icp on the daily looks incredibleWhen running a fib it's so bullish it didn't even tap the .5 but was above, that's huge!
We see it went and touch a very relevant support line and lasted no longer than a wick with huge buyer support coming in as expectd. The bears had a good run but we see so much bullish presence here we couldn't hide our excitement!
Cryptocurrencies
CFXUSD Fierce consolidation. Trade the break-out.Conflux (CFXUSD) has been consolidating around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) while holding the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as its Support. A simple break-out trading plan should be applied here. If the price closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we will sell and target the top of Support Zone 1 at 0.1150. If it closes above Resistance Zone 1, we will buy and target the bottom of Resistance Zone 2 at 0.4000.
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CFX/BTC - Conflux Network: Trend Reversal◳◱ On the $CFX/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart, the Trend Reversal pattern suggests indications that the trend may be gaining or losing strength. Traders might observe resistance around 0.00000526 | 0.000006 | 0.0000072 and support near 0.00000406 | 0.0000036 | 0.0000024. Entering trades at 0.00000495 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Conflux Network
▣ Rank: 94
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Hitbtc
▣ Category/Sector: Infrastructure - Smart Contract Platforms
▣ Overview: Conflux Network is a smart contract platform that features a Turing-complete state machine built atop a high-throughput consensus protocol. Conflux reaches an agreement on transaction validator based on the total order of blocks organized in a Tree-Graph, a novel consensus mechanism that scaling benefits relative to existing blockchains. It also uses Proof-of-Work (PoW) to supplement its Tree-Graph consensus protocol. Conflux has a native token called CFX that serves as the reward for network miners and as a means for paying transaction fees.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 0.00000495 ₿
▣ 24HVol: 25.206 ₿
▣ 24H Chng: 10.0%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 12.51%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 6.03%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 30.72%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 0.00000526 | 0.000006 | 0.0000072
◢ Support: 0.00000406 | 0.0000036 | 0.0000024
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : STRONG_BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: -0.73
▣ Last 90D: 1.04
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.70
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.46
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 1.08
▣ Last 90D: 1.18
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.96
▣ Last 3-Y: 1.81
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is N/A
▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.62 - Bullish
▣ In-depth CFXBTC technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView
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$40,000 is a crucial level to watchSince the plunge to $38,505 on Monday, Bitcoin has been trending mainly sideways around the critical level of $40,000. Meanwhile, the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 1,000 BTC ticked slightly higher; the same applies to the addresses with balances exceeding 100 BTC. On the daily chart, the RSI began to flatten around 35 points, Stochastic reversed to the upside, and volume declined. All these signs are slightly positive and increase the chances of a rebound. On the other hand, there are also some negative developments, like the bearish crossover between moving averages, a continuation of the decline in the MACD, and growth in the ADX (suggesting the bearish trend has been gaining momentum for the past eleven trading sessions). As the short-term picture is not clear, it seems reasonable to keep targeting $37,000 for as long as Bitcoin stays below $40,000.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of BTCUSD and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow hints at the bearish crossover between these two SMAs.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of multiple indicators.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
ordi is a ZZ enough?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
ORDI on my watch/add list for this move down.
If BTC isn't dead.
Was a big move up...
$2.87 to $91
Is 1 ZZ going to be enough?
THOT DotIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
Want to see an impulse up and out of this box, for confirmation.
Box break must re evaluate! lol
BITCOIN Every monthly pull-back is a BUY opportunity from now onOn this 1W analysis we see Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) amazing symmetry through its historic Cycles. A symmetry which upto this date, is holding and we will explain why right away.
Before we begin, note that the current study can be used in combination with our legendary Golden 51%-49% Ratio publications shown below:
** Three Cycle Phases **
Now as to the cyclical symmetry. The chart classifies each grand Cycle into three phases:
a) The Bear Phase (red), which starts at the top of the previous Cycle and ends on its bottom. The price breaks below the 1W MA50 during that phase.
b) The Accumulation Phase (blue), which continues where Bear left off and is when investors buy for the long-term following the market bottom. The price breaks above the 1W MA50 during that phase.
c) The Bull Phase (green), which starts after the Halving event (orange vertical line) and ends on the new Cycle top. The price never closes a 1W candle below the 1W MA50 during that phase.
