Bitcoin from 2014-2016 compared to the current Bitcoin chart.In comparison, we could be in roughly the same place as the 2016 cycle before Bitcoin does a parabolic break above the ascending trendline.
Cryptocurrency
TradeCityPro | MATIC(POL) Fresh Look at MATIC During Christmas👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze POL, formerly known as MATIC, due to your frequent requests. 😊
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting, let’s take a look at Bitcoin. In the 1-hour timeframe, it is currently fluctuating below the 98807 resistance. This resistance has been tested multiple times, indicating a high probability of breaking through.
It seems likely that Bitcoin dominance will increase along with this potential upward movement. Therefore, it might be better to either
Open a position on Bitcoin itself, Look for altcoins that show a bullish trend against Bitcoin and take triggers to open positions, Just make sure to watch out for Bitcoin’s low volume.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
MATIC, which once ranked well in the market, is now underperforming. The repeated blockchain hacks have caused significant damage to its ecosystem, leading to the rebranding from MATIC to POL.
MATIC could have remained among the top 10 coins, but poor project management caused DeFi activities and TVL to shift to platforms like Solana, SUI, and Base.
Personally, I wouldn’t consider buying MATIC unless its DeFi ecosystem becomes active again. For those interested in purchasing, buying above 0.7629 could be an option, but only if the volume increases for both the coin and its chain.
If you have been holding MATIC for some time, I suggest selling below 0.3636 in the weekly timeframe. On lower timeframes, I can suggest other exit points. Alternatively, you can use DeFi platforms to create USDT liquidity using borrow & lend mechanisms.
Note that MATIC faked the 0.3636 support and rebounded with a bullish engulfing candle, creating a new upward move. Personally, I might become interested in this coin after 1.2457.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
After bouncing from 0.2922, MATIC had a solid upward movement. However, most coins experienced similar trends, so it cannot be said that MATIC outperformed.
If the price doesn’t drop below 0.4738, it can be considered a sign of gradual recovery. This level is significant both from a Dow Theory and Fibonacci perspective. If 0.5794 resistance isn’t broken and the price gets rejected, there is a high probability of losing the 0.4738 support.
I recommend selling your holdings if the 0.4738 level breaks and you have purchased at higher levels. However, if your entry was at 0.3623 or lower, you can continue holding and exit risk-free.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe
MATIC is currently stuck below the 0.5316 resistance and fluctuates within the range of 0.4654 to 0.5316.
📈 Long Position Trigger
I would personally avoid this coin due to its low volume. However, after breaking 0.5316, you can open a risky long position if you’re comfortable with the risk. I’d still prefer to long Bitcoin instead.
📉 Short Position Trigger
given the weak condition of this coin, you can consider opening a short position below 0.4654. Keep in mind that your short trades should have quick profit-taking and small stop-losses to exit the market efficiently.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | GRT : Short-Term Uptrend with Volume Convergence👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In today’s analysis, I will review GRT for you. The Graph project is one of the key infrastructures of DeFi, with most projects like Uniswap and AAVE relying on this protocol for data extraction. This analysis is conducted in the daily timeframe.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Short-Term Uptrend with Volume Convergence
On the daily timeframe, the price was in an accumulation box and exited it after breaking above 0.2003. The strong buying volume has introduced upward momentum to the market.
🔍 Following the price increase and reaching the resistance at 0.3387, the coin corrected alongside Bitcoin and returned to the 0.2003 area.
✨ The price shadow touched the 0.618 Fibonacci level and, so far, has held well above 0.2003, forming a box between 0.618 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. I believe if the price stabilizes above 0.382, it can resume its upward movement and potentially break the resistance at 0.3387.
📈 Breaking 0.3387 is considered a risky trigger for spot purchases but seems like an excellent trigger for futures trading. If the RSI stabilizes again above 57.36, the market momentum will remain bullish, increasing the likelihood of breaking this resistance.
🛒 The next resistance, representing the high wave cycle, is at 0.4574 and is a significant trigger. Breaking this level in both spot and futures trading could offer a great position. It is crucial for volume to increase and market momentum to turn bullish as the price approaches this area.
✅ The first target for the movement, upon breaking 0.4574, is the resistance at 0.7443, which is suitable for spot trading. For higher targets, I will update the analysis later as the price reaches this resistance to determine further targets based on market conditions.
