TradeCityPro | IOTAUSDT Identifying a Re-Entry Point for Buying👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze one of the oldest coins in the market that has recently experienced a bullish move. Together, we’ll find our entry and exit points.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, before analyzing IOTA, we’ll take a quick look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Bitcoin is currently undecided, consolidating below its resistance and ATH while undergoing a correction. The positive aspect of this is that the volume is decreasing during the correction phase.
If you missed the previous entry, you can open a long position at the 106996 resistance with a wide stop-loss at 99851. This level can also act as your spot trading trigger, but only if you don’t hold Bitcoin. Personally, I would wait for Bitcoin’s dominance to drop and then switch my focus to altcoins.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly chart, IOTA has been within a falling wedge pattern, which is inherently bullish and capable of reversing the primary trend. After breaking the 0.1423 trigger, the bullish move was activated.
Before the breakout, the weekly candle engulfed the three previous candles, signaling that bearish momentum had ended and giving an early signal to add this coin to the watchlist.
If you entered at 0.1423 or 0.2022, it would have been logical to secure your initial investment and continue holding the remaining coins. For now, there aren’t any clear weekly triggers for a new entry.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, IOTA has been performing better than most altcoins. While many altcoins have retraced to their daily boxes, IOTA remains above the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which is a strong bullish signal.
Momentum entered the coin after breaking the 0.1888 resistance—the top of the daily box—with a strong candle and good volume. At that point, it was possible to enter with a risky stop-loss at 0.1485 or a safer stop-loss at 0.1081. Afterward, the price moved up to 0.4999, showing signs of weakening momentum with smaller candles indicating a potential pullback.
If you’ve already entered during the breakout, hold your position for now.
You can exit if the price stabilizes below the 0.28 support, but I personally wouldn’t, as the chart still shows a bullish posture.
If you’re looking to re-enter or add more, wait for a breakout above 0.4018, which could initiate a new primary bullish trend.
The 0.1081 fake breakout triggered a significant reversal, marking the start of a new bullish move. This behavior highlights the importance of recognizing fake breakouts as trading opportunities.
If 0.28 is broken, the next support levels to watch are 0.2365 and 0.1888, though it’s unlikely for the price to drop below these levels at this stage.
As long as the price stays above 0.28, IOTA remains bullish , Wait for a breakout above 0.4018 to confirm a new bullish trend , Support levels are 0.28, 0.2365, and 0.1888 , IOTA continues to show strength, making it an interesting candidate for long-term holding or strategic trading.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Cryptocurrency
TRXUSD: Trapped between the 1D MA50 and MA100. Decision time.Tron is naturally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.705, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.441) as it is on consolidation mode, ranging between the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA100. With the 1D RSI signalling a reversal, as long as the 1D MA100 holds, we expect the next bullish wave to start once the 1D MA50 breaks. Target the R1 level (TP = 0.45150).
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Is GMTUSDT Primed for a Breakout?Catch the Wave: GMT on the Verge of a Key Move
As of today, GMTUSDT is trading at $0.1066, standing 97.43% below its historical high of $4.15 from April 2022 and recovering 26.15% from its August 2024 low of $0.0845. The asset’s recent movement shows potential for significant momentum, supported by critical technical markers and volume patterns.
Despite the broader market's indecision, GMTUSDT’s RSI hovers near 53.53, signaling a neutral yet cautiously optimistic stance, while the MFI indicates underwhelming buying pressure at 37.10. This mix of metrics places the asset at a crossroads: consolidation or breakout?
Yesterday, a VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern emerged, hinting at a short-term pullback, but this follows a sequence of "Buy Volume Max" patterns earlier in the week, showcasing a potential accumulation phase. With resistance clustering at $0.1228 and $0.1294, traders should watch for a break above these levels, as this could ignite a rally fueled by a mix of technical and fundamental catalysts.
The question remains: Is the market ready for GMT to reclaim the bullish narrative? For traders and investors, the coming days may offer a defining moment. Are you prepared to ride the wave or step aside?
Roadmap: Tracking GMTUSDT's Patterns to Decode Market Moves
2025-01-19 02:00:00 – VSA Sell Pattern 2
This pattern set the stage with a Sell direction, identifying a potential breakdown below the high_3_bars level of 0.1286. However, the next pattern on 2025-01-19 07:00:00, a VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st, flipped the narrative, signaling bullish action. This suggests the Sell Pattern 2 failed to activate its trigger point at the high level, indicating limited influence on the market.
2025-01-19 07:00:00 – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st
Marked as the turning point, this Buy direction triggered a rally from its low of 0.1195, creating a bullish sequence. Confirmation came with subsequent Buy Volume Max patterns, solidifying the shift in sentiment. Price momentum surged upward, aligning with the main direction of this pattern.
2025-01-20 00:00:00 – Sell Volumes Max
After bullish patterns dominated, this pattern forecasted a Sell direction. The price, previously testing highs near 0.1238, reversed and validated the Sell setup as the market retraced. This indicates a well-executed pivot, setting up traders for potential downside plays.
2025-01-21 16:00:00 – VSA Sell Pattern 4
A critical pattern, forecasting a Sell direction with low_3_bars at 0.099. This confirmed a broader bearish sentiment. As the price failed to reclaim the 0.1051 resistance level, the downward trajectory suggested the market respected the triggers outlined in this pattern.
2025-01-21 17:00:00 – VSA Buy Pattern 5
This pattern followed shortly after, signaling a potential reversal. The Buy direction saw a quick test of prior lows near 0.0979, rallying to challenge 0.1045, providing strong short-term recovery opportunities. This validated the market's responsiveness to consecutive directional shifts.
Conclusion :
The roadmap reveals GMTUSDT's intricate dance between buying and selling pressures, with several patterns confirming their predicted directions and delivering actionable opportunities for traders. Successful patterns like VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st and Sell Volumes Max provided clear guidance, while occasional misfires remind traders of the importance of trigger points and market confirmation.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
The first safety net for GMTUSDT sits at 0.0845, marking the absolute low from August 2024. If buyers fail to hold this line, expect increased pressure, and this level will likely flip into resistance.
Resistance Levels:
GMT faces a series of resistance hurdles ahead. The immediate test is at 0.1228, followed by 0.1294 and 0.1344. If bulls break through these zones, the next battleground lies at 0.1384 and 0.1472. Should these levels reject price action, expect them to act as a ceiling for any upside attempts.
