Cryptocurrencies
KASUSD Can the 1D Death Cross really save the day???KASPA (KASUSD) has been trading within a Falling Wedge pattern since the July 31 top and is almost on the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the January 23 2024 Low. The key development of the day however, is the formation of the 1D Death Cross, a technically bearish pattern.
Last time it was formed though (May 16), it provided the basis for a strong rally that made a new High. Interestingly enough, the price was also coming off a Falling Wedge at the time that successfully broke above its top. In the meantime the 1D RSI was after a Bullish Divergence, essentially a bottoming process. In fact, it was the same formation of that the Falling Wedge before it (November - December 2023) had, that also broke aggressively above its top.
As a result, we have a potential triple bullish signal and as long as the Higher Lows hold, there are high probabilities of seeing the price break above the Wedge and target at least the previous High at 0.20800.
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Reviving Momentum: Is $SOLANA Poised for a Breakout?There seems to be some life returning to $SOLANA. I’m glad it held the $134 zone and has finally broken above the weekly block, even if just slightly. We want to see it move much higher towards the 2022 open to have a chance at new highs.
For now, it’s still "trying" to escape the consolidation phase from August but needs to move away from this 9-month range.
A final leg towards new highs could reignite the meme sector. I’ve mentioned buying betas like NASDAQ:RAY , LSE:JUP , and CRYPTOCAP:JTO , as these are likely to outperform $SOLANA, so keep an open mind about the level of risk to take.
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The weekly chart is showing a weak but at least a bullish signal for the first time since May 2024.
This is not a bad spot to add a "little" exposure and continue to accumulate on dips.
BITCOIN 'Angle Theory' unlocking this Cycle. Is $140k the top?Exactly 1 year ago (October 02 2023, see chart below), we published a renewed approach on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) historic Cycles, using the 'Angles Theory' on the logarithmic curve to make a more accurate roadmap of the current Cycle:
Back then, the price was 'just' $28000 and a few months later it catapulted to almost $74000. Below we present again the basics of that analysis, in order to refresh your memory.
** Cycle Peaks and angles **
BTC's Cycle peaks in historical order have been $32, $1250, $19800, $69800. They all made contact with the Logarithmic top Growth Curve, a historic pattern that is holding since BTC's inception.
Every peak-to-peak measurement appears to be roughly half of the previous peak. The automatic angle measurements on the (red) dotted lines may differ based on the screen's display and how the horizontal/ vertical axis move but on ours (and the screenshot of the idea) goes like this: 42°, 22°, 11°. We estimate a 7° angle for the new Cycle peak on the log Growth Curve.
** Next Cycle peak? **
If we take all previous Cycles and apply them to fit the new price action towards the top of the Log Growth Curve, that 7° line gives a projected Cycle peak within $140000 - 160000 (slightly updated from our study a year ago). It is also interesting to apply the same angle principle to the Cycle bottoms. We can see that those (green dotted lines) can also roughly be half of what the previous bottom was (though the variations are higher). The new bottom is estimated to be on a 8° angle.
Remarkably the angles of the tops and bottoms of each Cycle have approximately the same measurements, indicating that despite being logarithmic within a curve, they can be viewed separately in Channels.
** Last year compared to now **
So how has this Theory worked out compared to last year? Well beyond doubt, the Cycle was much more aggressive that the previous two (blue and orange) due to mainly the Bitcoin ETF launch, and is certainly more similar to the first Cycle (black). That suggests that it will top by January 2025 but the Sine Waves Tops, which have caught Bitcoin's cyclical peaks with incredible accuracy, indicate it will be around November 2025. As you can see, this is exactly where the projection of the blue and orange fractals show.
But what do you think? Will the current Cycle peak at the end of 2025 and if show will it be at a minimum of $140000 and a maximum of $1600000, as the 7° angle on the Log Curve suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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The new ALTSEASON is starting. Will you miss the train?We see many indicators both technical and fundamental this week that point out the alt coin market may be on the verge of a price explosion, what we most commonly refer to as 'Altseason'. So far on this Cycle we've had the 1st from June 2023 to March 2024. The 2nd however that completes the Bull Cycle, tends to be more aggressive.
