Phemex Analysis #78: Pro Tips for Trading SOLANA (SOL)Solana ( PHEMEX:SOLUSDT.P ) is known for its high throughput and fast transaction speeds, making it a popular choice for various decentralized applications (dApps) and traders. Large crypto-native funds are actively bidding for bulk SOL positions, betting on eventual U.S. spot-ETF approval. This analysis will outline potential trading scenarios for SOL, keeping in mind the volatility inherent in the cryptocurrency market and the interest from large crypto funds.
Possible Scenarios
1. Uptrend
If Solana demonstrates strong buying pressure, high volume, and positive news or developments, including potential U.S. spot-ETF approval, it could establish and maintain an uptrend. The interest from large crypto-native funds suggests significant capital inflows could drive prices higher in this scenario.
Pro Tips:
Identify key resistance levels, such as $157. A breakout above these levels, accompanied by increased volume, could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
Consider entering long positions on the breakouts, with stop-loss orders placed below recent swing lows to manage risk.
Short term profit targets are $179, $205 & $241.
2. Consolidation
Solana's price may enter a consolidation phase, characterized by sideways movement within a defined range. This could occur after a significant uptrend or downtrend, or as the market awaits further clarity on factors such as regulatory developments or ETF approval.
Pro Tips:
Identify the upper and lower boundaries of the consolidation range, such as $157 (upper) and $133 (lower).
Be patient and wait for a clear breakout or breakdown from the range before taking a position.
Consider range-bound trading strategies, such as buying near support and selling near resistance, but manage risk carefully.
3. Downtrend
Solana's price could decline due to various factors, including negative news, market-wide sell-offs, or a decrease in demand. However, the presence of large funds accumulating SOL may provide a degree of support during downturns.
Pro Tips:
Identify key support levels, such as $140 & $133. A break below these levels could signal further downside.
Consider exiting long positions or tightening stop-loss orders if the price breaks below important support.
For experienced traders, short-selling opportunities may arise during a downtrend, but this carries higher risk.
Conclusion
Solana presents both opportunities and risks for traders. Its high throughput and fast transaction speeds, combined with the interest from large crypto-native funds anticipating potential ETF approval, suggest the potential for significant price appreciation. However, like all cryptocurrencies, Solana is subject to market volatility and regulatory uncertainty. Traders should employ a combination of technical and fundamental analysis, practice sound risk management, and stay informed about market developments to make informed trading decisions. The potential for a U.S. spot-ETF adds a layer of complexity and opportunity, requiring traders to closely monitor regulatory news and fund flows.
Pro Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Cryptocurrency
Starknet - Incoming Reversal?Starknet has been on a consistent downtrend. Its about time we finish this wave structure where we will see an impulse finish of Wave c.
Looking for the 5th wave to finish to sweep the low. However, the pullback seems very deep in that micro structure so its also likely we don't get that sweep. As long as we close below that wick from the green box and we can consider 5th wave to be done.
AI Prediction SOL/USD Trading Plan 24 hours!💰 May 4, 2025 8:52 pm. SOL/USD Trading Plan
Long Scenario
- Entry: Breakout above 148.50 (volume >8,000).
- Stop-Loss (SL): 145.50 (below support).
- Take-Profit (TP): 149.50 (below resistance).
- Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR ($0.77).
- Confirmation: Supertrend (long), MACD bullish crossover, RSI >50.
Short Scenario
- Entry: Breakdown below 146.50 (volume >12,000).
- SL: 147.50 (above resistance).
- TP: 145.50 (above support).
- Trailing Stop: 1x ATR ($0.51).
- Confirmation: Supertrend flips short, MACD bearish, CMF <0.
BTCUSD: 1H Death Cross might be dangerous but expect $100k if inBitcoin remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.614, MACD = 2557.800, ADX = 37.923) despite the correction since Friday's high. This is because the underlying pattern is a Bullish Megaphone which just bottomed. On the other hand, the 1H timeframe just formed a Death Cross. If this is invalidated and the price remains inside the Bullish Megaphone (also see that the 1H RSI is on a Bullish Divergence), we can see $100k on the next leg up (1.5 Fib extension like the 2 HH before). If the Bullish Megaphone breaks, testing the 1D MA200 at least, is veyr likely.
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05/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $97,941.18
Last weeks low: $92,845.16
Midpoint: $95,393.17
FOMC week returns once again on Wednesday, the forecast suggests no change to the interest rate is expected with 4.5% staying as is. The tariff acceleration we saw last month brought into question the timing of rate cuts and if they would be brought forward, it looks like this FOMC is too early to see a cut but it is coming in the future if president Trump gets his way.
The chart is an interesting one but one that isn't too surprising. The orderblock that sent Bitcoins price to $74,500 was at ~$97,000, naturally that area would be major resistance and so a huge amount of Stop Losses were placed there, price swept that supply zone wiping out SL and SFP back under the resistance zone, a textbook move.
An accumulation under the resistance area would be a sign that the bulls are building to flip the zone, however a gradual sell-off from here would then look like a HTF lower high, a very bearish pattern.
