add today one more - 4. until FED start expanding their balance sheet/start printing money.
and my position in that still has not changed - Why?
Simply, nothing changed. Everything I was expecting to happen happened and Price is still doing exactly what I was expecting it to do. So no matter if there is halving or any other kind of narrative which may suggest that "if you don't jump in right now, you lose your opportunity", I will still stick with what in my opinion are real moving forces behind the markets - current economic environment and Central Banks agendas.
So, this is what happend in our prior case:
I believe the most important part of the whole process is the MONEY PRINTING PART (4b).
Today we have not even reached the Cutting process (1) yet. Some may say, that it should be a point for bull case scenario and I would agree. As I said, we may see a price rally until Cutting starts.
BUT I believe we need to pay attention as well to What happened before this process starts. If you break the chart down, you would see that the Price Topped & dropped Before Cutting started, in expectation of it happening. And that is exactly where we may be Today! I am not saying it has to happen the same as it did in our prior case, BUT I believe everyone should pay more attention to it. If you look closer at the chart, you can see that when Price starts to elevate, most of the time it takes Inflation with it. That is exactly opossum of what the is FED trying to achieve because it could bring even more pressure on the FED in their decision making.
Potentially it could cause a scenario in which we have still High Interest Rates but FED is unable to print money due to High inflation. That could cause a fear of recession or recession scare which is terrible for markets price wise, but it is as well a great buying opportunity at the same time.
So, until there is some significant development in the areas I mentioned, I would suggest to everyone to stay cautious!
Hopefully, this elaboration was helpful for some of you in further market navigation.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot to me.
Also, if you are interested in more updates or you would like to receive more predictions with lower time frame updates daily, let me know in the comments or DM.
Best Regards,
Joe
BITCOIN May 2020 VS April 2022 Halving. Striking similarities.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is only a few days before the new Halving event and is already below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 months, having broken the previous Ascending Triangle pattern.
This is a sequence that we have seen before during the previous Halving (May 11 2020). Of course the Halving took place at the start of the Ascending Triangle and not after it broke but we want to grasp the general picture and as you see the price action around this critically important fundamental event is very similar.
The goal now is for BTC to hold its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) intact as it did in June 2020 (also held it last time on January 23 2024, which delivered a remarkable rebound) and attract new long-term buyers. Notice also the similar 1D RSI Falling Wedge patterns.
The 2020 Triangle reached its 2.0 Fibonacci extension, so that is our next medium-term Target at $90000.
Do you think the 2020 fractal will be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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COREUSDT Immediate target = $10.00Core DAO (COREUSDT) declined after a remarkable +735.93% rise buy found Support on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Yesterday posted its 2nd strongest green 1D candle in history and when the 1D RSI breaks above its MA trend-line, we expect the new Bullish Leg to be confirmed. Our Target is $10.00, which represents another +735.93% rise from the bottom.
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BITCOIN Holding the ATH Zone! Is this like 2017?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a sharp decline on Saturday and is now in the process of recovering. The 1W candle wick dived as low as the low of almost 30 days back (March 20), extending the 1-month consolidation since March 13 High. This is of course directly related to the fundamental aspect of BTC's Halving, which is due at the end of the week and historically exerts high volatility onto the market.
Buy even from a technical point of view, those two sell-offs found Support and held the (red) All Time High (ATH) Zone, which is the range taken from the closings of the previous ATH candles. As we can see on the right chart, it was the exact case on the 2014/ 2017 Cycle, which is the Cycle that we first here most tightly correlated Bitcoin's current Cycle.
More specifically, the March 20 and April 10 2017 1W candles, were both contained at the bottom of the ATH Zone and sharply extended the rally right after. This means that the Halving event can be the ideal fundamental 'excuse' to kick-start the rest of the technical rally and fulfil the pattern.
But what do you think? Will history be repeated once more? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ONDOUSD Textbook Channel Up.Ondo Finance (ONDOUSD) has been on a Channel Up pattern since its first trading days, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Its last Higher Lows was priced on that exact level, so did the one before (March 19).
The last Higher High was been -11% shorter than the previous, so assuming this is a progressive pattern, we expect a new Higher High at 1.5000 (+ 157%, i.e. -11% lower than the previous).
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BTC - Daily more correction!Bitcoin's price movement appears to have completed its second leg up, and the current pattern suggests a high likelihood of a correction phase.
With this potential pullback, BTC prices could retrace to test the previous support zone.
Traders should monitor these levels closely, as they could offer critical insights into Bitcoin's near-term directional bias.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's trading session Bitcoin completed the forthcoming Inner Coin Rally 72500, and as expected, the coin retraced to our designated Mean Sup 65600. Bitcoin is in the process of rebounding back to the 72500 scene of crime. On the downside, the market potential decline may occur, resulting in Bitcoin falling to Key Sup 61300 and an Inner Coin Dip 57200. The bull stage movement will arise from current price action or Key Sup 61300 and an Inner Coin Dip 57200, respectively.