On this chart we view the Crypto Total Market Cap excluding the Top 10 on the 2W time-frame. As you can see, the price found support on the MA50 (blue trend-line) for 4 consecutive candles and now with higher closings, looks ready to make the decisive break-out.
Relative to the previous two Cycles, it appears that we are on the exact part on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, where both final Parabolic Rallies (altseason) started. The RSI and MACD in particular showcase significant resemblance with December 2016. A MACD Bullish Cross, is the only indicator left to confirm the rally.
Since both of those historic rallies reached at least the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, there is no reason yet to expect otherwise. As a result, a 3T target towards the end of 2025 appears to be feasible.
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FETUSD on the Channel Up bottom. Buy opportunity.The Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FETUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 bottom. The price is currently at the bottom of the Channel Up and around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), where the last Higher Low was priced (September 06).
The proper Support is offered by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), marginally below. This price action appears to be an attempt to form the new bottom, but since the previous two Bullish Legs were confirmed upon a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, you may wait for such confirmation.
The Target is at least 2.000 (proportional % rise compared to the previous Bullish Legs. Since however the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) provided the last rejection on the September 25 Higher High and is essentially holding as Resistance since June 27, you may wait until this breaks (candle closing above it) and then commit to a long. Trade based on your risk appetite.
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DreamAnalysis | ARKM Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Triggers✨ Welcome to today’s analysis! I’m going to analyze ARKM (Arkham), one of the most well-known projects in the crypto space, and identify key triggers for spot trading. ARKM is a DeFi project that gathers wallet data and offers it on its platform, making it one of the most useful tools in the DeFi ecosystem. Let’s dive into the technical analysis of this coin on the daily timeframe.
📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, ARKM hit its all-time high (ATH) at $3.914 before entering a distribution phase. After breaking below the SMA99, the support at $1.317 was lost, leading to a decline to $0.914. For a while, the price ranged between $0.914 and $1.317, and the candle volumes gradually decreased until buying volume picked up in the market. This resulted in strong green candles that broke through $1.317 and the SMA99, followed by a pullback, pushing the price towards the resistance zone at $1.818. Currently, the price is consolidating below this resistance level.
📊 The previous candle showed a strong bearish movement with significant volume, suggesting the potential for downward momentum to enter the market. Coupled with a bearish divergence in RSI, a break below the 50 level on RSI would confirm the divergence, and we could expect a correction down to the $1.317 support zone. If this support breaks, the next key level would be $1.082, which is significantly lower than the current price. If the price reaches this level, bullish momentum will likely vanish, and the market could form a new trend.
🔽 On the upside, the price has touched a curved trendline three times, reinforcing the importance of this trend. If a correction occurs, the trendline may act as support for the fourth time, potentially halting the price drop. However, if the $1.317 and $1.082 supports break, the last major defense will be at $0.914. Below this, there are no significant support levels until $0.738.
📈 Bullish Scenario and Key Resistance Levels
If the price breaks above the $1.818 resistance and starts a new bullish wave, there are several important targets to consider for profit-taking. The first target would be $2.229, though this is not a strong resistance zone as the price has interacted with it less frequently than with the main resistances. If bullish momentum is strong, the price could quickly move toward the next target at $2.769. This resistance is even stronger than ARKM’s previous ATH, making it the most crucial level to watch. Should the price break through $2.769, it could easily reach its ATH of $3.914 or even set a new high.
📉 Stop-loss and Entry Triggers
If you are already holding ARKM, I recommend placing your stop-loss around the $1.317 or $0.914 zones to protect your position. For those looking to enter the market, here are several key triggers:
🔼 Break above $1.818: If this level is broken, the price could move up toward $2.769.
Buy on pullback to $1.317: If a correction occurs, watch for a bullish reaction at this zone.
Break above $2.769: This would be the final trigger for significant upside movement, with more triggers possibly emerging from future candles.
By monitoring these levels and triggers, you can capitalize on ARKM’s next moves in the spot market.
❌Disclaimer
This is not financial advice; it is merely my personal opinion on how the coin might move. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
DOGEUSD Hit its 1DMA200. Rejection or breakout? Pick your poisonDogecoin (DOGEUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 29. A little before that date on the last High (July 21), the Lower Highs trend-line started, which is currently exactly on the 1D MA200.
