RENDERUSD Bottom accumulation almost over. Don't miss this buy.Render (RENDERUSD) has been consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for 3 months (since the week of July 29). This is the technical accumulation pattern that the token has gone through on every market bottom (green arc) in the past two years.
The 1W RSI has broken and been trading above its MA trend-line for the past 6 weeks, which is the first bullish sign and an indication that the current accumulation is almost over (similar to previous two bottom formations).
As a result, we expect an aggressive bullish break-out soon, the 3rd major rally towards the 2-year Higher Highs trend-line. Our Target is at least $45.00 (+300% more than the previous one).
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Cryptocurrency
Phemex Analysis #31: Is SOL Ready for a Breakout?PHEMEX:SOLUSDT.P has exhibited a steady upward trajectory, climbing from $138 to $179 in October. This surge has ignited anticipation among investors, with many predicting a resurgence of the Solana bull run. To capitalize on this potential, it's crucial to identify key support and resistance levels that could significantly influence SOL's price movement.
1. Strong Resistance Zone: $181 - $193
This price range has acted as a formidable barrier in the past, rejecting price increases on May 21st and July 30th. If Solana can successfully break through this resistance zone, it could pave the way for a continuation of the uptrend, potentially driving the price towards $210. Traders might consider entering long positions at this breakout point and taking profits around $210, or holding for further gains.
However, there's also a risk of rejection at this resistance level. If the price plummets sharply with a large red candle, it could signal a potential downturn, leading to a drop towards the support zones.
2. Intermediate Support Zone: $140 - $126
If Solana encounters resistance at the $181-$193 zone, traders might consider shorting the asset with a take-profit target at the intermediate support zone. For long-term holders, buying the dip at this support zone during a potential retracement could be a strategic move.
3. Strong Support Zone: $105 - $93
While this is the least likely scenario, it's essential to be prepared for a potential drop to the strong support zone. However, given Solana's growing fundamental strength, with more projects onboarding the Solana blockchain and the anticipation of a Solana ETF, a significant price decline seems less probable.
Conclusion
Solana's price action is influenced by key support and resistance levels. By carefully analyzing these zones, traders can make informed decisions about when to enter and exit positions. While the bullish sentiment surrounding Solana is strong, it's crucial to maintain a balanced perspective and be prepared for potential market volatility.
Tips:
Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
XRP Price Analysis: Potential 20% Drop Amid Key Support LevelsXRP is currently trading within a box pattern, with a lower high suggesting a higher probability of a downside breakout. If the crucial support level of $0.5213 is lost, there is a 20% potential drop in price, targeting $0.4164. If you are holding XRP, you might consider selling, or alternatively, you could take a short position upon a clear break of the $0.5213 level. Given the importance of this support, a sharp decline is expected if it breaks. Keep an eye on this critical zone for any significant moves.
XRPUSD Will it repeat the November 2020 break out?XRPUSD is trading under a Falling Resistance since July 2023.
For the past 3 months the price has been consolidating.
This is an identical price action to what produced the November 2020 bullish break out above the Falling Resistance.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.9750 (Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1w) is also forming a sequence simiarl to October 2020.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
BTCUSD: This is just a huge Bull Flag on the way to 200kBitcoin just turned borderline bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 57.457, MACD = 2355.100, ADX = 20.299), which is very positive long term as the buyers are making their presence felt for the first time since March. Supported by the 1W MA50, it is a huge development that the 1W MACD has formed a Bullish Cross. The same set of formations occurred in April 2020. We believe the two patterns to be similar and this makes the 7 month Megaphone just a mid Cycle Bull Flag. The 2020 pattern peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If that is replicated, then Bitcoin can break 200k by the end of 2025 (TP = 215,000).
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BTC INTRADAY ANALYSISBTC/USDT Technical Analysis Intraday
Date: 10/24/2024
Author: Crypto Rado ( Rhino Aka Bear )
Timeframe: 1H & 15M
🔹 Overview:🔹
After completing the fifth wave in the Elliott Wave count, Bitcoin made a significant breakout of the green trendline. This move was followed by a bounce, confirmed with a bullish divergence on the 1H timeframe. The price reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, where a bearish divergence formed on the 15M chart, leading to a rejection.
Typically, after such a move, we expect a retest of the broken trendline or a support/resistance flip, where the previous resistance should now turn into support. This area aligns with the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level from this recent pump, making it a key confluence zone for a potential entry.
