BITCOIN just broke above 4H MA200 for the 1st time in 1.5 month!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today above its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1.5 month (since February 04). This is on its own a major bullish signal but fortunately for buyers, it is not the only one.
Just yesterday, the price also broke above the February 21 Lower Highs trend-line, the first medium-term Resistance of the market that basically started the brutal sell-off of late February and breaking above it technically restores the bullish sentiment back to the market and at the same time formed a 4H MA50/100 Bullish Cross for the first time in more than 2 months (January 18).
Obviously the complete confirmation will come if BTC breaks above its Channel Down but given the fact that 2 Resistance levels already broke and that the bottom looks like a W-shaped recovery pattern, we can already set a Target on the 99500 Resistance, which just so happens to be marginally below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
But what do you think? Is this 4H MA200 break-out the bullish signal the market needed after such a long time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrency
What BTC is showing?! Full Scenario As of now market is really slow... Why?
As the History of BTC shows that market never formed a new high with out retesting its Support or previous Resistance level, as in 2020 market break its Resistance level which was 19,000 and market formed a new high in 2021 which was 68,000 after that market didn't formed a new high until it retested its last support level 19,000. After retesting 19,000 market shows us a new high of 109,000 and since Market has formed a new high it didn't retested its Support level which is 68,000, so According to me history will be repeated here, till market don't retest its previous level which is 68,000 market will be slow and bearish. After that market will perform a new high.
According to RSI there is also a bearish divergences which support my vision.
Watching for the same 90K area Part IIMorning folks,
Here is just minor update to our last idea. BTC mostly was flat in recent two sessions, so action is started only today.
So, the plan that we've prepared remains valid. Since an area around 90K is a strong resistance, we think that short entry attempt there is relatively safe, and at least should give us the chance to turn it to breakeven trade.
Now, on 1H chart we have two patterns that point on the same area.
ETH Breakout Setup: Eyeing $2,550 Target!"Key Observations:
Strong Support Level: ETH has bounced from a strong support zone around $1,792 - $1,905.
Retest & Buy Zone: Price has broken above a key level and is now retesting it, indicating a potential buy opportunity.
Resistance Zone: A key resistance zone is marked near $2,557.71.
Target Levels: The first target is set at $2,557.71, with a possible further extension to $2,854.38.
Bullish Confirmation: If ETH maintains support above $1,981, the uptrend towards the target is likely.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Buy on successful retest.
Stop Loss: Below the strong level at $1,905 - $1,792.
Take Profit: First target at $2,557.71, extended target at $2,854.38.
This setup follows a classic breakout and retest strategy, suggesting bullish momentum if Ethereum sustains above key levels.
Bitcoin Breakout: Potential Rally Towards $110K!"Key Observations:
Descending Channel: The price has been moving downward within a channel, showing lower highs and lower lows.
Support Level: Marked near $79,912.83, where the price recently bounced.
Breakout Scenario: BTC appears to be breaking out of the channel, suggesting a potential bullish trend.
Target: The projected target is $110,146.67, indicating a significant upward move.
Stop Loss: Positioned below the support level to manage risk in case of a price reversal.
Trading Idea:
A long trade setup is suggested, with entry upon confirmation of the breakout.
Stop-loss below the recent low ($79,912.83) to minimize risk.
Profit target near $110,146.67, aligning with previous resistance levels.
This setup follows a classic breakout and retest strategy, expecting bullish momentum if Bitcoin sustains above the resistance zone.
Falling Wedge Pattern For ZCash??When a security's price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move.
The trend lines drawn above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern can converge as the price slide loses momentum and buyers step in to slow the rate of decline.
Before the lines converge, the price may breakout above the upper trend line.
BITCOIN vs GOLD History will be repeated.Bitcoin has often been described as the digital Gold. And with good reason as it posseses the scarcity attribute of Gold like no other asset.