As a result today's pull-back is so far a double level rejection (1D MA200 and Lower Highs trend-line). As long as it stays intact, there are more probabilities to pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again, which held twice this month already (closed all candles above it). In that case, our Target is 0.11000.
If on the other hand the 1D MA200 breaks first, we will accept the loss on the short (tight SL anyway) and buy the break-out targeting 0.14380 (Resistance 1). The 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross on Monday, which favors the bullish break-out.
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ICPUSD Trade the break-out of this Triangle.Internet Computer (ICPUSD) is trading within a Triangle pattern since the July 05 bottom, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as its pivot. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is almost right on its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
Our approach on such patterns is to trade to the direction of the first break-out. A break above the 1D MA200 would be a bullish break-out signal, targeting 21.00 (Resistance 1), while a break below the Higher Lows trend-line would be a bearish break-out signal, targeting 6.00 (Support 1).
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BITCOIN One year later, the pattern is repeated and leads to 88kThis is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.
This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):
As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.
So what do you think? Can this break-out lead to 88k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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DreamAnalysis | Key Triggers for ENJ Futures and Spot Trading✨ Welcome to today’s analysis! In this session, I will analyze Enjin Coin (ENJ) and review its key triggers in both futures and spot markets. The entire crypto market is currently in a significant zone, and how the price reacts here could set the direction for the coming months.
🧩 About ENJ and Its Role in Crypto Gaming
If you’ve been involved in crypto gaming, you’ve likely heard of ENJ (Enjin Coin), but you might not know exactly what role it plays. Every game is built using a game engine, such as Frostbite or Unreal Engine, used in major games. However, these engines are complex and expensive, which makes them impractical for crypto projects.
✨ Enjin Coin provides a simpler, blockchain-specific game engine, which is why it has become one of the top projects in this space. It has even partnered with notable names like CoinMarketCap, Binance, and Atari.
🔍 Now that we know what Enjin Coin brings to the crypto space, let’s dive into the chart and explore important triggers. The analysis is conducted in the daily and 4-hour timeframes.
📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, ENJ has been in a downtrend from its $0.6556 high, falling to the $0.13 support level. It has since entered a range-bound phase, moving between $0.13 and $0.1778 for the past two months. A confirmation of an uptrend could be seen if the price stabilizes above $0.1778, with RSI needing to break through 59.61 and market buying volume increasing to confirm bullish momentum.
📈 If the price breaks through $0.1778 or $0.2054, it would be a good opportunity for spot buying. Targets for this move would be $0.2645, $0.4098, and $0.6556.
📉 On the downside, if $0.13 support breaks (likely coinciding with RSI falling below 42.48), it’s advisable to activate stop-losses if you already hold ENJ. The next support below would be at $0.0921.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, ENJ is stuck in a long consolidation range, which limits the effectiveness of momentum indicators like RSI, so I won’t use it here.
🔼 The price recently broke above $0.1543 and is now pulling back towards this level. If the upward move continues, the next target would be $0.1658, with the final target at the top of the range near $0.1823. If you don’t have a position open, consider entering a long trade on a break above $0.1658. What’s encouraging here is that volume is increasing, signaling strength in the bullish move.
🔽 For a short position, a break below $0.1398 would be a suitable entry point. If the price confirms and holds below this zone, we could see a move toward the $0.13 support. The main short position would be triggered after a break below $0.13.
📝 Overall, I currently see a bullish momentum in the market for futures and prefer opening long positions.
❌Disclaimer
This is not financial advice; it is merely my personal opinion on how the coin might move. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
APTUSD Next pull-back will be a huge buy opportunity.Aptos (APTUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame and last time it did so (November 30 2023), it has already started the new Bullish Leg of the Rectangle it's been trading in since January 26 2023.
The Bullish Megaphone inside which the price traded at the time of the Golden Cross, gave one final pull-back before rallying aggressively towards the top. As a result, we will wait for the next buy opportunity on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), to take a lower risk buy and target 19.000.
