BTC/USD Local work. Clamping 2.37%/18 days. Stop-Loss zonesLogarithm. Time frame 1 day. Local trend.
Clamping the price in a narrow range of 2.37% for 18 days. Stop-Loss zones (market fuel), due to which the impulse will occur, was shown on the chart. Previously showed more than once such trading situations and their solutions, the sense of such manipulation in such zones. I will not repeat it.
In your work to observe the risk management, it is advisable not to work with large leverage because there can be significant volatility in both directions. Instead of a logical profit in the trend, you will get a loss on the spot.
237/18
A line chart to understand the trend direction of this zone.
The previous idea of a secondary trend of two months ago, which shows this zone 1618 0
BTC/USD Secondary trend. Double bottom zone.
The main bitcoin trend (almost all of it). The time frame is 1 month.
BTC/USD Main trend. Cycles. Halving BTC. Surrender zones.
This idea of a long-term trend shows capitulation zones in secondary trends and the percentage of price decrease from the highs. Bitcoin's halving. Cyclicality. Note that unlike past cycles, the price has been under the uptrend line zone for a very long time.
Cryptocurrency
SEI’s Comeback: Time to Ride the Wave to ATHs!Giving SEI a second chance—why?
It’s made a higher high and taken out the previous swing highs before the massive drop to 20c. That’s enough for me to start scaling back in.
I was a bit early before, buying at the same price in October, but now it’s looking much healthier.
I think this time it breaks ATHs. So, start jumping in to enjoy some nice gains!
BINANCE:SEIUSDT
TradeCityPro | ADAUSDT Continued Upward Momentum?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze ADA, one of the popular altcoins in the market, and identify potential entry and exit triggers.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before diving into ADA, let’s check Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe. After breaking the 104227 support, a short position could have been opened, as I mentioned earlier. With a tight stop-loss and quick profit-taking, you could have achieved a risk-to-reward ratio of 6:1 under strict conditions.
Additionally, after the fake breakout at 98867 (a significant support), Bitcoin experienced a sharp move followed by a pullback to 101991, which was rejected. Now, Bitcoin is back at the 98867 support. If this level holds, Bitcoin will likely range within the box. If broken, another short position can be opened, but remember to secure profits quickly.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, ADA stands out compared to most other altcoins. It has effectively broken out of its weekly range box but has reacted to the next resistance level, with Bitcoin holding back further gains.
ADA also made a higher low in 2024 compared to its 2023 low of 0.2390, demonstrating bullish behavior and avoiding a drop to the 900-day range box bottom.
If you bought ADA at the breakout of the daily range box ceiling (0.4562), continue to hold for now. However, if you’re worried about losing profits or have limited capital, you can consider withdrawing your initial investment while letting the rest ride.
For new entries, look for either a strong reaction at the 0.7458 level with daily momentum triggers or a breakout above the 1.1982 key resistance. Personally, I’m planning to add to my position after 1.1982 breaks.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, ADA found support at 0.3134 after several tests. Sellers failed to break this support, allowing buyers to gradually step in. Following the breakout of the short-term range box ceiling at 0.3659, ADA experienced an impressive 230% rally.
After this rally, ADA entered a range box, where it’s unclear whether it’s a re-accumulation zone or a distribution zone. This will become evident when the box is broken, either upward or downward. Currently, the critical resistance is at 1.1299, which has been tested and rejected three times, making it a key level.
For new purchases, I’m waiting for a breakout above 1.1299, combined with increased volume and an RSI above 62.52. Inside the box, I won’t take any action as I’m already holding ADA, but I’ll aim to add more if these conditions are met.
For short-term profit-taking, you can consider exiting if ADA drops below 0.836, which is a significant support level. However, be prepared to re-enter after reclaiming this level or upon confirming a fake breakdown. If 0.836 breaks down convincingly, we might see further support levels at 0.7049 and 0.6124.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Vine/USDT PRICE PREDICTION 2025 $3.50 2025Vine/USDT PRICE PREDICTION 2025
Means for long-term follow, and where the possibility is for this coin 2025
The best way to enter volume is in steps.
Depending on the 2025 protection for this coin, we expect this is a good chance this coin can gain over $3.50
It can take time, and the price can even breakdown more before it can increase
This update will stay a prediction, do always your study and manage the risk.