FOXY NEW INCREASE POSSIBLITY $0,08 We follow FOXY to see if it's able to show soon a break trend.
This coin can show an effect of other coins that did increase before (meme coins)
This is exactly what we are going to follow in the coming time.
it can take time before this coin can make some new gains if it's able to get confirmed.
This is not trading advice, remember that meme coins can rewarded high, but there is also a high risk for new coins.
Alikze »» ORDI | Ready to break the resistance zoneIn continuation of the previous post, which marked an upward wave, it is currently moving in an upward channel, and currently the range of the resistance zone is $75, which is also located in the midline of the channel.
🔰 With the failure of this zone, it will have the ability to grow up to the previous range and the ceiling of the channel as well as the specified supply zone.
⚠️ If this range is not broken, it can correct up to Fibo 61.8 in the range of $62.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
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BTCUSD: 1D MA50 broken after 2 months. Selling isn't over.Bitcoin may be neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.271, MACD = 810.300, ADX = 25.259) but it just broke under the 1D MA50 for the first time in more than 2 months (February 6th last contact). In the meantime, it crossed under the HL trendline of the Ascending Triangle, so we have a full-scale technical bearish breakout. The RSI pattern looks very much like the January 12th 1D MA50 bearish breakout.
If Bitcoin closes the 1D candle under it, we will wait for the bottom to be formed on the S1 level, always above the 1D MA100 (which supported on the January 23rd low) and buy (should be a around a week after the Halving) targeting a little over the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (TP = 100,000). That was where the March 14th top was priced.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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KASPA Still bullish and still strong above the 1D MA200.Back in November (Nov 21 2023) we made a case of why Kaspa (KASUSD) could be imitating Bitcoin's and Ethereum's trend and came up with a logarithmic curve for its growth:
As you can see, in 5 months since then, it has respected this trend-line to perfection. Zooming in on the 1D time-frame, we can see that a shorter term Channel Up pattern is involved. Every time the price broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and kept the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) intact, while the 1D RSI started rising (Bullish Divergence), the market accumulated.
Once it closed a 1D candle back above the 1D MA50, it was a bullish break-out signal. As a result, we are waiting for this break-out to buy and target 0.22500 (+105% rise from the Higher Low).
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GAL/USDT - Galxe: BBand Breakout◳◱ On the $GAL/ CRYPTOCAP:USDT chart, the Bband Breakout pattern suggests an upcoming trend shift. Traders might observe resistance around 4.989 | 5.538 | 6.526 and support near 4.001 | 3.562 | 2.574. Entering trades at 4.876 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Galxe
▣ Rank: 183
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Bybit, Huobipro, Gateio, Mexc
▣ Category/Sector: N/A
▣ Overview: Galxe project overview is currently unavailable. I'll try to update this in the upcoming analysis.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 4.876 ₮
▣ 24HVol: 13,356,484.392 ₮
▣ 24H Chng: 12.195%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 9.11%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 0.28%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 151.16%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 4.989 | 5.538 | 6.526
◢ Support: 4.001 | 3.562 | 2.574
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: BUY
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : STRONG_BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: 0.83
▣ Last 90D: 3.17
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.23
▣ Last 3-Y: -0.35
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 1.26
▣ Last 90D: 1.32
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.97
▣ Last 3-Y: 1.15
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is N/A
▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.74 - Bullish
▣ In-depth GALUSDT technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView
Benefit from a ton of financial analysis features, instruments and data. Have a look around, and if you do choose to go with an upgraded plan, you'll get up to $30.
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BNB/BTC - BNB: Super Trend◳◱ On the $BNB/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart, the Super Trend pattern suggests a pause in volatility, potentially gearing up for a breakout. Traders might observe resistance around 0.008778 | 0.009141 | 0.009767 and support near 0.008152 | 0.007889 | 0.007263. Entering trades at 0.008612 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: BNB
▣ Rank: 6
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Gateio, Hitbtc
▣ Category/Sector: Financial - Smart Contract Platforms
▣ Overview: Binance Coin is digital asset native to the Binance blockchain and launched by the Binance online exchange.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 0.008612 ₿
▣ 24HVol: 556.270 ₿
▣ 24H Chng: -0.875%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 2.96%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 12.16%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 103.23%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 0.008778 | 0.009141 | 0.009767
◢ Support: 0.008152 | 0.007889 | 0.007263
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: BUY
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : STRONG_BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: 2.06
▣ Last 90D: 4.05
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.34
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.47
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 0.93
▣ Last 90D: 0.72
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.53
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.78
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is 0.79 - V. Bullish
▣ Twitter sentiment score is 0.58 - Bullish
▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.70 - Bullish
▣ In-depth BNBBTC technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView
Benefit from a ton of financial analysis features, instruments and data. Have a look around, and if you do choose to go with an upgraded plan, you'll get up to $30.
