Bitcoin - Do Or DieThis is the spot where things either get spicy or go limp. If we see weakness here — same old chop, same range, nothing to see.
But if Bitcoin punches through this zone with conviction, we’re looking at some serious upside. Targets are mapped, and the path is clear if bulls step up.
No breakout? Don’t expect fireworks.
Breakout? Strap in.
This is a decisive moment
Cryptocurrency
BTC- crash is coming? Most likely no)In its best traditions, bitcoin in one impulse reached the monthly target 95000, which I wrote about
The probability of a correction to set a higher low in the equilibrium area of the range is increasing.
Probably in May the crypto market will have to pass the last stability test, in case of success we will get excellent opportunities for spot and speculative positions before the next cyclical growth spiral.
For now have to wait for weekly open but there are 2 options:
pump till PWH and then move on correction
slow bleeding till 0.5 or mb till 83k in worst case and then pump to ATH
ULTIMA SHOWS SAME PATTERN AS BTC BEFORE EXPLOAD TO THE 100K🔥 Ultima has formed a bullish descending flag pattern on the daily chart. The same pattern led BTC to an explosive rise to $100,000 at the end of the previous year.
This pattern is historically a correction in a bullish trend and breaks to the upside, continuing the rise.
Ultima has been one of the strongest technologically backed tokens this cycle . The token has risen in value by over 1000% from its low in the summer and now, having set a new atx, is consolidating under it, gaining strength for the next momentum.
Last weekend was a strong shakeout for leveraged traders and the price corrected to key support at $15,000. And on top of that, a FVG (Fair Value Gap) formed above, which 99% of the time closes sooner or later.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
RSI - hit 16.9, which historically signifies an oversold zone and leads to at least a short-term bounce. The last time the RSI reached these levels, Ultima's price rose 469% in 2 months.
MACD - after a prolonged decline, is now approaching to converge and give a bullish cross section, historically signifying a return to an uptrend.
EMA - price has reached the 200 EMA level on the daily chart and is trying to consolidate above, as we all know, the first test of the 200 EMA in a bull market usually leads to explosive buy impulses.
Volume - the entire correction took place over the weekend on lower volumes, dropping gamblers with shoulders. Major buying followed as early as the weekdays with many times the volume.
🌐 Fundamental:
Ultima is a strong project with a good background in the form of a strong dev and marketing team. The token made it to the top 200 CMC in no time. Holds events all over the world and participates itself, presenting really good products like cryptocard.
And the freshly launched in April, trading bot has increased the trading volume of the token many times, which is perfectly visible on the chart. I think many traders were actively shorting at this time, because despite the huge volumes of buyers, there were no strong upward impulses, so now there is a lot of liquidity at the top. And as we know, the price of an asset moves from liquidity to liquidity, it is its fuel.
📌 Conclusion:
The token is now clearly undervalued by the market by all metrics and technical analysis. So it is expected at least a technical bounce, which it has already started by the way, to close the GAP in the range of $15,357 - $20,240.
I have gained a spot position in the support zone of $13,100 - $14,814, with an average entry price of $13,560 and expect at least a return to the listing peak level, at about $18,959, a consolidation above which would probably mean a new ATH.
BITCOIN Ultimate Cycle Zones breakdown! See when to sell!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its amazing rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having recovered all of the losses sustained following the U.S. - Chine Trade War. Based on this Cycle's pattern, this 1W MA50 rebound is technically the new Bullish Leg, essentially its 4th of this Cycle.
Among all this, we managed to identify another cyclical pattern, separating the Cycle in terms of Activity Zones:
Naturally its very bottom is what we call the 'Best Buy Zone' (green), where BTC's earliest and most optimal buy opportunities existed. That ranges within the 0.0 and 1.0 Fibonacci levels.
Above that it's the 'Final Buy Zone' (yellow) where in relative efficieny terms, the last long-term buy opportunities existed. That Zone consists of the 1.0 and 2.0 Fibonacci levels.
Third in line is the 'First TP Zone' (orange) where long-term investors who seek lower risk, can start taking profit on their positions. The range on that is the 2.0 - 3.0 Fibonacci levels.