Expect nothing from the market, but more see the possibilities.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Important Supports to Watch
As Bitcoin is under a strong bearish pressure today,
here are significant daily structures for you to watch.
Support 1: 97300 - 100000 area
Support 2: 94600 - 95900 area
Support 3: 88700 - 92000 area
Support 4: 85000 - 87400 area
Resistance 1: 106000 - 109400 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITCOIN The beauty of the 1D MA100 coming to the rescue.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is pulling back quite aggressively today along with most of the market, as once again political in combination with China's manufacturing sector shrinking, are pitting a dent to buying sentiment.
Having touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again, we once again view these fundamentals/ news as means to justify the technicals. And BTC's chart on the 1D time-frame clear shows that there is a technical 'necessity'/ tendency to test the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before more upside can be realized.
As you can see within its +2 year Channel Up, BTC goes through a mini (Megaphone) consolidation phase half-way through its Bullish Leg (we are currently on its 3rd such Leg) that hits its 1D MA100 before it can justify a rebound to the Channel's new Higher High.
During that test, the 1D RSI forms the exact same Channel Down that hits its 1st Support level at 36.00. The Sine Waves clear show that cyclically it is time for this test so we expect this pull-back to be extended to around 94000 - 93000. The bounce that will follow should test at least the top of the Channel Up at $150000.
But what do you think. Do you view the 1D MA100 as a 'fair' buy entry again? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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KASPA IS THE FIRST CRYPTO TO SOLVE THE BLOCKCHAIN TRILEMMA!Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Formation: The chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern forming on the weekly timeframe. This pattern typically indicates price consolidation and suggests that a breakout (up or down) is imminent.
Support and Resistance:
Support: Defined by the ascending green trendline.
Resistance: Defined by the descending red trendline.
Prognosis:
Prognosis 1: A bearish breakout (less likely).
Prognosis 2: A bullish breakout (more likely).
Indicators
Volume:
Volume is declining during the formation of the triangle, confirming the pattern’s validity. A volume surge is expected during a breakout.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI value is 44.55, indicating neutral momentum but leaning towards an oversold condition.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The stochastic is in the lower range (23.19), suggesting potential upward momentum soon.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
The MFI is showing a slight uptick, signaling that money inflows may be returning.
Market Cipher B:
Momentum is gradually increasing, with signs of bullish divergence.
Key Levels
Resistance:
$0.24522 (intermediate target).
$0.34669 (major target post-breakout).
Support:
$0.10 (triangle base and psychological level).
Spot Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Breakout Confirmation:
Buy above $0.145 on a confirmed breakout from the triangle (with a 4-hour or daily candle close above resistance).
Volume Surge:
Enter only if the breakout is accompanied by high trading volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the breakout level or $0.12 to limit downside risk.
Profit Targets
First Take Profit:
$0.24522 (approx. 68% above breakout level).
Sell 50% of the position.
Second Take Profit:
$0.34669 (approx. 138% above breakout level).
Sell the remaining position.
Risk Management:
Allocate no more than 5-10% of your portfolio to this trade.
Maintain a risk/reward ratio of 1:3.
Monitoring:
Keep an eye on overall market conditions (Bitcoin dominance and trends) as they heavily influence altcoin performance.
Reassess if the price deviates significantly from the expected triangle breakout.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $0.12 with high volume, wait for the $0.10 level to evaluate for potential entry or exit further positions.
Bearish adventure startsMorning folks,
So, here we go... downside action starts as we've discussed last time. On weekly chart we still wait for confirmation in a way of price close below 3x3 DMA.
While on a daily one price hits oversold level. Those who know about this - we have DiNapoli bullish "Stretch" pattern for now, suggesting the pullback. That's why we do not consider immediate short entry.
Our 4H Diamond has worked just perfect. So everything goes absolutely fine.
For now we consider no longs on daily/weekly basis and waiting for the bounce, supposedly to ~102.20K area. Scalp traders on 1H TF and below could consider scalp long position with the same target.
I mark this setup as bullish because of this pullback. But, in general we keep bearish view...
Could Cardano Bulls Push Past Pennant To $2 Resistance?!Cardano made an impressive 315% gain from the Low on Nov. 4th/5th @ .32 to the High on Dec. 3rd @ $1.32 following the Pro-Crypto Republican won Presidential Debate with not only BINANCE:ADAUSD seeing this kind of Rally but across the entire Crypto Market!
