Bitcoin technical analysis + trade planThe chart shows a clear falling wedge formation. This is a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upward breakout.
Price is nearing the wedge's apex, indicating that a breakout might be imminent.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$88,671.83 (near-term critical support)
$86,000.00 (strong psychological support)
Resistance Levels:
$95,497.11 (short-term resistance near breakout zone)
$108,329.96 (target resistance post-breakout)
Indicators:
VWMC Cipher B Divergences:
Bullish divergence appears on the indicator, aligning with the falling wedge's bullish potential.
RSI:
RSI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions, which often precede a rebound.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is oversold, suggesting incoming buying pressure.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic is in the oversold region (<20), showing high potential for a bullish reversal.
Market Sentiment:
Given the oversold indicators and bullish pattern, the market is primed for a potential upside movement. However, confirmation of the breakout is critical.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Enter long near the wedge's lower boundary (~$90,000), with a tight stop loss below $88,000.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a breakout above the wedge's resistance (~$96,000) and enter after confirmation with a retest of the breakout level.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stop-loss below the nearest support level:
Aggressive traders: $87,500
Conservative traders: $92,000 (post-breakout retest failure)
Profit Targets:
First Target: $108,329.96 (major resistance level post-breakout)
Second Target: $114,000 (psychological level, based on historical price action)
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio per trade.
Use position sizing to balance risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:3).
Monitoring
Volume: Ensure the breakout is accompanied by increased volume.
Candle Structure: A solid close above $96,000 validates the move.
Invalidation:
If the price falls below $88,000, the wedge pattern is invalidated, signaling further downside.
Alternative Scenario (Bearish):
If Bitcoin breaks below $86,000, expect a test of lower levels. Potential targets include $82,000 and $78,000.
Bitcoin is poised for a significant move. The falling wedge, oversold indicators, and strong support levels suggest an imminent bullish breakout. However, patience for confirmation is key to minimizing risk and maximizing gains. Adjust your strategy dynamically based on market conditions.
Cryptocurrency
BNBUSD Patience! One more month of consolidation before $2350.Binance Coin (BNBUSD) has been in Accumulation Mode since early March (March 11 1W candle), trading sideways within initially the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) Mean (black trend-line) and the 1st SD above (grey trend-line) and since July within the 1st SD above and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
With regards to the 1W MA50 in particular, not only has it been the support since the late December 2023 bullish break-out but was successfully tested and held on the most recent pull-back, the August 05 Low.
This solidifies its position as the Support throughout the remainder of the Bull Cycle, which was in fact also the case during the previous Cycle where BNB had the final accumulation phase (blue ellipse) from September to December 2020, again within the same MMB - 1W MA50 zone, which initiated the most aggressive part of the Cycle (parabolic rally). Check also how similar their RSI sequences are.
That rally peaked on the MM 3rd SD above (red trend-line) so a $2350 price tag, which will 'only' come close to the 2nd SD (orange trend-line), appears to be a realistic Target. So in conclusion, BNB investors need to have 1 more month of patience before they see a real rally, as it was on the week of February 01 2021 that BNB's Parabolic Rally started.
As a side-note, check how the Sine Waves serve as an excellent tool in roughly estimating the timing of the Cycle's peak, as it was very efficient during the previous two Cycles. That could be anywhere around June - July 2025.
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BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis 💰💰
🌟🚀In 8hr chart we can see a formation of "Rising Channel Pattern in #BTC. Right now we can see that there is an instant support level. We would see a pullback from support level.
🔖 Current Price: $96800
Target Price: $107500
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BTC. 🚀💸
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #DYOR #PotentialBreakout
Phemex Analysis #45: Pro Guide to Enter ENA - The DeFi Giant!Ethena Labs, the force behind the ENA token ( PHEMEX:ENAUSDT.P ), is making waves in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space. Its synthetic stablecoin, USDe, recently became the third-largest stablecoin by market cap, marking a milestone for decentralized finance. Adding to this success, Ethena introduced USDtb, a stablecoin backed by BlackRock’s USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL). This strategic partnership bridges the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and DeFi, offering a credible and secure platform for institutional investors to participate in the evolving digital asset space.
