BTC To 20kBTC has been moving around pivot point of the year few weeks ago, probably it will go within down trending to across 20k price level during next month.
Cryptocurrencies
BITCOIN First close above the 1D MA50 in 2 months?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again today and is very close to registering the first 1D candle closing above it since August 01. At the same time it broke above the Lower Highs of the Falling Wedge pattern that started on the July 13 High.
If it succeeds today in closing above it, we hav e high probabilities of seeing the bullish extension of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S) we discussed last week materializing. The target extends as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci at 30000. The short-term target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 28000. Interestingly enough Resistance 1 (28150) and Resistance 2 (30220) are near those two respective targets adding to their importance as supply levels.
Note that the 1D RSI has been on a strong Bullish Divergence since August 18 (candles on Lower Lows). That is why the IH&S has increased probabilities of breaking above the 2-month Falling Wedge pattern.
So what do you think? Is it time to break to the upside for good? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PEPEUSD Can rise aggressively if the Falling Wedge breaks.Pepe (PEPEUSD) is trading within a Falling Wedge ever since the first sell-off and sits below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line) which made a double rejection on the latest Lower High on August 14 2023.
The 1D MACD is already on a strong post Bullish Cross sequence so the slightest break-out, preferably above the 1D MA50, will be a buy opportunity. The first and more reachable target will be a symmetrical with the Wedge's first rise at +128%, targeting 0.0000013500. If then the 1D MA100 holds as a Support, we will re-buy and target Resistance 2 at 0.0000019000.
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ETHUSDETH is short term in a triangle squeeze, been touching the upper trend line 4-8 times first time August 29th. If it breaks out, you have the next major resistance at about 1660.
I'm just gonna say this; it doesn't matter so much how we trade; it matters more how we manage risk/reward
. I think in anything we do, it's important to trust ourselves, and that our setups work - too much doubting can often lead to loss, as it leads to instability of mind. With faith, anything is possible! :)
Start your day with positive affirmations about yourself and your life. You can do this! :)
There's a line in "Waterfalls" I really like, by Lisa Left Eye Lopez
"Dreams are hopeless aspirations in hopes of coming true - believe in yourself!, the rest is up to me and you."
I would add, "Believe in God", but it's also important to believe in yourself, absolutely.
"I believe I can fly" is another of my favorite songs ever. And without taking action, I assure you that very little will happen - and if you don't have enough faith, you will never act. That is why it's important to have a strong belief in God, yourself, and your possibilities; if not, fear and doubt will dominate your thoughts instead of faith and courage.
You can build up your faith and positive thinking by practicing being aware of the thoughts you allow in your mind. If something does not align with positivity and hope, cast out those thoughts, and replace them with good thougts that bring you a positive outlook on your life and situation.
Stay healthy, stay blessed, take care of your temple (body).
-thomchris
MKRUSD: Enormous upside potential, can hit 2,700.MKRUSD turned overbought (RSI = 71.689, MACD = 59.900, ADX = 32.319) as it extended the rally that basically started on August 25th. The wider pattern is a Channel Up and the current run carries similar characteristic with the first run of this Channel. The RSI patterns are identical and symmetry wise we have started the rise to the third peak of this sequence. We will first target the 3.0 Fibonacci extension (TP1 = 2,100) and on the next pullback, the top of the Channel Up on a +179% rise (TP2 = 2,700).
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Bitcoin eyes $24,000 and lowerIn the previous article, we reiterated our belief that Bitcoin is headed lower. Today, we still hold this opinion and expect Bitcoin to drift to the area around $24,000 in the short/medium term (though beyond that, we still stick to the main scenario we have been warning about for the entire bear market rally, which is Bitcoin revisiting its last year’s lows). To support this case, we want to see Bitcoin drop below $26,000. In addition to that, we want to see technical indicators, including RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, continue declining on the daily time frame. On top of that, we also want to see ADX start rising, which would suggest that a bearish trend is growing in strength.