Powerful Support Levels:
Long-term bulls will eye 0.2448, 0.4541, 0.7402, and 0.9678 as key zones for accumulating positions during any deeper corrections. These levels are fortress-like and pivotal for significant reversals.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
While immediate focus remains on nearer resistances, traders should keep in mind these untouched levels that loom higher in the structure. For now, however, the chart shows no specific "powerful resistance levels," emphasizing the importance of breaking closer hurdles.
Pro Tip: Always keep an eye on price action around these levels. If a support gives way, it’s game over for bulls, and the same zone will likely serve as resistance for the next rally attempt. Conversely, breaking through resistance opens the door for extended bullish momentum. Adapt your strategy accordingly—don’t marry a bias, and let the market tell you the story!
Trading Strategies: Fibonacci Rays and Dynamic Factors
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" method combines Fibonacci mathematical principles with geometric precision to create dynamic levels that adapt to the market's behavior. Rays, drawn from the inception of a trend or corrective move, define boundaries for movement channels and offer insights into price interactions. These interactions, coupled with dynamic factors such as moving averages, provide robust signals for entry and exit points.
Why Rays Work
Predicting exact price levels is impossible due to the financial market's complexity. Instead, rays identify zones of probable reactions, signaling either reversals or continuations. Traders observe price behavior near these zones and make decisions based on confluence with patterns and dynamic support or resistance levels, such as Moving Averages.
Optimistic Scenario
If GMTUSDT interacts positively with ascending rays and surpasses key resistance zones:
First Target: $0.1228 – A breakout above this level confirms bullish momentum.
Second Target: $0.1294 – Continued strength can push the price toward this resistance.
Third Target: $0.1344 – If momentum persists, the next ray interaction will target this zone.
Bonus Levels: $0.1384 and $0.1472 – These levels represent extended bullish objectives based on ray progression.
Pessimistic Scenario
If GMTUSDT interacts negatively with descending rays or fails to hold support levels:
First Target: $0.1038 (MA50) – A breach here indicates bearish continuation.
Second Target: $0.0845 – Testing the absolute low from August 2024 suggests a significant downward shift.
Third Target: $0.0678 – If momentum is bearish, price may interact with this deep support zone, reflecting a broader sell-off.
Dynamic Interaction with Moving Averages
Moving averages play a vital role in confirming ray signals:
MA50 ($0.1038): A close above or below validates the ray's directional bias.
MA100 ($0.1102): Acts as dynamic resistance during upward attempts.
MA200 ($0.1217): A critical barrier to long-term trends and corrections.
MA233 ($0.1227): A key decision point, aligning closely with significant ray levels.
Suggested Trades Based on Rays
Long from $0.1066 to $0.1228: After confirming interaction with ascending rays, target the first resistance zone.
Short from $0.1228 to $0.1038: If price rejects at the resistance ray, aim for MA50 as the initial support target.
Breakout Trade above $0.1228 to $0.1344: A clean breakout signals strong bullish momentum, allowing traders to target subsequent rays.
Reversal Play at $0.0845 to $0.1038: If the price rebounds near the absolute low, capitalize on the recovery toward MA50.
Aggressive Long from $0.1294 to $0.1384: For experienced traders, momentum above the ray at $0.1294 suggests a run to the next dynamic zone.
Call to Action: Let’s Trade Smarter Together!
Hey traders, I hope this analysis gives you a fresh perspective and valuable insights! If you have any questions or want to discuss specific levels, drop your thoughts in the comments—let’s keep the conversation flowing. I’m always happy to engage and share ideas.
If this post resonated with you, hit that Boost button and save it to your favorites. Come back later and see how price respects the rays and levels I’ve highlighted—it’s a great way to sharpen your trading edge. Remember, understanding the key points for entries and exits is the heart of successful trading!
For those curious about my strategy: the rays and levels you see here are generated automatically using my proprietary indicator. It’s a private tool, but if you’re interested, feel free to message me directly to discuss how you can access it.
Got an asset you’d like analyzed? Let me know in the comments or via message. Some requests I’ll happily do for free and share with the community, while private setups can be tailored just for you—discreet and exclusive.
These rays aren’t just for GMT—they work across all assets. If you’re looking for personalized charting and analysis, I’m here to help. Just share the asset you’re tracking, hit Boost, and I’ll add it to my list.
Finally, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView—this is where I post all my updates and ideas. Let’s build a strong community of traders who learn and grow together. Thanks for your support, and may the charts be ever in your favor!
BITCOIN: Just bounced on the former 4 year Resistance.Bitcoin is staging an incredible rebound on the nearly 4 year HH Resistance Zone, while being on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.575, MACD = 1366.600, ADX = 28.907) and a borderline overbought 1W, which really sets the tone for the rest of the bull market. This turns the former Resistance Zone into a Support, as this is the first test and bounce since it broke in November after the U.S. elections.
Symmetrically, the rally since August 5th 2024 looks like the rejection since November 8th 2021. Like the rejection reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, we expect the current bullish wave to do the same thing. A TP = 200,000 can be easily achieved under these conditions.
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JUP/USDT: A Critical Crossroad - Is the Market Poised for a TurnThe Tides Are Shifting
As we step into 2025, JUP/USDT finds itself teetering on a fine edge. Trading at $0.8152, the pair has retraced by over 55.9% from its all-time high of $1.8496 reached in April 2024. Yet, the spotlight now turns to emerging bullish signals and a question looms: Are we witnessing a bottom or merely a pause before further declines?
The RSI (14) on the daily chart suggests oversold conditions at 32.68, signaling the potential for a rebound. Meanwhile, the MFI (60) at a low 29.68 reinforces this notion, reflecting dwindling sell-side pressure. However, the story becomes more intriguing when you factor in the interplay of patterns like the "Buy Volumes Takeover," hinting at a potential shift in momentum.
Yet, this is no time for complacency. With support levels lurking at $0.777 and $0.738, and resistance firmly set at $0.9017, the market faces a critical juncture. The breach of these barriers will likely define the trajectory for days to come.
What lies ahead? Will bulls seize control and drive a recovery, or does the market have further to fall? The answer could hold opportunities for both traders seeking short-term volatility and investors eyeing long-term gains.
Roadmap of JUP/USDT Patterns: Tracing the Moves
The Journey Begins: "Sell Volumes Max" (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
The pattern “Sell Volumes Max” kicked things off with a strong bearish vibe, closing at $0.912 after opening at $0.9657. True to its direction, subsequent patterns confirmed the continuation of selling pressure, with the next session plunging further into bearish territory. This was the moment where the bears took the reins.