Since that High, Price on Cardano has slipped into a Consolidation of what seems to be a Pennant Pattern with Lower Highs working into Higher Lows.
Both Legs of this Triangle still need a 3rd Touch to Validate the Integrity and Existence of both Trend-lines. I would like to see Price make a 3rd Touch of the Rising Support around the ( .95 - .93 ) Range before moving back up to test the Falling Resistance.
If Bulls are able to gain enough Support from the Rising Support, it could be enough to give them momentum to make a Bullish Break to the Falling Resistance and based from the Pattern Statistics:
- Generate an Extension of the same size of Trend move that came prior to the formation of the Pattern called the "Flagpole" putting the Potential Extension of Price into the $2 Resistance Zone!
**Caution: Triangle Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so a Bearish Breakdown of this pattern is still possible. Watch for False Breaks/Breakouts!
SWFTC/USDT PRICE PREDICTION 2025 $0,12 (Blockchain swift)SWFTC/USDT PRICE PREDICTION 2025
Means for long-term follow, and where the possibility is for this coin 2025
The best way of volume entering is in steps.
Depending on the 2025 protection for this coin, we expect this is a good chance this swift system for blockchain can gain over $0,12
We already know the real swift where billions of transactions going, this one means for the blockchain tech.
How more time the coin stays stable and holding levels, how better it is for the coming volume spike.
This update will stay a prediction, do always your study and manage the risk.
Expect nothing from the market, but more see the possibilities.
AVAXUSD Reached Key Support Zone – Bullish Move Ahead?COINBASE:AVAXUSD is trading within a significant support zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong buyer activity. This area has previously acted as a major support level, suggesting a high-probability reversal zone.
If the price confirms a rejection within this zone, I anticipate an upward move toward the 38.00 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, if the price closes below the zone, it would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside momentum.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
$POPCAT: Not Over Yet, $2 Incoming by Q2Low hit rate on this setup, as the largest liquidity pool is sitting below 40 cents, and it's a significant weekly block.
I'll be adding a small position around the 50-52 cent range, but I wouldn't be surprised if it dips to the lows at 46 cents before any meaningful reaction.
For me, the better bet is a weekly block below 35 cents. I’m placing bids here and will increase my bids if price deviates below the trend line.
$POPCAT isn’t dead, but I do agree that it’s currently undergoing a major retrace. BYBIT:POPCATUSDT
TradeCityPro | MANAUSDT Potential Fake Breakout of Support👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze MANA, one of the metaverse-category altcoins in the cryptocurrency market. Recently, I’ve had a feeling that we might witness a fake breakout in the market.
Scroll Down to Check Out the Analytical Chart as Well!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, we start with Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe, which is currently in a calm state with no significant fluctuations, essentially ranging.
If the 104227 trigger breaks and a lower high is formed, you can open a scalping short position, but make sure to secure profits quickly. For long positions, I plan to open one after 106498, as Bitcoin dominance is likely to rise, making Bitcoin my primary focus.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly chart, MANA remains within a 200% range box, recently rejecting from the box's ceiling.
I’ve already bought some MANA, but my main trigger for significant buying is a breakout above 0.7638. I don’t pay much attention to fluctuations inside the range box. After breaking the box ceiling, MANA could easily yield up to 600% profits depending on token count and market cap.
If you’ve already bought within the range without sufficient momentum, consider setting your stop-loss below 0.2519. For re-entry, as mentioned earlier, wait for a breakout above 0.7638, where I’ve set my alerts.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, after breaking our daily trigger at 0.3390, which was also the box ceiling, we witnessed an impressive move, gaining 130% up to the box ceiling at 0.7833.
This demonstrates why it’s better to buy after a momentum-driven breakout rather than inside the range box. Post-breakout purchases often lead to faster profit realization and better stop-loss placement, even if the entry point is slightly delayed.
Currently, MANA is at a critical support level, correcting 50% of its impulsive wave, which is significant both in terms of Fibonacci retracement and Dow Theory, classifying it as a potential PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
For re-entry, a risky buy can be considered after 0.5782, while a safer buy opportunity lies after breaking 0.7833. It’s too early to exit or take profits now, and I wouldn’t act on a breakdown of 0.4614, except to open a short position.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, MANA is ranging at the 0.4614 key support, repeatedly testing this level without significant upward movement, indicating stronger selling pressure. However, if sellers fail to break this support, buyers may step in, potentially driving the price higher.
