17/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,823.86
Last weeks low: $94,093.81
Midpoint: $96,458.84
Not a whole lot to comment on for this weekly outlook, we had a tighter weekly range last week ( EUROTLX:4K instead of $11K) however the midpoints were both $96K and both weeks started at their respective midpoints. For me this suggests a coiling of bitcoins price with anticipation for a larger move in a given direction, this could be either bullish or bearish we are yet to see.
Since last weeks CPI inflation print of a hotter than forecast 3.0%, a dollar that is finally rolling over and tariffs put on hold until April 1st, these factors should all play into the hands of the bulls but the chart needs to reflect this.
For this week I am anticipating more chop, if the pattern of tightening weekly ranges continues with no real idea of direction then the opportunity for credible trades reduces until we get an idea of trend direction. Right now there is no trend direction and so bitcoin should be treated as such.
Altcoins continue to suffer across the board and IMO this will not change until we see a bullish move in BTC. This environment is for short term traders as it stands.
Cryptocurrency
IS THIS FINALLY THE END OF BREAKDOWN VINE TO THE MOON..IS THIS FINALLY THE END OF THE BREAKDOWN VINE TO THE MOON..
Vine did break down hugely.. but it still has possibles to return.. is this going to happen from this bottom?
We are going to follow it.
We expect there can come a moment when this vine will find the break up $0,06
BITCOIN: Bull Flag. Will it break upwards?Bitcoin has just turned bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 56.545, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 38.441) but remains neutral on 1D. The reason is that the price is now at the top of the 2 week Channel Down, having crossed and closed over the 4H MA100 for the first time since January 31st. On the larger timeframes this Channel Down could be a Bull Flag to continue the bullish trend but of course the price needs to cross over it, otherwise a technical rejection will prevail. If it breaks upwards, go long targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 99,500). Until it does, keep a tight SL short targeting the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 95,750).
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DOGEUSD Fibonacci Channel 'guarantees' rally to at least $1.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has held perfectly its 1W MA50 two weeks ago, rebounded and is now consolidating. This consolidation shouldn't last for too long as based on the previous Cycles, this 1W MA50 test was the new bottom the should lead to the final year (2025) rally.
As you can see, DOGE's historic pattern since its first trading day has been a Channel Up, which with the added element of the Fibonacci lines, only broke during the 2021 Top formation on its 1.5 Fib extension.
A key characteristic of the final year of each Bull Cycle is that after a 1W Golden Cross is formed, the price has always first hit the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) 2SD above (thin orange trend-line) and shortly after the MMB 3SD above (thin red trend-line).
So far the current Cycle had hit the MMB 2SD on its December High and based on the pace with which this Cycle is unfolding (the higher the cap the slower the pace), it is unlikely to see a MMB 3SD test shortly.
However the Fibonacci Channel along with the MMB gives in our opinion two Target levels for this final year of the Cycle, a fair one and an optimistic. The fair one is at $1.00, which would make a perfect test of both the MMB 3SD and the 1.0 Fib ext at the top of the Channel Up. The optimistic is at $3.5 (potentially even higher), which would be exactly on the 1.618 horizontal Fibonacci extension (still below the 1.5 Channel Fib), which was the January 2018 Cycle Top and of course was greatly exceeded during the May 2021 Cycle Top.
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Another attempt for the 101-102K bounceMorning folks,
So market stands in the narrow range for the 3rd week already and not leaving hopes to show the bounce up to 101-102K area. Last attempt (in the way of cup pattern that we've discussed last time) has failed.
We don't care about it because mostly stay focused on weekly bearish DRPO pattern. Thus, any bounce here we consider first as a chance to Sell. And only second as a possible upside continuation.
For now BTC is trying to make an another attempt and form reverse H&S pattern on 1H chart. So target remains the same 101-102K. We have no intention to go long right now. But, if you trade intraday or just search chances to buy - maybe be this setup might be useful to you.
Supposedly 96K is an area where decision on position taking has to be made.
I keep the "bearish" mark for this setup. But, as now as last time - the bounce to 101-102K area are not excluded.
BTCUSD: The magic of the .618 Fib signals $165k.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.436, MACD = -739.700, ADX = 52.589) in an attempt to form a new bottom for February on its 2 month consolidation phase. This consolidation phase is technically no different than all others since the 2023 Bull Cycle started. We have had three such consolidation phases, two longer, one shorter but all started after market tops on a +1.0 Fibonacci progression: 1st on the 1.618 Fib, then on the 2.618, the 3.618, which brings us to the current ATH on the 4.618 Fibonacci extension. Technically the next one should be on the 5.618 Fib (TP = 165,000) then only thing that's open is whether it will follow the 2023 longer consolidation or 2024 shorter. If it follows the longer, then the 165k target may coincide with the Cycle Top towards September.