A Glimpse of Hope: "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd" (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
Enter the bullish contender. The “VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd” hinted at a recovery, but the subsequent “Sell Volumes Max” overpowered the buy signal, showing that bulls failed to secure dominance. This invalidated the potential reversal from the extra buy setup.
Reconfirmation of Bears: "Sell Volumes Max" (2025-01-21 04:00 UTC)
Another bearish signal appeared, and this time it delivered. Prices continued their southward journey, reinforcing the bearish momentum as the market respected the trigger points. The consistency here set the stage for further declines, proving this sell pattern’s reliability.
The Turnaround Begins: "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" (2025-01-21 04:00 UTC)
Finally, the bulls struck back. This time, the pattern held its ground, with the market beginning to pivot upward in the following sessions. The trigger was validated, and the price began building upward momentum, signaling a potential long-term shift.
Bullish Revival: "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" (2025-01-22 15:00 UTC)
The fourth iteration of the “VSA Manipulation Buy” emerged as the hero pattern. After a slow build-up, the market began respecting its bullish bias, breaking past the three-bar low triggers. Prices closed higher, confirming a significant turn in market sentiment.
Buy Dominance Confirmed: "Buy Volumes Take Over" (2025-01-22 16:00 UTC)
To seal the deal, the “Buy Volumes Take Over” reinforced the bullish sentiment, with prices moving decisively upward from this point. The sequence of bullish patterns successfully outperformed previous sell signals, marking this as a pivotal point in the trend’s evolution.
What’s Next?
Looking at the roadmap, we’ve seen a fascinating interplay between buyers and sellers. Patterns like “Sell Volumes Max” set the tone for a bearish leg, but it’s the precise recovery of buy patterns that brought balance back to the game.
Stay tuned, traders. The next chapter could redefine the market’s direction—are you ready to catch the wave?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels on the Radar
Here’s the breakdown of the key zones that every trader should have pinned to their charts. These levels are where the action happens—either as bounce points or barriers. If the price fails to respect these zones, don’t sweat it; they’ll likely flip into resistance or support depending on the move.
Support Levels
0.777 – The first line of defense. If buyers can’t hold it, expect it to flip and act as a ceiling. 0.738 – A critical level for bulls to step in. If breached, it’s game over for a deeper dip.
Resistance Levels
0.9017 – The big hurdle. Bulls need to clear this to reclaim control. If not, it turns into a tough ceiling that could cap any rallies.
Powerful Support Levels
1.371 – The heavyweight champion of supports. If tested, it’s where we’d expect some serious buying pressure. But if it breaks, buckle up for some turbulence.
Powerful Resistance Levels
0.5783 – A fortress in the bears’ favor. Bulls breaking through here would signal a major shift in momentum.
The Golden Rule
Respect the levels, but stay nimble. If a support level cracks or a resistance gets shattered, flip your bias—these same levels will play for the other team as the market evolves. As always, let price action be your guide and keep it sharp!
Trading Strategies Using Rays: The Power of Fibonacci Dynamics
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept redefines precision trading. By leveraging Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, we construct rays that act as dynamic guides, predicting where the price might pivot or accelerate. These rays are drawn from the inception of a trend, not traditional extremum points, allowing traders to stay ahead of new trend phases or corrections.
Why It Works
Markets are complex, and predicting exact levels is often a fool’s errand. However, rays provide zones of high probability for price interaction. When paired with moving averages (MA50, MA100, etc.), these zones highlight key areas of potential reversals or continuations. Each ray and corresponding MA serve as stepping stones in the market, marking paths for price action.
Price interaction with rays, supported by Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), signals the ideal moment to enter trades—whether it's bouncing off a ray or breaking through it toward the next.
Optimistic Scenario
Price respects the Fibonacci ray levels and moving averages, triggering bullish momentum.
Entry: After price interacts with Support 0.777, supported by MA233 at 0.8756, and confirms upward movement. First Target: Resistance 0.9017 – Watch for a breakout or a pause. Second Target: Powerful Resistance 1.371 – Anticipate heightened activity at this zone.
Pessimistic Scenario
Bearish pressure dominates, breaking supports and interacting with descending rays.
Entry: After price breaks below Support 0.738, retests it, and interacts with descending rays, signaling continuation. First Target: Dynamic MA support near 0.675 – Aligns with descending ray zone. Second Target: Powerful Support 0.5783 – A likely point for consolidation or bounce.
Proposed Trades Based on Ray Interactions
Bullish Bounce from 0.777
This level, supported by ascending rays, presents a strong buying opportunity. Wait for confirmation through volume spikes or bullish candle patterns.
Breakout Trade Above 0.9017
If price interacts with ascending rays and MA50 before breaking this resistance, initiate a long trade targeting 1.371.
Bearish Breakdown Below 0.738
A clean break of this support, coupled with descending ray interaction, opens a short setup targeting 0.5783.
Dynamic MA Trade at 0.8756 (MA233)
If the price reverses near this level, supported by rays, it signals a strong continuation setup for trend followers.
Key Takeaways
Patience is Key: Always wait for price interaction with rays and MAs before entering.
Target the Rays: Movement from one ray to the next is often enough to secure solid profits.
Adaptability: Rays automatically adjust to new patterns, keeping you ahead in dynamic markets.
Trade smart, let the rays guide you, and ride the trends from zone to zone!
Let’s Stay Connected!
Hey there, fellow traders! If you’ve made it this far, it means you’re serious about improving your trading game, and I’m here to help. Have questions or thoughts about the analysis? Drop them in the comments below—I read and respond to everything, and your feedback is always appreciated. Let’s keep the conversation going!
Liked the roadmap? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea to revisit later. Watching how price respects these rays and levels is crucial for sharpening your trading instincts. Remember: it’s not just about predictions—it’s about understanding key reaction points.
By the way, the rays and levels you see here? They’re automatically plotted by my private indicator-strategy. If you’re curious to use it, feel free to send me a private message to discuss access.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Let me know in the comments. I can create a detailed breakdown—either publicly for the community or privately if you prefer to keep your strategy under wraps. Whether it’s crypto, forex, or stocks, these rays work on all markets, and I’d be happy to personalize them for you.