🔽 If a deeper correction occurs and 0.2003 is broken, the bullish momentum will be completely lost. The price will need to form a new structure within the box between 0.1319 and 0.2003. Breaking below 0.1319 would signal bearish momentum in the market, presenting an opportunity for short positions.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Bitcoin in 3Month time frameBitcoin in 3 month time frame, candle will be closed in few days, and just look at the clear break-out of the 69k resistance.
dont you expect to continue the rally in couple of months?
I believe so..
BNB thesis investment BNB Trading Thesis: Opening a Long Position
📊 Current Price: $707.00
🔍 Confidence Level: 75%
📈 Action: OPEN LONG
🔒 Stop Loss: $695.00
🎯 Take Profit: $800.00
🚪 Exit Point: $750.00
🔗 Correlation with BTC: Neutral (0.00)
1. Market Overview
Binance Coin (BNB) is currently priced at $707.00, presenting a compelling opportunity for traders. With a 75% confidence level, the analysis suggests a favorable environment for initiating a long position.
2. Rationale for Opening a Long Position
Neutral Correlation with Bitcoin: BNB's neutral correlation with BTC (0.00) indicates that its price movements are independent of Bitcoin's volatility. This diversification can be advantageous in mitigating risk associated with Bitcoin's market fluctuations.
Technical Analysis: Recent price action shows strong support around the $700 mark, with upward momentum indicating potential for further gains. Key resistance levels suggest that a move towards $800 is achievable.
Fundamental Strengths: Binance continues to expand its ecosystem, introducing new services and partnerships that bolster BNB’s utility and demand. Increased adoption within the Binance Smart Chain (BSC) ecosystem can drive BNB’s value higher.
Market Sentiment: Positive sentiment driven by institutional interest and favorable regulatory developments supports the bullish outlook for BNB.
3. Risk Management
Stop Loss at $695.00: Positioned below a key support level to limit potential losses if the market moves against the trade. This provides a tight risk management strategy given the current price of $707.00.
Take Profit at $800.00: Targets a significant upside based on technical resistance levels and projected market growth, offering a substantial reward potential.
Exit Point at $750.00: Serves as a strategic point to secure profits or reassess the position if the market shows signs of slowing momentum before reaching the take profit level.
4. Position Sizing
Current Open Positions: With no existing long or short positions, the full capital allocation can be directed towards this trade without overlapping exposures.
Open Position Value: Starting with $0.00 allows for flexible capital deployment based on individual risk tolerance and portfolio size.
5. Conclusion
Given the 75% confidence level, neutral correlation with BTC, and robust support from both technical and fundamental factors, opening a long position on BNB at $707.00 with a stop loss at $695.00 and take profit at $800.00 is a strategically sound move. The exit point at $750.00 provides a balanced approach to securing profits while allowing for potential further gains.
📈 Trade Summary:
Entry: $707.00
Stop Loss: $695.00
Take Profit: $800.00
Exit Point: $750.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:1.42
🔮 Prediction Overview
With a 75% confidence level, the analysis suggests a bullish trend for BNB. Initiating a long position at the current price of $707.00 positions investors to potentially capitalize on upward momentum.
BTC LONG 25/12/24 - SHORT TERM VIEW This is a Bitcoin price chart with two potential upward price movement patterns marked.
Here’s a summary:
Current Price Level: The chart indicates Bitcoin is trading near $98,640, with resistance and support levels clearly marked.
First Pattern (Bullish Move): A potential price breakout towards the $102,650 level, continuing to the $105,230 level, following a bullish trend.
Second Pattern (Pullback and Recovery): A potential pullback near $95,770- 96,370 before rebounding and breaking higher to the same levels as the first pattern.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: $100,640, $102,640, and $105,230.
Support Levels: $96,370 and $95,770.
Structural Stop-Loss Level: $93,500 for all long trades, as indicated by the "VIEW FAILURE" note.
Technical Indicators:
The chart displays moving averages 10 & 20, showing convergence near the current price, which may indicate the possibility of a trend continuation.
This suggests a focus on potential upward movements while managing downside risk with a clear stop-loss level.
This is my view - Trade at your own risk !