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MAGIC/BTC - Magic: BBand Breakout Super-Trend◳◱ On the $MAGIC/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart, the Bband Breakout Super-Trend pattern suggests a pause in volatility, potentially gearing up for a breakout. Traders might observe resistance around 0.00001628 | 0.0000179 | 0.00002071 and support near 0.00001347 | 0.00001228 | 0.00000947. Entering trades at 0.00001586 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Magic
▣ Rank: 257
▣ Exchanges: Binance
▣ Category/Sector: N/A
▣ Overview: Magic project overview is currently unavailable. I'll try to update this in the upcoming analysis.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 0.00001586 ₿
▣ 24HVol: 4.318 ₿
▣ 24H Chng: 6.087%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 13.93%
▣ 1-Month Chng: -19.90%
▣ 3-Months Chng: -3.66%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 0.00001628 | 0.0000179 | 0.00002071
◢ Support: 0.00001347 | 0.00001228 | 0.00000947
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: BUY
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: N/A
▣ Last 90D: N/A
▣ Last 1-Y: N/A
▣ Last 3-Y: N/A
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: N/A
▣ Last 90D: N/A
▣ Last 1-Y: N/A
▣ Last 3-Y: N/A
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is N/A
▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.64 - Bullish
▣ In-depth MAGICBTC technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView
Benefit from a ton of financial analysis features, instruments and data. Have a look around, and if you do choose to go with an upgraded plan, you'll get up to $30.
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BITCOIN The Mayer Multiple + Megaphone Roadmap.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Cyclical Megaphone pattern and the current consolidation comes as a natural consequence of the Resistance pressure in close proximity.
Technically, BTC has formed almost the exact same pattern during the previous 2 Cycles. The Megaphone starts when BTC breaks and re-tests the orange Mayer Multiple (2nd std from top) and extends towards the green MM (bottom std).
As the price hits the yellow MM (3rd std from top), it consolidates, even has a short-term technical pull-back, which respects the 1W MA50 (it never breaks until the Cycle Top). Once the top of the Megaphone breaks, Bitcoin starts the final and most aggressive phase of the Bull Cycle towards at least the orange MM.
As a result, we expect a similar behavior once Bitcoin breaks above the Megaphone. A fair estimate for a Target Zone would be 150k - 200k.
Do you think that's realistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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JASMYUSD Giant Cup leading straight to ATH.JasmyCoin (JASMYUSD) is picking up the pace again after 6 weeks of consolidation. The long-term pattern that is emerging is a Cup (potentially we may see a Handle at the top) and this sideways trading the new accumulation before the next Bullish Leg.
Technically it should continue filling up the Fibonacci levels as gaps, with the next being the 0.618 Fib (0.055) and the 0.786 (0.1200) all the way until the All Time High (ATH). As a result our long-term Target is 0.3500.
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MPCUSDT Cup and Handle formed! Strong BUY!!The MPCUSDT, Partisia Blockchain's token, eventually formed the Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern on the 4H time-frame that we described on our last analysis and today hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) again for the first time in almost a week. Notice how the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) has been supporting the Handle ever since it emerged.
This created MPC's first 4H MA50/100 Bullish Cross and what's left to confirm a new rise is for the 4H MACD to form its first ever Bullish Cross above the 0.000 level. What is also interesting and we certainly want to see it materializing for the long-term, is for Partisia to close the current 1W candle in gains. A green 1W candle this week would be the 2nd one in a row. That would create the necessary conditions for a sustainable bullish reversal towards Resistance levels 1,2 and 3.
From a fundamental perspective, there is a lot of movement and news: the Parti Wallet (MPC Wallet Chrome Extension), partnership with TPC Ventures and many more that you can catch up on their Twitter updates.
Overall out short-term targets of 0.5750 and 0.6900 are intact. Long-term, the sky is the limit.
Stay tuned, this Gem is really an exciting one! We couldn't be more thrilled with its long-term potential!
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TAOUSDT Strong buy signal above the 1D MA50Bittensor (TAOUSDT) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since November 20 2023. Both of its Higher Lows have been formed on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) with the latest being on March 30.
Today the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 weeks (since March 26). If the candle closes above it, we expect that to be the start of the new Bullish Leg to a Higher High, similar to the January 24 break-out. Our target is 1800 (+295.98% from the Low, similar to the previous Bullish Leg).
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