📉 Short Position Trigger
The short position trigger is straightforward: I will open a short position after breaking 0.4614. However, since I expect a fake breakout, I will secure profits quickly on any short positions.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Currently, there isn’t a clear long trigger. If a fake breakout occurs, I’ll look for opportunities to take a long position using my fake breakout strategy. Additionally, if higher highs and lows form, I’ll search for a reliable long trigger.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SUI at Key Support Zone – Potential Reversal Ahead!COINBASE:SUIUSD is currently trading within a significant support zone. This zone has previously triggered bullish reactions, making it a key area to watch for potential reversals.
If the price action shows clear signs of rejection, such as bullish engulfing candles or wicks indicating buying pressure, there is a high probability of a rebound. I anticipate the price could move upward toward the $4.4000 level as the next target.
TROY/USDT: Is the Market Ready for a Turnaround?Is This the Moment to Buy or Brace for More Drops?
TROY/USDT has been caught in a whirlwind lately, hovering just above its absolute low of 0.001869, set only hours ago. With the current price at 0.001922, the asset has rebounded slightly, marking a modest 2.8% climb from its lowest point. However, it remains a staggering -76.8% below its absolute high of 0.008272, recorded just 23 days ago.
Indicators reveal a mixed picture. The RSI14 currently sits at 33.6, signaling that the market is creeping out of oversold territory, while the MFI60 of 42.8 suggests there’s still room for increased buying pressure. Price action shows a series of sell-off patterns dominating recent sessions, including the "Increased Sell Volumes" pattern. This has left traders questioning whether the bottom is truly in.
Fascinatingly, some buy patterns like the "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" hint at latent bullish energy. Could this signal the market's readiness to pivot upward? With moving averages such as the MA50 at 0.002069 and MA200 at 0.002331, TROY must first break key resistance at 0.001962 to build momentum.
This begs the critical question: Is this the calm before a reversal, or will bearish dominance drive new lows?
Stay tuned as we monitor whether bulls will step up to reclaim the narrative or if the sell-side momentum will drive prices to fresh lows. Let's trade smart and capitalize on these crucial levels!
Roadmap: TROY/USDT – Pattern Playbook for Recent Action
Step 1: Increased Sell Volumes – The Downward Warning (2025-01-25 00:00 UTC)
The roadmap begins with the “Increased Sell Volumes” pattern, signaling a clear sell direction. Price opened at 0.00196 and closed at 0.00187, firmly validating the bearish momentum. As expected, the low of this pattern (0.00187) was maintained in the subsequent pattern, confirming that sellers held control. The absence of an upward trigger point confirms this as a pivotal moment for short-term bears.
Step 2: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Bullish Rebound That Could (2025-01-25 00:00 UTC)
This pattern introduced a buy signal, hinting at potential recovery. The price low remained stable at 0.00187, while the high saw no meaningful breakthrough at 0.00196, capping bullish aspirations. Unfortunately, the lack of follow-through in subsequent patterns suggests this was a false dawn, making it skippable from active considerations.
Step 3: Buy Volumes Takeover – The Bullish Crossroad (2025-01-23 21:00 UTC)
Following a sharp drop, the “Buy Volumes Takeover” pattern flagged a shift to buy momentum, with a promising move from 0.002061 to 0.002024. The upward confirmation in subsequent patterns reinforced this bullish shift. Importantly, this pattern laid the groundwork for further upward tests, earning its place in the roadmap.
Step 4: VSA Manipulation Buy – The Critical Test (2025-01-20 13:00 UTC)
The market shifted gears with the introduction of this pivotal buy pattern. Starting at 0.002103, prices climbed to 0.002125, supported by a solid trigger at the low of 0.002082. This pattern was pivotal in defining the bullish breakout zone and remained validated by subsequent upward movement. It served as a major opportunity for long positions.
Step 5: Sell Volumes Max – A Bearish Comeback (2025-01-20 00:00 UTC)
As bulls attempted to solidify control, bears struck back with the “Sell Volumes Max” pattern. From an open at 0.002171, the price dropped to 0.002055, resetting market sentiment. The failure of subsequent patterns to breach higher highs validated the bearish dominance of this move.