Arbitrum | 1D analysis- Arbitrum Daily Timeframe Analysis with Fundamental Analysis
In addition to the pre-launch record of $4 billion in TVL , Arbitrum has a perfect future based on its data and activities !
- After the start and launch of the Arbitrum Nitro update, the price can increase by up to + $50 due to its scalability capabilities as well as the masterpiece architecture of the Nitro blockchain.
ETH/USD Main Trend Pamp/Dump Cycles. Accumulation/distributionThe time frame is 1 month. The graph is logarithmic. The main trend is almost entirely from May 2016 (the network was launched on July 30, 2015). Then the “hacking” story and a fork in ETC (initial) and ETH (more centralized).
A week later, ETH will become even more centralized and no longer a cryptocurrency (a true understanding of what a cryptocurrency is). In a year or two, there will be no cryptocurrencies left. No decentralization, complete centralization (substitution of concepts, to achieve the goal).
Coin in coinmarketcap: Ethereum (ETH)
The graph shows accumulation zones and distribution zones. These are not lows and highs. Notice how the percentage of the average of the smart money set and reset prices differs from the percentage of the maximum lows and highs that the “dumb money” is so chasing. Potential lows and highs may need to be considered, but the basic work should focus on average values of the accumulation and distribution.
Here's how this main (long-term trend) looks like on a line chart without “market noise”.
1 cycle of the secondary trend.
The accumulation zone after the distribution started at -92.69
Before the exit from the accumulation and the reversal, it reset at -69%.
It is up to you to use it or just watch from the side. You should always keep it in mind.
Linear chart (trend direction without market “noise”)
Note that the super reset of -69% before the trend reversal on the line chart is simply not visible. This is all local fear for capitulation of “weak hands”.
So at such times you can use it or watch from the sidelines if you feel you are the “weak link”.
Even larger scale between the two cycles.
cycle 2 of the secondary trend Now.
The cycle is now on a larger scale. Note that the price is now down from the high of -82%
Linear graph.
Local secondary trend work now ahead of Paris.
ETH/USD Secondary Trend (part). Pivot zones. Channel. Paris
XLM Falling Wedge Could Rise 135% to .95 On Bullish Break!Here I have COINBASE:XLMUSD on the Daily Chart.
Low - .089449
High - .63445
Since the High, Price has been forming a Falling Wedge where we see Price Retraced to the Golden Ratio Zone @ .31339 where it tested the Falling Support then to find more Support at the 50% Fibonacci Level to now be currently Testing the Falling Resistance!
If Price can generate a Bullish Break and continue finding Support, then I believe the prior 608% Price Increase we saw over November, could suggest a Potential 135% Price Increase to the .95 - $1 Area on a Bullish Break!!
Indicators:
-RSI Above 50
-BBTrend Printing Green Bars
-Bullish Volume Building
XRP Poised for Sideways Ahead of Potential Breakout (XRPUSDT)XRP seems likely to move sideways for another couple of months, forming a handle following the completion of a cup pattern. The appropriate point for the next significant move could be around the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone. Notably, XRP has already broken out on the monthly chart, adding further strength to its bullish potential.
TradeCityPro | RONUSDT Possible Market Movement During Christmas👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s examine another coin at the end of 2024, analyze its triggers, and set alarms to stay alert before the market moves.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, before starting the analysis, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Today, we had a good upward wave toward the 99079 resistance with strong volume, but the 1-hour candle got rejected, emphasizing the importance of this resistance.
As long as we stay above 96403, I will try to go long after breaking 99079 to follow the potential upward trend with lower risk. If Bitcoin dominance also turns red, I’ll use the 99079 trigger as a confirmation for altcoin trades.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, RONUSDT is one of the bullish coins in the market. It performed well in 2023, climbing from a low of 0.405 to a peak of 4.264 with strong green candles.
After forming this peak, it started its correction, and after touching 1.434, it created a support level. It briefly dipped below it, rebounded, and moved to the 2.305 resistance, which highlighted the importance of this level.
The higher low for 2024 at 1.434, which coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci level, suggests that if it breaks its peak at 4.264, we could target - 6.548 - 9.37 - 15.64
If you are holding this coin, I suggest taking profits and removing your initial capital. If the weekly candle closes below 1.434, sell your holdings. For those who don’t hold, 2.305 and 4.265 are great triggers.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, after being rejected from the 2.354 resistance (the top of the range), it returned to the midline, where it created a good candle and bounced upward. If it moves toward 2.354, it may create a higher low.
