DOGEUSD Hit its 1DMA200. Rejection or breakout? Pick your poisonDogecoin (DOGEUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 29. A little before that date on the last High (July 21), the Lower Highs trend-line started, which is currently exactly on the 1D MA200.
As a result today's pull-back is so far a double level rejection (1D MA200 and Lower Highs trend-line). As long as it stays intact, there are more probabilities to pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again, which held twice this month already (closed all candles above it). In that case, our Target is 0.11000.
If on the other hand the 1D MA200 breaks first, we will accept the loss on the short (tight SL anyway) and buy the break-out targeting 0.14380 (Resistance 1). The 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross on Monday, which favors the bullish break-out.
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Cryptocurrencies
ICPUSD Trade the break-out of this Triangle.Internet Computer (ICPUSD) is trading within a Triangle pattern since the July 05 bottom, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as its pivot. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is almost right on its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
Our approach on such patterns is to trade to the direction of the first break-out. A break above the 1D MA200 would be a bullish break-out signal, targeting 21.00 (Resistance 1), while a break below the Higher Lows trend-line would be a bearish break-out signal, targeting 6.00 (Support 1).
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BITCOIN One year later, the pattern is repeated and leads to 88kThis is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.
This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):
As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.
So what do you think? Can this break-out lead to 88k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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DreamAnalysis | Key Triggers for ENJ Futures and Spot Trading✨ Welcome to today’s analysis! In this session, I will analyze Enjin Coin (ENJ) and review its key triggers in both futures and spot markets. The entire crypto market is currently in a significant zone, and how the price reacts here could set the direction for the coming months.
🧩 About ENJ and Its Role in Crypto Gaming
If you’ve been involved in crypto gaming, you’ve likely heard of ENJ (Enjin Coin), but you might not know exactly what role it plays. Every game is built using a game engine, such as Frostbite or Unreal Engine, used in major games. However, these engines are complex and expensive, which makes them impractical for crypto projects.
✨ Enjin Coin provides a simpler, blockchain-specific game engine, which is why it has become one of the top projects in this space. It has even partnered with notable names like CoinMarketCap, Binance, and Atari.
🔍 Now that we know what Enjin Coin brings to the crypto space, let’s dive into the chart and explore important triggers. The analysis is conducted in the daily and 4-hour timeframes.
📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, ENJ has been in a downtrend from its $0.6556 high, falling to the $0.13 support level. It has since entered a range-bound phase, moving between $0.13 and $0.1778 for the past two months. A confirmation of an uptrend could be seen if the price stabilizes above $0.1778, with RSI needing to break through 59.61 and market buying volume increasing to confirm bullish momentum.
📈 If the price breaks through $0.1778 or $0.2054, it would be a good opportunity for spot buying. Targets for this move would be $0.2645, $0.4098, and $0.6556.
📉 On the downside, if $0.13 support breaks (likely coinciding with RSI falling below 42.48), it’s advisable to activate stop-losses if you already hold ENJ. The next support below would be at $0.0921.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, ENJ is stuck in a long consolidation range, which limits the effectiveness of momentum indicators like RSI, so I won’t use it here.
🔼 The price recently broke above $0.1543 and is now pulling back towards this level. If the upward move continues, the next target would be $0.1658, with the final target at the top of the range near $0.1823. If you don’t have a position open, consider entering a long trade on a break above $0.1658. What’s encouraging here is that volume is increasing, signaling strength in the bullish move.
🔽 For a short position, a break below $0.1398 would be a suitable entry point. If the price confirms and holds below this zone, we could see a move toward the $0.13 support. The main short position would be triggered after a break below $0.13.
📝 Overall, I currently see a bullish momentum in the market for futures and prefer opening long positions.
❌Disclaimer
This is not financial advice; it is merely my personal opinion on how the coin might move. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
APTUSD Next pull-back will be a huge buy opportunity.Aptos (APTUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame and last time it did so (November 30 2023), it has already started the new Bullish Leg of the Rectangle it's been trading in since January 26 2023.
The Bullish Megaphone inside which the price traded at the time of the Golden Cross, gave one final pull-back before rallying aggressively towards the top. As a result, we will wait for the next buy opportunity on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), to take a lower risk buy and target 19.000.