Going into the FED interest rate decision there is usually a lot of de-risking/ sidelining from traders until the decision is made, therefor the second half of the week would give us more directional information.
BITCOIN 1st 1W MACD Bullish Cross in 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of completing this week a Bullish Cross on its 1W MACD, which will be the first one after 7 months (since October 14 2024).
This is a major technical bullish development as since the very first one (Sep 26 2022) right before the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, it has always kick-started the Bullish Legs of this 2.5-year Channel Up.
In addition to that, this was accompanied by an Ichimoku Bullish Cross, where the Conversion Line (green) crossed above the Base Line (black). Considering also that exactly 4 weeks ago BTC found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we can safely confirm a Bottom there and call for the minimum +100.73% rise, similar to the first Bullish Leg of this Channel Up. We remain consistent to our $150000 Target.
So do you think this 1W MACD Bullish Cross is the final confirmation we need for the new Bullish Leg? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Watching for 88.5-89KMorning folks,
So, upside spike has happened and our 3-Drive + butterfly patterns are done. Although we haven't got continuation to 98K area that also was on a table.
Now short-term sentiment has changed. Recent data shows that the Fed doesn't need to hurry up with rate cut, yields turns up, so BTC also could follow the common tendency with deeper retracement.
This is the reason why we do not consider any longs today. As a nearest area that might be reached we consider 88.5-89K support.
So, for bulls it is nothing to do. If you're intraday trader, you could consider bearish positions from predefined Fib levels on the picture. 3-Drive hasn't reached its target yet, so 92.5-93K area still could be reached...
Bitcoin to create new All Time High?Fundamental Analysis
Uncertainty with the Dollar.
Institutional adoption of Bitcoin undergoing unprecedented acceleration.
COT report(Bitcoin Micro Futures) as of: April 29, 2025 shows Non-commercial traders still net short(-3,958) however, a larger percentage of investors who were short the previous week have closed their short positions(-17,401) as opposed to those long(-758).
Technical analysis(Daily TF)
Possible low of the year formed in April(on the 7th)
Displacement of sellers with buy stops above previous highs(2nd & 24th March)
-2 scenarios possible;
1. Correction to fill the liquidity void created on 20th-24th of April then continuation of the bull run or
2. If the daily FVG formed on the 1st of May holds, it could support price higher.
BTC: Balancing on the EdgeBitcoin held the $90.5K level and managed to flip prior resistance into support—an encouraging development, especially given how close price was hovering to the so-called danger zone. That flip marked a technical win for bulls, signaling potential strength in the short-term structure.
However, we’re not entirely out of the woods just yet.
While price is holding above support and showing some resilience, we’re still trading uncomfortably close to the edge of the recent consolidation zone. For now, $91.5K stands as the ideal level to hold.
The concern? If price starts slipping back below this newly established support, especially with conviction, that could be a signal of deeper retracement on the table. The bullish narrative would weaken significantly if we revisit and fail to defend those levels, potentially opening the door for a more sustained correction.
So, while the short-term structure remains cautiously optimistic, this isn’t the time for complacency. The market’s still in a precarious spot, and clarity will only come with either continued strength—or a confirmed break below support.
Eyes on $91.5K for now. Hold that, and the momentum favors the bulls. Lose it, and the deeper pullback scenario comes back into play.
Trade Safe, Trade Clarity.
BTC Outlook May 2025CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Nears Major Resistance – What Comes Next?
As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading around $96,000, climbing steadily as it approaches what I believe is a critical resistance zone between $98,000 and $102,000. This area has the potential to act as a major turning point.
If Bitcoin can break through and hold above the $102,000 level, I believe there's a strong chance we see continued momentum pushing the price toward $120,000 or even higher. However, if Bitcoin is rejected at this resistance zone, it could mark the beginning of a retracement, with the next major support area appearing around the $71,000 level.
This zone of resistance is, in my view, one of the most important to watch in the current cycle. Whether Bitcoin can establish new support above it—or get turned away—could shape the trajectory for the rest of the year.
Previous Bitcoin Outlook
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are my personal opinions and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BTC HAVE A HIGH PROBABILITY TO FALL DOWN!!!The BTC starts looking weak and it's perfect time to long for a short. We are almost at the top of this run from last weeks and we can see that BTC made a perfect divergence pattern. My indicator shows me also that we are entering a mid-term bearish trend and there is a high chance that we are gonna fall much deeper than in last weeks. My target is clear and I'm holding my strategy so I wait for the price to hit my SMA line like it was in the last days but now I wait for the price to hit the SMA line at 4H chart because we didn't hit it since 2 weeks so in this moment we can see even in a few candles that the price is gonna touch it. I am actually in the short and waiting for the price to go for my target, we also have a weekend so the price will be probably slow but everything can happen. In my opinion next week are gonna be red and the price should touch my target. I recommend to watch a 1H and 2H chart and looking when price will hit the SMA line on these timeframes because my target is set in a 4H chart but we can book profits even when the price will hit the SMA at 1H and at 2H chart. Be careful and stay focused.