After breaking 2.354, if you missed the entry, you can make a riskier buy based on the current low being formed and hold for the mid-term.
If you entered inside the range due to FOMO, I suggest exiting if the 1.353 support breaks. Don’t hold onto a coin emotionally.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’ve finally formed a structure, and early triggers for movement can be identified. This setup is worth risking one stop-loss attempt.
📈 Long Position Trigger
after breaking 2.074, enter early with confirmation from volume increase, RSI breakout, and overbought conditions.
📉 Short Position Trigger
while I’m not focused on these, if a lower high forms or we get rejected at 2.074, the 1.827 trigger becomes significant for a risky short position. Remember to secure quick profits.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Cardano : On the Way to a New ATH👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will review the ADA coin for you. The Cardano project is one of the major projects in the crypto space and has been among the top 10 coins by market cap for a long time.
📅 Weekly Timeframe: Moving Towards ATH
In recent weeks, ADA has shown a strong upward trend, forming significant lows that serve as support levels for the price.
📈 Currently, the price is struggling with the resistance level at 1.2046, and if this level is broken, the next major resistance will be the ATH.
🧩 The RSI oscillator entered the overbought zone during the price pump, reaching 82.87, and is now in a corrective phase, moving below the overbought level.
📊 The buying volume in recent candles has been substantial, supporting the trend and showing convergence.
🔽 In case of a correction, the first support level is at 0.7683, which the price has already reacted to once. If a deeper correction occurs, the last support for this bullish leg is at 0.4322.
✅ The primary support levels are 0.3166 and 0.2427, which are critical and unlikely to be easily lost.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BTC/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that after our previous analysis, the price surged to $108,400 before experiencing a sharp decline, correcting down to $92,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $93,800. If the price manages to stabilize above the $90,600 to $92,300 range, we could anticipate further growth for this cryptocurrency. This analysis will be updated.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin in raising channelAs bitcoin is moving inside this raising channel , after it broke the middle trendline to the upside now its back testing that. more likely another leg to the upside coming soon..
ALTCOINS Relentless alt season started after Christmas.This is the crypto total market cap excluding the top 10 of crypto and the 3 charts show the price action around the Christmas day of the last three Cycles. This is best to be kept simple. The months leading to Christmas are normally either correction or accumulation phases. What followed straight after Christmas in 2020 and 2016 was a relentless rally. Given that the altcoin market just tested the 1D MA50 and is rebounding, historically we can see a similarly aggressive rally as soon as January 1st 2025. Especially considering that the 1D RSI got bearish at 40.000 and rebounded immediately. The market can technically reach as high as 2 Trillion in capitalization during this run.
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AVAX/USDTI think the path ahead for the AVAX looks like this.
This is just one of the many possibilities before us.
HIVE ANALYSIS📊 #HIVE Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a breakout and currently retesting the major resistance zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a confirmation of breakout
👀Current Price: $0.3480
🚀 Target Price: $0.4788
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #HIVE price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#HIVE #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
The ₿itcoin Strategic Playbook: Timing Crypto Market CyclesWhy 4 Years Matters: The Confluence of Cycles
Markets move in cycles: periods of growth and contraction, driven by psychology, supply/demand, and macroeconomic forces.
Two major cycles intersect in the cryptocurrency market:
Bitcoin Halving Cycle: A predictable event every 4 years, reducing Bitcoin's supply. Historically, prices surge in the months following.
US Election Cycle: Presidential elections occur every 4 years, influencing fiscal policy, monetary policy, and investor sentiment.
The strategy leverages the intersection of these cycles for precision timing.
Interplay Between Cycles
Historically, Bitcoin halving’s and US elections have occurred in the same year, creating a "perfect storm" for market volatility and opportunity.
Example: The 2020 halving coincided with the US election, followed by a historic bull market.
This alignment reflects how macroeconomic events can amplify crypto trends, rather than being purely coincidental.
Fundamentals Behind the Halving Cycle
What is Bitcoin Halving?
Bitcoin halving reduces the block reward miners receive by half, occurring approximately every 210,000 blocks (~4 years).