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PEPEUSD The 1W MA50 will push it to new Highs.Pepe (PEPEUSD) has already recovered all of last week's losses and appears that it can break above September's 0.000012 High. All this bullish strength is technically fueled by the hold the crypto made just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last month.
Technically that is the start of the new Bullish Leg of Pepe's historic Channel Up, however it is possible to make one last pull-back towards the 1W MA50 in December, like it did during the previous accumulation phase in December 2023.
Now as far as targets are concerned, the previous two Bullish Legs rose at least by +2525% and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (Higher High to Higher Low). As a result, the more realistic Target at the moment is 0.000030 (1.618 Fib).
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BITCOIN Channel Up starting the new Bullish Leg!Four months ago (June 07, see chart below) we published a post on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) calling it an 'Unpopular opinion' as despite a on ongoing rebound in May, we signaled a correction as, based on the long-term Channel Up since November 2022, it was technically possible to see a pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then extended consolidation until a potential bottom on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line):
Even though the Channel Up had to be readjusted, the price action delivered the exact pattern of the previous 6-month (April 11 - October 16 2023) consolidation and almost tested the 1D MA100, forming a bottom on August 04 2024.
The similarities between those two fractals are more evident on their 1D RSI sequences. This shows that right now we could be before a break-out similar on the October 16 2023 candle. Regardless of that, it appears that the new Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up is accelerating and a new High above 66500 would confirm it.
We have had 3 major Bullish Legs so far, more or less around the same levels (+92.27% to +101.57%). So a bad case scenario would be to see a +92.27% rally from the August 04 Low, which would still give us a $94500 Target.
So what do you think? Is the Channel Up just heating up and can the new Bullish Leg reach 94.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Shortas Israel and Iran War is on heads so due to undone Retaliatory decision of I-S-R-A-E-L BTC is stuck in a range but technically i am seeing a drop in the price of BTCUSD as BTC can fall to its daily Support level On Weekly to Daily its in Bullish but in H4 to H1 it seems to be Bearish so i am bearish on current moment if Geopolitical tension overcomes to increases we can any unexpected move on the pair but still we are Bearish over the pair to its Daily support level
LINK Analysis: Key Levels Triggers in Consolidation Phase✨ Welcome to Today's LINK Analysis
In today's analysis, I will examine the LINK token and identify key triggers for both futures and spot trading. I hope this analysis will be useful to you.
🔍 About Chainlink (LINK)
This project offers a highly intriguing concept. Its primary goal is to bridge off-chain data with on-chain environments. This means that off-chain data can be transferred to the blockchain without any alteration. LINK tokens can be used as a payment token within the platform and also for staking.
⏳ Daily Timeframe Analysis
Starting with the daily timeframe, after reaching the resistance level of $21.71, the price entered a consolidation phase, ranging between $21.71 and $12.95 for a while. During this period, the candle volumes gradually decreased until the $12.95 support was broken, causing the price to drop to the $9.51 support.
🔽After hitting this support, the price again entered a consolidation phase, even reaching the $12.95 level. Now, a range has formed between $9.51 and $12.95. A suitable buy trigger in the spot market would be the breakout of $12.95, with a stop-loss set around the $9.51 or, more riskily, $10.5 levels. A break above the 50 and 41.48 levels on the RSI could confirm the entry of momentum. Always make sure to set a stop-loss and manage your capital to avoid significant losses.
🛑 If you've already purchased LINK and are looking for a stop-loss point, the $9.51 zone could serve as a good stop-loss. For targets, the short-term target is $15.06, and for long-term holders, it's $21.71.
📈Futures Trading Triggers
For futures trading, $11.47 is a good long trigger, and $10.50 is suitable for shorts. To further assess the situation, let's move to the 4-hour timeframe.
⏳4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, more details are visible, and some solid futures triggers can be identified. Currently, the selling volume exceeds the buying volume, as the bearish waves have higher volumes compared to the bullish ones.
📈For a long position, the $11.69 trigger could target the top of the box, while breaking $12.95 would signal the main long position. A break above 62.42 on the RSI would be important and could indicate a bullish momentum shift, but it’s also crucial for buying volume to increase.