More often than not, we've seen Bitcoin replicate Gold's trading pattern and why not, as market psychology under certain set of conditions tend to be similar.
What better patterns to repeat than the long term ones. And on these charts you seen those.
Bitcoin's current Cycle is a Cup and Handle pattern, similar to Gold's formation after its former September 2011 ATH following the amazing rally after the launch of its ETF in the early 2000s.
Once Gold crossed above its MA50, it never broke back below it, in fact is provided support for its Handle twice.
Bitcoin is on a similar situation right now having held its MA50 last week, the 2nd time it supports it since the Handle did in August 2024.
Based on this Gold fractal, this is the best time to buy BTC again for its final rally of the year.
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APTOS priced long term bottom. Perfect long here.Aptos / APTUSD is trading inside a Triangle since its very first low historically and the price seems to be stabilizing after February's Low on its bottom.
In the meantime, it is double bottoming on the 1.5 year Support Zone with the 1week RSI formation common on all prior bottoms.
Buy and target 15.00 (Resistance A).
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BTCUSD: The Cycle won't peak before September!Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.334, MACD = 3198.500, ADX = 54.017) which, having kept the 1W MA50 intact as Support, suggest that this is the ideal level to buy again upon the continuation of the Bull Cycle. Despite the recent 2 month correction, the Cycle hasn't peaked and according to the Pre-Halving/ Post-Halving theory, that suggests that the time from the Cycle's Bottom to the Halving is almost identical to the time form the Halving to the Cycle's Top, we have until the end of September before the bull run is over. And that's because the range from the Cycle's Bottom to the 4th Halving was 75 weeks (525 days), which indicates that it will take around the same amount of time from the Halving before the Bull Cycle tops. See how amazingly consistent that has been on all of prior 3 Cycles. Consequently, the best strategy here would be to hold and start selling in September.
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AVAXUSD Channel Down bottomed. Bullish Leg to target $45.Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down for the past 12 months and on March 11 it priced the latest Lower Low. At the same time, the 1D RSI is on an uptrend, a technical Bullish Divergence.
It is the same kind of Bullish Divergence we also saw on the August 05 2024 Lower Low bottom. That bottom produced a Bullish Leg that almost reached the 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we can turn bullish here, targeting a $45.00.
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BITCOIN Will this historic level break too?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is its main Bull Cycle Support, despite the recent volatility. As mentioned numerous times, in periods of uncertainty it helps you maintain an objective long-term perspective if you zoom out and look on the wider time-frames.
On this 1W chart, we can see that so far all of BTC's Cycle's have followed the same pattern. The Bear Cycle bottoms and the first bounce of the Bull Cycle aims at breaking above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line (blue Arc). It is what we call the 'Growth Channel' that guides the market from its Cycle bottom to break above the ATH Lower Highs and when it does the Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle) starts. The most aggressive part is when the price breaks also above its Growth Channel.
This is the only Resistance level that has yet to be broke on this Cycle. If it does, the market will explode to Targets above $200k that will start putting it to capitalization levels that would require earth shattering catalysts in terms of adoption. A continuation of expansion within the boarders of the Growth Channel however can easily target $150k. Notice that throughout the whole process of the Growth Channel expansion on all Cycles historically, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) tends to hold and support.
So what do you think will happen this time? Will Bitcoin break above the Growth Channel and offer us another proper Parabolic Rally or will it be a more standard rise within it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin's Wedge Breakout – Big Move Incoming?"Key Observations:
Descending Wedge Breakout:
BTC has been trading within a descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal formation.
The price has now broken above the wedge, signaling potential upside momentum.
Buy Setup:
A buy entry is marked around $83,900 - $85,000.
The stop-loss is placed near $79,154 - $80,000, just below the previous support.
The target is set at $90,126, aligning with a key resistance level.
Trade Strategy:
Bullish case: If BTC sustains above the breakout level, it could rally toward $90,000+, offering a strong risk-reward opportunity.
