BTC HTF ThoughtsChart from end of Dec/early Jan. Idea back then was that the top is in, and we'll revisit at least 51.5 levels. IMO low will be between 41.5-32.5, with potential to reach 23s.
However, it won't happen in one day and it's finally at prices i want to scale in and hold for the next weeks/months incase i'm wrong with the macro idea.
I'm a buyer between 74-62, levels in between are 72, 69, 65 and 62.
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin Analysis - Bear Trap Complete - Bullish Reversal StartedBitcoin recently swept the liquidity resting at the $78K level, taking out the previous lows before initiating a strong reversal with a double break of structure to the upside. This signals that smart money has engineered liquidity to trap retail traders and induce early shorts before driving price in the intended direction.
The move up has left behind a well-defined bullish order block in confluence with a fair value gap, which held firmly on the retracement. This confirms that institutional positioning is present, and the market is now efficiently repricing higher. The fact that price reacted strongly from this zone further reinforces that smart money has absorbed sell-side liquidity, and the path of least resistance is now to the upside.
With liquidity now resting above the descending bearish trendline, price has a clear target. The bearish trendlines, especially in the context of a corrective move, act as a liquidity magnet. Retail traders shorting into this structure are providing the fuel for the next leg up, as their stops accumulate above each lower high. The market makers and algorithmic liquidity providers understand this, and price is now gravitating towards that liquidity pool. The inefficiencies left on the chart from the recent aggressive down move also suggest that these imbalances need to be filled, further strengthening the case for continued bullish expansion.
The entire bearish move preceding this was nothing more than a well-structured inducement. It served to lure in breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downtrend, and trap liquidity at the lows before the true direction was revealed. This is a classic example of manipulation before expansion. This principle repeats across all timeframes and market conditions.
With this in mind, the most probable scenario now is a continuation towards the next major liquidity pool above the bearish trendline, likely leading price into the 92K–98K range where a significant daily order block sits. This area will be critical to observe, as it could act as a distribution zone where smart money starts offloading positions. However, until then, the structure remains decisively bullish, and every retracement into demand zones should be seen as an opportunity to position long, rather than a sign of weakness.
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
LTC ANALYSIS (support & resistance)🔮 #LTC Analysis 🚀🚀
💲💲 #LTC is trading between support and resistance area. There is a potential rejection again from its resistance zone and pullback from its major support area. If #LTC sustains above major support area then we will a bullish move till its major resistance area
💸Current Price -- $82.20
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#LTC #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
BTCUSD: Conservative September Target $150kBitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.307, MACD = 1999.100, ADX = 44.501), firmly supported on top of the 1W MA50. On this analysis you see the Channel Up that dictated the price action of the last three Cycles. Since December 2023 BTC has traded solely inside the 0.382 - 0.618 Fibonacci Zone, the median zone of the Channel Up. The Theory of pre-Halving / post-Halving symmetry implies that the time range from the Cycle Bottom to the Halving is almost the same as the time from the Halving to the Cycle Top. Since on the current Cycle, the time from the Bottom to the Halving has been 76 weeks, in theory the Top should be another 76 weeks from the Halving. We take the worst case estimate of 74 weeks like the 2017 Top. That's the end of September. And with regards to the target, a conservative estimate is just over the 0.5 Fib at 150k, like the highs of December 2024 and March 2024.
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ATOMUSD: Channel Down bottomed. Strong buy signal.Cosmos turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.498, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 27.015), which raised 1W to a neutral state. This is perfectly aligned with the market structure at the moment, which is a technical rebound at the bottom of the 3 year Channel Down. The 1W RSI is on a HL trendline, which is a bullish divergence as far as the Channel's LL are concerned. This means that there is potential to break this Channel to the upside, but until this happens, we will be targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 9.500), like the previous bullish wave did.
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Sui Bear Flag !! Big Cluster liquidity area
Bearish Continuation Trade Idea - Potential Breakdown from Bear Flag
📉 Market Outlook:
The price has been in a strong downtrend, forming a bear flag after an impulsive move downward. This pattern is typically a continuation signal, suggesting further downside if the price breaks below the flag structure.
📍 Key Observations:
1️⃣ Big Cluster Liquidity Area: The highlighted zone marks an area where the price previously accumulated/distributed liquidity before a strong breakout. Now that the price has fallen below this region, it is acting as a major resistance.