🔹 The entry zone 🔹 is set between $66,250 and $66,000, with a stop-loss positioned at the previous low. If this setup holds, it could form a hidden bullish divergence, signaling continuation upward.
🔹The target price 🔹is set between $67,900 and $68,260, providing a solid profit zone for this trade. Given that the risk-to-reward ratio is moderate, I’ll be reducing my risk to generate quick gains and fund future trades with less exposure.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital.
Not hurry up with a new longMorning folks,
So, Monday's setup is done perfect, we've got long entry around 66K support area as we've planned. But next step currently is not evident.
The point is that the retracement starts across the board - DXY, FX, Gold, Bonds etc... BTC in recent few weeks had a bit special performance. And mostly it was moving higher on D. Trump crypto programme.
Currently we wouldn't hurry up with a new long entry. Those who bought around 66K could keep positions with breakeven stops.
BTC/USDT UpdateBTC/USDT Technical Analysis Update
Date: 10/24/2024
Author: Crypto Rado ( Rhino aka Bear )
Timeframe: 1H & 4H
🔹 Overview:🔹
Bitcoin has successfully hit the $65.4K target, as expected, and has since bounced with a bullish divergence on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a potential short-term momentum reversal.
🔹 Key Levels:🔹
Resistance Zone: $68K–$68.5K (Aligns with the 0.615–0.786 Fibonacci retracement on 1H)
Support Zone: $65.4K (Breakdown level)
Point of Control (POC): $67.3K (Volume-driven key level)
🔹 Scenarios: 🔹
Bearish Case: A confirmed breakdown below $65.4K could drive the price towards $63.7K and $62.6K, with larger downside targets at GETTEX:48K to $40K if bearish momentum continues.
Bullish Case: If Bitcoin breaks above $69.8K, the next major upside targets are between $100K and $110K, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.
For now, the market structure appears corrective rather than fully bearish, and I will wait for clearer price action before making further trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice. All information is for educational purposes only. Conduct your own research and understand the risks before making any trades.
BITCOIN This 1D Golden Cross can push it to the ATH ($73800).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of a major bullish formation as most likely by next Monday, it will form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first such formation since October 29 2023. As we've analyzed before, it is no coincidence that exactly 1 year later a new 1D Golden Cross emerges as seasonality and long-term Cycles play a pivotal role for BTC.
On top of that, the price made a major re-test (and so far bounce) at the top of the former Channel Down that broke upwards last week. If this re-test holds, it is the best short-term signal for a new High. In fact the price has been making Higher Highs since the August 05 bottom, forming a double Channel Up pattern, and those Higher Highs are the reason why the market got behind this rally and supported it to break above the 7-month Channel Down.
So the Higher Highs along with the 1D Golden Cross are the bullish combination that the market needs to look (much) higher. The first technical target now is naturally the 73800 All Time High (ATH). It is very possible to see it get tested by the election day.
But what do you think? Do you expect the ATH to break aggressively after the elections, just like the October 2023 1D Golden Cross did? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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KASPA - IT'S ABOUT TIME TO MOVE IN UPTREND (TA + TRADE PLAN)Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Current Price: $0.133
Rising Wedge Formation:
Resistance Line: The upper green line represents the resistance level, which is slightly inclining upwards.
Support Line: The lower green line forms the support for this wedge. This support level is also inclined upward but at a slightly steeper angle than the resistance.
Pattern Interpretation: The rising wedge pattern, as observed in the chart, is typically a bearish reversal pattern. However, given the overall crypto market volatility, a breakout in either direction is possible.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the support level would confirm a bearish trend, potentially leading to lower lows.
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the resistance, it could invalidate the wedge pattern and indicate a bullish breakout.
VMC Cipher B Indicator:
This oscillator shows wave momentum, with the darker blue shading indicating downward momentum at present.
Current Signal: Mixed with a potential trend shift. A continuation of negative momentum would reinforce the bearish wedge breakdown scenario.
RSL (Relative Strength Level) Indicator:
The current RSL value is 51.83, indicating neutral territory. This suggests no strong trend is currently dominating but could indicate either upward or downward movement depending on further price action.
Stochastic Indicator:
Stochastic RSI stands at 41.60, which is in the lower-mid range, signaling the asset is neither oversold nor overbought. This neutral stance suggests a wait-and-see scenario for the breakout.