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BITCOIN Is the USDT dominance about to spark new rally to $150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a fierce consolidation the past few weeks, a lagging price action not helped at all by the recent market fundamentals.
From a technical view point though, the current BTC market structure is a Re-accumulation Phase similar to the Re-accumulation Phases of both previous Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom.
Those Re-accumulation Phases took place when the USDT dominance (chart on the right) posted a peaking 1D RSI struture similar to today's and the DXY (blue trend-line) was having a pull-back.
The current technical sequences matches the exact Re-accumulation Phases of BTC, which took place around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If we apply this Fib structure now, even assuming the less ideal scenario that the 0.5 Fib is on the January 13 Low and not in the middle of the Re-accumulation, we get a potential Target for the upcoming rally at $150k.
SO what do you think? Can this unique USDT dominance pattern spark a new rally on Bitcoin to 150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Phemex Analysis $60: How to Trade SOL Amidst the FTX UnlockThe FTX’s decision to unlock 11.2 million SOL tokens (worth around $2 billion) at March 1st has sent shockwaves through the market. Fear of a potential sell-off has triggered panic among investors, leading to a sharp decline in SOL’s price from $200 to the $160 area.
With uncertainty in the air, traders are now asking: Will SOL continue its downward spiral, consolidate, or stage a strong comeback? In this analysis, we’ll explore three possible scenarios and how to trade them like a pro.
Possible Scenarios
1. Continued Downward Trend – More Selling Pressure Ahead?
Currently, SOL has dropped into the $165-$155 support zone, but if fear continues to dominate and selling pressure increases, further downside is possible. Key support levels to watch:
• $135-$126 – A critical demand zone where buyers may step in.
• $110 – A strong historical support level that could serve as a bottom.
For long-term investors, this could be an opportunity to accumulate SOL at a discounted price. However, for those who entered near $200, this scenario is less favorable.
Pro Tips:
• Use scaled orders to gradually enter the market instead of going all-in at once.
• Set limit buy orders around key support zones to secure an optimal entry.
• Monitor volume and Relative Strength Index (RSI)—if SOL becomes oversold on high volume, it could signal a potential reversal.
2. Bouncing Between $155 & $210 – A Range-Bound Market
While some traders fear a deeper decline, institutional buyers and long-term holders may step in to absorb the selling pressure. This could lead to a sideways trading range between strong support at $155 and resistance at $210.
Pro Tips:
• Use grid trading bots to capitalize on price swings:
• Start a long grid bot near the $155 support level to profit from rebounds.
• Start a short grid bot near the $210 resistance level to take advantage of pullbacks.
• If SOL repeatedly tests $210 but fails to break through, consider taking partial profits.
• Stay cautious—if the $155 support fails, be ready to adjust strategy for a deeper correction.
3. Breakout Rally – A Surprise Upside Move?
While less likely, a major bullish catalyst—such as the approval of a Solana ETF—could spark a breakout. If SOL gains regulatory or institutional backing, it may defy expectations and surge past resistance levels.
Pro Tips:
• Watch for a breakout above $210 with strong volume—this could signal a move toward $250+.
• Consider momentum trading strategies, setting stop-loss orders below $200 to manage risk.
• Stay updated on ETF-related news and broader crypto sentiment.
Final Thoughts
All eyes are on March 1st, when FTX’s SOL unlock event could bring heightened volatility. Whether SOL drops further, consolidates, or stages a breakout, traders need to stay alert and adjust their strategies accordingly.
• For bulls: Look for accumulation zones and wait for a confirmed reversal.
• For range traders: Take advantage of price swings between support and resistance.
• For breakout traders: Keep an eye on volume and fundamental catalysts.
No matter which scenario plays out, staying disciplined, managing risk, and reacting to market conditions is key to trading SOL like a pro.
🚀 How are you planning to trade SOL during this event? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
Pro Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Bitcoin Intraday - Wednesday 19th FebruaryBitcoin has been in a tight bearish channel on the Daily timeframe. Yesterday (Tuesday 18th February) price took an internal daily low at $94,002. Today we are looking for the potential for price to mitigate the inducement POI created from price taking the daily low yesterday. Also aware of the potential for shorts from $96,177 although expecting price to move a little higher. Overall HTF picture is for bitcoin to push lower to take out the daily low at $91,375.
