Bitcoin's Elliott Wave and Cylce AnalysisBitcoin's price has surged close to the $100,000 level, fueled by increasing optimism and hype, particularly following Trump’s victory in the US elections. While this milestone has sparked renewed bullish sentiment, it's critical to remember that Bitcoin is now in uptrend for only last four week, but it has been in an moving up since December 2022, marking nearly two years of consistent gains.
So actually, we may now be in the late stages of this bull run.
Keep in mind that when optimism and positive news dominate, like the prospect of Bitcoin being added to US reserves under Trump, it often aligns with the peak of a trend. While this kind of news could potentially drive one last strong upward move (FOMO / Blow-off), it might also signal the end of this cycle.
Historically, extreme optimism is a warning sign, and the Elliott wave analysis supports this view. Bitcoin is currently in its fifth wave, with potential for slightly more upside, possibly extending late into January time projection. Its going to be the 20 or 26 weeks of a recovery from August low.
Smart investors will consider taking some parts of profits now rather than risking missing an exit, especially now when we approach the year end.
The market's shift from "optimism to pessimism", can be swift and surprising. Greed often leads to losses, so prudence is key at this stage.
On another note, we have a Black Friday offer on our Elliott Wave service. It’s a great opportunity to stay aligned with market rhythm and sentiment during this critical period.
If you are celebrating, I wish you a happy Thanksgiving!
Grega
Cryptocurrency
TradeCityPro | LEVERUSDT Analysis Buyer Presence👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s dive into the analysis of another cryptocurrency and review our triggers before the movement begins.
🌍 Bitcoin's Market Overview
Yesterday, we mentioned that a long position could be opened after breaking 94931, especially if Bitcoin's dominance was declining, favoring altcoins.
After a pullback to 94931, the price is now approaching 96610, where breaking this level could provide another long position opportunity. If Bitcoin's dominance continues to fall, altcoins like LEVERUSDT could see further upward momentum.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
LEVERUSDT is consolidating in a long-term range between 0.001123 and 0.003877, with a narrower short-term range between 0.001588 and 0.002317.
Following rejection from the top of the range, the price didn't drop to the bottom of the box, finding support earlier. This indicates buying strength.
breakout above 0.002317 could signal a risky buying opportunity with stop-loss levels at 0.001588 or 0.001123 for a medium-term hold.
📈 Daily Timeframe
The price has been ranging between 0.001518 and 0.002405, repeatedly testing the upper resistance.
The daily red candles rejecting resistance highlight its importance. A sharp breakout above this level could trigger a significant move.
After breaking this resistance, buyers can enter. If missed, confirmation through RSI breaking 70.13 and rising volume could provide additional confidence.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
The price has shown strong movement toward the range's upper resistance, suggesting this coin might present trading opportunities this week.
For long positions, wait for a breakout above 0.002405, coupled with RSI entering overbought territory and breaking 70.13 for confirmation.
Avoid looking for short positions as the trend appears bullish. Instead, focus on potential entries at lower levels.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | LINK : Volume Surge and Key Levels 👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will review LINK. This coin operates in the DeFi space, aiming to facilitate cross-chain functionality in the crypto ecosystem.
⏳ Weekly Timeframe: Higher Low After Box Breakout
In the weekly timeframe, after breaking the 9.81 resistance, LINK experienced a notable price increase, climbing to 21.6 before entering a correction phase.
🧲 The first correction phase retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Subsequently, after breaking this level and the 12.21 support, the correction extended to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which coincided with the 9.81 support and the SMA99, creating a PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) that halted the price decline.
⚡️ Currently, following increased volume and a break above the 57.72 level in the RSI, as well as the 12.21 resistance, the next bullish leg has begun. The primary target for this move is the critical 21.6 resistance, which marked the end of the first bullish leg. Whether this level can be breached remains to be seen.
🔼 If the resistance is broken and the uptrend continues, the long-term targets are 33.93 and 52.13. In case of a market downturn, key supports are 12.21 and 9.81. Should these supports break, the final stronghold will be at 5.55. A breach of the 37.49 RSI support could introduce intense bearish momentum.
⏳ Daily Timeframe: Noticeable Volume Increase
In the daily timeframe, there was a ranging box between 9.53 and 12.36, which broke to the upside, initiating an uptrend. The standout feature here is the sharp increase in candle volume post-breakout, which continues to rise steadily.