HMA (Hull Moving Average):
The Hull Moving Average histograms are slightly positive, showing marginal bullishness. However, the movement is not aggressive enough to signal a strong upward trend as of now.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $0.135 - $0.138
Support: Approximately $0.131 - $0.130
Psychological Support: The $0.130 zone is a critical psychological support. Breaking below this would signal a more significant sell-off.
Indicators Summary:
Momentum: Slightly negative to neutral (VMC Cipher B).
Strength: Neutral, with room for movement either way (RSL 51.83).
Stochastic RSI: Suggests no strong overbought or oversold signals (41.60).
Trading Plan:
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Entry: If the price breaks and sustains above $0.135, it indicates a bullish breakout from the rising wedge.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.145 (first resistance level).
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.155 (potential swing high).
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the wedge’s lower support at $0.130 to manage risk.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
Entry: If the price breaks below the support at $0.130, it signals a bearish move.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.125 (first support level).
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.115 (next significant support).
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss above the wedge's upper resistance at $0.135.
Risk Management:
For both bullish and bearish setups, adhere to a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.
Adjust stop-loss and take-profit based on market volatility and personal risk tolerance.
The rising wedge pattern indicates caution, as it is historically a bearish reversal formation. However, confirmation of either a bullish breakout or bearish breakdown will guide trading decisions. Momentum indicators and oscillators suggest neutrality, indicating that this wedge could break either way soon. Traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals and place stop-losses to protect against unexpected volatility.
ETHEREUM: This is how it can reach 2900.Ethereum is trading inside a Channel Up since September 06 and today's correction came very close to its bottom.
The 4h RSI turned 23.50, extremely oversold, which is the level it hit on October 02, close to the previous bottom.
Even if the price drops some more, this is still a low risk/ high return buy opportunity.
Buy and target 2900 for a new Higher High on the Channel Up.
Relevant chart:
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BTCUSD approaching a very strong support zone.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Up pattern, which since Monday is correcting.
We are already below the MA50 (4h).
The previous correction found the first support on the MA200 (4h), just over the 0.5 Fib. It then broke slightly below it for the final bottom of the pattern.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the MA200 (4h).
Targets:
1. 71500 (just under the -0.236 Fib extension, like the October 21 High).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) provides the most efficient buy signal on its Rising Support trendline, which started on the August 5th Low. If its crosses below its MA, then reserve one final buy for the Rising Support.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Buy and Hold: $MIGGLES Set for a Breakout with Strong Structure!$MIGGLES looks like a typical basing pattern—just buy and forget.
I’m currently buying small amounts, nothing generous until it breaks the trendline and gives me a validated weekly trend with time@mode.
The levels are marked as possible take profit areas, but the most important factor is the structure.
ATOM ANALYSIS📊 #ATOM Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern in daily chart with a breakout of Descending Channel. But there is an instant resistance zone.🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after the confirmation of breakout of the pattern
👀Current Price: $4.800
🚀 Target Price: $6.580
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ATOM price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ATOM #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
ETH BROADER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND TRADE PLANPrice Movement
The chart shows that Ethereum (ETH) has been moving within a descending trading channel after an earlier uptrend. The channel is well-defined by a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The descending channel extends from around early 2024 and continues through the current period. The price seems to be consolidating after bouncing from the lower boundary of the channel.
Current Price Action
Ethereum is currently trading at $2,582.26, down by 1.50% at the time the chart was captured.
The recent movement shows a potential double bottom near the lower channel support, signaling a possible end of the downtrend.
The price is at a critical juncture, as it appears to be breaking out of the short-term resistance within the channel, hinting at a possible reversal or continued sideways movement.
Descending Channel Structure
The chart highlights a descending trading channel where price has respected the upper resistance and lower support levels multiple times, indicating the reliability of this structure.
The channel also shows that while Ethereum is in a corrective phase, it still holds the potential for a significant bullish breakout if the current trend continues.
Technical Indicators:
Waveform Cipher shows a potential bullish divergence at recent price lows, which indicates momentum for a potential upward move.
ASL (Advanced Stochastic Line) and HMA Histogram show mixed signals, but the overall sentiment from these indicators points toward a bullish setup in the coming days.
Stochastic RSI suggests that Ethereum is currently in an oversold condition, increasing the likelihood of a rebound.
The technical setup with momentum indicators and divergences indicates a potential for a price breakout upward, possibly leading toward the top of the channel.
Price Targets:
Immediate Resistance: The next resistance level is located around $2,750 - $3,000, near the mid-point of the channel.
Upper Channel Boundary: The top of the channel is situated near $4,000, a key psychological and technical resistance level.