ENA holders stand to benefit significantly from these developments. As the native token of the Ethena ecosystem, ENA is central to governance, stability mechanisms, and incentives tied to USDe and USDtb. With a growing ecosystem and increased adoption, ENA’s value proposition continues to strengthen, presenting a compelling opportunity for traders and investors.
When to Enter ENA?
The market for ENA/USDT is dynamic, influenced by broader crypto trends, including Bitcoin’s price movements. Key support levels offer potential entry points for different risk appetites:
Weak Support: $0.90
This level might hold if Bitcoin maintains its current momentum. However, if Bitcoin drops to the $90,000 area, this support could break.
Medium Support: $0.79 & $0.68
These levels present a higher probability of entry and are ideal for traders seeking to accumulate ENA while managing risk effectively.
Strong Support: $0.60 & $0.50
If the market takes a bearish turn, these levels are likely where the price will stabilize, offering a safer entry for risk-averse investors.
Entry Strategy for ENA
1. Placing Entries Near Support Levels
Decide your risk tolerance and position accordingly:
• For aggressive traders, consider entering at higher support levels, such as $0.90 or $0.79.
• For risk-averse investors, place orders closer to $0.68 or the stronger supports at $0.60 and $0.50, though you may risk missing the entry if the price rebounds early.
2. Utilizing Scaled Orders on Phemex
Phemex’s scaled order feature is an excellent tool for entering positions.
For Example: If your target is the medium support range ($0.79-$0.68), set a scaled order to gradually accumulate ENA across this range. This approach minimizes risk while ensuring you don’t miss out entirely if the price rebounds from higher levels.
Conclusion
The recent positive developments surrounding ENA, including the success of USDe and the introduction of USDtb, highlight the token’s growing importance in the DeFi landscape. These innovations are likely to attract significant capital inflows, benefiting ENA holders as the ecosystem expands.
By carefully selecting entry points and employing strategies like scaled orders, traders can position themselves to capitalize on ENA’s growth potential while managing downside risk. Whether you are a high-risk investor targeting immediate support levels or a conservative trader waiting for deeper corrections, ENA presents a compelling opportunity to participate in the DeFi revolution.
Trade wisely and leverage these strategies to secure your place in the future of decentralized finance.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Cartesi (CTSI)Cartesi is an application-specific rollup execution layer with a Linux runtime. After CTSI made a double top, price entered a corrective phase, and the right leg of a harmonic pattern was made. Then price broke the downtrend line and it seems the next upward move has started. Let's see what happens.
SOLANA Are you ready for $385?Solana / SOLUSD has been underperforming since the November 22nd High, breaking even under the 1day MA50.
Even though this is not ideal (especially compared to the gains that Bitcoin shows), it isn't a situation that SOL hasn't faced before.
As you see it is repeating the post Channel Down correction of July-August 2023, which also crossed under the 1day MA50 but then recovered and rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension and beyond.
Buy and target $385.
Previous chart:
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TradeCityPro | MAGICUSDT Market Correction and Fear!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s take a look together at a so-called bloody day in the market, as some friends call it, with a quick glance at the chart to analyze the events and help you make more thoughtful decisions without acting on your emotions.
🌟 Bitcoin Overview
Before starting the analysis, as usual, let’s take a look at Bitcoin. On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is experiencing red candles with high volume, indicating that it is currently correcting on its higher timeframe.
However, this event is accompanied by an increase in Bitcoin dominance, leading to more significant altcoin sell-offs. Naturally, altcoins are seeing larger red candles and experiencing steeper declines. But does this mean that the trend is changing?
From my perspective, no, and as long as Bitcoin remains above $80,000, we are still bullish and have no reason to exit. These red candles are merely corrections, which are entirely natural, as the market hasn’t seen any significant profit-taking since Bitcoin broke above $73,000. Make logical decisions, and during a bull market, don’t sell your assets prematurely unless they hit your predefined levels.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, MAGIC broke out of its 112-day range and resistance at $0.4302, moving toward the $0.7130 resistance, almost matching the size of its previous range.