📊 If the volume continues to grow, the price could easily break the 18.73 resistance and test the main ceiling at 21.6. However, if the volume starts to decline, given the divergence and significant distance from the SMA99, the price may begin to correct or consolidate. In this scenario, the key correction supports are 15.33 and 12.36.
🧩 If the RSI breaches the 53.8 support, divergence will be activated, erasing the market’s bullish momentum. Conversely, breaking the 73.38 RSI level could signal a price surge, potentially breaking the 21.6 level.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers
In the 4-hour timeframe, we see a steep ascending trendline. The price briefly faked out below this trendline but resumed its upward movement.
✨ In the latest leg of the uptrend, after breaking the 15.33 resistance, volume has started to decline, signaling potential exhaustion. Additionally, there is a strong divergence in the RSI. The divergence trigger lies at 44.67, and if activated, the bullish momentum will dissipate.
🔽 Breaking the trendline, the 16.47 level serves as the first short trigger. However, personally, I avoid opening positions based on this trigger since it goes against the primary trend. Instead, I wait for a confirmed trend reversal using Dow Theory principles.
✅ In case of a decline, the next support levels and targets are 15.33 and 12.36.
📈 For long positions, the 18.73 resistance offers an excellent trigger. The first target for this move is 21.6.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
$BTC 1 Hour again Update Possible ATH what if 99k was shoulder??Imagine that (I’m don’t make predictions for you to use on the market and it’s not advisable) the market we see on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the 99.8k pump was just the shoulder of this bigger picture?
This could be exactly what the bulls are waiting on but maybe it’s not also. What do you think??
Please add some comments that are constructive so we can all work together to make more gains!
BITCOIN Happy Thanksgiving with history on Bulls' side!!Happy Thanksgiving to everyone! As every year, we pay our tribute on this day with a historic run of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on Thanksgiving days! Last year (see chart below) we made a $80000 call for today and we couldn't be happier that the market surpassed that:
This year we bring you a (much) simpler fact and that's the number of bearish signals on that day. Bitcoin has lived through 14 Thanksgiving days (excluding of course today) and only 3 have resulted in immediate bearish activity (2021, 2014 and 2013). Even the November 23 2017 Thanksgiving that was near the Cycle top, gave another 3 years of +150% gains before peaking.
You can see the previous Thanksgivings by scrolling left through the chart but it is obvious that due to BTC's cyclical behavior, the vast majority of Thanksgiving is an excellent time to invest. And today is no different as we still have almost another full year of Bull Cycle ahead of us (even more so its most aggressive part!).
Whatever trading actions you decide to make today, we wish you a blessed Thanksgiving!
So do you think this is a buy opportunity as history suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHBTC Bottoming - Maybe? Hitting a few possible resistance points here, could ETH be finally bottoming against BTC? Only time will tell.
Some good capitulation but not heaps of volume.
Bullish divergence on RSI which is good.
But it could go lower, lets hope not but you can see the next support right there down lower
ENSUSD approaching the top of 1-year Channel Up. Make or break?Ethereum Name Service (ENDUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since January 2024 and the recent post U.S. elections surge is about to hit its top (Higher Highs trend-line). This is a standard break-or-rejection strategy: As long as the 1D candles close within the Channel Up, we are expecting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level to get tested (23.850). In the event of a 1D candle closing above the pattern, we will have a bullish break-out targeting the All Time High at 84.860.
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Too many patterns to suggestMorning folks,
Surprisingly, but BTC has not come to 102K target directly. Despite a lot of panic headlines in media about 8+% drop - nothing awful has happened. Very small retracement and inside week.
In some way 102K target will be reached, no doubts. But right now it is impossible to say in what particular way this will happen. As there are too many patterns that we could suggest. Here, on the chart we already have three of them. On daily chart it might be another two.
Keeping it simple, the concern is about how BTC will go higher - either right now or after deeper retracement.
Since today a Holiday and we will have a weekend soon, we think it would be better do not hurry up and postpone everything until Monday. There might be some clarity.
DOGE going to at least $3.00 on this Cycle.Dogecoin / DOGEUSD is expected to be among the high cap winners during this Cycle.
Not only is it currently still under its All Time High but the recent massive post U.S. election rise brought it to the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Following a 1day Golden Cross early this month, we believe that we are trading on a similar Cycle stage as January 2021 (also on the 0.786 Fib).