Lastly it's the 'Fina TP Zone' (red) where obviously it is the last opportunity (and with the greatest return but also elevated risk) to take profits before the Cycle prices its Top. This consists of the 3.0 - 4.0 Fibonacci range.
As you may have noticed, each Zone has a .618 interval (highlighted in blue). Zone 1 has the 0.618 Fib, Zone 2 the 1.618 Fib, Zone 3 the 2.618 Fib and one 4 the 3.618 Fib. This is where (so far) the price has made a first consolidation - correction after the start of the new Bullish Leg and before it gets completed at the top Fib. The last such consolidation was from mid December 2024 to late January 2025 and as you see those tend to be significant marks.
This model shows that the current Bullish Leg should prepare us for the Final TP Zone and its first stop is the 3.0 Fib at $135k. This is the bottom of the Final TP Zone and the first region that long-term investors should consider taking profits. The key 3.618 Fib extension is at $210k and in our opinion is the absolute max level we should look to sell all positions as chronologically Cycle wise the trend falls there towards the end of the year, which is where all Cycles topped. A 4.0 Fib test is highly unlikely to take place within this Cycle, unless macroeconomic fundamentals (extreme adoption and/or monetary intervention) kick in and that sits at $280k.
But what do you think? Do you agree with this Zones break-down and if yes are you considering taking profits at 135000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Phemex Analysis #82: Pro Tips for Trading Dogecoin (DOGE)Dogecoin (DOGE), once known primarily as a playful meme token, has proven it can produce substantial market movements, drawing significant attention from traders and investors. Notably, in October 2024, DOGE made headlines with a stunning 500% rally, soaring from $0.11 to a peak of $0.48. Yet, as swiftly as it surged, Dogecoin experienced a sharp reversal, dropping nearly 70% to its current price around $0.15.
Recently, technical indicators have hinted at potential opportunities. On March 11, DOGE's price dipped below the level seen on February 28, yet the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained steady, creating a bullish divergence—often signaling a potential reversal. But before traders jump in, let’s carefully examine a few possible scenarios using key support and resistance levels as a roadmap.
Possible Scenarios
1. Bullish Reversal
The RSI divergence observed on the daily chart suggests decreasing selling momentum, hinting at a possible bullish reversal. If DOGE manages to break decisively above nearby resistance levels, renewed buying interest could emerge, pushing the price higher.
Pro Tips:
Entry Strategy: Look for a confirmed breakout above the key resistance zones of $0.261 and $0.286, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume.
Risk Management: To mitigate risk, set stop-loss orders below the recent support level of $0.21, ensuring you’re protected if the anticipated reversal fails.
2. Consolidation Phase
Following substantial price moves, DOGE may enter a period of sideways trading as the market consolidates gains or losses. During this phase, the price could oscillate within a defined range, offering opportunities for both traders and long-term investors to accumulate strategically.
Pro Tips:
Identify Key Levels: Closely monitor the key support at $0.21 and resistance around $0.261 to effectively execute range-based trading strategies.
Utilize Grid Bots: Due to lower volatility during consolidation, deploying grid trading bots can help systematically capture profits from minor price fluctuations.
3. Continued Downtrend
Despite recent positive signals, Dogecoin remains susceptible to broader market conditions. If DOGE breaks below the critical support at $0.21, bearish sentiment could intensify, resulting in further price declines toward lower support levels.
Pro Tips:
Short Positions: Advanced traders may consider short-selling DOGE below key support levels, profiting from continued downward pressure while maintaining a clearly defined exit strategy.
Long-Term Accumulation: For investors with a longer-term perspective, significant price dips near lower supports—such as $0.164, $0.15, or even $0.13—could represent attractive opportunities to accumulate DOGE at discounted valuations.
Conclusion
Dogecoin’s volatility continues to present unique trading opportunities alongside considerable risks. Traders must carefully analyze technical indicators like RSI divergences and closely monitor market sentiment and broader crypto trends. By understanding the scenarios outlined above, employing disciplined risk management, and remaining patient during market fluctuations, traders can confidently navigate DOGE’s price movements, positioning themselves strategically for potential rewards.