Typically, the risk-to-reward ratio of patterns leads to the formation of significant support or resistance levels, shaping collective decisions.
After facing rejection and forming a lower high, MAGIC broke below $0.5573 and returned to the weekly box and support at $0.4302, which can act as a strong support for slowing down the bearish momentum and reversing it.
Currently, bearish momentum remains strong, and I refrain from buying during declines. However, if the support fails or the RSI re-enters its range, this could serve as a trigger for entry. For now, I prefer to watch, and if there is a significant reversal candle, it will be a pleasant surprise due to the strong momentum, with my stop-loss level already defined.
These conditions occur in bull markets and are completely natural. So, avoid FOMO and don’t let your emotions guide your decisions.
Practice risk and capital management, follow the analyses, and define your levels. For example, as long as Bitcoin remains above $80,000, I won’t sell and will even look for entry triggers. Futures positions currently make little sense, but if you have any, be sure to take profits and avoid greed!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BTC Price Predictions for ATHBTC price is bouncing off of strong support at around the 96,600 range, and is likely to bounce back above 100k. It could take a while to consolidate and accumulate a while before heading up further. My prediction is price likely to approach all time highs around the first week of January.
BTCUSD: The phenomenal Fib power of +.618.Bitcoin quickly turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.454, MACD = 3285.300, ADX = 32.138) as in a matter of 24 hours it dropped from its 108,000 ATH back to below 100,000. As the price continues to grow, we should start getting used to those 10k violent price swings. Today though, we want to discuss an incredible finding, which we call ' the Fib power of 0.618'. It is this amazing pattern you see where Bitcoin, since its Nov 2022 bottom and subsequent Jan 2023 High, it has systematically targeted every +0.618 Fibonacci extension before pulling back.
1st TP was Fib 1.618, 2nd TP = Fib 2.168, 3rd TP = Fib 3.618. Natually this sequence targets next: 4th TP = Fib 4.618 (112,500), 5th TP = Fib 5.618 (173,500) and finally 6th TP = Fib 6.618 (265,000). Of course this assumes that the trend will follow the same fluid pattern, where the first of the Fib pairs has only a short consolidation (green Rectangle) leading to a fast rise to the second Fib, which has a long consolidation (blue Rectangle). This implies that we're currently inside a short consolidation an in April we should hit 112,500 (5th TP on Fib 5.618).
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TradeCityPro | Blur : Dynamic Support Holding👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will explore Blur, a gaming project, focusing on the daily timeframe to assess its current price action and potential scenarios.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Correction to Dynamic Support
On the daily chart, Blur has been following an ascending trendline that acts as a dynamic support, propelling the price upward after every interaction.
🔍 Recently, the price experienced a fake breakout below this dynamic support, which was quickly followed by increased buying volume and a surge in bullish momentum. As a result, Blur managed to break through the $0.2827 and $0.3314 resistance levels, climbing as high as $0.4438.
🔽 Currently, the price has corrected in two stages and returned to the $0.2827 level, which aligns with the dynamic support. The RSI, after breaking below the 50-level, has supported this deeper correction. If the dynamic support fails to hold and the price trend shifts, the primary support will be at $0.1464.
📈 If the resistance at $0.4438 is breached, the first target is $0.5539, a notable resistance level. The main target is $0.8077, the ATH, which doubles as a critical supply zone due to its significance in price history.
✨ The RSI lacks a clear bullish trigger currently, as no new structure has formed. However, if RSI confirms a bullish momentum resurgence and trading volume increases, the chances of breaking through $0.4438 will significantly improve.
🔑 Market Sentiment and Advice
The market is currently undergoing broad corrections, causing FOMO and uncertainty among traders. However, these pullbacks are natural and essential for sustaining the market’s broader uptrend.
💥 Here’s a reminder for effective trading during volatile times:
Avoid impulsive decisions driven by fear or greed.