Bearish case: If BTC falls back below $83,305, it may invalidate the bullish breakout and revisit lower support.
Conclusion:
This setup suggests bullish potential with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should monitor BTC’s reaction at the buy zone and adjust their stop-loss accordingly.
BITCOIN approaching the critical 1day MA50 test.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has found the support it desperately needed on the 1week MA50 and rebounded.
Now it faces the most important Resistance of its Cycle, the 1day MA50.
Every time this broke in the last 2 years, the market started a strong rally.
Buy and target 140000, which would be just under the Pi Cycle Top.
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LINKUSD Channel Up bottomed. Get ready for $44.LINK is trading inside a 2 year Channel Up.
The price is under the 1week MA50, which is about to form a Bearish Cross which the 1day MA50. Last time that happened, the bottom came 10 days later.
If the waves are symmetric inside this Channel Up, then we're already at or very close to the bottom, given also that the 1day RSI got oversold and this has been an instant buy signal previously.
Buy and target $44.00 (1.382 Fib extension and +300% rise).
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BTCUSD: Staying bullish with this breakthrough analysis.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.889, MACD = -2304.900, ADX = 28.298) as it erased yesterday's Fed gains. Nevertheless, this doesn't make us lose sight of the bigger picture. On this 1M chart, we have selected all Decembers, as they hold critical importance for BTC Cycles. Both bottoms and tops tend to be priced around them and in between two consolidation phases take place. Don't let the short term volatility cloud your long term perspective. This Cycle hasn't topped yet. Stay bullish.
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ETHUSD: Different asser, same pattern, same ending.Ethereum remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.440, MACD = -154.200, ADX = 29.206) but sits at the bottom of its 1 year Megaphone. This is the same pattern that Bitcoin traded on last year and Gold during its most recent Bear Cycle. In all instances, when the price found support on the MA50 and broke over the Megaphone, it reached the 2.0 Fibonacci. According to this, it won't be surprising if we see ETH at 9,000 by the end of the year.
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90-91K seems interesting for short sellingMorning folks,
So, our worryings were not in vain - we've got action to 88-89K area. Now our 4H "222" Sell is completed.
At the same time, now we have the bigger one on a daily chart. Since 90-91K is a rather strong resistance area, we suggest that attempt to sell there should be relatively safe, once the upside AB=CD target around 90.5K will be completed.
So, I mark this idea as "bearish" although price could raise a bit more.
BITCOIN The Ultimate Cycle Model calls for $160k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. Technically the rebound has already started 10 days ago after the market nearly bottomed on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is the strongest long-term Support level, as it is where BTC priced Lows and rebounded on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023, but it is not the only one.
With the current 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle pattern being a Channel Up, this is the absolute and ultimate model that has been guiding the price action and can help estimate any future moves. Given that, it's also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level that supported both Lows (as well as the current one) on the 1W MA50 mentioned above. As a result, we are so far on a double Support cluster.
The 1W RSI comes in as the 3rd Support, as it hit and is rebounding now on its 2-year Support level, where the bounces of September 07 2024 and September 11 2023 happened. It is also important to mention that the Channel Up can be divided into two phases, Phase 1 (green Channel Up), which traded within the 0.0 - 1.0 Fibonacci range and Phase 2 (blue Channel Up), which trades within the 0.5 - 1.5 Fibonacci range.
The symmetry within those patterns are so high that the two Bullish Legs of Phase one have both rallied by +100.64%. If Phase 2 follows the same dynamic, and there is no reason to assume it won't as the Bearish Legs have been almost identical, we can assume that the Bullish Leg that has just started will rise by +121.48%, same as the previous one (Aug - Dec 2024). That gives us a Target estimate of $160000.
So do you think that BTC has bottomed on this Triple Support Cluster and if so, can it reach $160k by the end of this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bullish Breakout in Progress📈 Chart Pattern:
Bitcoin has been trading inside a descending channel for several weeks. Recently, BTC has broken out of the channel’s upper boundary, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support: $80,043.75 (Critical stop-loss level)
Resistance: $87,500 (Short-term)
Target: $92,944.17 (Upside projection)
📊 Trading Plan:
BTC might retest the breakout zone before continuing the upward move.