Lastly, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my latest ideas. Let’s build a community of smarter, more confident traders—starting with you. 🚀
LINK ANALYSIS 🚀#LINK Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #LINK that there is a formation of "Falling Wedge Pattern". In a daily timeframe #LINK broke out the pattern. Expecting a bullish move in few days if #LINK sustain above the major support area
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #LINK price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#LINK #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
WLD/USDT Breakout Pattern: Sam Altman’s Stargate and AI ImpactAnalyzing the WLD/USDT 1-day candlestick chart on Binance, an overall downtrend is evident since early 2024, marked by a peak in early March followed by consistent declines, indicating significant selling pressure. A descending triangle pattern formed between late November 2024 and early January 2025, characterized by a horizontal support line around 1.843 and a series of lower highs. The price has broken out of this pattern, currently at 2.372, up 11.47% on the day of observation. A retest of the 1.843 support level is anticipated, with a potential rally towards the 10.613 mark if successful, suggesting a bullish outlook based on technical analysis.
Worldcoin (WLD) is a cryptocurrency project that aims to establish a global identity and financial network by utilizing "Orb" devices to scan users' irises, creating unique and verifiable identities. The WLD token serves governance and payment functions within the Worldcoin ecosystem. As a relatively new project, its value is subject to high volatility, a common characteristic among emerging crypto assets.
In related news, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, also a co-founder of Worldcoin, has gained significant advantages through the Trump administration's Stargate AI infrastructure project. Announced on January 21, 2025, Stargate is a $500 billion initiative led by OpenAI, SoftBank, and Oracle, aiming to construct AI data centers across the United States. The project is expected to create over 100,000 American jobs and enhance the nation's AI capabilities. Altman emphasized that Stargate would enable the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) within the U.S., marking it as a pivotal project of this era.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. This analysis is purely for informational purposes and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading involves risk, and you should consult with a financial professional before making any decisions.
HYPE Intraday Highlights (Thesis Prediction)
Market Position:
Current Price: $25.57, up +9.8% from recent lows.
Resistance: $27.00 | Support: $25.00.
Trend: Bullish recovery, breaking previous resistance levels, with potential for continuation or consolidation.
Key Technical Indicators:
RSI: 56.44, neutral with room for further price action.
MACD (30-min): Positive crossover, indicating building bullish momentum.
Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, signaling potential short-term overbought conditions or continued bullish tests.
On-Chain Insights:
Trading Volume: Up +59.34% to $622.47M, signaling heightened market interest.
Funding Rate (Bitget): 0.0288%, slightly bullish, reflecting market optimism.
Open Interest: Increased by +10.23% to $581.85M, suggesting accumulation by large traders or institutions.
Market Sentiment:
Sentiment: Strongly positive, fueled by the "HYPE Frenzy" event in December 2024.
Long/Short Ratio: 1.0396, indicating more long positions, aligning with bullish sentiment.
Scenarios:
Bullish (60%): Continuation above $27.00, potentially reaching $28.00+, driven by FOMO and sustained buying pressure.
Bearish (30%): Profit-taking or sentiment shift could pull prices back to $25.00 or $24.00 if support fails.
Sideways (10%): Consolidation between $25.00–$27.00 if sentiment cools or traders lock in profits.
Note: Keep an eye on resistance at $27.00 for a breakout or rejection, and monitor funding rates and volume for signs of momentum shifts. Always apply disciplined risk management.
itcoin Intraday Highlights (Thesis Prediction)Market Position:
Current Price: $104,492.92, down -1.56% in the last 24 hours.
Resistance: $106,394 | Support: $103,700.
Trend: Short-term bearish but within consolidation as price stays inside Bollinger Bands.
Key Technical Indicators:
RSI (14): 45.38, approaching neutral, easing selling pressure.
MACD (30-min): Bearish signal, with histogram at -141.18.
Bollinger Bands: Price near the lower band, suggesting potential support or further downside.
On-Chain Insights:
Exchange Balances: Binance BTC holdings at 1.81M BTC, signaling reduced selling pressure.
Funding Rates (Binance): Neutral (0.00100%), indicating no strong directional bias.
Market Sentiment:
Fear & Greed Index: 84 (Extreme Greed) despite recent decline.
Trading Volume: Dropped -31.89% to $112.68B, signaling reduced activity or consolidation.
Scenarios:
Bullish (35%): Rebound from $103,700 support; test of $106,000+.
Bearish (50%): Break below $103,700; potential drop to $100,000.
Sideways (15%): Range-bound trading between $103,700–$106,394 until a catalyst appears.
Note: Watch for breakout or breakdown signals and manage risk due to Bitcoin's high volatility.
DOGEUSD preparing a rally to $1.60Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) is trading on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as despite yesterday's attempted break-out, the pull-back brought the price down around this key trend-line again.
The key for buyers is now to turn this level into a Support and hold it, as this is what took place during the September - November 2024 rally. As you can see, once the price broke above the 1D MA50 and re-tested as Support, it sustained a 2-month rally, which reached the 3.0 Fibonacci extension from its bottom point (August 05 2024).
We can clearly see how similar the two fractals are, both started with a correction (red Rectangle) and then after the bottom, a Channel Down (also evident on their 1D RSI sequences) paved the way for the rally.
As a result, if DOGE tests the 1D MA50 again and holds it this time, we will have a confirmed buy signal to target $1.600 (Fibonacci 3.0 extension).
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Stoch RSI Big Inverse H&S On The Daily 4 XCN OnyxcoinIf that right shoulder forms we are going to break above the recent high. The price range we have been testing the last day was major resistance in the initial sell off. A lot of the higher prices have FAR less resistance than we are seeing here.
There was a smaller inverse head and shoulders before last weeks pump.
This one is much larger.
Speculation and risk are your friend if you treat them well.
Cheers.
$BONK: Hold or Fall? Potential 3x from Here!Decided to bid this area one more time on BINANCE:BONKUSDT :
The lows need to hold, or it’s an easy path down to 0.00002150 or lower.
It needs to break the current swing highs to at least flip the downtrend.
Just placing a bet here, expecting the following to happen. Will add significantly once the MSB occurs at the swing high.
It’s a good level, and I still believe CRYPTOCAP:SOL holds above 170. Don’t think twice, it’s simple.
TradeCityPro | ICPUSDT Early Entry Points👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s update the analysis of ICPUSDT, one of my favorite altcoins. We'll review the new triggers for potential early entries together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before diving into the analysis, as always, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Bitcoin shows potential for upward movement, as recent candles have pushed its price higher. With increasing volume, it could even set a new ATH. A breakout above the 108454 trigger could present a risky long position with a wide stop-loss.