Ensure risk and capital management is a priority. Proper management safeguards you from significant losses during corrections, preserving capital for long-term growth.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️ above.
EIGEN TREND DIRECTIOONAL CORRCTION CHANNEL as we can see in the chart eigen is in a trend directional BINANCE:EIGENUSDT is in a uprising channel if the current btc uptrend we can expect eigen to be the one of stronger assets i think everything is obvious enough in the chart i"ll be really thankful if you share your idea about this analysis and what you think about the current trend of the market
105K for possible short entryMorning folks,
So, BTC just perfectly completed our setup for this week, turning down precisely around 107.80K, where as butterfly as H&S pattern targets were completed and falling down to predefined 98-98.5K area... Now what?
Daily trend has turned bearish, so, nominally we have no reasons for longs at least on daily chart. And should wait for the bounce to resistance levels. Now 105K seems potentially interesting for short entry, if BTC will hold bearish trend.
On intraday chart current 98-98.5 Lows in fact is a last hope for the bulls. This is K-support area, trend line support. SO tactical bounce should happen here, and it is already underway.
Thus, for intraday traders, this level might be interesting for scalp long position.
Those who would like to sell should wait for the same upside bounce. And, some resistance area, say 105K. If BTC will keep going higher, then forget about shorts for some time.
So, daily traders should wait...
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago.
As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again.
The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively).
As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000.
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XRPUSD Take this correction as an opportunity to buy to $7.00XRPUSD is correcting violently today after Powell's remarks on just 2 rate cuts in 2025 against the previous expectation of 4.
This is however still a correction within the technical limits of the huge rally that XRP had since the U.S. elections.
Don't let this distract you from the longer picture. This Bull Cycle is still identical to 2017.
Symmetrically, we are just on the 0.382 Fibonacci Resistance, which is where XRP corrected in April 2017 and then once the pullback finished, rebounded to the next Resistance, the 0.618 Fib.
Buy and target $7.00 (the 0.618 Fib).
Previous chart:
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KIMA/USDT THE 100% BREAKKIMA/USDT Analysis: Potential Break Ahead
Kima as a new coin shows an interesting view that can have a break in the coming time.
we will follow the trend with updates.
This will seen as a high-risk coin since it is new, and manages always risk in case your study shows you to choice this coin.
XRP/USDT THE RETURN OF $1 AFTER LONG TIME..XRP seems to have a low time frame and a high time frame to make a new trend change.
XRP has been a long time in the breakdown.. This year seems XRP to add a new change in the trend for the first time.
On the low time frame, XRP seems to make a new increase level, which can allow XRP to return to the first target of $ 0,74 followed by a target up the $1
We will follow XRP
TradeCityPro | THETAUSDT Has the Market Turned Bearish?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze a day when the market experienced slight corrections, with some coins recording red candles and traders feeling FOMO, moving away from the market. This is the best time to review triggers.
🌟 Bitcoin Overview
As always, let’s start with Bitcoin analysis. In the one-hour timeframe, we are witnessing bearish candles, which are merely rejections of the new ATH. Such corrections are not concerning as they come with reduced volume.
Bitcoin dominance has also been ranging, causing slight corrections across all altcoins. Coins bearish in their Bitcoin pairs have seen more significant declines, while those bullish in their Bitcoin pairs are showing better resilience.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, THETA is one of the coins that previously had a strong movement. Earlier in 2024, it hit a new high compared to 2023, bouncing back from the 1.028 support level, which gives it a better edge than many other coins.
Recently, after breaking the 1.667 resistance, which was our entry trigger, it has reached the early 2024 resistance level and is now reacting to it. Following the correction and red candles, the declining volume indicates a positive sign for the upward trend.
The RSI is pulling back toward the overbought zone. If the RSI climbs back up from this level, we can anticipate another sharp move.