By the end of this year, Bitcoin will grow only slightly more.Bitcoin is at the end of a two-year uptrend and the $110,000 range is the end of this trend.
The impact of Trump's election on Bitcoin's growth will be before he enters the White House.
After that, we will have a 3-4 month downtrend.
The current price of Bitcoin is around $100,600
I will post an analysis of the downtrend after reaching the $110K range.
@JalilRafieefard
December 07, 2024
Bitcoin’s 1.5-2 year downtrend has begun. (Phase 1)As predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin saw its two-year price ceiling at around $109K when Trump entered the White House, and Bitcoin will have downtrend for about a 1.5-2 year.
This decline will have 3 phases, which I have shown in the first phase chart in 3 stages.
As you can see in the chart, in the first phase, Bitcoin will fall to around $81K and then rise again to near the price ceiling. But in my opinion, it will not be able to create a new price ceiling and will have a heavier decline towards the $50K-$60K range.
@JalilRafieefard
February 18, 2025
ETHUSD bottomed and will now look for 4k and above.Ethereum / ETHUSD is consolidating after an early February bottom on Support A.
Both in terms of pure price action and 1day MACD, the current bottom is replicating Augusts, which was also formed after a Falling Wedge broke downwards.
With the recent 1day MACD Bullish Cross formed, we expect the 4100 Resistance to get tested in April.
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TradeCityPro | ADAUSDT Is the Downtrend Continuing?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's take a look at one of the most popular cryptocurrency coins, review our previous analysis on this coin, and find our triggers!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
🕵️♂️ Previous Analysis
In the previous analysis, we had already identified our analytical levels and said that after the break of 0.8360, we would have the possibility of a sharp decline, and that is what happened, and after the decline, we are currently in a pullback to this level!
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly time frame, ADA, like sol, sui, xrp and most of the top ten coins in the market, is still in a better situation and the price is fluctuating at higher levels
After being rejected at 1.1983 and losing support at 0.7959, we experienced a sharp drop to 0.50, and this was the result of Trump and the US tariffs on other countries and caused panic in the market!
The buy trigger is still above 1.1983, but because it is in a better situation, I will give you a trigger for this coin in lower time frames, but I had said that selling below 0.7959 was a temporary sale and I do not have a trigger to exit at the moment!
📈 Daily Timeframe
But interesting things are happening on the daily time frame and we are still clearly at higher levels than other altcoins and if we have a trend change in the market itself, we can be careful for a long trigger sooner
After breaking 0.8204 and losing the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we experienced a Sharpe decline that also became high and I myself expected that after this volume we would go from volatility to forming a range box and this is also happening and we are forming a box of 0.6777 to 0.8204, but if today's daily candle closes like this, we will continue the downtrend!
The spot purchase trigger if we are in this space more in this box that I have specified for you will be after the break of 0.8204 or the formation of a higher ceiling and floor in this box, but your next exit trigger if you do not exit at 0.8204, if it breaks at 0.6777, it is recommended to exit or at least save profit!
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the four-hour time frame, the conditions of this coin are such that you can open both short and long positions, and it is one of the coins that you should have on your watchlist for this period and watch!
📈 Long Position Trigger
it is quite clear and after the break of 0.8204, I will open a futures position myself and it will probably be so that I continue to hold it and open it long-term
📉 Short Position Trigger
today's trigger was activated earlier and 0.7681, I opened a low-risk short position myself, but the main trigger after the break will be 0.6806 and try to have a short position before that break
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
How do i get access to chat? Here's a chart for SOLUSDTrying to get chat access. Here's a chart to show buying opportunity that I see for weekly SOLUSD chart. We're currently entering a long term support channel for SOLUSD, about 120-160. imo, it's a good channel to buy if you are bullish this year.
TELUSD Small technical correction before rise to 0.02850Telcoin (TELUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 08 2024 Low. The price has seen strong growth last week but is being corrected the past two days. Technically, this is a short-term pull-back within the long-term bullish trend.
In fact, based on the first phase of the pattern, this is the Re-accumulation stage, which in the past has followed the first rally after the main Accumulation Stage. As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) supports, we expect TEL to resume the uptrend and, similar to November 2024, complete the Bullish Leg on the 5.0 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 0.02850.
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TradeCityPro | JUPUSDT Is Solana the best dex?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together and analyze one of the best dexes of these days, Solana, which handles a high number of transactions and has relatively good performance, because I myself would like it to be one of the coins in my basket!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
We don't have many candles on the weekly time frame, and the reason is that this coin is new and its dex space, but being in this range box is also quite acceptable for this coin.