A confirmed higher low formation could signal strong bullish momentum.
If BTC remains above $85,500, further upside toward $92,944.17 is possible.
⚠️ Risk Management:
If BTC drops below $80,043.75, the bullish setup could become invalid.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering long positions.
💡 Conclusion:
This breakout could lead to a strong uptrend, but traders should watch for a successful retest before making a move. 🚀🔍
Phemex Analysis #69: Pro Tips for Trading FARTCOIN. FARTCOIN ( PHEMEX:FARTCOINUSDT.P ), once a highly sought-after AI meme coin, experienced a meteoric rise of over 500%, reaching an all-time high of $2.75 following its listing on Phemex. The euphoria was palpable, with investors reveling in their newfound gains.
However, as is often the case in the volatile crypto market, the winds changed. A broader market downturn ensued, and FARTCOIN was not spared. Its price plummeted by more than 92%, hitting a low of $0.1987. The once-celebrated coin seemed to be gasping for air, leaving many to wonder if it would ever regain its former glory.
But in the world of cryptocurrencies, narratives can shift rapidly. FARTCOIN began showing signs of life, bouncing back from the $0.19 area and forming higher lows and higher highs—a classic indicator of a potential bullish run. The community buzzed with speculation: Was this the dawn of a new era for FARTCOIN?
Possible Scenarios and Pro Tips
1. Bullish Reversal
The recent price movements suggested that FARTCOIN might be gearing up for a resurgence. If it could sustain levels above key resistance points, it would signal renewed investor confidence and an upward trend.
Pro Tips:
Breakout Entry: Should the price break above the $0.42 resistance level with substantial trading volume, traders might consider entering long positions, targeting subsequent resistance levels at $0.59, $0.88, and $1.29.
Accumulate Gradually: For those wary of immediate market volatility, employing Phemex's scaled orders to build a position between $2.00 and $4.00 could be a prudent strategy.
2. Continued Downtrend
Yet, the crypto seas are unpredictable. If FARTCOIN failed to maintain its support levels, it could test lower price points, especially if broader market sentiments turned sour.
Pro Tips:
Short Positions: Seasoned traders might explore short-selling opportunities, particularly if the price dips below established support levels at $0.26 or $0.23 with high trading volume.
Buying at Support Levels: Conversely, if the price drops below these support levels with low volume, long-term investors might see this as an opportunity to accumulate FARTCOIN near strong support zones, such as $0.20.
3. Consolidation Phase
There was also the possibility that FARTCOIN would enter a consolidation phase, trading within a defined range as the market sought direction. This sideways movement could persist until new catalysts emerged.
Pro Tips:
Range Trading: Identifying key support levels at $2.6, $2.3, and $2.0, and resistance levels at $0.42 and $0.59, could enable traders to execute buy and sell orders effectively within this range.
Grid Trading: Utilizing Phemex's Grid Bot could allow traders to automatically capitalize on small price movements within the trading range, optimizing gains during periods of consolidation.
Conclusion
FARTCOIN's journey reflects the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. From its rapid ascent to its subsequent decline and potential recovery, FARTCOIN exemplifies the volatility inherent in digital assets. By staying informed, employing strategic trading approaches, and exercising prudent risk management, traders can better navigate the opportunities and challenges presented by such assets.
Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
MSTR: Is 300 Enough?MicroStrategy is seeing tremendous strength off the lows along with the rest of the crypto space. We are eyeing this 300 level to see if it offers a proper buy zone to coincide with Bitcoin 85,000 which has also seen tremendous outperformance relative to equities. Watch the overhead trendline drawn here as well as Bitcoin 90,000 for profit takes or continuations. We will decide which if and when we get there.