This built-in scarcity impacts Bitcoin’s supply, historically leading to price increases post-halving.
Why It Matters
Historical Trends:
2012: Halving triggered a bull run peaking in 2013.
2016: Halving triggered the 2017 bull market.
2020: Halving led to the 2021 price surge.
Each halving decreases new Bitcoin supply while demand continues to grow.
Altcoins: Following Bitcoin's Lead
Bitcoin’s dominance often peaks post-halving as it leads the market rally.
During the bull phase, altcoins typically follow Bitcoin's lead, offering higher growth potential.
The Role of Elections
Macroeconomic Impacts
Election years bring uncertainty about future policies, creating market volatility.
Policies on inflation, interest rates, and technology affect both traditional and crypto markets.
Why It Aligns with the Halving
The convergence of halving-induced optimism and election-driven uncertainty amplifies market movements.
Example: 2020 saw the halving, COVID-19 stimulus, and election uncertainty, setting the stage for Bitcoin’s explosive growth.
How the Strategy Plays Out
Start at the Bottom (Accumulation):
Look for signs of market capitulation (e.g., extreme fear in sentiment indices, low volume, prolonged price stagnation).
Use indicators like RSI divergence to identify oversold conditions.
Build positions gradually, focusing on projects with solid fundamentals.
Ride the Markup Phase (Bull):
Hold positions as prices rise, following the trend.
Adjust exposure based on market conditions but avoid selling too early.
Exit at the Top (Distribution):
Watch for euphoric sentiment (e.g., excessive media coverage, speculative mania).
Use tools like Fibonacci extensions, volume analysis, or the Fear & Greed Index to identify when to take profits.
Survive the Markdown Phase (Bear):
Avoid buying into dips during the crash.
Preserve capital for the next accumulation phase.
Source: Bitcoin Liquid Index: BNC:BLX
TradeCityPro | FLOKIUSDT How to Profit from Meme Coins?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s delve into days where the market might go quiet due to Christmas and New Year, focusing more on educational topics and identifying potential triggers for future movements.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, let’s, as always, take a quick look at our dear Bitcoin . It seems Bitcoin currently has no intention of letting go of its downward correction, and we are witnessing red candles.
This is natural, as companies are closing their annual financial reports, making capital outflows logical. However, the major whales are still buying.
Bitcoin dominance has finally registered a lower high on the daily time frame. At the same time, Bitcoin dominance is falling as Bitcoin itself prints red candles, indicating that more Bitcoin is being sold in the market. In any case, some money is leaving the crypto market.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, FLOKI, a trending meme coin in the crypto market, started its new primary trend after breaking the significant resistance level of 0.00004027. Following a 580% pump, it formed resistance at 0.0002794.
Currently, this popular meme coin has been fluctuating in its 55% range box for around 300 days, with support at 0.00011068 and resistance at 0.00027948.
If you purchased FLOKI at lower price levels, it’s recommended to withdraw your initial capital and effectively make this coin “free” for yourself while engaging in another project.
If you’ve bought within the range box for any reason, after the weekly candle closes below the 0.00011068 support, it’s suggested to exit the position.
Why I Avoid Buying in the Range Box ? As I’ve previously mentioned, I don’t buy within range boxes. I prefer not to tie up my capital in a coin or market that isn’t yet mature, even though we have capital and risk management strategies. For instance, during these 300 days, I could have invested in coins like SUI instead of FLOKI.
For a new entry into FLOKI, the best trigger is after breaking 0.0002794. Once this level is broken and supported by sufficient trading volume, FLOKI could experience significant growth.
Using Fibonacci retracement from its 2023 lows, FLOKI has already corrected to the 38% level. Upon breaking the top of the range box, it could potentially reach the following targets: - 0.0005055 - 0.0007638 - 0.001289
Unfortunately, there’s a widespread misconception about market cap among many individuals. For example, if a meme coin like FLOKI were to reach the level of Dogecoin or Shiba Inu, its market cap must be taken into account. For instance, if Shiba were to hit $1, its market cap would need to be $90 trillion—an unrealistic scenario, especially when the entire gold market cap is $17 trillion.
This doesn’t mean the prices of such coins will never increase again, but those 10,000% returns are unlikely to return. Coins like FLOKI need to enhance their utility and add more features to achieve significant price growth, instead of being mere jokes or internet trends.