If you entered with our trigger, it’s reasonable to hold your position for now as you have a solid entry point. For those looking to enter again, either wait for a correction or buy after breaking the 3.136 level with a large stop loss at 1.667. However, this would be a riskier entry.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after breaking out of the accumulation box between 1.543 and 3.136, THETA has experienced a 100% upward movement, providing an excellent profit opportunity.
Throughout this uptrend, we’ve seen an increase in volume, which has subsequently decreased during corrections. Even when red candles appear, the reduction in volume is a positive signal for the coin’s long-term trajectory.
Based on Fibonacci levels, potential supports are at 2.349, 2.011, and 1.543. After confirmation at any of these levels, long positions can be entered. For continued momentum, breaking the 3.136 level with a stop loss at 2.349 can be considered a riskier option.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the four-hour timeframe, the coin is moving within a short-term box between 2.534 and 2.749, accompanied by reduced volume and consolidation. This suggests that a breakout is likely soon.
📈 Long Position Trigger
breaking the 2.749 level could trigger a trade, as the 3.136 breakout is expected to be led by whales. However, if you miss the 2.749 breakout, 3.136 can also serve as an entry.
📉 Short Position Trigger
they are not currently recommended. However, a break below the 2.534 level could offer a risky short setup. Ensure small stop losses and quick profit-taking, as extended downside seems unlikely.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
In the Bitcoin pair, THETA is just starting to show strength. It has recently reached its weekly resistance level and has a long way to go before its ATH. Once it establishes a higher low and breaks the 0.00003042 resistance, it could begin a strong upward movement. Stay patient and avoid FOMO if you’ve missed this move. Many other coins in the channel have not yet triggered their entries.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
ETHBTC Is Sitting At Strong Monthly SupportETHBTC cross pair has been trading bearish for the last two years or so due to Bitcoin dominance, but now that Bitcoin dominance is slowing down and ALTcoin dominance kicking in, seems like we are in the ALTseason and ETHBTC pair may see a recovery soon.
ETHBTC chart can be actually still trading in a correction within uptrend. It’s right now sitting at interesting and strong support area when looking at the monthly chart. We have strong monthly trendline and impulsive five waves up, followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction into an important 67,8% Fibo retracement, which is a bullish pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective. We are actually already in the ALTseason and if ETHBTC pair is really about to bounce and starts recovering soon, then ALTseason may resume and Ethereum can be one of the strongest.
TradeCityPro | ENS : Navigating Critical Levels👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I’ll evaluate ENS across the daily and 4-hour timeframes. This Web3 project offers an innovative service allowing users to purchase wallet domains, making it a standout in its sector.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Pullback to the Critical Zone
On the daily timeframe, ENS has been trading within a broad range since early 2024, oscillating between $12.44 and $32. Despite the large range and significant price volatility, the market hasn’t established a clear trend, repeatedly moving from the bottom to the top of this box.
📈 Recently, alongside Bitcoin’s ATH breakout, ENS broke through the $20.92 resistance, which marked the Medium Wave Cycle resistance. This breakout introduced strong bullish momentum, leading to the price surpassing the $32 resistance as well. After breaking this level, the price retraced to $32 for a pullback and is now preparing for another upward movement.
✨ The next significant resistance for ENS is $47.96, a level previously tested once before. Currently, the price is approaching this zone for a second test. Despite the negative divergence observed in the RSI and trading volume, this is typical in high-momentum uptrends. A successful breakout of $47.96 could propel the price toward the ATH at $77.99.
🔽 In case of a pullback, the $32 zone remains critical support, already tested once. For deeper corrections, the $20.92 level is the next important zone, and losing this level would entirely erode the bullish momentum, pushing the price toward $15.83 and potentially $12.44.
✅ The range between $12.44 and $15.83 represents a key demand zone, which could act as a significant barrier against further declines. For deeper corrections, the first RSI trigger would be a breakdown below 54.66.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers
In the 4-hour timeframe, I’ll focus specifically on futures triggers, as the main scenarios were detailed in the daily timeframe.
🔼 A breakout above $48.59 provides a suitable long entry. Defining precise targets in advance is challenging, as potential targets come from historical price levels. It’s better to wait for the price to establish a new structure and use that to identify subsequent resistance levels.