📉For a short position, the $10.43 break is suitable and could lead the price to the $9.51 floor. The volume and momentum are aligned with the market's downtrend. The main short position would be triggered by breaking the $9.51 level, which is LINK's most critical support. If this zone is broken, we could see a sharp decline in price.
❌Disclaimer
This is not financial advice; it is merely my personal opinion on how the coin might move. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 11, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Bitcoin "Interim Squeeze" channel underwent retesting during this week's trading session. It exhibited upward movement to Mean Res 64000 and subsequent downward movement to Mean Sup 60200, and it is currently poised to return to Mean Res 64000. A breach of this critical resistance level will catalyze a movement towards the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. However, failure to achieve this rally will result in a downside interim bearish sentiment, leading to a decline in the coin's price to the Mean Support level of 58000 and possibly an Inner Coin Dip of 55500. Only then will the primary recovery and advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement be realized.
UNIUSD Will it break above the ultimate Resistance cluster?Uniswap (UNIUSD) broke yesterday above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 03 but failed to close above it. The reason is the presence there of another strong Resistance level, the Lower Highs trend-line started on the March 06 High.
Those two form the ultimate Resistance cluster and only a 1D candle close above both can confirm the start of a new long-term rally. Technically the pattern is a Channel Up since late 2022 and a new rally would be its Bullish Leg.
The previous Bullish Leg rose by +337.70% so if we get that closing confirmation, we will turn bullish again, targeting a Higher High at $20.000 (just below the +337.70% mark).
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BITCOIN below the 60k again! Is this alarming??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today below the $60000 market again for the first time since September 18. The first headlines are already hitting the market calling for more downside. We highly doubt that as no only has the priced formed the first Higher High on September 27 in 6 months, but more importantly the uptrend since the August 05 bottom is supported by a Higher Lows trend-line.
Also, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) may have been broken, but as long as the price holds the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has held twice already on August 05 and September 06, the chances of a break-out above the 7-month Lower Highs trend-line are high.
In fact, the pattern since the August 05 bottom appears to be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The standard technical target on such occasions is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which gives us a $80000 price tag. As long as the 1W MA50 holds, this is the most likely scenario in our opinion.
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LITECOIN Its time to shine again has come.Litecoin (LTCUSD) is trading on its 3rd historic Cycle but remains below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) since basically late June. The market however, is no stranger to such dips below the 1W MA50 as it has done so both in September - October 2020 and (for just small fractions) in October 2016. As it is easily obvious, this is a 4-year cyclical behaviour.
All Cycles have a Top, Bear Phase, Accumulation phase under Lower Highs and finally Parabolic Rallies. It appears that we are currently just ending the final accumulation phase below the pre-rally Lower Highs, also evident by the 1W RSI, which is consolidating on its Higher Lows trend-line. Even though the rally is confirmed after the price breaks above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and the Lower Highs trend-line, we have valid evidence to argue that an early buy now is even more optimal.
Technically LTC can go as high as the 1.1 Fibonacci extension ($500.00) but as last Cycle practically just marginally hit the previous All Time High (AT), we will settle for the time being for an ATH test at $400.00 if this is where it will be by the time the price starts approaching the top of the Sine Wave. The latter has been an excellent sell signal since, as mentioned, these are 4-year Cycles.
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DOGEUSD Are you people ready??We have recently viewed Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Cycles and mentioned why we expect it to start rising parabolically soon. What we haven't done but it's what we bring you today is those Cycles compared to the Cycles of the flagship of the crypto world, Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
We will keep it simple, because that's what the chart is, no need to complicate what's obvious with added terms and info.
As you can see, every time Bitcoin broke above its All Time High (ATH), Dogecoin was on a medium-term correction (though well within its Bull Cycle) under Lower Highs and marginally above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. Once Bitcoin broke out, Doge did also only though much more aggressively and within a few weeks it reached its previous ATH.
Needless to say, it didn't stop there but went on to peak much higher. Once more, the market finds itself in the exact same position as before in history. Are you ready??
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SUI near ATHSUI nearly made it to ATH. I know it looks pretty scary to enter long that high, and that makes sense. But I want you to check out SUIBTC chart - imagine that price break above that level - in this case guaranteed target will be around 0.00009 and that makes another 150% from breakout (or ~180% from cmp) 👀
Watch the dips under 1.92 and down to 1.85 - they can be an opportunity to catch that breakout.