If you’re chasing high returns, avoid coins ranked in the top 100 by market cap. Instead, explore coins ranked closer to 1000, even though they carry higher risks. In your portfolio, you can allocate 5-10% to riskier meme coins. As one friend put it, "A true meme coin can make profits even with $10 :))))))
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
AAVE Scalping Strategy Recommendation Amid High 1. Restate the Key Data Points
Action: HOLD_BUY (indicating a bullish stance).
Stop Loss: $320.00.
Take Profit: $350.00.
Entry Price: $328.07.
Current Price: $336.64.
Exit Point: $336.64.
BTC Correlation: -0.85 (strong negative correlation).
Confidence Level: 75%.
2. Short-Term Forecast
Price Momentum:
Since the current price is above $336, the market appears to be trending in favor of the long position.
The thesis suggests holding the position (HOLD_BUY), expecting the price to continue rising toward $350.
Risk Analysis:
Downside is capped at the stop-loss of $320.
If price volatility remains moderate, the chance of being stopped out near $320 is reduced.
Impact of Negative Correlation with BTC:
If Bitcoin falls, this asset might rise (given the negative correlation).
If Bitcoin rallies, watch for potential downward pressure on the current position.
3. Medium-Term Outlook
Possible Consolidation Around $336–$340:
Price may hover in a narrow range before breaking toward $350 or dipping back to the $328–$330 region.
Adjusting Stop-Loss:
If the price stabilizes above $336.64, a slight upward adjustment of the stop-loss (to slightly above $328) could secure more of the unrealized profit.
Confidence Level at 75%:
Overall prospects favor continued upward movement.
Reassess rapidly if there is a major shift in market sentiment or BTC correlation.
4. Conclusion & Prediction
Likely Outcome:
Continued bullish movement toward the $350 take-profit target.
If the market remains stable and BTC correlation continues as is, reaching $350 is plausible.
Main Risk:
A sudden BTC price surge (inverse correlation could trigger negative movement for this asset).
Maintain vigilance around key market announcements or unexpected volatility.
Actionable Summary:
Hold the current long position with a view toward $350.
Monitor correlation events closely—sharp BTC moves can flip the trade’s direction.
Protect profits by adjusting stop-loss if the price solidifies above $336.64.
Final Predictive Note
Based on the data and the 75% confidence, the short-to-medium term prediction is a gradual climb toward the $350 level, barring any sudden volatility spikes or drastic BTC movements.
BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends.
The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg.
** The Fibonacci Channel Up **
Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021.
As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle.
** The Phases and the high symmetry **
Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range.
As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did.
** Will we test the 1D MA100? **
But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top.
Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid).
** The remainder of the Bull Cycle **
Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000.
So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have.
What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bullish tendency is broken 101-102K for sellingMorning folks,
So, BTC was not able to stay above predefined support area and drop right back to the daily 92-95K level. It means that existing bullish context on daily chart is done. In general, this is reasonable - we're going to the Xmas Holidays and inauguration. There are a lot of uncertainty with coming D. Trump policy. Especially when JPowell said that the Fed doesn't intend to own any BTC... so inner conflict is ready.
So, retracement might be deeper in nearest month. Since BTC is overextended down a bit, the first thing we expect upside technical bounce, somewhere to 101-102K area. Then, if we're correct in our analysis, downside reversal should happen with potential H&S pattern.
Fartcoin/UsdtBITGET:FARTCOINUSDT
🚨 **Fartcoin Price Update**:
Currently, **Fartcoin** is holding support at **0.4000** and **0.4764**. These levels are crucial for the price to stay above in order to maintain its momentum. 📉
⏳ **Wait for Retest**:
If you're interested in trading, it might be wise to wait for a **retest** of these support levels. If the price holds at these levels and doesn’t fall through, it could be a good entry point. 📊
🔮 **Future Resistance Levels**:
Once Fartcoin tests and confirms support, we can look out for **resistance levels** to be posted later, similar to how **Degen Coin** behaves. 🚀 These resistance levels will be important to monitor as the price moves upward. 📈
⚠️ **Not Financial Advice**:
Remember, this is not financial advice, just sharing insights. Always do your own research before making any decisions. 💡