As Bitcoin’s dominance is rising, this indicates that bullish movements may first occur in Bitcoin. It’s better to focus on Bitcoin or coins with a strong performance relative to Bitcoin.
🕵️♂️ Previous Analysis
In our last analysis, the trigger for a long position was 12.476, but it was never activated. Instead, the price rejected from that level, breaking our lower timeframe trigger. Sellers took control, causing Fibonacci levels to be revisited and the price to move towards the 9.821 support.
📈 Daily Timeframe
Currently, after rejecting the 11.333 resistance, the price has entered a triangle pattern and is consolidating. A breakout from this triangle seems imminent.
When the price rejected from 11.333, we observed increased volume, which isn’t ideal for bullish momentum as it highlights the strength of sellers. However, the price is now sitting on a critical support level, which is also the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the top of the daily box, now acting as daily support.
The daily candle looks promising, sitting on a strong support level. You can consider buying based on this setup, but I prefer to wait for the continuation trendline to break or for the 11.333 trigger to be breached. The 11.333 level is especially significant after the recent rejection. If we see increased volume upon breaking it, I’ll enter a position myself.
For exiting this coin, as long as we remain above $7, I’ll continue holding unless negative news arises. Keep in mind that my entry point is 3.582, which I previously mentioned. Exiting below $7 would still be in profit for me. However, I recommend exiting at current levels if your entry was higher.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
After rejecting the 12.476 level, the price dropped to 9.466, where it seems to have stabilized, and bearish momentum has subsided.
📉 Short Position Trigger
I’ll consider opening a short position if the 9.466 support is broken. Profits from this trade will be used to accumulate more ICP, effectively making my holdings cost-free.
📈 Long Position Trigger
For a risky long position, you can enter after the continuation trendline breaks. Personally, I prefer waiting for the price to reach 11.411 and break that level before entering a long position. This ensures that momentum has entered the coin, allowing me to trade with greater confidence and potentially set a tighter stop-loss.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
LINK Bright Future. Price Perspective. Strong Fundamentals.I see the price of Chainlink (LINKUSDT) growing in the coming months, and I’ve got a few reasons for that.
Technical View: Cup & Handle Formation
From a technical perspective, I think LINK is in a long-term accumulation structure — a classic Cup & Handle pattern . Here’s what I’ve noticed:
The bottoms of both the Cup and the Handle show a clear Accumulation Range (AR) .
LINK has already broken out of the AR and the Cup & Handle resistance , which is a strong bullish signal.
If the price continues this momentum, it’s likely to reach its previous all-time high (ATH) at $52.00 .
Now, if LINK breaks above that ATH, something interesting might happen. There’s a pattern forming within the Handle — a downtrend curve that looks similar to the one seen in the pre-Cup phase. By using Fibonacci levels and comparing this to the Handle breakout structure, we can project a potential target that suggests significant upside.
Strong Fundamentals Backing LINK
LINK isn’t just about the charts — it’s got solid fundamentals too:
It’s the only token produced in the USA .
It’s included in the Coinbase 50 index .
It’s backed by a Grayscale Trust product .
And, it’s connected to World Liberty Financial (Trump ties).
These factors give LINK a strong foundation and make it one of the key projects to watch in the crypto space.
Dogecoin(DOGE)Price Action Potential in 2025 $0.82, $1.11or $24?As of January 22, 2025, Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading around $0.38, showing signs of strong market interest. The recent price action reflects DOGE's resilience in the current market environment. Let's analyze its potential:
Key Highlights:
(1) Current Price Movement:
🟢 Trading Range: $0.3368 (low) - $0.3969 (high)
🟢 Daily Change: +2.67%
(2) Recent Developments: Elon Musk’s involvement as head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has significantly boosted investor confidence, resulting in an 88% price increase post-announcement.
Price Predictions:
🟢 Short-Term Potential (Ali Martinez Analysis): If DOGE holds above $0.37, it could rally to $0.82, a 120% upside.
🟢 Mid-Term Projections (CoinCodex): Machine-learning models estimate DOGE could hit $1.11 by April 2025, marking a potential 200% gain.
🟢 Long-Term Speculation (Social Media Analyst): Some projections, though highly speculative, suggest DOGE could reach $24, contingent on significant market shifts.
Market Sentiment & Risks:
While optimism is high, the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile. Key factors to watch include:
🟢 Regulatory changes impacting broader crypto adoption.
🟢 Macroeconomic trends like inflation and monetary policies.
🟢 Technological developments influencing DOGE’s utility and scalability.
Conclusion: Dogecoin’s price action remains promising, but caution is advised. Always research thoroughly and assess your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Study Source URLs:
(1) Elon Musk's Appointment Impact: The Times - Will Dogecoin Price Be Boosted by Elon Musk’s New Job?
(2) Ali Martinez Analysis: Blockonomi - DOGE Price Analysis: Key Indicators Point to Possible 120% Upside for Dogecoin
(3) Mid-Term CoinCodex Prediction: The Tribune - Bullish Signals Indicate Dogecoin Could Hit $5, Say Crypto Experts
(4) Long-Term Speculation: The Financial Analyst - Analyst Predicts Dogecoin Could Soar to $24, Sparking Community Buzz
Feel free to share your thoughts and charts in the comments! 🚀
SEI/USDT 4H Analysis🚨 SEI/USDT 4H Analysis 🚨
Hey fam, SEI is in a Descending Channel, and the chart is looking primed for a reversal. Here’s what I’m seeing:
🔑 Buy Zone:
- $0.30-$0.33 (green zone) – a solid accumulation area.
🎯 Targets:
- TP1: $0.475
- TP2: $0.594
- TP3: $0.708
📌 Game Plan:
- Look for an entry around the lower channel in the buy zone.
- Use 3x isolated leverage (only if you’re confident and risk-tolerant).
- Place your stop below $0.235
A breakout above the channel could trigger a strong move to TP1 and beyond. Always manage risk, and let’s make those gains! 🚀
#SEI #Crypto #TradingViewIdeas
Is BTC ready to explode or should we brace for a deeper drop?The pressure is mounting! Are we about to witness a massive breakout, or should we prepare for a deeper correction? The BTCUSDT chart is coiling into a elliott pattern, a classic bullish setup—but remember, trading is never guaranteed, and the market loves to test us! Here’s the full breakdown of what we’re seeing right now:
💎#BTC previously enjoyed a strong rally and made new ATH but due to #TRUMP not mentioning any words for crypto we have seen a massive sell pressure.