2️⃣ Bear Flag Formation: After a steep decline, the price is moving inside a narrow ascending channel, which often acts as a bearish continuation pattern.
3️⃣ Potential Breakdown: A clear break below the lower boundary of the flag could confirm the next leg down.
🔴 Trade Plan (Short Setup):
Entry Trigger: Wait for a confirmed breakdown below the bear flag's lower boundary, ideally with a strong bearish candle close.
Stop Loss: Place above the recent swing high inside the flag to limit risk.
Take Profit Targets:
First target: Recent swing low
Second target: Major support zone with historical liquidity
⚠️ Risk Management:
Position sizing should align with your risk tolerance.
Beware of false breakouts; a confirmed breakdown with strong momentum is preferred.
Monitor macroeconomic events that might cause volatility.
📌 Conclusion:
The overall trend remains bearish, and the formation of a bear flag suggests further downside if confirmed. If the price breaks lower with conviction, sellers may push it toward key support levels.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is NOT financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
Would love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment below! 🚀🔥
BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle.
** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 **
As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze.
This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50.
** The Transition Month **
In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month.
** What's next? **
As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top.
But what do you think? Has this Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 Triple Combo just priced the new bottom? And if yes, will April be the Transition Month for the new Bullish Leg to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHEREUM at Major Support: Bullish Rally Incoming?COINBASE:ETHUSD is on the verge of a major move. The price has reached a key support level that has historically triggered strong buying interest. This zone has acted as a demand area multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in once again.
The market structure suggests that a confirmed bounce from this level could ignite a significant recovery. If bulls hold the support, the first upside target is $2,400, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a sustained breakout beyond $2,400 could mark the beginning of a stronger rally, fueled by renewed buying momentum and increasing volume.
Given the prolonged bearish move leading into this setup, a retracement here could turn into a larger trend shift. However, a clean breakdown below support would invalidate this bullish bias and open the door for further downside.
🚀 If this rally takes off, we could see COINBASE:ETHUSD reclaiming higher levels in the coming weeks. What are your thoughts? Drop them in the comments! 🚀
ATOM ANALYSIS📊 #ATOM Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a good breakout and currently retests from the major resistance zone and again trading around its major resistance zone 🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a successful breakout of resistance zone
👀Current Price: $4.800
🚀 Target Price: $6.300
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ATOM price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ATOM #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
(ATOM) cosmos "wave count"Long form wave count would appear to be in trend with an entirely new cycle for Cosmos, potentially, although I did not go all the way back to the origin of the company which is necessary to get a true depiction of history. Is the history of a company based on short lived moments or is there any knowledge to keeping track of the trend of a company through the entire duration of the chart regardless of what trends occur based on major moments in society and the seasonal hype from December and end of year excitement,.
Many years in the making. . .
(APT) aptos "ahead of the game, or not"It is not use in being ahead of the price trend if the price is not going to recovery before Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin. Dogecoin used to be the one to measure between the big three cryptocurrency prices. Nowadays, Dogecoin is so popular with such a strong price hold and the fact that the unlimited coins means to measure Dogecoin is quite a bit more strange when compared to all the other limited circulating supply companies. Aptos appears to be closer to a neutral position, or will the price keep falling if Etherum and Bitcoin do not go flat? That is what I mean by this.
(BTC) bitcoin "the case for bitcoin"Where is bitcoin going to be during this 2025 year. The image shows a blank canvas. The drawing untold, unknown for now? Where will the price move and how long will it take to move through the pattern, bearish? bullish? neutral? fire? ice? greener pastures? The graph showing what is being seen tends to see a rise in price once the price moves past the crossing of the blue lines but the purple and pink dotted lines are facing down with no indication that the price is moving neutrally in a recovery effort.
TradeCityPro | APTUSDT The Beginning of a New Downtrend!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go back to the day when Trump imposed tariffs on the United States again, causing stocks and cryptocurrencies to fall and gold to rise. Let's take a look at our attractive altcoin chart
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
APT remains inside its large, volatile range, frequently bouncing between its highs and lows. However, this time, it has formed a lower high, which is not a positive sign.
Additionally, after breaking $7.78, sellers completely engulfed the weekly candle, and for the past five weeks, all candles have been red with high selling volume, confirming the downtrend.
There is no buy trigger at the moment, and I cannot recommend a buying opportunity until the market forms a new structure.