Key Observations and Lessons for Traders
Trigger Points Matter: Successful patterns consistently respected their trigger levels, while failed patterns often lacked proper follow-through.
Main Direction Clarity: Each validated pattern aligned its main direction with subsequent price action, demonstrating the value of sticking to technical confirmations.
Context Is King: Patterns alone don’t guarantee success; interpreting them in context with recent highs, lows, and market sentiment was crucial.
Final Word
This roadmap serves as your cheat sheet for understanding TROY/USDT’s latest moves. By focusing on trigger points and validated patterns, traders can ride the waves with confidence. Stay sharp, keep your levels tight, and let the patterns guide the way!
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Here’s the rundown of crucial support and resistance levels for TROY/USDT. Keep these in your toolkit – they’re your roadmap for potential moves. But remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll likely flip into resistance zones on the next test.
Support Levels
0.001922 – The current price level, sitting just above the absolute low. A failure here could spell deeper trouble for the bulls.
0.00187 – The all-time low. A make-or-break zone. If this cracks, expect bearish momentum to accelerate.
Resistance Levels
0.001962 – Immediate resistance. If the bulls can’t take this out, sellers might regain the upper hand quickly.
0.002155 – A mid-range level that could be the next test if the momentum builds.
0.002437 – Higher up, this zone would signal a shift toward more bullish control if broken.
0.002568 – Another step up, but it won’t come easy without a strong catalyst.
0.00283 – The top barrier, marking a significant psychological and structural resistance.
Powerful Support Levels
None identified – This underscores the fragility of the current price range. With no powerful support below, caution is key.
Powerful Resistance Levels
None identified – Resistance levels outlined above will be your focus for now.
If these levels don’t hold or break decisively, expect swift flips. As traders like to say: "Support turns resistance, and resistance becomes the ceiling that bulls have to punch through." Stay nimble, and watch the price action closely around these hotspots!
Concept of Rays: Precision Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Dynamics
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept brings a systematic, Fibonacci-based approach to analyzing price action. These dynamic levels are designed to capture the probabilities of price interaction, signaling either a reversal or continuation. Let’s dive into how traders can use these rays to enhance their strategies and target opportunities.
How Rays Work
Dynamic Fibonacci Rays: Each ray stems from the beginning of a price movement, representing natural angles of inclination.
Dynamic Adjustments: Rays adapt to new patterns, showing updated movement ranges and potential pivot points.
Interaction with Moving Averages: Combining rays with key moving averages (e.g., MA50, MA200) amplifies the precision of identifying trade opportunities.
These rays create zones of interaction, and once price moves beyond one ray, it often travels to the next, providing clear, actionable targets.
Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Step In
Price interacts with a Fibonacci ray and begins an upward movement, targeting the next levels. Supported by interaction with MA50 and MA200, the following trades are viable:
Entry: At 0.001962, after interaction with the lower Fibonacci ray.
First Target: 0.002155, aligning with the next ray and immediate resistance.
Second Target: 0.002437, mid-term resistance signaling continued bullish strength.
Third Target: 0.002568, testing a higher Fibonacci ray.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Take Charge
If price breaks below critical support levels and interacts with descending Fibonacci rays, the movement may extend lower:
Entry: At 0.001922, after failing to hold above the lower ray.
First Target: 0.00187, retesting the all-time low and Fibonacci support zone.
Second Target: Possible extension lower if volume increases, signaling continued bearish dominance.
Suggested Trades Based on Fibonacci Rays
Long from 0.001962 to 0.002155: Ideal for bulls looking for quick gains on ray interaction with MA50.
Short from 0.001922 to 0.00187: A straightforward bear trade targeting key support.
Long from 0.002155 to 0.002437: For breakout traders, leveraging momentum into the next ray zone.
Short from 0.002437 back to 0.002155: Profit-taking opportunity for mean-reversion strategies if momentum stalls.
These trades follow the principle that movement will continue between rays, with each level providing clear targets and decision points. As always, price action and volume at these key zones should confirm entries and exits.
This systematic approach ensures traders are aligned with the dynamic nature of the market, using Fibonacci rays and moving averages to guide precise entries and exits. Let the rays light your path to smarter trades!
Call to Action: Let’s Trade Smarter Together!