💎But according to elliott wave count, we are heading towards 3rd impulsive wave targeting 120-125k .
💎After that we can see a slight pullback making a 4th corrective wave
💎And then we can see #Bitcoin to final All-Time-High making at 130k level most probably
Stay patient, and always wait for confirmation before taking any action. Discipline is the key to long-term success!
BCHUSD at Key Support – Potential Buy SetupCOINBASE:BCHUSD is trading within a significant demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in, causing strong reversals. The recent pullback into this area indicates the potential for a bullish reaction.
If the price shows bullish confirmation—such as engulfing candles or wicks rejecting lower prices—a move toward the 460.00 level is expected. This zone could act as a base for buyers to regain control.
However, if the price breaks below this support zone, the bullish outlook will be invalidated, and further downside could follow.
BITCOIN The March effect is about to kick-inTrump's inauguration took place yesterday and that's perhaps the one event that the markets have been waiting for to kick-start the year without distractions. On today's analysis we go through every January of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) final year of its Bull Cycles and present to you what we will call from now on 'The March effect'.
As you can see, the price action coming to those January months is fairly similar between that last 4 Cycles. The price finds Support below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), then breaks above it and with that as its new Support, it rises towards January where it starts the first Consolidation Phase. After a new Low near (or on) the 1D MA100, the market resumes the uptrend and rise towards March where again it starts a second Consolidation Phase.
As a result, January - March during the Bull Cycle's final year deliver this incredibly bullish sequence and we can claim that the phenomenon has already started as January 13 2025 was a close enough test for the 1D MA100. We are expecting a March peak around $130k.
So do you think we will see the 'March effect' unfold once more and if yes is $130k a plausible target in your opinion? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Is the Tide Turning for OMNIUSDT? Key Levels and Signals to WatcThe cryptocurrency market is alive with intrigue as OMNIUSDT hovers at $9.493, a far cry from its all-time high of $33.523, marking a dramatic 71% deviation from its peak. But the story doesn’t end there. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stabilizing near neutral at 45, the asset teeters between oversold and recovery zones. Could this be the calm before a storm?
Recent price patterns, including a "Sell Volumes Take Over," suggest a market grappling with direction but rich with opportunity. Resistance looms at $11.135 and $11.646, key battlegrounds that traders are closely eyeing for breakouts. Meanwhile, the 233-day Moving Average hints at a robust floor, offering potential support for buyers looking to capitalize on discounted prices.
So, is this your moment to seize the next big move? The market seems ripe with possibilities, but only decisive action can turn speculation into strategy. As the technical indicators align, the question lingers: are you ready to ride the wave?
Roadmap: Tracing OMNIUSDT Through the Lens of Price Patterns
1. Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-20 19:00 UTC)
The pattern "Sell Volumes Take Over" signaled a buy direction, closing at $10.405. The price movement showed resilience, creating a momentum of +0.89%. However, the next pattern “Increased Sell Volumes” didn’t confirm this direction, as the closing price dropped to $10.025. This suggests the trigger point wasn’t activated, and this pattern might be skipped.
2. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
This pattern played out effectively as the subsequent price dropped from $10.025 to $9.785 in the following “VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd.” With a -0.84% move, the pattern's bearish signal validated the sell momentum.
3. VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd (2025-01-20 10:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
This pattern confirmed its bearish stance with a closing price of $9.785 and a further dip into the range of $9.516 as identified by the subsequent “Increased Buy Volumes” pattern. Despite the downtrend, the market signaled a possible reversal, indicating that sellers were losing grip.
4. Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-20 09:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
As predicted, the price shifted upward, closing at $9.864. This marked a successful trigger, supported by a movement above the $9.516 low. This confirmation established a bullish foothold, preparing for the "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st."
5. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-20 02:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
The market responded to this signal, showcasing a confident rise to $8.717 (following a minor dip). The sequence indicated that buyers were slowly accumulating strength, aligning with the directional trigger from the previous setup.
6. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-19 15:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
Closing at $9.846, this pattern accurately forecasted the subsequent dip below $9.62. Sellers successfully pushed the market lower, aligning with bearish projections.
7. Buy Volumes Max (2025-01-19 14:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
A notable spike followed, closing at $10.084 and validating this pattern. This was the point where buyers reclaimed control, driving momentum upward.
Key Observations for Traders and Investors :
Patterns with accurate main directions provided clear entry and exit signals, reducing market noise.
The mix of "VSA Buy" and "Sell Volumes" emphasized the dynamic shifts between accumulation and distribution.
Investors should watch for sequences where confirmed directions align to spot high-probability trades.
This roadmap serves as a historical guide to the effectiveness of pattern analysis for OMNIUSDT, emphasizing actionable insights and validation techniques. For traders, recognizing these sequences can unlock significant profit potential while avoiding misleading setups. Stay tuned for more updates!
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
When it comes to OMNIUSDT, the chart is speaking volumes. Here’s a breakdown of critical levels that traders need to keep on their radar. Remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll flip into resistance zones, creating headwinds for any bullish momentum.
Support Levels:
9.305 – A crucial short-term support. If it folds, expect sellers to drive the price further south.
7.900 – A deeper retrace zone that could be the last line of defense for buyers.
Resistance Levels:
11.135 – The first wall bulls need to crack to regain control.
11.646 – A tougher ceiling that could see significant sell pressure.
12.039 – Breaking this would put the market back into bull territory.
Powerful Support Levels:
12.212 – This level has historically held strong, but if breached, it’s lights out for buyers in the short term.
17.693 – A key area from a macro perspective. Losing this would signal a broader bearish shift.
24.832 – The line in the sand for long-term bulls.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
6.984 – A level that’s been tested and rejected before. If the price drops below, it’ll likely struggle to reclaim this zone.
Pro Tip for Traders:
Failing supports are not just signs of weakness—they’re prime spots for bears to set up camp. Watch for price action around these zones. If a level flips, it’s an early warning to adjust your strategy.
Stay tuned for updates, and keep these levels on lock—trading is a game of precision, and these are the keys to the next big move.
Trading Strategies Based on Rays: Optimistic and Pessimistic Scenarios
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept introduces a structured approach to trading based on Fibonacci principles and dynamic market factors. Each ray represents a potential boundary where price action signals a reversal or continuation. Here’s how to use this proprietary method for trading OMNIUSDT.