** The Symmetry **
As you can realize just on first glance, the Phases along the Cycles are on an amazing symmetry. The Bear Phases has so far been 59 weeks (413 days), 52 weeks (364 days) and the most recent 58 weeks (406 days) respectively. The Accumulation Phases have been 77 weeks (539 days) and 73 weeks (511 days) respectively. The Bull Phases have been 75 weeks (525 days) and 79 weeks (553 days) respectively.
The current Accumulation Phase will be 71 weeks (497 days) by the time of the Halving, which is remarkably along the lines of the previous 2. As for the new Bull Phase after the Halving, we could assume a minimum duration of 75 weeks (525 days) as in 2016 - 2017.
** Fibonacci role on the Halving date **
The key at the moment as we approach the upcoming Halving in April, are the Fibonacci retracement levels. During the previous two Halvings, BTC had already reached the 0.786 Fib once and at the time of the Halving was around the 0.618 Fib, which is basically the current price levels within 39000-40000. The 1W MA50 is about to touch the 0.5 Fib level which is around 33000 and technically, based on this model, is as low as the correction can extend to.
Technically we should be expecting price levels around 40k as we enter April, which of course doesn't dismiss the possibility of another run to 50k earlier. In conclusion, assuming the 1W MA50 is the new long-term Support from now on, every monthly correction, should technically be a buy opportunity as we head into the Bull Phase.
But what do you think about this Cycle mapping? Do you expect history to continue to repeat itself? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Quickie 3hrHere we have the beginnings of a momentum shift on the 3 hr
Here we are on the daily. In breakdown territory (rotation zone), while there is hope it bullish breaks on the daily, it could also, breakdown in a bad way. I call these inflection points. Signaled by momentum shifts.
So there are a combination of mometnum shifts that create an inflection point.
Looking for a quick boom, or disaster to strike. I think bitcoin will lead the market and crash, then the market after the equinox will crash. Else something crazy will happen, covid 2.0, taiwan invasion, ww3, middle-eastern war...
SOL/USDT Market Correction OpportunitiesWe are considering a scenario involving the decline in the SOL's value and the initiation of asset purchases.
It is worth noting that the current correction to the $79.60 level represents a deviation of more than 37% from the prevailing local peak at $126.21. The price movement chart within the descending channel during the correction indicates a reduction in investment activity and profit-taking.
Given the anticipated continuation of the downward trend and considering the potential attainment of price levels around $70 and below, we are contemplating the possibility of strategically re-entering positions in SOL to optimize the portfolio and capitalize on market conditions in our favor.
BITCOIN mid week Update - 24/01/24Hello everyone,
Im back with just quick update to Monday pre-Market idea
__________________________________________________
So, as expected we went lower really close to our Sellside t1.
Price didnt touch our t1 box, but if you trade with Trailing Take Profit, you should be taking some profit-% off the table at this point.
Today and Tommorow, there should be volatility coming so I would be very carefull about Opening NEW trades.
Remember, ITS NOT SHAME TO NOT BE IN TRADE!
Its always better to wait for setup which is favourable FOR YOU!
At this MOMENT, Im observing price on lower time frames to decide if there is highier possibility of REVERSING on Daily time frame... So we possible could run up to 42-44k$ IF news later today favour that move... OR we can not work above smaller time frame Buyside liquidity targets, and we keep going LOWER as we was expecting...
In my opinion, RIGHT NOW, is very hard to make CALL if we go lower/highier TODAY, since we already went LOW enought on weekly basis without any liquidity drivers, so there is good chance for swept on other side. Thats why I suggest to be VERY CAREFULL and if you decide participate before news, you should use tight STOP LOSS for your own good.
I'll make next update when I will be more certain about which way we keep moving further.
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
Many ominous signs are showing up on Bitcoin’s chartIn the previous article about Bitcoin, we discussed how there was no significant uptick in the number of Bitcoin addresses with large balances (particularly among wallets exceeding 100 BTC and 1,000 BTC), suggesting big speculators might not be interested in buying the dip this time. Nevertheless, despite a further drop in the price (since the last article), the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 100 BTC fell almost to the level that preceded the rally’s start in mid-October 2023, which is odd considering how the Bitcoin Spot ETF’s approval was expected (by many, but not us) to cause massive money flow into the biggest cryptocurrency by market cap. Yet, here we are after the approval, and Bitcoin is trading down about 16% from its highs earlier this month. While this does not necessarily mean Bitcoin can not continue higher, it is definitely a cause for concern.