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PEPEUSD The 1W MA50 will push it to new Highs.Pepe (PEPEUSD) has already recovered all of last week's losses and appears that it can break above September's 0.000012 High. All this bullish strength is technically fueled by the hold the crypto made just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last month.
Technically that is the start of the new Bullish Leg of Pepe's historic Channel Up, however it is possible to make one last pull-back towards the 1W MA50 in December, like it did during the previous accumulation phase in December 2023.
Now as far as targets are concerned, the previous two Bullish Legs rose at least by +2525% and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (Higher High to Higher Low). As a result, the more realistic Target at the moment is 0.000030 (1.618 Fib).
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BITCOIN Channel Up starting the new Bullish Leg!Four months ago (June 07, see chart below) we published a post on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) calling it an 'Unpopular opinion' as despite a on ongoing rebound in May, we signaled a correction as, based on the long-term Channel Up since November 2022, it was technically possible to see a pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then extended consolidation until a potential bottom on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line):
Even though the Channel Up had to be readjusted, the price action delivered the exact pattern of the previous 6-month (April 11 - October 16 2023) consolidation and almost tested the 1D MA100, forming a bottom on August 04 2024.
The similarities between those two fractals are more evident on their 1D RSI sequences. This shows that right now we could be before a break-out similar on the October 16 2023 candle. Regardless of that, it appears that the new Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up is accelerating and a new High above 66500 would confirm it.
We have had 3 major Bullish Legs so far, more or less around the same levels (+92.27% to +101.57%). So a bad case scenario would be to see a +92.27% rally from the August 04 Low, which would still give us a $94500 Target.
So what do you think? Is the Channel Up just heating up and can the new Bullish Leg reach 94.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Shortas Israel and Iran War is on heads so due to undone Retaliatory decision of I-S-R-A-E-L BTC is stuck in a range but technically i am seeing a drop in the price of BTCUSD as BTC can fall to its daily Support level On Weekly to Daily its in Bullish but in H4 to H1 it seems to be Bearish so i am bearish on current moment if Geopolitical tension overcomes to increases we can any unexpected move on the pair but still we are Bearish over the pair to its Daily support level
LINK Analysis: Key Levels Triggers in Consolidation Phase✨ Welcome to Today's LINK Analysis
In today's analysis, I will examine the LINK token and identify key triggers for both futures and spot trading. I hope this analysis will be useful to you.
🔍 About Chainlink (LINK)
This project offers a highly intriguing concept. Its primary goal is to bridge off-chain data with on-chain environments. This means that off-chain data can be transferred to the blockchain without any alteration. LINK tokens can be used as a payment token within the platform and also for staking.
⏳ Daily Timeframe Analysis
Starting with the daily timeframe, after reaching the resistance level of $21.71, the price entered a consolidation phase, ranging between $21.71 and $12.95 for a while. During this period, the candle volumes gradually decreased until the $12.95 support was broken, causing the price to drop to the $9.51 support.
🔽After hitting this support, the price again entered a consolidation phase, even reaching the $12.95 level. Now, a range has formed between $9.51 and $12.95. A suitable buy trigger in the spot market would be the breakout of $12.95, with a stop-loss set around the $9.51 or, more riskily, $10.5 levels. A break above the 50 and 41.48 levels on the RSI could confirm the entry of momentum. Always make sure to set a stop-loss and manage your capital to avoid significant losses.
🛑 If you've already purchased LINK and are looking for a stop-loss point, the $9.51 zone could serve as a good stop-loss. For targets, the short-term target is $15.06, and for long-term holders, it's $21.71.
📈Futures Trading Triggers
For futures trading, $11.47 is a good long trigger, and $10.50 is suitable for shorts. To further assess the situation, let's move to the 4-hour timeframe.
⏳4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, more details are visible, and some solid futures triggers can be identified. Currently, the selling volume exceeds the buying volume, as the bearish waves have higher volumes compared to the bullish ones.
📈For a long position, the $11.69 trigger could target the top of the box, while breaking $12.95 would signal the main long position. A break above 62.42 on the RSI would be important and could indicate a bullish momentum shift, but it’s also crucial for buying volume to increase.
📉For a short position, the $10.43 break is suitable and could lead the price to the $9.51 floor. The volume and momentum are aligned with the market's downtrend. The main short position would be triggered by breaking the $9.51 level, which is LINK's most critical support. If this zone is broken, we could see a sharp decline in price.