BITCOIN fractal alert! Happening exactly like last October!We talked a while ago regarding the 'October effect' (August 28, see chart below) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). But today we need to make an urgent analysis as it appears that the market is repeating almost the exact sequence of a year ago (October 2023).
The similarities are more obvious on the 1D time-frame where the price is currently ranged within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The most recent time it traded like this was exactly one year ago, back in the first two weeks of October 2023.
As you can see, during that time BTC also made a marginal break above the 1D MA200 before quickly pulling back below it. After it tested and held the 1D MA50 (as it did no on October 01 2024), is started the long-term aggressive rally of the Channel Up that peaked on March 14 2024.
As long as the 1W MA50 continues to hold as the long-term Support, there are high probabilities of seeing 100k, even before the end of 2024.
But what do you think? Do you see realistic the scenario of repeating the post October 2023 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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WIFUSD is breaking above its 6-month Channel Down and targets 75Dogwifhat (WIFUSD) closed last week above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of July 22 and hit the top of its 6-month Channel Down. On the long-term cyclical outlook, this Channel Down can technically turn out to be nothing but a Bull Flag in the continuation scale of the Bull Cycle.
If this week's 1W candle manages to close above the Channel Down/ Bull Flag, we expect at least another +6842% rise, similar to its first one, and target $75.000.
The 1W RSI and MACD both support this bullish scenario as the first already broke above its MA line on September 16, while the 1W MACD just completed a Bullish Cross, its first ever.
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 4, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The "Interim Squeeze" of Bitcoin has witnessed a significant decline to our Mean Support levels at 64400 and 63100, as well as the newly established 60200. On the upside, the cryptocurrency is approaching the critical Mean Resistance level of 64000. A breach of this pivotal level will trigger the movement to the Inner Coin Rally 67000 target, accompanied by further upward momentum, with the primary objective being the subsequent Inner Coin Rally identified at 69300. Nevertheless, the prevailing market interim bearish sentiment anticipates a drop to the Mean Support level at 58000, with the potential for an extension to the Inner Coin Dip 55500 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish movement.
BTCUSD: Holding the MA50 (1w) and parabolic rally starting.Bitcoin tested and held the MA50 (1w) twice in the past 2 months.
Based on the last 2 Cycles and in particular October 2020 and 2016, such a rebound on the MA50 (1w) initiates the parabolic rally of the Cycle.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price and hold until maximum August 2025.
Targets:
1. 100000 (minimum psychological target for those who don't want much risk on their holdings).
2. 230000 (maximum extension based on the notion that the price will rise approximately the same degree (+368%) as it did from the 2022 bottom to the March 2023 High).
Tips:
1. It is important to keep in mind that the Bull Cycle is far from over. It tends to peak towards the end of each year on a 4 year Cycle. First December 2017, then November 2021. This is why it is recommended to be out of the market by August 2025.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
BITCOIN Cup and Handle on full motion looking for the break-out.Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) full Cycle since the November 2021 High can be illustrated as nothing more than a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern with the Channel Down since March 2024 being the Handle of the formation.
Simple yet a technical reality, the Handle found support both in early August and September on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), keeping the bullish trend valid. In fact, the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) and the 1W MA50 have been the bottom formation zone during its previous 6-month consolidation in August - September 2023.
All Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom have been within +90% and +100%. Even if the minimum (+91.68%) of the last rally is followed, we can expect Bitcoin to reach at least $94000 during that run by the end of the year.
But what do you think? Will this Cycle-long Cup and Handle serve its purpose and break-out aggressively? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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LEOUSD targeting now $9.00 on the second cyclical rally.UNUSD SED LEO (LEOUSD) has completed the 6-month consolidation by making a Higher High. As it trades now above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it looks now ready to start the 2nd rally of the Bull Cycle.
In the previous Bull Cycle (2020 - 2022), the two major rallies were almost of the same % rise (+194.50% and +198.50% respectively). Since the December 2023 - March 2024 rally peaked after a +72.26% rise, it is technically justified to assume at least a similar Bullish Leg based on the pattern.
As a result, we are expecting at least $9.00 by early 2025.
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