Consequently, we are paying close attention to the 20-day and 50-day SMAs, which are likely to perform a bearish crossover in the following days. In addition to that, we are observing technical indicators like MACD, Stochastic, and RSI on a daily time frame, where they continue to develop bearish structures; on the weekly time frame, these indicators show signs of exhaustion and are starting to move flat (not particularly bullish). On top of these developments, Bitcoin tests the bounds of the upward-sloping channels shown in the previous ideas. With the breakout below the lower bound of the upper channel, our mechanism for setting the price target became triggered. As a result, we are back in the market, and our price target is $39,000 (we will reassess the situation on the go and set a new price target once the current one is reached or stopped out).
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 portrays the daily graph of BTCUSD and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow highlights an impending bearish crossover between these two averages; if successful, a crossover will slightly bolster a bearish case going forward.
Illustration 1.02
In the previous article, we outlined how MACD was approaching the midpoint on the daily graph, raising the odds of a bearish crossover through it. Shortly after our warning, MACD broke into the bearish area.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Neutral (turning increasingly bearish)
Weekly time frame = Neutral
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of multiple indicators.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
RONUSD Pull-back expected.Ronin (RONUSD) hit the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up. This is the 2nd Bullish Leg of the pattern and is technically expected to peak at +635%, same as the April 10 2023 Higher High. We expect at least a -47.27% decline towards the 1D MA100 (red trend-line), targeting 1.5000.
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BITCOIN 1W MACD Bearish Cross formed. Is it alarming?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the 3rd straight bearish week (1W) following the 49000 High, which technically was a Higher High on the 1-year Channel Up. This is the 2nd Higher High structure within this pattern (first was on April 10 2023) and technically we are currently on the new Bearish Leg that seeks the formation of a new Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up.
** 1W MACD Bearish Cross **
This week's big development though is the completion of a Bearish Cross on the 1W MACD, the first one since July 24 2023 and before that May 29 2023. Both of those came after the peak formations but delivered at least another 3 weeks of downtrend.
** The 3-year Cyclical Demand/ Supply Zone **
Interestingly enough those peaks were priced on the 3-year Cyclical Demand/ Supply Zone, which we have analyzed extensively in previous publications (has been Support during the Bull Cycle and Resistance during the Bear Cycle). This time BTC is above that Zone and the current Bearish Leg has high probabilities of testing it as a Support (Demand) for the first time since May 2022.
** Where to buy? **
The medium-term supporting trend-line is the 1D MA200 (red trend-line), which is already near the middle of that Zone and long-term the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is about to enter it. What long-term investors and Dollar-Cost-Average traders should be looking for is buy positions on those key levels. If the Cyclical Zone holds (i.e. keeps closing 1W candles above it), then it will be confirmed as a Supply level for the remainder of the Bull Cycle and most likely will propel the price to the new Parabolic Rally Phase after April's Halving.
** Next Target? **
Every Bullish Leg within the 1-year Channel Up has been around +100%, so as long as the pattern holds, we should be technically expecting a rebound of similar magnitude. Assuming the bottom (Higher Low) is priced as low as possible (on the 1W MA50), a new +100% rise will provide a Higher High around 65000, just below Resistance 2 (69150), which is essentially the All Time High (ATH). Historic patterns have shown that a buy just before the 1W MACD forms a Bullish Cross, is perhaps the most optimal entry in preparation for this rally.
But what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to test the Supply Zone and perhaps the 1D MA200 and 1W MA50? Are you waiting for a long-term buy there? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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48.500$ very strong resistance.Fibonacci wedges play ground.
This is the possible scenario for me.
48.500$ very strong resistance of fibonacci wedge.
Full of action days are waiting for us.
Don't get caught up in FOMO.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
CTSI/USDT - Cartesi: BBand Breakout Super-Trend◳◱ On the $CTSI/ CRYPTOCAP:USDT chart, the Bband Breakout Super-Trend pattern suggests an upcoming trend shift. Traders might observe resistance around 0.225 | 0.25 | 0.2977 and support near 0.1773 | 0.1546 | 0.1069. Entering trades at 0.2992 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Cartesi
▣ Rank: 220
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Bybit, Huobipro, Gateio, Hitbtc
▣ Category/Sector: Infrastructure - Smart Contract Platforms
▣ Overview: Cartesi - "The Blockchain OS" is a decentralized Layer-2 infrastructure that supports Linux and mainstream software components. For the first time, developers can code scalable smart contracts with rich software tools, libraries, and the services they’re used to, bridging the gap between mainstream software and blockchain.
