Cryptocurrency
2 Options, Keeping it simpleBTC is currently within its long-term ascending channel but has shown strong rejection at the upper boundary (~$100K).
A pullback toward the mid-channel support (~$70K-$75K) seems likely, aligning with historical retracement patterns.
Indicators Show Weakness:
RSI Divergence suggests a slowdown in momentum.
MACD hints at a potential bearish crossover.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95K - $100K (Upper trendline)
Support: $75K (Mid-channel), $60K (Lower trendline)
📈 Scenario 1: BTC consolidates and regains strength for a new ATH attempt.
📉 Scenario 2: A deeper correction to the lower trendline before continuation.
Needs to really break $95k first.
TradeCityPro | HBARUSDT Better Condition Than the Market!👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let's go together and examine one of the popular coins in the market that has experienced less correction recently and is in better condition than other altcoins!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
We go to the weekly time frame and see that hbar's condition is much better than other altcoins, and this is precisely due to the entry of momentum and Bitcoin's bullishness!
After we broke through the support at 0.04339 and engulfed the previous weekly candle, it was a bullish sign, and after the trigger at 0.06219 was activated, we broke this resistance and momentum entered this coin!
If you made your purchase in the spot section from this level, the situation is okay for now, but you can save profit or withdraw the principal capital. If you want to re-enter, you can make your purchase after the 0.33056 break.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily time frame, we have higher levels and a better situation than the rest of the coins, and in a situation where most altcoins are forming lower bottoms, this has not even lost its main level.
After the 0.06470 and daily box break, we experienced a movement of about 500%, and if we draw a Fibonacci, we are currently at the 0.382 level, and this in itself increases the importance of this level! If the 0.37350 ceiling is broken, it shows us that we are going to experience a new movement!
This daily candle can be a good trigger to buy again, and the reason is that we are rising from a good support level and it is also a good Fibonacci level, but this trigger is risky and after the break of 0.26486 it will be a better trigger to welcome, and for a temporary exit, you can also temporarily exit with a break of 0.18653.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BITCOIN Short term Channel Down rebounding.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having a rebound after the price hit the bottom of the 10 day Channel Down.
The bullish wave should attempt at least a +13.73% rise (similar to the previous one) and target 87000.
That is the short term bullish plan as the price may be rejected again at the top of the Channel Down.
If however the 4hour MA200 breaks, it will be the first time since February 4th and should be enough to restore the long term bullish bias back to the market.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Double Top Pattern / Wait For Neckline BreakWe are still looking for that neckline breakdown to happen from our "double top" pattern.
As soon as we get the break of the neckline, this would send the price back to lower zones (where the first target would be the 200 EMA zone at $86K, then the lower support zone).
Swallow Team
HBARUSD: Can it reach $1.00 by the end of the year?Hedera is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.045, MACD = -0.011, ADX = 33.721) as it had a strong 1D MA50 rejection and approached its 1D MA200 seeking support. If it holds, the Channel Down of the past 3 months will turn out to be a Bull Flag that will greadually push the price to the HH trendline for the Cycle's Top. We believe that could be at $1.00 by the end of 2025.
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Hedera Goes From April Highs, To ATH, To Elliot Wave Theory? Lets break down what COINBASE:HBARUSD may be setting up for a long-term scenario!
We saw a impressive Bullish Rally from beginning of November 2024 that facilitated a Breakout of the April 2024 High @ .1842 to then create its All Time High @ .4010.
With this Price Action going from a Significant Low to create a new Higher High, we can apply the Elliot Wave Theory which is first supported by seeing some sort of Fibonacci Retracement from the Low to New High and we see that February of 2025 delivered a Fibonacci Retracement to the Golden Ratio Zone twice to now be showing support from Bulls pushing price higher!
Technically, with Wave 1 having been corrected successfully by Wave 2, both being completed, we now can expect price to give us another extension starting Wave 3, giving us a Break of the ATH created by Wave 1, to then confirm our directional bias and validate the Elliot Wave Theory.