Pro Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Pi network is in the sistem progress development?Refering to the latest Consensus2025 at Toronto, most of Pi pioneers are disapointed on what happend. What the pioneers expecting is a sudden fly high price up to the sky or moon. But that still not yet happen. But when looking at Dr. Nickolas the way he walk in and sit, he show a high confident body language. He knowing what is he doing and what next.
After listening to the discussion, the number of peoples attend, who is coming, what are they discuss for. I see Pi is a diamond in the dust, hiding in the dust just waitting to be taken and to be polish. The two important key people attend is Eric Trump and Robert Hines. Eric is the important key role in Trump's family in running the family business.
This time the President Trump sending his best man from the The White House, Robert Hines to see and colecting data for their next steps. Why Robert Hines? Here some facts..
Robert Hines is the Executive Director of the President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets at the White House, where he leads efforts to develop and coordinate national policy on digital asset innovation, regulation, and emerging financial technologies. A graduate of Yale University and Wake Forest University School of Law, Hines brings a strong foundation in law, policy, and political strategy to his role. Prior to his work in the administration, he was active in national politics and continues to be a key voice on issues at the intersection of technology, regulation, and U.S. economic competitiveness.
For sure the President aware about this Pi Network now.
And lots of great people are coming to this massive event, and what we don't know is they are now busy working with the Pi Network system, into merge something new and astonishing.
Think about this :
1.Crypto + blockchain = OLD Cryptocurrencies (Slow)
2.Crypto + Blockchain + Web3 + Ai = Pi Network / Enhance cryptocurrencies. (Fast)
Seems that the crypto also need an upgrades.
ETHUSD: Consolidation before the Megaphone targets 4,100Ethereum is on a strong bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.675, MACD = 190.470, ADX = 31.885) despite the current technical pullback which is happening due to the rejection on the 1D MA200. Once crossed, we expect a test of the Megaphone's top (TP = 4,100).
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BTCUSD: Going for the decisive breakout that opens path to 155,0Bitcoin is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.391, MACD = 3884.400, ADX = 20.801), which during rallies is the starting condition that fuels bullish breakouts and continuations. Such a breakout is about to take place right now as the price is on the LH trendline coming from the ATH. As this chart shows, once Bitcoin breaks over a LH trendline on this Cycle, it has always delivered (much) more upside. Assuming we are currently on the 0.5 Fibonacci level of that breakout, the pattern gives a TP = 155,000.
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BITCOIN This Cycle's peak zone is $150k - $200k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its gains week after week since the April 07 bottom on the 1W MA50, which as we've analyzed extensively its a new Higher Low launchpad for the new (current) Bullish Leg, the way it's been consistently doing on the Higher Lows trend-line since the start of this Bull Cycle.
It's in fact the very same Higher Lows trend-line it had during both previous Cycles, which ended up peaking on the Logarithmic Growth Curve's (LGC) top 2 zones (red), breaking also above the 2 SD above band (orange) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB).
This time the price has 'only' broken above the 1 SD MMB (grey), while having breached into just the lower pink LGC zone. This highlights the theory of Diminishing Returns but at the same time also shows the strong upside potential of the market while subject to these conditions.
So assuming it won't hit by the end of this Cycle the 2 SD MMB nor the top 2 zones of the LGC, the bad case scenario seems to be topping the lower pink LGC zone and the good case scenario topping the upper pink LGC zone. Those two give a profit taking range of 150 - 200k respectively and based on the Sine Waves, we should peak around October 2025.
Is that your profit taking zone as well for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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THETA Token Is In A Larger Flat CorrectionTheta Token with ticker THETAUSD made a deeper retracement in the last year, but it’s actually still above 2023 lows, so it can still be a larger regular 3-3-5 A-B-C flat correction in play. After recent projected five-wave impulse into wave (C) of a three-wave (A)(B)(C) decline in blue wave B, it can be now on the way back to March 2024 highs for blue wave C, which could be a five-wave impulsive cycle. Currently, it can be still unfolding a lower-degree five-wave impulse into wave (1), so more upside is expected for wave (3), especially if breaks above 1.74 bullish level, just be aware of wave (2) pullback.