📉 A breakdown below $40.96 is a highly risky short entry, with low confidence in hitting the target. However, if a deep correction begins, this trigger could yield significant profits.Additional support levels include $32.86, $25.65, and $21.36. Breaking each of these could activate further short triggers, but for now, all short setups carry significant risk, as the market hasn’t confirmed a trend reversal.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️ above.
BITCOIN Next top is going to surprise you but it SHOULDN'T !!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yet another benchmark, the psychological level of $100k. The market cap is growing and many claim that it can't keep rising as the capitalization would be at unrealistic levels. For one capital inflows seem to be very comfortable right now with BTC investments and there are still billions waiting at the side for the right investment in 2025.
Fundamentals aside, Bitcoin's historic patterns and price action gives us even more reasons to expect (much) higher prices and a Cycle Top that could surprise many.
** Fibonacci Channel Up **
First of all, we've plotted a Channel Up starting from BTC's first Bear Cycle and displayed the Fibonacci retracement levels on it. As you can see, those fit perfectly and catch each Cycle's tops and bottoms very accurately:
1) June 2011 Top on the 0.618 Fib. November 2011 Bottom on the 0.0 Fib.
2) December 2013 Top on the 1.0 Fib. August 17 2015 Bottom on the 0.382 Fib.
3) December 2017 Top on the 1.0 Fib. December 2018 bottom on the 0.5 Fib.
4) April 2021 Top on the 0.786 Fib. November 2022 bottom on the 0.236 Fib.
** Pi Cycle and MM Bands **
Then we have applied the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which are key trend Resistance and Support levels respectively, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which are also historically almost the absolute Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Bitcoin's main upward force.
** Covering at least 4 Fib ranges **
As you can see, all Cycles broke above at least the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) before making a Top. The first two Cycles even hit the MMB SD3 above (red). Also each Cycle has a proportional Fibonacci Channel level range, covering at least 4 Fib bands (as described above). Cycle 1 covered Fibs 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236 and 0.0. Cycle 2 covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 3 also covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 4 covered Fibs 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236.
** Surprise Top **
The MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) is now below Fib 0.618 and it is less likely for BTC to hit it since Cycle 3 didn't. As a result, it is possible that the next Top will be on Fib 0.5 at best (maximum). If that is succeeded towards the end of 2025, and assuming that the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) breaks by then as it always has on every previous Cycle, that gives us a target range for the next Cycle Top within $250k - $350k!
Do you still think that's unrealistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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When is altcoin season?When examining the “ CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ” 12-monthly chart, a clear pattern emerges for altcoin seasons. We observe three years of downward ▼ momentum and consolidation, followed by a year or more of upward ▲ momentum.
This pattern could be attributed to market cycles and investor behavior, where extended periods of consolidation are followed by explosive growth. During the consolidation phase, prices stabilize, creating a base for future gains. Once market sentiment shifts, upward momentum takes over, often leading to significant price increases.
In previous cycles, we noticed that the altcoin season typically starts after major market cycles. For example, the 2017 altcoin season followed the 2016 cycle, and the 2021 altcoin season followed the 2020 cycle. When zoomed in on the monthly chart, both the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons started in January. This consistent timing suggests that the next altcoin season could commence in January 2025.
However, there has already been a bullish candle close in November, which could indicate a shift in the pattern. If December also closes bullish, we might see a two-month variance in the current cycle.
By examining fractals from past cycles, we can attempt to predict where the current altcoin season might peak. The 2017 fractal indicates a duration of 151 days, with dominance potentially reaching 22% around May or June 2025. In contrast, the 2021 fractal suggests a longer cycle of 365 days, with dominance peaking at approximately 24.5% around December 2025 or January 2026.
All charts 📈 indicate that the bottom is in, and all dips are opportunities for buying. Next year's growth looks incredibly promising. 🚀
What do you think? Will the 2024/2025 Altcoin cycle follow the same pattern, or will we see a deviation?