Based on the Fibonacci Extension, we can project a potential "Roadmap" price may follow while outlining the rest of the Impulse and Corrective Waves where we see Price ultimately ending Wave 5 at the Potential Range Target of ( .7571 - .89441 )
Rules:
- The 2nd Wave cannot retrace the 1st Wave more than 100%
- The 3rd Wave can never be the shortest of the Impulse Waves ( 1,3,5 )
- The 4th Wave cannot retrace the 3rd Wave more than 100%
Ethereum at Key Support: Will it bounce to 2,800$?COINBASE:ETHUSD price is moving inside a clear ascending channel , with the upper boundary acting as long-term resistance and the lower boundary providing dynamic support. After a steady climb, the price started showing weakness, confirmed by a head and shoulders pattern, a common sign that the trend might reverse. This led to a strong drop, bringing the price down to a key support zone around $2,000.
This support area is important because it meets with a major trendline, making it a likely spot where buyers could step in. The volume profile also shows a lot of activity in this zone, meaning traders have been interested in these levels before. If the price holds above this support, there’s a good chance it could bounce towards $2,800, which lines up with a previous resistance.
A breakdown below the trendline shifts the bias bearish toward 1,414. For now, as long as Ethereum stays above the support zone, a recovery toward $2,800 is on the table. But if it falls below, the bearish trend is likely to continue.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
TRXUSD Another 2 months of consolidation is possible.Last time we looked at TRON (TRXUSD) was almost 6 months ago (September 25 2024, see chart below) when we called for a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) buy:
The immediate rally that followed, hit our 0.2100 Target in less than 2 months, even breaking above the long-term Channel Up. Since then, the Bullish Leg deflated and settled sideways on a trade within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is an Accumulation Phase and on the current 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle, it is not the first time we've seen one. In fact the Higher Lows Zone had such phases since its start but the most notable and most similar to the current one is the one between March - August 2024.
Always supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), this Accumulation Phase displayed the same kind of 1D MACD Bullish Divergence and once it formed its first Higher Highs trend-line and rebounded on the 1D MA200, it entered the Parabolic Rally Phase.
If the symmetry holds, then we might see TRX hit 0.6000 by September 2025.
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BITCOIN at Key Support – Ready to Bounce to $94,000?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading at a key demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support within the ascending channel. The recent retracement has brought the price back into this area, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction. The confluence of the support zone and the ascending trendline suggests that buyers may step in to regain control.
If price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish continuation toward the $94,000 level, aligning with the channel’s midline and the next major resistance. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish bias and signal a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increasing buying volume, before considering long positions. A breakout above minor resistance levels along the way could further strengthen the bullish outlook.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation AnalysisQuick analysis of BTCUSD downside targets. Remains to be seen whether the near-term Bitcoin lows will hold, but if they don't, a "bear trap" setup could be in play. There's a daily demand zone (77075-74305) wedged between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. The bear trap will be dependent on momentum, but watch this area if we get a flush below 78180. If bullish divergences form, bulls could look to trap bears and buy within said range.
That said, keep the focus on longer-term charts. Larger timeframe buy zones are ~70K. Should the weekly RSI take a dive < 40, look for reversal signals on smaller timeframes before getting long. The high of the corrective segment denoting ideal buys is 73808 and the anchor low securing the long-term uptrend is 49351. Entries within that range, which is wide, are viable. Also multiple support/resistance "flip zones" in play circa the abovementioned levels.
Bitcoin found some support ~50% Fib retrace, anchored VWAP, and sub-daily demand. It could hold here (trying to put in a intraday higher low as I type this), but I'm hoping it trades lower before higher.
Godspeed!
JHart
Phemex Analysis #66: Pro Tips for Trading Dogecoin (DOGE)In the volatile world of cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin ( PHEMEX:DOGEUSDT.P ) has consistently captured the attention of traders and enthusiasts alike. In October 2024, DOGE experienced a remarkable surge, climbing from $0.11 to a peak of $0.48—a gain of nearly 500%. However, this exuberance was short-lived, and the price has since plummeted by 70%, currently trading around $0.15.