In the coming days, we will pay attention to the stock market, which has been struggling to make new highs recently and whose weakness can have negative implications for Bitcoin. Considering that the tech sector was highly correlated with Bitcoin last year, we think there is a high chance that a positive correlation between the two assets will rise again (and the tech sector will drag down Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrencies). We will update thoughts on the asset with the emergence of new developments.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of RSI. To support a bearish case, we want to see RSI break below the Support.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of MACD. The yellow arrow indicates MACD’s failure to fully enter a bullish area above the midpoint. That is a bearish development.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CRVUSD Bullish break-out on the short-termCurve DAO Token (CRVUSD) broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 30, with the 1D MACD breaking above the 0.00 neutral mark. The long-term pattern is a Channel Down since the February 21 High, which hit the November 22 2022 market bottom on its last Lower Low (September 13 2023).
Every 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50 following a Lower Low has seen a bullish extension towards the top of the Channel Down. Last time (July 14) it broken marginally above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and almost touched the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). We are bullish, targeting 0.6000 (1D MA100) unless the MACD makes a Bearish Cross first.
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BITCOIN Don't expect any rebound as long as the USD is rising!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) failed again to break above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), closing instead the 1W candle in red and is pulling back. Today's study is on the 1W time-frame and compares BTC's price action through the whole year to the U.S. Dollar's (DXY).
You would expect a correlation between the two but as you can see on these charts, it has gotten increasingly tighter lately. BTC's last two medium-term declines are the direct consequence of DXY's price increases. When DXY bottomed and started to rise, BTC topped and started to decline (vice verse DXY topping, BTC bottoming). Obviously a far riskier asset like Bitcoin is trading in a more aggressive pattern like a Channel Up while the more stable by nature currency is trading/ consolidating within a Megaphone.
DXY the approaching the top of that Megaphone pattern, in fact it is very close to the 105.900 High of March. Having broken above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) this month, while BTC is still supported on its own, we can't be realistically expecting Bitcoin to rebound as long as the DXY continues to rise, unless an outside catalyst such as very favorable (adoption) news hit the market. Until then Bitcoin should seek a Support confirmation on its 1W MA50, while DXY should start forming a top in October.
But what do you think? Will Bitcoin rise irrelevant of what DXY will do, or we need to see a top on the latter first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 22, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week, Bitcoin did a backflip and created a new Mean Res 27200, with a substantial drop-down anticipation to our strategic Mean Sup 25100 and Outer Coin Dip 24200, as we anticipate a retest of the Mean Res 27200.
AUDIO/USDT Psychology. Accumulation. Distribution. Local fractalOne of many such cryptocurrencies whose price makes a huge profit from early accumulation. If you want to earn from a distance—buy and accumulate positions before the "promising crowd hype" or when working on similar instruments skillfully limit your potential losses.
Coin Market: Audius AUDIO
It's worth noting that a local fractal (the smart ones sell to the stupid ones) is forming in the distribution zone, which could potentially work (repeat). To sell it is necessary to make an "interest to earn" (to attract the less clever "traders"), in other words, waves to the growth of +500% on the secondary trends to attract attention. It is possible to make money on this, but with the condition of limiting potential losses. On such coins and at such values, it is rational to use stops, even at the "bottom" of the channel, if the price falls there.
It's worth noting that you shouldn't trade marginally (including shorting) on such coins with such liquidity and price. The liquidity allows you to manipulate both ways making margin calls.
Locally, this potential reversal zone looks as follows (the marker shows the direction of price movement) .
Coin as an example. There are many of these. As a rule, people notice such coins when investors need to get rid of them rather than buy them.
Greed and people's cloned mental behavior do the trick. New market entrants buy, old market entrants sell and then buy at a higher price (typical hamster behavior) or wait for even higher profits.
Since people sometimes write to me asking me to consider such hamster coins when HYIP (the news "diarrhea" phase for selling promising coins) is going on, I decided to consider.
Again, make money on this by "trading local price movements". One must work as a trader and not buy because of news background, promising super profits in distribution and expecting "cosmic targets". You need to limit your losses from the start and not be greedy.
Coin as an example. The name of the crypto coin and the legend from the creators doesn't matter much. It's all the same and created for the same thing (earning from speculation).
Always when trading an old/new instrument, you need to understand where the accumulation is, where the distribution is. And also, where the price is in the main trend.