The 1day RSI fractals seem to match perfectly, being way above 80.00 and what should follow next is a test of the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
Buy Doge and target it at 3.000.
Previous chart:
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BTCUSD: Is 300k a realistic target?Despite the weekly correction, Bitcoin remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.961, MACD = 5631.400< ADX = 43.561) and even overbought on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 74.750). That is because the market has started the final parabolic rally, the cycle's most aggressive phase, supported by the 1W MA50. It can stay overbought until the top, the end of the cycle. Based on the 1W CCI, we may be in a 3 week consolidation stage before the rally resumes. According to the previous Cycle, this happened a little over the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Taking a +1,895.45% rise from the bottom, we can see that the exact same position is applied on the current Cycle and stage.
Does this mean that we can see $300,000 as this Cycle's top? Technically yes but it goes against Bitcoin's Theory of Diminishing Returns. Of course, this Cycle is different as we are already over the previous Cycle's ATH, while in November 2020 we were exactly on it. This is due to the launch of the Bitcoin ETF, which has accelerated its growth, so maybe the capital inflows will extend this Cycle beyond what should have been based on the diminishing returns.
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SHIBUSD: Expecting a massive pump soon.Shiba Inu just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.750, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 25.625) but practically remains ranged inside a Bull Flag. As long as the 1D MA200 supports though, the trend will be bullish, coming off the HL Zone and a 1D Golden Cross. The Golden Cross before that (December 1st 2023) led to a similar Bull Flag, which after testing and holding the 1D MA200, it broke upwards aggressively to a +575% rise. We expect a similar outcome (TP = 0.000073).
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Carbon browser (CSIX)Carbon browser claims it is faster than competitors, takes less space on your device, and provides smooth browsing. Anyway, like many new crypto projects, CSIX entered a downtrend move from the beginning. Now, it seems price is trying to break the downtrend line. Let's see what happens.
WINkLink (WIN)WIN or WINk is somewhat between a coin and meme. There are not enough description on what this project offers. Anyway, in crypto market price going up or down can have nothing to do with the project itself! After a huge pump in price, Wink entered a corrective wave which seems close to finish. A harmonic pattern has formed and price came down and reached the support area. Must wait for the price to break the downtrend line. Let's see what happens.
Tru/UsdtBINANCE:TRUUSDT
### ** NYSE:TRU Update 🚨**
** NYSE:TRU ** has **broken out** of its **main falling wedge pattern** after consolidating for the past few months! 📉➡️📈 This is a major technical signal indicating potential for significant upward movement in the near future. 🔥
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### **What's Happening?**
- **Falling Wedge**: The falling wedge pattern is typically a **bullish continuation pattern**, where the price gradually narrows between two converging trendlines. A breakout from this pattern often signals the start of an uptrend.
- **Consolidation**: Over the past few months, NYSE:TRU has been in a period of consolidation, meaning it was trading in a relatively tight range with no strong direction. Now that it has **broken** out of this pattern, the potential for **strong price movement** is on the table.
---
### **Potential Gains 💰**
- After breaking the wedge, there’s potential for **100%+ gains** if the bullish momentum continues. 🚀
- **First Target**: The immediate goal is to watch for the price to maintain its breakout level and potentially target **previous highs** or resistance areas from before the consolidation.
- **Long-Term Potential**: A sustained breakout could push NYSE:TRU even higher, depending on the market's response and broader trends.
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### **Why This Matters:**
- **Bullish Breakout**: Breaking a falling wedge is often a sign that the asset is gearing up for strong upside movement. Investors who catch the breakout early could benefit from substantial returns.
- **Volume Confirmation**: Watch for **increased volume** accompanying the breakout. A strong breakout with high volume is usually more reliable than one with low volume, which might indicate a false breakout.
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### **Next Steps 🔍:**
- Keep an eye on ** NYSE:TRU ’s price action** over the next few days. If the breakout holds, we could see rapid price increases as more buyers come in.
- Be mindful of possible **retests** of the breakout level (a pullback to the breakout zone), as this can provide a better entry for traders.