A closer examination of the daily chart reveals a potential bullish reversal indicator. On March 11, DOGE's price dipped lower than its February 28 level, yet the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained similar on both dates. This RSI divergence often signals a potential bullish reversal. However, caution is advised before making any trading decisions. Let's explore a few possible scenarios, using support and resistance levels as our guide.
Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal
The observed RSI divergence suggests that selling pressure may be waning, potentially paving the way for a price rebound. If DOGE manages to break above the immediate resistance levels, this could confirm a bullish reversal.
Pro Tips:
Monitor Resistance Levels: Key resistance levels to watch are $0.19 and $0.22. A decisive break above these levels, accompanied by increased trading volume, could signal the start of a bullish trend.
Risk Management: Consider setting stop-loss orders below recent support levels to mitigate potential losses if the bullish reversal does not materialize.
Scenario 2: Continued Downtrend
If DOGE fails to maintain its current support levels, the downtrend may persist. A drop below the critical support at $0.15 could lead to further declines.
Pro Tips:
Identify Support Levels: The next significant support levels are $0.127 and $0.10. Traders should watch these levels closely for potential buying opportunities or further declines.
Short Positions: Advanced traders might consider short positions if DOGE breaks below key support levels, aiming to profit from the continued downtrend.
Scenario 3: Sideways Consolidation
DOGE may enter a phase of sideways movement, trading within a defined range as the market seeks direction.
Pro Tips:
Range Trading: Identify the upper and lower bounds of the trading range. Buying near support and selling near resistance can be an effective strategy in a consolidating market.
Grid Bots: Since price volatility is smaller during consolidation, utilizing grid bots to capitalize on small price movements is highly recommended.
Final Thoughts
Dogecoin's recent price movements present both challenges and opportunities for traders. While technical indicators like RSI divergence suggest a potential bullish reversal, it's crucial to consider all possible scenarios and employ sound risk management strategies. By staying informed and vigilant, traders can navigate DOGE's volatility and make informed decisions.
Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
TradeCityPro | APTUSDT Market Drop on Trump News?👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let's analyze and review one of the popular tier-2 coins together and take a look at this recent Trump news regarding the economic record
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
APT remains inside its large, volatile range, frequently bouncing between its highs and lows. However, this time, it has formed a lower high, which is not a positive sign.
Additionally, after breaking $7.78, sellers completely engulfed the weekly candle, and for the past five weeks, all candles have been red with high selling volume, confirming the downtrend.
There is no buy trigger at the moment, and I cannot recommend a buying opportunity until the market forms a new structure.
For selling, if APT drops below $4.97, it makes sense to exit and accept the loss instead of holding onto a losing position.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, APT failed to break the $14.61 resistance. Even worse, it couldn't even reach the previous high before getting rejected earlier, signaling weakness.
After breaking below $8.46, the market entered an MWC (Market Weakness Confirmation) downtrend.
Following the breakdown, a pullback retest occurred, and the daily candle engulfed the previous two days' candles, leading to further decline. Currently, APT is at $5.70, with RSI in the oversold zone, suggesting a possible short-term slowdown in selling pressure.
I personally feel that APT’s drop is sufficient for now, and we might enter a range here before a final move toward the $4.95 support. However, this does not mean it’s a buy signal. We need to wait for a new market structure before considering spot entries.
In the current situation, the market is really not very analytical and Bitcoin is likely to hit the $72,000-$74,000 level and then go for a break or bullishness, and you should pay attention to these market times! Don’t be FOMO!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
NEAR (NEARUSDT) Weekly Analysis: Potential Reversal in SightHey everyone! Let’s take a look at NEAR (NEARUSDT) on the weekly chart. There’s a chance the price might move into the 1.728–2.067 range, possibly sweeping up some liquidity before heading toward the 1.467–1.669 zone. This area seems like it could act as a launchpad for a potential bounce, aiming for higher targets afterward.
Watch for a spike in trading volume around that zone—if volume picks up, it could indicate stronger buying interest. Another key signal to look out for is a bullish candlestick pattern (like a hammer or a bullish engulfing), which might confirm a reversal if it appears near the 1.467–1.669 level.