Concept of Rays
Fibonacci Rays are drawn from the start of movement patterns, adjusting dynamically with new trends or corrections. These rays act as guideposts for price movement, creating ascending and descending channels that define potential trade zones. Their interaction with price, combined with key Moving Averages and VSA patterns, signals the beginning of actionable trades.
Optimistic Scenario
Price reacts positively to Fibonacci rays, respecting support levels and initiating bullish momentum.
Initial Support Interaction: $9.305 – If price bounces from this level, the first target aligns with the next ray at $11.135.
Continuation Above Resistance: $11.135 – Break and close above this level sets the next target at $12.039.
Breakout into Powerful Resistance: $12.212 – Strong bullish momentum could aim for $17.693 as the long-term objective.
Pessimistic Scenario
Price fails to respect support levels and interacts negatively with descending rays, confirming bearish sentiment.
Initial Resistance Interaction: $11.135 – If price rejects here, the first downside target aligns with $9.305.
Break Below Key Support: $9.305 – Breach of this level points to $7.900 as the next target.
Interaction with Powerful Support: $6.984 – A deeper correction may lead to testing this key level, signaling potential capitulation.
Key Trades and Comments
Bullish Trade: From $9.305 to $11.135
Entry: Post-bounce from $9.305 and confirmation of upward movement.
Comment: Use this zone for scaling in as the first ray interaction aligns with bullish continuation.
Bearish Trade: From $11.135 to $9.305
Entry: On clear rejection from $11.135, signaling a reversal.
Comment: Ideal for short trades with tight risk management.
Breakout Trade: From $11.135 to $12.039
Entry: After a confirmed close above $11.135.
Comment: Look for a strong move to $12.039 with possible pullbacks for additional entry points.
Deep Correction Trade: From $9.305 to $7.900
Entry: If price breaks below $9.305, targeting the next ray at $7.900.
Comment: A defensive trade for bearish conditions, with strict stop-losses in place.
Long-Term Bullish Trade: From $12.212 to $17.693
Entry: After a confirmed breakout above $12.212 and sustained momentum.
Comment: This level marks a shift in market dynamics, targeting the upper ray with high confidence.
How to Use This Framework
Wait for price interaction with the rays and Moving Averages.
Enter trades only after confirmation of movement from the ray to the next predefined target.
Adjust positions dynamically as new patterns emerge, ensuring flexibility in changing market conditions.
Let’s Connect and Trade Smarter Together!
Hey traders! If you’ve made it this far, you’re already ahead of the game. Got questions or insights? Drop them right in the comments—I’d love to hear your thoughts and help fine-tune your trading strategy.
If this idea resonated with you, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later. This way, you can revisit and see how price action plays out according to my analysis. Watching price respect key levels and rays in real time is one of the best ways to master your trading skills!
By the way, the indicator-strategy I use, which auto-plots all these rays and levels, is a private tool. If you’d like access to it, send me a message—I’m happy to chat about how you can use it to elevate your trading game.
Need analysis for a specific asset? No problem! Whether you’re looking for a general post or a private breakdown tailored to your needs, we can make it happen. Some things I’ll gladly share publicly, while other ideas can stay exclusive—just let me know what works for you.
And here’s the best part: these rays work on all assets. If there’s a particular one you’re trading, comment below with the ticker and your thoughts. I’ll prioritize requests with Boosts, so don’t forget to show some love!
Finally, make sure you follow me here on TradingView. This is where all my best ideas and strategies land first. Together, we can navigate the markets with clarity and confidence. Let’s trade smart—looking forward to connecting with you all! 🚀
Bitcoin - Lofty Promises, Disturbing Results: My Crypto Journey.I make no claim to know where Bitcoin is headed. All I know is my opinion on it, and my feelings about cryptocurrencies in general, especially how they've evolved over the years. My sense continues to tell me that things are very wrong with crypto, and that eventually it's going to fade into the uncomfortable past, a kind of failed experiment. Back in 2022, I thought that if it gets bigger and bigger, it's a general symptom of wealth concentration, exploitation, and mass delusion. I don't think this technology is beneficial to society, as it extracts both attention and resources from its participants. Unless, of course, you can manage to be one of those who profits and then turns their profits into material wealth and/or positive change.
Looking at my own personal timeline for my sentiment about crypto, let's see how I ended up here:
November, 2017 : I am out of college for over a year now. I've been working a tough sales job for a year and I'm beginning to get burned out. I hear about Bitcoin from a friend. "if you buy in at $10K, sell at $20k and double your money." I then learn about Bitcoin and think, well, things are pretty bleak in the world right now. I don't know what I'm doing with my life. What if the banks collapse and I'm left with nothing? Bitcoin seems like a viable alternative. I buy out of fear, around $13.8k. Then, I see my value go up. Greed takes over. I go down a rabbit hole, learning about altcoins such as XRP, XLM, and LTC. Even XRB, which later becomes Nano. What if any of these becomes the next Bitcoin?
January, 2018: I think that I should have just cashed out. I must have bought the top. But, what if it all comes back even stronger? I could be rich. I pull out part of my initial investment and watch the rest continue to spiral downwards. I quit my job out of burnout.
May, 2018: Bitcoin continues to make lower highs. I start working that crazy sales job again part-time, as I need the money while the bear market persists.
December, 2018: All hope seems lost. I quit my sales job, again out of burnout and deciding I don't want to do this the rest of my life. I'm 25 years old. Then, I decide to look for reasons price might go up again, which would also then save me from having to go back to work again. I could just be an artist full time. I get into TA, thinking that it's kind of like art. Instead of working on my actual art or writing as much as I want to, I create all sorts of trendlines and other visual and fundamental reasons crypto could come back even stronger than before. I prepare. I buy ETH around $100. I'm now posting regularly on TradingView. I start figuring out which coins I want to load up on for the next bull run.
April, 2019: The market is back. I'm pretty sure the bottom is in. I'm gonna make it. I continue to post about various cryptocurrencies on tradingview, although I begin to feel worried about altcoins. Will they survive through the next cycle?
October, 2019: The market is volatile. Bitcoin finally hits $10K again, though there's something strange going on. Is price being manipulated?
February, 2020: Things are starting to feel precarious. ETH has done better now, boosting my portfolio back towards break even for the first time. The COVID crash is immanent. I've decided on a career to pursue.