Cartesi is enabling millions of new startups and their developers to use The Blockchain OS and bring Linux applications on board. With a Linux virtual machine, optimistic rollups, and side-chains, Cartesi paves the way for developers of all kinds, to build the next generation of blockchain apps.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 0.2992 ₮
▣ 24HVol: 53,696,068.223 ₮
▣ 24H Chng: 63.766%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 48.67%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 45.52%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 114.88%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 0.225 | 0.25 | 0.2977
◢ Support: 0.1773 | 0.1546 | 0.1069
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: 0.75
▣ Last 90D: 1.93
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.77
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.92
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 1.00
▣ Last 90D: 0.80
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.04
▣ Last 3-Y: 1.80
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is 0.52 - Bullish
▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.68 - Bullish
▣ In-depth CTSIUSDT technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
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Benefit from a ton of financial analysis features, instruments and data. Have a look around, and if you do choose to go with an upgraded plan, you'll get up to $30.
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BITCOIN Weekly Outlook - 22/01/24 Hello everyone,
as I ment in last week idea, I am expecting BTC rather going LOWER then Highier,
prior to FED meeting which is next week.
Since we doesnt have much volatility last week, Im would expect bigger moves to occur later this week, when Market related reports start coming...
To understand further view I would suggest to first check this out:
As right now: I would suggest be very carefull with NEW trade opens , and manage them very carefully since there is potentionall for liquidity swept due to low range last week...
So, everyone who WAS Short before this post or decided to go Short after, should be in favorable position right now. (opening price at time of post is represented by purple dotted line)
Our Liquidity Sellside targets are same as was last week.
BUT what would I suggest to everyone, and doing myself is ↓↓↓↓↓↓
Create STOP LOSS order ABOVE weekend Highs
WHY? , - Have in mind, we are still in Monday PRE-MARKET, if we all of sudden reverse today, before late week news drivers, we can potentionally go to OTE targets from last week. And in that case we would LOSE on our trade... Thats Why we wanna create STOP LOSS order above weekend price BUT under our OPENING price. So even if market reverse, our position still be closed in very small profit but not end in loss!!!
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
POLYX/BTC - Polymesh: Ascending Triangle◳◱ On the $POLYX/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart, the Ascending Triangle pattern suggests a consolidation phase that could precede a trend continuation or reversal. Traders might observe resistance around 0.00000432 | 0.00000467 | 0.0000054 and support near 0.00000359 | 0.00000321 | 0.00000248. Entering trades at 0.00000402 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Polymesh
▣ Rank: N/A
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Huobipro
▣ Category/Sector: N/A
▣ Overview: Polymesh project overview is currently unavailable. I'll try to update this in the upcoming analysis.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 0.00000402 ₿
▣ 24HVol: 0.577 ₿
▣ 24H Chng: 1.005%
▣ 7-Days Chng: N/A
▣ 1-Month Chng: N/A
▣ 3-Months Chng: N/A
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 0.00000432 | 0.00000467 | 0.0000054
◢ Support: 0.00000359 | 0.00000321 | 0.00000248
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: BUY
▣ Moving Averages: BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: N/A
▣ Last 90D: N/A
▣ Last 1-Y: N/A
▣ Last 3-Y: N/A
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: N/A
▣ Last 90D: N/A
▣ Last 1-Y: N/A
▣ Last 3-Y: N/A
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is N/A
▣ Reddit sentiment score is N/A
▣ In-depth POLYXBTC technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView
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PLA/BTC - PLA: Trend Reversal◳◱ On the $PLA/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart, the Trend Reversal pattern suggests momentum building up for a significant move. Traders might observe resistance around 0.00000486 | 0.00000508 | 0.00000568 and support near 0.00000426 | 0.00000388 | 0.00000328. Entering trades at 0.00000503 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: PLA
▣ Rank: 313
▣ Exchanges: Binance
▣ Category/Sector: Payments - Gaming
▣ Overview: None
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 0.00000503 ₿
▣ 24HVol: 3.636 ₿
▣ 24H Chng: 7.021%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 9.20%
▣ 1-Month Chng: -0.73%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 19.30%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 0.00000486 | 0.00000508 | 0.00000568
◢ Support: 0.00000426 | 0.00000388 | 0.00000328
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : STRONG_BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: -1.28
▣ Last 90D: 1.15
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.21
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.73
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 0.63
▣ Last 90D: 0.63
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.72
▣ Last 3-Y: 2.30
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is 0.55 - Bullish
▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.86 - V. Bullish
▣ In-depth PLABTC technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
▣ Welcome to the home of charting big: TradingView
Benefit from a ton of financial analysis features, instruments and data. Have a look around, and if you do choose to go with an upgraded plan, you'll get up to $30.