Opportunity for a swing trade might be arisingAfter a big drop in Litecoin from nearly $115 to less than $58, the opportunity for a swing trade in the opposite direction might be arising. The setup we are watching would involve taking a long position with the breakout above Resistance 1 and tight stop-loss below it. The idea behind this trade would be to ride the price retracement toward the 50-day SMA. The first price target would be at Resistance 2 and the second at Resistance 3.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Neutral/Slightly bullish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BITCOIN Rejected on July's Resistance buy can this save the day?Last week we covered the Lower Highs trend-lines involved on Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) medium-term price action (see chart below) and how each break-out would be a Resistance break targeting the next in line:
The Lower Highs 1 trend-line broke and almost hit our 27550 Target but the rejection on Lower Highs 2 (started on the July 13 High) has been so far rather emphatic. This was also a near 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) rejection that pulled the price back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As discussed previously, the Fibonacci retracement levels play an important role on this price action. It should be no surprise that the 0.236 Fibonacci is holding so far this pull-back, while the rejection took place on the 0.382 Fib.
On the bright side, the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) remains the long-term Support, while the 1D RSI is on a Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows as opposed to Lower Lows of the price). As a result, we may see Lower Highs 2 break especially if the pattern transitions into an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Technically such patterns target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from their neckline. Surprisingly that is marginally below Resistance 2 (30220) and the 0.786 Fibonacci (30350). A straight 30000 target would be best for the medium-term.
We don't consider buying below Lower Highs 2 optimal, unless a new (last) pull-back towards the 1W MA50 occurs (excellent value entry). It would be more optimal to enter after a 1D candle closes above Lower Highs 2 or better yet a confirmed break of Resistance 1 (28150), which would be also a break above the 1D MA200.
So what do you think? Can this Inverse Head and Shoulders finally break above the Lower Highs and save the day for BTC? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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LUNCUSD Excellent short-term buy signalTerra Classic (LUNCUSD) just hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 22. The pattern is a Channel Down going back to early March and every time the price broke above the 1D MA50, it went all the way for the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) to form a new Lower High at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, we will buy the moment the 1D MA50 breaks and target the 1D MA100 at 0.00007550.
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GMXUSD 1day MA50 based trading strategy.GMXUSD almost hit the 1day MA50 two days ago and has so far turned sideways.
This inability to cross over this Resistance level that has been holding since early August, is technically a bearish signal.
As long as it holds, sell and target 30.150 (Support A).
If broken though, we can have a June 30th type break out to the 1day MA100. Consequently be ready to close the sell and open a buy targeting 42.000 (top of the Channel Down and possible contact with the 1day MA100).
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TONUSD: Buy a pullback near 1.700 and target above $3.TONUSD has had a strong bull run as of late, turning the 1D technical outlook green (RSI = 66.857, MACD = 0.238, ADX = 28.071). The consolidation of the past two days is a first indication that we might have reached a medium term peak. In fact it would appear that Toncoin is reproducing the July-September 2022 price action, which after a first peak, pulled back to below the 0.618 Fibonacci level before gradually rising again.
The 1D RSI Double Top is further proof to that. We estimate a pull back near 1.700 (Fib 0.618) to be followed by a new uptrend to the top of the long term Channel Up (TP = 3.200). During this sequence, the HL trendline should hold. Notice also how a MA50-100 Bullish Cross preceded both peaks.
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IMXUSD Just hit the 1D MA200! Another rejection?Immutable X (IMXUSD) is seeing a huge rally today, almost +50% so far, that has hit the 1D MA200 (orange trenf-line) and the top (Lower Highs) of the Channel Down. The previous 1D MA200 test (July 28) was a clear rejection and what started August's massive -46.80% decline. The last such decline (-46.95%) was in May/ June, the first sell wave within the dominant Channel Down pattern.
We are willing to buy every 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back and target the Higher Highs trend-line at 1.03500. If on the contrary the price breaks below the Higher Lows, we will sell and target a little above Support at 0.48000.