March, 2020: Panic. Markets are screwed. I'm going down with the ship. I'm too scared to buy more because everything feels apocalyptic.
September, 2020: I begin grad school. While working mostly from home and attending classes remotely, I have a lot of time on my hands to post crypto analysis. I want to invest more, but I have very little income as a student. I feel that price is about to explode upwards. However, in grad school I'm also learning a lot about systems and becoming more and more skeptical about whether crypto would bring about any positive change to financial systems.
February, 2021: ETH has broken all-time high. I'm in significant profit. I'm checking my portfolio all the time. Will the altcoins rally soon?
Spring - Summer 2021: There's a huge amount of dumping. What's going on here? Why does Elon Musk have so much influence over this market? I thought it was supposed to be decentralized. Tweets are having a huge effect on the market. Should I sell? No, I think it's just a correction. I'm right, at least for now.
December, 2021: I'm feeling pretty bullish. Bitcoin made a significant new all-time high. But, something is tingling underneath my skin. I can't quite shake it. What's going on with this LUNA coin? A number of things are starting to unravel in my mind. For example, El Salvador recently made Bitcoin legal tender, but the response was very tepid. It's not seeming very practical at all. If it's not a viable currency, then what is it? I think about Elon Musk. I think about Michael Saylor and his defrauding of investors during the dotcom boom. I allow the cognitive dissonance I've been experiencing completely take over.
January - February, 2022: My feelings culminate. I decide to let go of all my crypto, realizing that it's not playing out ideally how I'd hoped. Plus, I'm in significant profit now. The forces that have taken advantage and control in traditional markets and the broader economy have latched themselves onto the cryptocurrency market, where investors are easily exploitable. The Super Bowl happens. Crypto starts to feel more and more like a joke. Who is really profiting from all this? NFT's are also irking me.
May, 2022: I finish grad school. Terra LUNA collapses, shortly after I speculated it would. For the rest of the year, I feel validated in my feelings about crypto. FTX collapses later that year, and although in hindsight it marked the bottom of the bear market, I'm hopeful that people will stay far away from this market in years to come. I am optimistic about my own financial future, as I now have a stable career. Later in the year, I make some money day trading, but I eventually stop since it's distracting me from my work.
July, 2023: I continue with my new career in the mental health field. I'm 30 years old. XRP was deemed not a security when sold to retail investors, but a security when sold to initial institutional investors. I am disappointed in this outcome, as I disagree and believe many altcoins like XRP are clear securities. I'm glad to be paying less attention to the crypto market.
January, 2024: Against my speculation and to my disappointment, Bitcoin ETF's are approved. I stubbornly stay away from the market, believing the ETFs to be another cash grab and an opportunity for existing holders to cash out, particularly those whales who have been on the stablecoin side of things - the orchestrators behind USDD, USDT, etcetera.
August, 2024: Ripple is only fined a tiny fraction of the initial request by the SEC for selling unlicensed securities. This opens the floodgates for money to pour back into altcoins, and for more ETFs to eventually be created.
November, 2024: Bitcoin finally makes a significant new all-time high after Trump is re-elected. It had been consolidating for much of the year, seeming at times that it would break down and not push past its previous high.
January, 2025: Trump is back in office. There's volatility across the market. Many are hopeful that his presidency will bear fruit for crypto holders. Meanwhile, he creates his own meme tokens and profits enormously from them, not unlike the numerous crypto grifters from years past, the grifters that took hold of the market and told me to stay away. I feel upset that price went against my speculation, though also vindicated. Crypto is exactly what I realized it was. My opinion has not changed. It's just another bulky asset, though one where the corruption is far more transparent than it is in the world of traditional finance. Even though it's there for all to see, not much is being done about it. Typical, really, of this current era of deregulation and apathy. Michael Saylor continues to hoard more and more. It's just the plaything of the wealthy now. It's what some people always wanted Bitcoin to become, but the antithesis of what many thought it represented.
I'm happy with my career, and I feel good knowing I invested in myself and did not continue to chase cryptocurrencies. After all, it's better to be able to generate capital myself than wait for someone else to do it for me. It's a more certain future for me, with much less speculation. I'm also able to pay off everything from grad school with my profits from the last bull market.
Bitcoin active addresses have not grown since 2017. studio.glassnode.com
It is hoarding, and hoarding through custodians. Plus, those who were already into it just kept buying. A few left entirely. And a few wealthy players began accumulating.
Now for a little TA:
This is the structure I'm looking at for Bitcoin. Failure to push back above that orange trendline has resulted in a rejection so far. This chart should give an idea as to the various extremes price can take over the coming days/weeks:
This is the longer term BLX chart, showing diminishing returns curved trendlines. If Bitcoin continues to follow this shape, the peak could be limited to $160-170K if reached this year. That is, if it has not already hit the top.
The bottom of this structure is comfortably at a major level - near $30k.
This bullish structure would need to break down to confirm a bearish period:
Right now, the chart LOOKS bullish, but it's important to pay attention to the other signals, the other things going on behind the scenes. Public perception is important as well. The monthly chart appears bullish until the 9 EMA (near $80k now) is lost. The ultimate oscillator continues to show a longer term bearish divergence:
The weekly chart can look like a tweezer top with a failed high if price cannot push back above $108k later this week.
If that push up is successful, I think price can rally up towards $160k before profit taking begins in real earnest again.
Let's see what happens!
Thank you for going on this journey with me, especially if you've followed me since the earlier days. As always, this post represents my personal opinion and is in no way intended as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
BITCOIN This is what followed Trump's previous inaugurationBitcoin / BTCUSD appears to be repeating almost the exact same pattern of Trump's 2016 election win.
The chart on the right shows that a Bull Flag set the stage for the Nov 8th 2016 elections, after which the price rallied near the 2.0 Fib extension and consolidated until Trump's Jan 20th 2017 inauguration.
What followed after that was an immediate rally a little over the 3.0 Fibonacci.
With the 2024-2025 pattern being almost identical so far, we can expect a similar rally to the 3.0 Fib, which is a little over $150k.
Previous chart:
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$CAT on Sale: Eyes on the 0.00003 Test!Excited for lower prices on $CATUSDT.
This looks similar to previous price actions on other coins, like MEW before it expanded.
I want to see this test the 0.00003 area before any reaction. Any bids within the two orange lines are welcome, as long as the price doesn't make new lows.
The weekly trend is still intact, and that’s the area where I expect to see some support on this chart.