Traders, your thoughts and questions are always welcome—drop them right in the comments below! Whether it’s feedback on this analysis or an idea you’d like to explore further, I’m here to connect and discuss.
If you found this post helpful, don’t forget to Boost it and save it to track how the price plays out according to my markup. Watching levels in action is the key to mastering entry and exit strategies.
By the way, the rays and levels you see here are automatically plotted by my proprietary indicator-strategy. It’s available privately, so if you’d like access, feel free to reach out via direct message. Let’s talk about how it could work for you!
Have a specific asset in mind for analysis? I’m happy to create markups tailored to your needs. Some ideas I can share here for free, while others can be done privately if you prefer to keep them exclusive. Just let me know in the comments what you’re looking for, and I’ll see how I can help.
Rays work universally across all assets—crypto, stocks, forex, you name it. If there’s something you’d like me to map out, give this post a Boost and let me know in the comments.
Lastly, don’t miss out—follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my analyses and strategies. Together, we can navigate the market with confidence. Let’s trade safe and smart! 🚀
TradeCityPro | STXUSDT Sellers Final Attempt👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze one of my favorite coins, STX, which serves as Bitcoin's layer 2 and is currently in a better condition compared to other altcoins.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, before analyzing STX, we’ll take a quick look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Bitcoin bounced off the 102873 support, with its recent fluctuations caused by the Trump-related events and their accompanying market noise.
Bitcoin dominance continues to climb, and it’s likely we’ll see a new high along with bullish movement in Bitcoin dominance. It’s a good idea to either open long positions on Bitcoin or hold your existing long positions. Altcoins paired with Bitcoin that are showing bullish signs might also see upward movement.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, STX stands out as one of the most bullish coins in the market, alongside Solana, Doge, and Sui. This highlights the strong current position of this project.
The key resistance level is at 2.708, while the 3.696 ATH can be considered a fake breakout. For trading, it’s better to base your entries and positions on the 2.708 resistance.
The coin has been moving along an important supportive trendline that had multiple successful retests. However, this trendline has been broken, a pullback occurred, and the trendline trigger activated with the breakout at 1.299, which currently serves as a critical support.
This level is both a major weekly support and the 0.382 Fibonacci level. If broken, the price could drop further to 0.738.
For new entries, either wait for the 1.765 level in lower timeframes or the primary trigger at 2.708. Exiting below 1.299 in profit might be a smart move. If the price reclaims this box, you can re-enter. Although this strategy reduces the number of coins, it ensures no USD losses.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, the price is at the 1.355 significant support level, with lower highs and relatively flat lows forming a compression pattern and a trendline.
I won’t exit my spot holdings below 1.355, but I may take the risk of opening a short position after breaking this trigger. Part of the profits from this short position can be used to accumulate more STX coins for long-term holding.
For re-entry on the daily timeframe, momentum or a trend reversal is necessary. This could happen with a fake breakout of 1.355, which is a critical support level.
Buyers will likely make an effort to defend it. Alternatively, you can wait for the trendline breakout and the 1.674 level to open your spot positions with a risky stop-loss below 1.355. A breakout above RSI 50 can also serve as confirmation.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, the chart shows consolidation near the 1.355 critical support, oscillating within the 1.355 to 1.674 box, with sellers slightly stronger.
📉 Short Position Trigger
The short position trigger is clear. After breaking 1.355, I’ll open a short position. If the price moves closer to this level, I might also place a stop-sell order if bearish volume increases.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Long positions are trickier with this chart. For such positions, I’d either check other charts or wait for a higher high and low or a fake breakout of 1.355 before considering opening a long position.
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📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
BITCOIN will reach $1 million in 2041.Bitcoin / BTCUSD hit last month the once unthinkable benchmark of $100k.
It took 2 Cycles to do so since it reached the previous benchmark of 10k.
The log sequence of hitting those benchmarks started at $0.10. It took quarter (0.25) Cycle to go from 0.10 to $10, i.e. x100 jump.
The next x100 increase was from 10 to $1000 and it took BTC half (0.5) Cycle to do so.
Then we move to the x10 jumps, 1000 to $10000, which took it a perfect 1 Cycle.
We already discussed above 100k and the pattern is obvious. For each of those logarithic jumps, Bitcoin needs double the time, i.e. it doubles the previous Cycle expectancy.