❌Disclaimer
This is not financial advice; it is merely my personal opinion on how the coin might move. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Bitcoin "Interim Squeeze" channel underwent retesting during this week's trading session. It exhibited upward movement to Mean Res 64000 and subsequent downward movement to Mean Sup 60200, and it is currently poised to return to Mean Res 64000. A breach of this critical resistance level will catalyze a movement towards the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. However, failure to achieve this rally will result in a downside interim bearish sentiment, leading to a decline in the coin's price to the Mean Support level of 58000 and possibly an Inner Coin Dip of 55500. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
UNIUSD Will it break above the ultimate Resistance cluster?Uniswap (UNIUSD) broke yesterday above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 03 but failed to close above it. The reason is the presence there of another strong Resistance level, the Lower Highs trend-line started on the March 06 High.
Those two form the ultimate Resistance cluster and only a 1D candle close above both can confirm the start of a new long-term rally. Technically the pattern is a Channel Up since late 2022 and a new rally would be its Bullish Leg.
The previous Bullish Leg rose by +337.70% so if we get that closing confirmation, we will turn bullish again, targeting a Higher High at $20.000 (just below the +337.70% mark).
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BITCOIN below the 60k again! Is this alarming??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today below the $60000 market again for the first time since September 18. The first headlines are already hitting the market calling for more downside. We highly doubt that as no only has the priced formed the first Higher High on September 27 in 6 months, but more importantly the uptrend since the August 05 bottom is supported by a Higher Lows trend-line.
Also, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) may have been broken, but as long as the price holds the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has held twice already on August 05 and September 06, the chances of a break-out above the 7-month Lower Highs trend-line are high.
In fact, the pattern since the August 05 bottom appears to be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The standard technical target on such occasions is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which gives us a $80000 price tag. As long as the 1W MA50 holds, this is the most likely scenario in our opinion.
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LITECOIN Its time to shine again has come.Litecoin (LTCUSD) is trading on its 3rd historic Cycle but remains below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) since basically late June. The market however, is no stranger to such dips below the 1W MA50 as it has done so both in September - October 2020 and (for just small fractions) in October 2016. As it is easily obvious, this is a 4-year cyclical behaviour.
All Cycles have a Top, Bear Phase, Accumulation phase under Lower Highs and finally Parabolic Rallies. It appears that we are currently just ending the final accumulation phase below the pre-rally Lower Highs, also evident by the 1W RSI, which is consolidating on its Higher Lows trend-line. Even though the rally is confirmed after the price breaks above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and the Lower Highs trend-line, we have valid evidence to argue that an early buy now is even more optimal.
Technically LTC can go as high as the 1.1 Fibonacci extension ($500.00) but as last Cycle practically just marginally hit the previous All Time High (AT), we will settle for the time being for an ATH test at $400.00 if this is where it will be by the time the price starts approaching the top of the Sine Wave. The latter has been an excellent sell signal since, as mentioned, these are 4-year Cycles.
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DOGEUSD Are you people ready??We have recently viewed Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Cycles and mentioned why we expect it to start rising parabolically soon. What we haven't done but it's what we bring you today is those Cycles compared to the Cycles of the flagship of the crypto world, Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
We will keep it simple, because that's what the chart is, no need to complicate what's obvious with added terms and info.
As you can see, every time Bitcoin broke above its All Time High (ATH), Dogecoin was on a medium-term correction (though well within its Bull Cycle) under Lower Highs and marginally above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. Once Bitcoin broke out, Doge did also only though much more aggressively and within a few weeks it reached its previous ATH.
Needless to say, it didn't stop there but went on to peak much higher. Once more, the market finds itself in the exact same position as before in history. Are you ready??
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SUI near ATHSUI nearly made it to ATH. I know it looks pretty scary to enter long that high, and that makes sense. But I want you to check out SUIBTC chart - imagine that price break above that level - in this case guaranteed target will be around 0.00009 and that makes another 150% from breakout (or ~180% from cmp) 👀
Watch the dips under 1.92 and down to 1.85 - they can be an opportunity to catch that breakout.