Theta Token (THETA) is the native cryptocurrency of the Theta Network, a blockchain-powered platform designed for decentralized video streaming and content delivery. It aims to improve the efficiency and cost of streaming by allowing users to share bandwidth and computing resources on a peer-to-peer basis.
TradeCityPro | INJUSDT Best Position Among Altcoins! 👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s dive in and analyze one of my favorite coins in the cryptocurrency space, INJ, which is showing strong potential. We’ll check the new entry triggers together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Time Frame
On the weekly time frame, I see that the seventh period is stable, INJ, and compared to the majority of altcoins that have their own low price levels, it is in a better space and is engaged in its own supports!
After breaking the primary trend ceiling, namely 9.28, we experienced a sharp upward movement and formed a historical ceiling at $53, and after forming a distribution box and breaking the important floor of 16.20 and pulling back to it, we experienced a continued decline.
Currently, we’ve bounced from the key support at 6.54 and experienced a 90% move, which highlights the importance of this resistance. If we form a higher low above 6.54, the 13.54 trigger will be excellent for a spot buy, and I’ll personally add another buy position at that level.
📉 Daily Time Frame
On the daily time frame, our trend is completely bearish as you can see, and the events are completely accompanied by the formation of a downward bottom and top, but we are likely to suffer for a while.
After getting rejected from 34.16 and forming a box between 20.16 and 25.93 and losing the bottom, it made a move and then while pulling back with low volume and the next conversion to red, it became an inverted Sharpe, we experienced a decline!
After breaking the daily trendline and activating its trigger at 8.54, we saw a move and got stuck at the 10.32 resistance. After forming a higher low, we moved up to 13.76. Currently, the 13.76 trigger, and even better, 16.25, can serve as our futures long and spot long triggers, respectively. We’re still holding the position opened at 10.32.
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
ETHEREUM Massive rejection on the 1W MA50. Will it break?Ethereum (ETHUSD) has seen its strongest 1-month rise in recent times since the April 07 rebound and last week that stopped and got rejected exactly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This rebound is technically the new Bullish Leg of the multi-year Rising Wedge.
The 1W MA50 turned into a Resistance when it last broke on the week of January 27 2025, so almost 4 months ago. Once it breaks and closes a 1W candle above it, we can continue to expect the bullish trend to continue by at least as much as the rise below it (that happened in late 2024).
Technically for now, if it breaks, the upside is limited by the 4100 Resistance, so that will be our Target in that event.
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BITCOIN forming 1st 1D Golden Cross in 7 months! New ATH ahead??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to form its first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 7 months (since October 27 2024). This comes with the price very close to its $109k All Time High (ATH), following a relentless rebound and recovery from the Trade War correction.
Within the Bull Cycle's 2.5-year Channel Up, all 1D Golden Crosses have delivered higher prices instantly and the minimum % rise one has given before a new 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back, has been +33.11%.
This gives us an immediate Target of $135000 and is very much in line with a number of previous projections that the date show within this Target Region. Notice also how on all 3 last 1D Golden Crosses, a 1W MACD Bullish Cross precedes it. Basically that is the double confirmation of the medium-term bullish extension.
So do you think this 1D Golden Cross is such a strong buy signal and if yes, is $135k the bare minimum Target short-term? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Deeper retracement is possible. 104-105.2 for short entryMorning folks,
So, last setup worked just partially - action started from 101K as suggested but BTC completed only 1.27 butterfly target, showing sharp reversal.
Current reversal is important because market is neither on some target, resistance or overbought. It means that reversal is driven by external factors. Although our long-term bullish view is still valid, with "at least" 110K target, the road to the target might be bumpy, with moderate pullback first.
It means that right now weekly/daily traders should sit on the hands and wait when retracement will be over. While daily/intraday traders could consider short entry from 104-105.2K resistance area by our view.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 16, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has remained tightly bound within our Mean Resistance level of 104000 and is positioned to retest the lower target identified as Mean Support at 99300. There exists a possibility of a further decline toward an additional Mean Support target at 94000. Nonetheless, it is crucial to recognize the potential for upward momentum from the current level, which may lead to a challenge of the Key Resistance at 106100. This could culminate in a retest of the previously established Inner Coin Rally at $108,000.