This means that for the million dollar mark ($1million), it should take 4 Cycles to do so (2 Cycles it needed from 10k to 100k x 2).
This gives us a rough estimate for the end of 2041!
Realistic or not in your opinion?
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
ENAUSD: Buy signal at the bottom of the Megaphone.Ethena just turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.814, MACD = -0.029, ADX = 25.505), which considering the +8% rise today, signifies the enormous upside potential of this coin. This is expected as the long term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone nonetheless. Each of the two HH formations on its top, where on the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. Buy and target the 4.0 Fib (TP = 2.4000).
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(SOL) solana - ATHThe all time high was reached for Solana and right now the price is retracing the previous break of an all time high. At $3000/SOL that would be a 10x gain from the ATH right now. Is the path of Solana into the future going to look similar to Ethereum one day? And if so, how much time will pass before the billions of dollars flow into Solana if the outcome is a continued growth pattern as we have already seen? Solana surpasses BNB, passes $100B mcap, and despite the loss of previous years most competitive programmers to other chains, the interest in meme tokens on SOL chain seems to sustain the interest. How is it possible the world is still fascinated by meme cryptocurrency more than any other sector? At the start of 2024 there was a simple note passed along by Coinbase that stated the Dog-meme frenzy was not going away so easily as a core of the cryptocurrency defi culture. By the end of 2024 a lot of other random memes were present on Coinbase. Average meme culture has sprung onto Coinbase, USA's main crypto exchange. The shift from adding Ethereum tokens to Coinbase became all about Solana tokens. What will the future bring during 2025? How much influence does Coinbase have over the sector of defi cryptocurrency investing? Is it time for Ethereum to reach a new ATH?
BITCOIN BULLISH SCENEBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is now in its consolidation phase making a symmetrical triangle bullish pattern. Taking its previous falling wedge pattern and double bottom, the potential upside target will be in the Fibonacci extension area at 127.2 and 161.8. This aligning with Trump's objectives to be the "first bitcoin president" where he promised that cryptocurrency would be central in his economic policies.
Feel free to share this analysis and comment on what do you guys think in the comment section!!
Disclaimer On!!!
Key Points: Intraday BTC Price Movement Context:
Options Expiry: $7.8 billion in Bitcoin options expire on January 31, with a significant portion out of the money.
Max Pain Price: Key options price level is $98,000.
Institutional Influence: Positive developments like rescission of SAB 121 (allowing banks to custody Bitcoin) could boost sentiment.
Implied Volatility: High (DVOL ~60), indicating potential for significant price swings.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario
Catalyst: Institutional buying or positive announcements.
Price Movement: Breakout above $106,850 with potential to test $110,000.
Supporting Factors:
Strong futures/options participation (open interest).
Positive spot netflows (accumulation).
Overbought technical indicators (RSI > 70).
Confidence Level: Medium (60%).
Resistance at $110,000 requires strong momentum.
2. Bearish Scenario
Catalyst: Market gravitation toward the max pain level ($98,000).
Price Movement: Rejection at $105,000-$106,000, retracing to $100,000-$98,000.
Supporting Factors:
Historical tendency for prices to move toward max pain before options expiry.
Increased selling pressure in spot netflows.
Neutral/negative funding rates (bearish leveraged sentiment).
Confidence Level: High (75%).
Options expiry dynamics favor the max pain theory.
3. Neutral Scenario
Catalyst: Absence of significant market-moving news.
Price Movement: Consolidation between $104,000-$106,000.
Supporting Factors:
Lower volatility as expiry approaches.
Balanced long/short positioning (neutral funding rates).
Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%).
Key Indicators to Monitor:
Netflow Data:
Increased spot inflows → Bearish.
Increased spot outflows → Bullish.
Funding Rates:
Negative → Bearish.
Positive → Bullish.
Volume & Open Interest:
High activity near key levels confirms breakout or breakdown.
News Impact:
Institutional or macroeconomic announcements can override technicals.
Trading Strategies:
Bullish Setup:
Entry: Above $106,000.
Stop-loss: $105,000.
Targets: $108,000 and $110,000.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Below $104,000.
Stop-loss: $105,500.
Targets: $100,000 and $98,000.
Neutral Setup:
Focus on range trading between $104,000-$106,000.
This structured thesis accounts for options expiry dynamics, technical factors, and market sentiment.