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$FRONT/#BTC [#Frontier]: BBand_Breakout Resistance_Breakout◳◱ Hey crypto lovers, we've identified bullish signals on the $FRONT / $BTC chart through the detection of both a Bollinger Band and a Resistance Breakout. The Bollinger Band indicates a potential bullish trend as the price has moved outside of the upper band, while the Resistance Breakout confirms this trend by showing the price breaking above a key resistance level. Given the alignment of these signals, it may be a good idea to consider entering a long position and targeting higher levels. Our analysis indicates that the key resistance levels are at 0.00001107 | 0.00001158 | 0.00001279 and the major support zones are at 0.00000986 | 0.00000916 | 0.00000795. However, it is important to also consider other factors such as overall market conditions and other technical indicators before making a trade decision.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 0.00001189 ₿
▣ 24HVol: 6.807 ₿
▣ 24hChng: 5.877%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 0.00001107 | 0.00001158 | 0.00001279
◢ Support: 0.00000986 | 0.00000916 | 0.00000795
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: BUY
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : STRONG_BUY
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is 0.59 - Bullish
▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.59 - Bullish
▣ In-depth FRONTBTC technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
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CFXUSD Inside the Channel Down, not bullish yet.Conflux (CFXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the March 19 High. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has priced all Lower Highs since May 23 but it is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) that has been untouched since June 01.
The 1D RSI is on Higher Lows against the Lower Lows of the price, waving a big Bullish Divergence. The last time we saw a similar Channel Down structure was last year in Q3 - Q4. The pattern eventually broke upwards on a parabolic rise after the price broke above the 1D MA100. Before that, the earliest signal was when the 1D RSI broke above its onw Lower Highs trend-line.
As a result, we will wait for the RSI to make the first move and buy when the 1D MA100 breaks. All Fibonacci levels that follow will be targeted one by one.
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BTCUSD On a major Resistance cluster. Massive pump if broken.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is testing the Falling Resistance today, slightly over the 1day MA50 and under the 1day MA200.
This is a key Resistance cluster, which if broken opens the way to a potential massive price rise.
A similar test of the respective Falling Resistance took place on June 20th, again on the 1day MA50. When broken the price reached Resistance Zone A. Both rises have ocurred on Support Zone A.
The 1day RSI is on the very same level, indicating a high degree of symmetry.
Buy a potential cross over the Falling Resistance and target 31000 (bottom of Resistance Zone A).
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BITCOIN Going for the Cycle's Lower Highs trendline and 1W MA100Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to test a major Resistance cluster, the Lower Highs trend-line from the Cycle's 2nd High and the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). The latter was the Resistance level that stopped the rally in July. The price has been essentially consolidating sideways within the 1W MA100 and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) since. The former (Lower Highs) is the trend-line that was a key Resistance in the past two Cycles and its break-out coincided with the break above the 1W MA100 as well.
Today BTC is only 30 weeks (210 days) before Halving 4 (April 2024). Going back to the past two Cycles, we can see that in both cases the price was exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on that respective date/time range and at the same time above the 1W MA100 (though only marginally). Today the price is roughly $5000 below the 0.5 Fib and below the 1W MA100. Can this be an indication that this Cycle may not be as aggressive? We can't be sure but what we do know is that a break above the Lower Highs and 1W MA100 trend-lines would be a strong medium-term bullish signal, at least until next year's Halving.
But what do you think? Are you expecting Bitcoin to finally break above the Lower Highs trend-line and the 1W MA100 on the current rebound? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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KASUSD: Initiated the new rally phase to 0.1100KASUSD / Kaspa recovered the recently lost Support of the 1day MA50 and almost reached the August 7th High.
With the Rising Support holding, the long term bullish trend is intact.
Based on a similar rise since the start of the year, the price is just starting the new rally.
Buy now and target the 2.618 Fibonacci extension at 0.11000.
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LINKUSD This forgotten crypto is giving a buy signal.Chainlink (LINKUSD) hit today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than a month after a Double Bottom just above the 1.5 year Support Zone. This rebound has been accomplished after the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross within the Buy Zone and rebounded.
Every time such a MACD rebound took place, the price has always hit $8.00. That is our buy target now and should be contained under the Lower Highs trend-line since the November 08 2022 High.
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bitcoin DOOM!If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
Weekly DOOM counts still active, MO.
The circle looks 3 wave to me, I can't ignore it.
Not a clean end.
25k break adds to this.
33k break kills it.
I'm sure the ETFs will save us...maybe.
I have a plan B.