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**Reminder**: Always do your own research (DYOR) and keep track of broader market conditions. 📚📊
(Not financial advice, just sharing the technical analysis! 😉)
Uniswap (UNI) technical analysisUNI loves making harmonic patterns and triangle moves. After each triangle or harmonic pattern ended, price has started an uptrend wave. It is possible that UNI would make another two or three triangles or harmonic patterns before breaking the long-term down trend line and poses for a major uptrend move. These are all valid if the horizontal support area holds in the future as well.
PancakeSwap (CAKE)PancakeSwap is an automated market maker, a decentralized finance application that allows users to exchange tokens, providing liquidity via farming and earning fees in return. Cake's price rose as its popularity did; then cake entered a corrective phase, a long one. It seems cake's price is headed toward the Fibonacci's golden pocket 0.618-0.65 area. Let's see if price can reverse from this area or goes down further.
AnkrAnkr technical analysis is straightforward; almost. An impulse upward wave is followed by a corrective downward wave. After the corrective wave finished at Fibonacci retracement of 0.5, the price broke the downtrend line and it seems the next impulse wave has started. It is worth mentioning that Ankr has partnered with Microsoft, so there is a bright future for this coin. Let's see what happens.
Altcoin Screener | DOGE Pi Cycle High and Low v2CRYPTO:DOGEUSD has been getting a lot of buzz recently and many attribute this to the Elon effect but I say that all of this can be found in the charts and is no surprise. I have several charts to share on Dogecoin's cyclical nature and why even after this recent rally, it's still not too late to buy.
I developed this DOGE cycle top and bottom indicator that I call DOGE Pi Cycle High and Low v2 as it's a modified version of a popular indicator for Bitcoin in identifying its cycle top. When the green moving average crosses under the red moving average, this marks the Doge cycle bottom. When the yellow moving average crosses under the white moving average, this marks the first Doge cycle high.
The low for this cycle was already marked and we still have yet to see a pi cycle high trigger. Although DOGE has had a recent rally, I think there is still plenty of room to run here so you could add to a long position and wait for this Pi Cycle High trigger as a short term trade.
If you are interested in holding for longer for more potential gains, I have another indicator to share which is based on positive MACD, Bitcoin breaking above ATH and two tops. The first top triggers after Bitcoin breaks above its ATH and we have 12 consecutive weeks of positive MACD which is showing potentially will trigger by end of December 2024. Then there is a second and final top that forms later after a correction and when positive MACD returns for at least 2 consecutive weeks and lasts for 5-6 weeks.
And then finally we have another top indicator based on 2 Week RSI when it peaks between 89 and 97. This also forms two major tops so as a short term trade, you could sell on that first RSI peak or wait longer for the second peak.
Fantom (FTM)Fantom needs no introduction, a popular project which maintained its usefulness as well as high trading volume. After FTM price skyrocketed, a corrective wave started which seems ended at 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. The 0.382 area is a strong and important one since it was able to supported price several times; if this area breaks downward, for any reasons, the grey line below can come to rescue. Anyway, it seems an upward impulse wave has started and currently price consolidating in a triangle shaped pattern. If price breaks this consolidation area upward it means continuation for the impulse wave. Let's see what happens.
TradeCityPro | RENDERUSDT Analysis Continued Uptrend?👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze RENDER, a popular crypto project in the graphics card and infrastructure domain, which also operates as a Layer 2 solution.
🌍 Bitcoin's Market Overview
As always, before diving into RENDER, we take a quick look at Bitcoin. According to prior analyses, the recent red candles are purely corrective and indicate no major trend reversal. Corrections are healthy for any uptrend. Bitcoin is showing renewed green candles, with a 4% rise today.
After breaking 94,859, you can open long positions. However, due to the decreasing Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), this level can also be considered a confirmation for entering altcoins. A further wave of uptrend seems possible.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
RENDER is one of the most bullish altcoins, similar to SOL, SUI, and OM. It has experienced less decline compared to other altcoins, largely due to the hype around Layer 2 and NVIDIA, which boosted this coin before the bull run.
After its upward move and correction from 13.009, it hit the support at 4.405 and formed a green candle that engulfed the prior two candles. This alone serves as a bullish trigger in an uptrend. Currently, it has reached the key resistance level of 7.914.
If this resistance is broken, given the bullish structure in higher time frames and the formation of higher lows, the coin can continue its upward movement. A buy position with a stop loss at the 4.405 level is reasonable. RSI entering the overbought zone can confirm the bullish trend further. If missed, a trigger at 13.009 remains valid.