BTCUSDT: The ‘Parabolic Channel’ Play – $250 K to $500 K … then?⚙️ Chart Specs
Ticker / Pair: BTCUSDT
Time-Frame: 1W (log scale)
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (default), 7-year logarithmic channel, long-term trend-lines & Fib extensions
Date of publish: 17 May 2025
1️⃣ Macro Context
Bitcoin just printed a decisive weekly close above the mid-line of its 2017-2025 log channel while the Ichimoku Cloud has flipped full-bull (span A > span B). Post-2024 halving supply shock + macro liquidity rotation = strong tail-wind.
2️⃣ Projected Path
Phase Target zone % from breakout Key confluence
Break & sprint $255-270 K ~+140 % Vacuum above former ATH; minimal supply
Euphoria stretch $375 K ~+250 % Channel ceiling + 2.0 Fib
Blow-off wick $500-520 K ~+380 % 2.618 Fib extension + typical overshoot
Dashed white arrows on the chart sketch the base-case impulse and an optional “melt-up” extension.
3️⃣ Post-parabola Retrace
Historical cycles point to a -50 ~ -60 % draw-down once the upper red rail is tagged. I’m watching:
$255-250 K → first liquidity pocket / mid-channel
$215-210 K → 0.5 Fib retrace of the entire move
Either zone could reset weekly momentum while preserving the uptrend.
4️⃣ Invalidation Levels
Weekly close < $92 K → breakout failure → bias flips neutral, potential slide to red mid-line ~$75 K.
Close below channel base $60 K → macro thesis void, shift to bear bias.
5️⃣ Illustrative Trade Plan (not financial advice)
Leg Entry TP(s) Stop
Impulse swing Weekly close > $120 K $255 K / $375 K Weekly close < $92 K
Blow-off punt Break > $375 K on volume Trail toward $500 K 2-week trailing low
Retrace reload Bullish SFP at $255-210 K Ride next cycle Close < $200 K
📝 Take-aways
Base target sits in the $250 K region; exuberant extension eyes $500 K.
Expect aggressive mean reversion once the upper rail is hit.
Clear invalidations help keep emotions in check amid extreme volatility.
⚠️ This is an educational study,
BTCUSD Can it do this one more time?Bitcoin / BTCUSD is on a strong 1week MA50 rebound, while staying inside the Channel Up from the Cycle bottom and holding the 1week RSI Support.
Last time it did that was during the 2015-2017 Bull Cycle.
In fact it was May 2017 when the price started rising aggressively and eventually broke above the Channel Up into a relentless parabolic rally until the end of the year.
With the Cycle seemingly identical, do you think Bitcoin can do this one more time?
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HEDERA Not high hopes. Upside is limited.Hedera / HBARUSD is on a 1week MA50 rebound with the 1week MACD close to a Bullish Cross formation.
This is the very same pattern it followed near the end of the previous Cycle on the June 21st 2021 rebound.
See the identical 1week MACD patterns, even the similar price structure on the 2020 and 2024 Bull Flags that initiated parabolic rallies.
Actually HBAR topped 2 weeks after the 1week MACD formed the Bullish Cross. The Bearish Divergence there was evident.
As a result, since the previous Cycle topped on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, we expect HBAR to rise to 0.5000 max. Nothing like the parabolic rally it had after the recent U.S. elections.
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PEPEUSD broke and closed last week above its 1week MA50.Inside its historic Channel Up, this is the earliest confirmed buy signal and last time it priced the bottom of the pattern, confirming the start of the new bullish leg.
Note also that it just formed a Bullish Cross on the 1week MACD.
Last time the whole wave peaked at a massive +2756%. Repeating that gives 0.0001400 and that can be achieved by the end of the year.
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SUIUSD Massive Bullish Cross was just completed!SUI just made a Bullish Cross on the 1W timeframe, its 2nd ever.
The first one was on September 2nd 2024, 4 weeks after the price bottomed on the long term Channel Up and rebounded.
The latest Cross was also formed 4 weeks after the April 7th 2025 bottom and even though we don't expect a similar +1062% rise, we do expect the growth that the first Bullish Leg had (+507.35%).
Target $10.000 right at the top of the Channel Up.
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