If ETH breaks above this channel, the next major target would be $4,250 - $4,500, indicating a full recovery of the downtrend and a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Support Levels:
$2,400 is acting as immediate support, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
If Ethereum breaks below this level, the next major support lies near $2,200 - $2,000, which is a strong historical support zone.
Trading Plan for Ethereum (ETH)
Current Market Position:
Given the technical analysis, Ethereum appears to be at a critical level within the descending trading channel, with the potential for a bullish breakout. The recent consolidation near the support line suggests an opportunity for a medium-term bullish trade.
Entry Strategy:
Buy Zone: Enter a long position between $2,550 - $2,600, once confirmation of a bullish reversal or breakout is evident (preferably on increased volume or further confirmation from momentum indicators like RSI/Stoch).
Risk Management: Place a stop-loss at $2,400, which is slightly below the channel support and key psychological level. This mitigates downside risk in case of a bearish breakdown.
Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $2,750 - $3,000 – This is the mid-point resistance of the channel. Partial profits should be taken here, securing gains while allowing the remaining position to run.
Second Target: $3,500 - $3,750 – Full break of the channel with increased momentum can take ETH to this level. This is a key level to exit most of the position or lock in more profits.
Stretch Target: $4,000 - $4,200 – Ultimate price target based on the potential bullish reversal. If price approaches this level, full profit-taking is advisable as it would hit the channel’s upper boundary and a significant resistance area.
Alternative Plan (If Breakdown Occurs):
Short Position: If Ethereum breaks below $2,400, consider shorting ETH with a target toward $2,200 - $2,000 as a corrective phase could push ETH lower. In this case, place a stop-loss at $2,500, just above the breakdown level.
Position Sizing:
Risk only a small portion of your capital (e.g., 1-2%) based on the calculated stop-loss level to ensure risk management and preserve capital in case of invalidation.
Ethereum is at a pivotal point within a descending trading channel. Current indicators suggest the possibility of a bullish breakout, but risks remain due to the general downtrend. The trading plan focuses on a conservative entry with clear stop-losses and take-profit levels to manage risk.
BITCOIN IS THE KING. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN!Falling Wedge Pattern: This pattern is a bullish reversal pattern typically seen in downtrends. It indicates that while the price is making lower highs and lower lows, the contraction of the wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum and a potential breakout to the upside.
Rectangle Trading Pattern: This is a continuation pattern where the price oscillates between parallel support and resistance levels. A breakout from this range generally indicates the direction of the next significant move.
In the provided chart, it appears Bitcoin is oscillating between a support and resistance line, forming a potential rectangle trading pattern. However, the falling wedge (marked with blue trend lines) is key to understanding a possible breakout scenario.
Indicators Analysis:
VMC Cipher B Divergences (Bottom Panel): This indicator suggests possible bullish divergences, where price makes lower lows but the indicator fails to follow, signaling potential upward momentum.
RSI (14 Close): RSI shows moderate momentum, not yet oversold or overbought, providing room for either direction but with a bias towards a potential bullish push considering the context.
Stochastic Oscillator: Currently in a neutral position but showing signs of turning upward, suggesting a near-term buying opportunity if the indicator crosses bullishly.
HMA+ Histogram: Displays a mixed sentiment, with red bars indicating bearishness, but a possible reversal to green (bullish momentum) could be forming soon.
Key Price Levels:
Support: The critical support level at around $63,800, visible on the chart, could serve as a strong buy zone if Bitcoin retraces.
Resistance: The rectangle’s upper boundary at approximately $72,000 - $75,000 is the key resistance level to break for a confirmed bullish trend continuation.
Potential Breakout:
The price action is currently at the upper limit of the wedge pattern, suggesting that a breakout is imminent. A bullish breakout could lead to a rally, potentially targeting the next psychological resistance around $80,000.
A bearish breakdown from the current wedge could retest lower support levels at $63,800 or even lower toward $60,000 in extreme cases.
Timing and Momentum:
The presence of the clock and plane icons in the chart might suggest an expectation of a sharp move in the near future, likely pointing towards increased volatility.
Time-sensitive action is expected soon, with a bias towards the upside given the current price position within the wedge and rectangle.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy
Bullish Scenario:
Buy Zone 1: Enter long on a confirmed breakout above $72,000, targeting $75,000 - $80,000.
Buy Zone 2: Alternatively, buy the dip near $63,800 (key support), if the price retraces, with a tight stop loss below $62,000.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $63,800, short positions could be considered with a target near $60,000, assuming no bullish reversal occurs.