📈 Daily Timeframe
The primary resistance at 6.999 was broken, but no significant movement occurred afterward. For now, we consider 8.023 as a key trigger level. After its breakout, the price can aim for targets at 9.765 and 11.240.
Additionally, the main resistance level of 13.009 in the higher time frame is adjusted to 11.240 as the broader market has shown more logical reactions to this level.
RSI displays notable divergence, but during a bull run, it is often disregarded. Personally, I prefer taking positions with a stop loss rather than missing the potential movement.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
After breaking 5.198, the coin experienced a solid uptrend. I opened a long position, and if the resistance at 8.094 is broken, I plan to move my stop loss to 6.532. Currently, the price is ranging between 7.18 and 8.09.
📈 Long Position Trigger:
Upon breaking 8.094, I will open another long position and follow the potential continuation. If the price approaches the resistance with strong momentum, I may also set a stop-buy order with a larger stop loss at 7.18.
📉 Short Position Trigger:
For now, no short setups are considered during the bullish trend. If 6.532 is broken, I might only close my long position.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
Compared to Bitcoin, RENDER remains bullish, bouncing strongly from support levels. Breaking its descending trendline reinforces the continuation of its uptrend.
For those needing a trigger, breaking 0.00010090 on its BTC pair confirms further moves, even though by then, its USDT pair may have already pumped 50%. The key movements often come after the trigger.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SOLANA Is this correction a buy opportunity??Solana (SOLUSD) is on a 5-day pull-back, along with the majority of the crypto market. It is still above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as well as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) coming strong off a 1D Golden Cross. Is this correction, however, a buy opportunity?
Well the last time SOL formed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame was exactly 1 year ago (October 22 2023), after coming out of a similar (blue) Channel Down and that initiated the massive October 2023 - March 2024 rally. That rally hit all Fibonacci extensions of the Channel Down successively (2.0, 3.0, 4.0) and consolidated on all of them. Even the 1D RSI sequences between those fractals are similar.
As a result, we expect Solana to hit $315 (Target 1), $515 (Target 2) and $830 (Target 3) within a 4 month horizon.
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TradeCityPro | NFP : Key Resistance and Breakout Triggers👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will review the NFP chart, which, based on a breakout strategy, could offer a good entry point for spot buying and futures trading. Since this coin’s chart has recently become available, I will skip the weekly timeframe analysis and focus on the daily and 4-hour timeframes.
📅 Daily Timeframe: A Critical Resistance Zone
In this timeframe, alongside Bitcoin's rally toward 99,000 and the establishment of a new ATH, NFP also experienced an upward move. It began its rise from the 0.1803 support level, testing it once before successfully breaking the 0.2599 resistance on the second attempt. Currently, it has reached a significant resistance zone between 0.3050 and 0.34.
🔍 Within the range of 0.1803 to 0.3050, there’s a rounding formation visible, which I’ve marked with a curved trendline. Over time, this curved trendline has reduced the bearish momentum in the market. Even after the initial breakdown of the 0.1803 support, this trendline provided support, pulling the price back above the level in the subsequent candle and invalidating the breakdown. Afterward, strong buying volume entered the market, driving the price toward the 0.3050 resistance.
📊 Currently, the decreasing volume during the pullback suggests a healthy trend. However, we must consider the importance of the resistance zone, as it’s the most critical area for this coin at the moment.
✅ If strong buying volume enters, the price could break through this zone and target higher levels. The next target would be 0.3990. If the RSI enters the overbought zone, we could expect higher targets like 0.5874, and the ultimate target would be the ATH at 1.1522.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers
In this timeframe, I’ve marked the resistance zone with multiple lines to make it easier to identify potential futures trading triggers.
🔼 Currently, the trend appears bullish, and I prefer to open long positions. A breakout above 0.3061 would be a suitable trigger for a long position. However, the issue is that, despite recent price increases, the volume has been decreasing, which isn’t a positive sign for the continuation of the trend.
📈 If 0.3061 resistance is broken, the next trigger would be 0.3495. This trigger is more reliable than 0.3061 because the latter would lead into a resistance zone, whereas breaking 0.3495 would exit this zone, allowing for smoother price increases.
🔽 On the downside, if the 0.2595 level is broken, the price will likely enter a corrective phase, potentially dropping to 0.2167. The critical RSI support to maintain bullish momentum is 44.01.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️