In the weekly box we are in, there is some sellers' pressure due to the higher selling volume, but since we are in the range box, it doesn't make much difference to us and we can take a position from whichever side it comes out.
To buy again now, after the box ceiling and 1.2535 break, even if you participated in its private sale, it makes sense to cash out some of your tokens and exit, but your main exit point after the break is 0.6951 and you can cash out!
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily time frame, we are still in the box range, but we were rejected earlier than the resistance of 1.2681 and are forming lower ceilings and are on the important support of 0.7903
What happened is that after we did not reach our main trigger spot, which was 1.2681, the events of the Trump and his wife's token launch occurred, which both increased the trading volume on these two tokens in this dex and caused fluctuations on this token that these fluctuations can be ignored!
We are on the important support of 0.7903 and this support will essentially be a trigger before the main support trigger and its precursor, and we can open short positions by breaking this level. For buying, the sellers' power is currently very high and we need a change in momentum, which we will update this analysis whenever it happens!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
MKRUSD: Channel Down bullish wave starting.Maker has just turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.979, MACD = -66.220, ADX = 40.770) as it hit the bottom of the 1 year Channel Down and bounced. The 1D RSI shows that we are on a similar rebound as on the October 25th 2024 bottom but needs to be validated by a crossing above the 1D MA50.
The two bullish waves before that have posted a price increase of +127.15%, so there is no reason to expect otherwise if the 1D MA50 is crossed. Be ready to go long (TP = 1,780).
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MGL/USDT THE RETURN TO $0,22 like PEPE DIDWill this coin have the unexpected recovery trend back to $0,22
There are TA signals showing that whales can enter this coin to back level $0,22 in the coming time.
This is an unknown coin.. our study depends purely on volume expecting.
We will follow this coin if it can build a cycle back.
This is a high-risk coin, but same time a high reward possibility.
The coin will become interesting when we have the first whale increase up 60%
Time will learn if what the TA shows now depending on volume can come.
We followed this coin for a long time until it did break down to the DIP point of now.
There are more chances in the market, never enter a coin depending fomo, only if it expects your plan.
BITCOIN Decoding the current consolidation. $112k to print soon.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating within roughly a 5000 range (100k - 94.1k) for the past 12 days. During all this time, it's been testing but never closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). There hasn't been a tighter consolidation of this duration in the past year and there is a technical explanation behind it.
The 3-month pattern has been a Channel Up and the last sub-1D MA50 consolidation before the current one, has been its previous bottom formation on its Higher Lows trend-line. The 1D RSI sequences between the two bottom fractals are so far identical and it appears that we are now on the way to complete Leg (f), which is the final step before a Double Bottom is formed. A new 1D MACD Bullish Cross may come as confirmation of the new Bullish Leg.
As a result, the market is close to its most optimal buy opportunity. Given that a 1.5 Fibonacci extension Target has been a fair expectation within this Channel Up, our medium-term Target on BTC after the new Bullish Cross would be $112000, which is still below the 1.5 Fib ext and very close to the top of the Channel Up.
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STORJ ANALYSIS📊 #STORJ Analysis : Update
✅There was a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart🧐
#STORJ tried to breakout the pattern but failed to sustain. Also there is an instant resistance zone and if #STORJ breaks the pattern then we could expect around $0.5300 level
👀Current Price: $0.3967
🚀 Target Price: $0.5300
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #STORJ price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#STORJ #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Bearish context holds. Pullback to 101-102KMorning folks,
A recent few sessions have rather narrow range, so we have little changes since our last discussion.
We have confirmed DRPO "Sell" pattern on weekly chart, so we keep bearish general view on BTC, with potential downside target around 80-81K. This also makes us to not consider any long positions. If even upside bounce will happen - we try to use this rally for short entry later.
Still for intraday traders, if you want to buy BTC, here is some thoughts. First is, and actually why we stay away from longs for now - take a look, after impressive jump BTC stands too long in sideways action. This is not good for bullish scenario.
Now it seems that something like "Cup" or reverse H&S pattern is still forming here. So if you finally will decide to buy - currently is the point where you have to make a decision on entry. Because BTC has to start upside action right now, right from this point or it will not start it at all and drop. We suggest that 101-102K is an area where it would be better to out.
I mark this update as bearish in a row with our major view, but as we've said 101-102 pullback is not excluded.