Exit Strategy
Take Profit Levels:
For long positions, scale out at $72,000, $75,000, and $80,000.
For short positions, take profits in the $60,000 - $63,000 range.
Risk Management:
Set a stop loss just below key support levels (for long positions), such as $63,000, to limit downside risk.
For short positions, place a stop loss above $72,000, in case of a sudden bullish breakout.
Trade Duration:
Given the contracting wedge and the signals from the indicators, the trade could last from a few days to a couple of weeks, with high volatility expected soon.
Maximize profit opportunities in either direction while minimizing risk. Keep in mind to continuously monitor volume and volatility levels, as they could be decisive for breakout confirmation.
STXUSD is about to turn parabolic to $10.Stacks (STXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 26 2022 bottom. It is currently consolidating around the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), coming off a Higher Low rebound at the bottom of the pattern and on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This current sideways trading is highly symmetric with the start of the previous Bullish Leg, as it is trading just below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. At the same time, the 1W MACD has been on a Bullish Cross for a month now and the last time it formed a Bullish Cross (October 16 2023), was right after the previous Higher Low and before the 0.5 Fib consolidation.
Once the 0.5 Fib broke, the price aggressively rose on the Bullish Leg and formed a Higher High at the top of the Channel Up, right below the 2.0 Fib extension. As a result, we expect STX to reach at least $10.00 by the end of Q1 2025.
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RUNEUSD The 1D Golden Cross is the last buy opportunity to $38.THORChain (RUNEUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame. It will be the first since September 06 2023, which at the time was incredibly bullish for the crypto.
As you can see basically, the pattern since the March 13 2024 High is quite similar to the price action from February 08 2023 to the time of the first 1D Golden Cross. Both sequences started declining under Lower Highs trend-lines and once broken, the 1D RSI turned overbought while the price entered a consolidation phase inside a Triangle pattern.
On the September 06 2023 Golden Cross, that Triangle broke to the upside just a week later and 6 months later it completed a +1368.50% rise from the bottom, reaching almost $11.500.
As a result, we expect a similar bullish break-out to take place and the upcoming 1D Golden Cross could perhaps be the last opportunity to buy. If the price follows another +1368.50% rise pattern, then we may very will see RUNE at $38.000 at the end of it.
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Bitcoin is bullish HTF, but short TF correction inevitable
BTC closed last week above July weekly swing close 🔥 Multiple RSI on Month TF also shows bullishness, similar to what it had on March 2023 (after that BTC started it's bull run for ~278%). This chart is bullish, so whatever I write about pullbacks/dips, remember - I mean short term price action that is for buying.
Bitcoin dips to 65500-66500 and bounce back fast should be taken as a fast bullish scenario. That would allow to add more to longs in both BTC and alts. The zone for potential wicks is around 63.5-64.5k - not sure how high are the chances for such a dip, but since it will surely bring panic to the market, it is absolutely possible.
BTC/USDT Analysis - 4H TimeframeBTC/USDT Analysis - 4H Timeframe
Author: Rhino aka Bear ( Crypto Rado )
Date: 10/22/2024
🔹 Overview:
Bitcoin has reached the anticipated upper trendline, facing rejection at $69,800. A double bearish divergence on the 4H timeframe signals that this impulsive move has likely peaked. The price briefly broke above the previous high but quickly dropped by $3,000, landing on the monthly pivot point and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, leading to a small bounce.
🔹 Current Expectation:
I anticipate a retest of the $68,000–$68,500 zone before the downtrend continues toward $65,500–$65,000. This next key support area is reinforced by the 0.382 Fibonacci level, S1 pivot, and significant price action. The Simple Moving Average is also moving toward this zone, making it a confluence area of interest.
So far, the price has made an impulsive five-wave move downward, followed by a corrective ABC structure. Waves A and B appear complete, and we are likely in wave C, heading for the $68,000–$68,500 zone. If this zone fails, we may see a move towards $48,000, $44,000, or even $40,000. However, it's too early to confirm a full bearish reversal at this point.
🔹 Key Levels:🔹
Resistance Zone: $68,000–$68,500
TP 1: $65,500–$65,000
TP 2: $62.9 - 61.3k
Invalidation: 69.6k
Next Potential Targets (Bearish): $48,000 / $44,000 / $40,000
🚨 Disclaimer:🚨
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and assess the risks before trading.⚠️