Discover it here - affiliate link -
NEAR ($NEAR): Technical rebound in mid-termTrend is still bearish on daily and weekly chart, but at the same time we do not exclude an interesting technical rebound in mid-term. In this analysis we just wanted to share our view and how it could develop (Impulsive Structure), for more details on support and resistance levels, visit our Blog. With this in mind, from a technical point of view, AMEX:NEAR still remains under pressure, so we do not rule out a bearish consolidation before a price recovery.
🔴 TRADING STRATEGY
The best strategy may be to accumulate long positions on weakness (by the dip) with small sizes.
🔴 RISK MANAGEMENT
Use only the portion of assets willing to lose (1%/2%)
Analysis by
Anonymous Banker Team
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Big speculators are not buying the dip!While there is not much to talk about the price action due to Bitcoin trending mainly sideways since our last article, one notable thing is catching our attention. Despite a pullback in the price of Bitcoin, there is no increase in the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 100 BTC and 1,000 BTC, suggesting that big players are not buying the dip (unlike on previous occasions when Bitcoin gave up a significant portion of its gains). That is, indeed, a very worrisome development as it comes at a time when bullish momentum is disappearing in the broader cryptocurrency market as well as in the stock market. As a result, we continue to monitor the same things we outlined in the previous article and remain on high alert.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows another upward-sloping channel playing an important role.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of Bitcoin's MACD. If MACD breaks below the midpoint, it will strongly bolster a bearish case.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Neutral (turning increasingly bearish)
Weekly time frame = Neutral
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of multiple indicators.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
HEXUSD Bottom is in! Excellent x10 profit opportunity.HEXUSD has had the strongest 1W green candle last week since the week of October 16 2023. It closed a week above the 0.236 Fibonacci level for the first time since July 10 but the biggest bullish development is that the 1W MACD histogram broke above its Descending Lower Highs trend-line, which is a major divergence from the early 2023, indicating that the market bottom has most likely been priced last October.
As a result, we are now looking at HEX's upside again with the first natural Resistance level being the 0.382 Fib, which is where the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is headed to. That is our short-term Target. On the long-term we are aiming at the 0.133750 Resistance which from the current level it is more than x10 returns. However we are willing to commit to that only if the 1W MA100 breaks (and closes a candle above), which is where the massive March 20 2023 rejection started or after a pull-back to the 0.236 Fib again.
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BITCOIN MACD bottom pattern shows when to Buy and when to Sell !Over the years we have discovered many historic patterns applicable to Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles. With a relative degree of volatility every time, since each Cycle has it's own distinct characteristics and fundamental events that shape it, those patterns can help traders/ investors construct strategies for buying and selling on a long-term scale.
This time we have come across a very unique pattern on the 1M time-frame, which can identify where to Buy and where to Sell, near the Tops and Bottoms respectively, on a Cyclical scale.
Starting from the November 2011 bottom onwards, each Cycle is measured at either 3.58 or 3.83 years to the point where the 1M MACD bottoms. The last MACD bottom and start of reversal was on February 2023, while BTC was trading around 23k on average. Still not as appealing as the November 2022 16000 but low enough to provide an excellent (and confirmed) long-term dip buy entry compared to the previous $69000 All Time High.
At the moment the price is on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the current Cycle and as you can see on the chart, this is the level where BTC makes a 1-2 month pull-back. The Tops are priced either on the 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This means that long-term investors could take their profits either on January 2025 or July 2025, if the current Cycle lasts again 3.58 years. And as for the next bottom based on the model, it is expected on December 2026, where we can take a (relatively) confirmed buy position again for the long-term.
But what do you think about that MACD bottom model? Are you also expecting a new Cycle Top within January - July 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Link wave 5 in or coming?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
BIST:LINK update. 🧵
In @ 13.92, TP.
Thinking #Elliottwave sideways possibility since the price got up here.
I also know sideways can be tricky.
Trading tricky is tricky.
There are ways to minimize getting chopped.
2 W5 coming counts, if It's not in already...
New high=clarity