Of course, if the price drops below 1.467, it might change this outlook and suggest a different path forward. Since the market can be unpredictable, it’s always important to keep an eye on these levels and stay prepared.
Above all, remember to do your own research and stay informed—this space can move fast, and it’s best to approach it with a curious mind. Keep learning, stay positive, and good luck out there! 📈
BTC Time to FLY.As of now according to weekly chart i can see that the Market is on that resistance level of its channel, so what i think here is that the Market will goes according to its history, probability is market will retest 50 MA and will show the new high, after that it will move towards channel's support level.
So According to me, its the best time to be Bullish, or have some spot in portfolio.
BTC Warning Time .As of now according to weekly chart i can see that the Market is on that resistance level of its channel, so what i think here is that the Market will goes according to its history, probability is market will retest 50 MA and will show the new high, after that it will move towards channel's support level.
So According to me, its the best time to be Bullish, or have some spot in portfolio.
Can MicroStrategy Save Bitcoin's Destiny?MicroStrategy’s dramatic stock decline has become a bellwether for the broader digital asset market. As its share price plunges, the company’s deep ties to Bitcoin spotlight a precarious balance between corporate strategy and the volatility inherent in the crypto space. This unfolding scenario challenges investors to reconsider the intertwined fates of traditional finance and digital innovation.
The company’s approach to using Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve has been revolutionary and risky. Aggressive accumulation strategies, including debt financing and Bitcoin-backed loans, have magnified the impact of market fluctuations. With critical support levels now under threat, the risk of forced asset sales looms large—an event that could cascade through the crypto ecosystem and undermine confidence in digital currencies.
Amid these challenges, MicroStrategy is also pursuing bold financing initiatives to stabilize its operations. Plans to raise $21 billion through a preferred stock offering signal a dual objective: securing necessary capital and further investing in Bitcoin. This move reflects an ongoing commitment to a Bitcoin-centric strategy, even as recent transactions have resulted in significant unrealized losses.
In parallel, the cryptocurrency landscape faces unprecedented headwinds from regulatory pressures, geopolitical tensions, and emerging technological vulnerabilities. Financial professionals are compelled to balance risk with opportunity, rethinking investment strategies amid an environment where innovation meets uncertainty at every turn.
The looming threat of quantum computing adds another layer of complexity. As quantum technologies advance, their potential to break current cryptographic standards—on which Bitcoin’s security fundamentally relies—poses a significant risk. Should quantum computers overcome encryption protocols like SHA-256, the very foundation of blockchain technology could be compromised, forcing the industry to adopt quantum-resistant measures rapidly. This challenge not only underscores the volatility of the digital asset market but also inspires a deeper exploration into safeguarding the future of decentralized finance.
INJ Price Analysis: Key Zones & Reversal ScenariosHey everyone! 👋
Let's dive into this price chart and see what’s going on with INJ.
Overview:
We’re looking at INJ on a weekly timeframe , and there are some interesting levels to watch. The chart shows **three key zones** where price reactions might happen, marked with price levels. There are also areas of liquidity (LQ) , where the market might make a move before reversing direction.
Potential Reversal Scenarios:
Three possible price movements are shown with yellow arrows , each representing a different way the price might reverse. The second arrow is the primary scenario, suggesting that after sweeping at least one liquidity level, the price could bounce back up—especially if there’s solid volume and a strong candlestick pattern.
- Main Support Zone (3.84 - 4.84): This area is the most important. If the price reaches this zone and shows good volume and a strong candlestick pattern, it could signal a trend change.
- Other Support Zones (2.55 - 2.85 and 7.38 - 8.92): These are additional key levels. A drop below these could change the outlook.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP levels are marked on the chart. If the price reverses as expected, these targets may be reached.
Final Thoughts:
Nothing in crypto is guaranteed! Always look for confirmations like volume and candlestick patterns before making decisions. Stay informed, trade smart, and always do your own research! 📊💡
BITCOIN Is this the last defense before the narrative changes?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got yet again increasingly volatile during the weekend and is approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned on the title, this is "the last defense" for BTC as so far this price action hasn't diverged a bit from the Channel Up of the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle but a break and 1W candle close below it, would jeopardize that.