For selling, if APT drops below $4.97, it makes sense to exit and accept the loss instead of holding onto a losing position.
📉 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, the power is in the hands of the sellers! After the parabolic line broke, we experienced a Sharpe decline, accompanied by the formation of a lower ceiling and floor, which has continued our downward trend.
The parabolic movement itself is a very rapid and bullish movement, and every time the price hits it, it quickly returns to its trend and is supported, but when this line is broken, that trend is practically over and we suffer, or we experience a Sharpe decline like this chart!
After the drop and the formation of a box between 5.136 and 6.491, the selling force was clearly evident in this space, because the last time we moved towards the ceiling of 6.491, we could not reach this ceiling and we were rejected earlier.
This rejection made us return to this support faster with a number of red candles, unlike the previous attempt where we moved up with a larger number of candles. Yesterday's daily candle also engulfed the previous 3 candles and is exactly ready to break 5.136.
If today's daily candle closes in the same way, the probability of a drop in the coming days will increase and increase. If you are a holder of this coin, it is logical to sell and after returning to the box and breaking its ceiling, buy with the same number of Tethers and reduce the probability of a drop and loss of capital for yourself!
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
BITCOIN Do you really want to miss this rally???Bitcoin / BTCUSD remains supported by the 1week MA50 just like it has been through the whole 2020/21 period after the COVID crash.
In spite of the massive bearish pressure of the polical developments (tariffs), the fact that the market is holding the 1week MA50, means that it is respective Bitcoin's Cycles.
In fact this is like the May-June 2021 accumulation on the 1week MA50, following the first Bitcoin Top of April 2021.
Similarly, we've had a peak formation in December 2024- January 2025 and the market corrected.
In addition to that, the 1week RSI is testing the 42.00, which isn't just where the August 2024 and September 2023 bottoms were priced, but more importantly the June 2021 one.
The symmetry between the last two Cycles is uncanny, both trading inside the long term Channel Up, with identical Bear Cycle and (so far) Bull Cycle ranges.
If all ends up repeating themselves, expect a value of at least $160000 by September.
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CARDANO 1week MA50 holding. Sky is the limit.Cardano / ADAUSD is holding its 1week MA50 for the 6th straight week.
The pattern is almost identical to the previous Cycle's:
A Channel Up (that breaks once to the downside for a short time) is used as a guide through the whole Bull Cycle. The final consolidation on the 1week MA50 intiates the final and most aggressive rally of the Cycle.
The previous one in 2021 hit the 3.0 Fibonacci extension.
Based on that, we can expect to see $9 on ADA by the end of the year.
Previous chart:
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BTCUSD: 1D Death Cross can push it to $150k by August.Bitcoin turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.071, MACD = -1375.000, ADX = 26.965) showcasing the high volatility that yesterday's tariffs announcement inflicted. 1W remains marginally neutral though (RSI = 45.519), highlighting the long term buy opportunity the current levels present.
The market is about to form the first 1D Death Cross, which occurs when the 1D MA50 crosses under the 1D MA200, since August 9th 2024. Even though that's technically a bearish formation, it has worked only as a bottom market during the current Bull Cycle. Both the Aug 9th 2024 and September 11th 2023 1D Death Crosses were formed exactly when BTC bottomed. In symmetric fashion the first two were formed 150 days after the previous high and rose by at least +96.86% by the 1.786 Time Fibonacci extension. Also both bottoms held the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
This time the 1D Death Cross will be formed approximately 109 days after the previous high, which means that this phase is more aggressive than the others and may equally be more aggresive on the bullish wave too. Still, if it 'just' repeats the previous ones, we estimate to reach $150,000 by this August.
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Is BTC Dominance about to reverse and start an Altseason?Well its undoubtedly what the crypto investor wants and what the market would have technically given in February if it wasn't for the tariffs trade war. Bitcoin's Dominance (BTC.D) is trading within a Triangle and February's test of the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level was the technical level that should have given a rejection.
That rejection technically starts the Altseason which was dominant via a Bearish Leg both in 2017 and 2021. So far though both February's and March's 1M candles closed below the 0.786 Fib and April has an opportunity to even test the monthly body candles Lower Highs, which is the top of the Triangle. This is the last level that a rejection can be technically given.
Can this start an Altseason?
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86K for another short sellMorning folks,
So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly.
In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view.
In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks.
Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K.
Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen.
Profit to everybody, Peace.
BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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