** The key 1W MA50 **
In fact the only times that Bitcoin closed below its 1W MA50 during a Bull Cycle and the Cycle continued was of course during the March 2020 COVID global market flash crash and November 18 2019. But the current Bull Cycle is nothing like in 2019 - 2021, it doesn't have the initial overextension of the Libra hype (May - June 2019) or Elon's early 2020 hype nor of course the pandemic shutdown. On the contrary it is incredibly similar with 2015 - 2017 with the only difference being that, thanks to the ETF launch in January 2024, the market marginally breached the previous All Time High (ATH) earlier.
** Symmetry playing out **
So back to the similarities between those two Cycles. The Cycle count indicates that we are at the end of the (blue) Bull Rectangle in March 2017 (847 days) when the price almost tested the 1W MA50 and then started the (green) Parabolic Phase to new ATHs (217 days). Even in terms of 1W RSI and MACD, the two fractals are similar, with the RSI being on its 2nd 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase' bottom and the MACD on its 2nd Bullish Cross.
** How high can it get? **
Now as to how high the new Cycle Top can be, can be anybody's guess, but if it repeats the less aggressive 2021 Top, it could be on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, i.e. around $170k, while if it repeats the (much more unrealistic for such short period of time in terms of market cap) 2017 Top, it could be on the 2.382 Fib ext, i.e. around $520k. The worst case scenario is to have Fib extension Tops on a decreasing rate, in which case the 1.5 - 1.382 levels are next, giving us a potential target range of 120k - 145k, which would be almost a Double Top similar to November 2021.
So what do you think? Will the 1W MA50 come to Bitcoin's rescue yet again or the narrative will change this time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Pullback to 85K for sellingMorning folks,
So, everything goes with the plan - nothing to change on major picture. We keep our bearish view on BTC and now consider 68-74K area as the next destination point. But this could take a few weeks.
In fact, previous 68K top also will be a big test. Downside break will open road to 52-55K. While if BTC will be able to stay in 70-80K range, it will keep long term bullish context. It should be interesting...
Meantime, BTC once again hits oversold areas as on weekly as on daily charts. As we promised - D. Trump verbal boost lasted just 2 days and was reversed down. We see some intention market manipulations from D. Trump administration but this is not the subject for this update.
In short-term - 2-3 days BTC needs to relief oversold pressure, so minor bounce is quite possible. For example, based on "222" pattern on 1H chart we could see attempt to bounce up from 79K and up to 84-85K area.
Those who wants to sell - that might be the chance.
For now I mark this update as bullish, because of suggested bounce. But our longer term view remains bearish still.
NOTUSDT Weekly Demand Zone: Potential Bullish Reversal at 0.0019This analysis focuses on Notcoin (NOTUSDT) on the Weekly timeframe , identifying a key demand zone that suggests a potential bullish reversal .
Based on chart observation, the price of NOTUSDT is approaching a critical demand zone located between 0.001971 and 0.001561 . This zone is anticipated to act as strong support, potentially marking a significant price low for the asset in the current market cycle.
The expectation is that within this demand zone , buyers will step in with sufficient volume , leading to a change in the current price trend and initiating a bullish reversal . The presence of proper volume upon entering this zone will be crucial to confirm the strength of the demand and the likelihood of a sustainable upward movement.
To illustrate the potential upside, Take Profit (TP) levels have been marked on the chart. These TP levels represent projected targets for the price following a successful bounce from the demand zone. Traders and investors should monitor price action closely as it interacts with this zone, looking for bullish confirmation signals such as:
Increased buying volume: A surge in volume as the price tests the demand zone would indicate strong buyer interest.
Bullish candlestick patterns: Formation of reversal candlestick patterns within the zone (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer) could further validate the potential for an upward move.
In summary: This analysis suggests that the 0.001971 - 0.001561 zone presents a significant opportunity for a potential bullish reversal in NOTUSDT on the weekly timeframe. Closely monitoring price action and volume within this zone is recommended to identify potential long entry opportunities, targeting the marked Take Profit levels as the asset recovers.