BITCOIN We are nowhere near the Top!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1M time-frame is as straightforward as it can get. The message is clear: We are nowhere near the Top yet.
The LMACD flashes its Cycle Top signal when it tests the Lower Highs trend-line. If this happens to be above the Pi Cycle's Top (red trend-line), then we have a complete Sell Signal for the Cycle. This is expected to take place towards the end of this year.
Similarly, the bottom takes place below the Pi Cycle's Bottom (green trend-line) and is confirmed by a LMACD Bullish Cross. Those indicators are the Blueprint to BTC's Cycles.
Do you agree with this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencysignals
ETHEREUM trapped between MAs but preparing a massive surge.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading since the start of the year within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Despite this technical 'trap', there are two bullish patterns that outweigh this range and those are primarily the Channel Up since the July 18 2022 market bottom and in the last 10 months an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern.
The latter is in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and as long as the 1D MA200 holds, it should complete it within 6 weeks maximum. On top of that, we have a recently formed 1D Golden Cross and in terms of 1W RSI, we are on similar grounds as January 2024.
On all cases, a strong rally followed in the form of the Channel's Bullish Leg. Assuming it follows the technical target of the IH&S, we are expecting a peak on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $7400.
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DOGEUSD preparing a rally to $1.60Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) is trading on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as despite yesterday's attempted break-out, the pull-back brought the price down around this key trend-line again.
The key for buyers is now to turn this level into a Support and hold it, as this is what took place during the September - November 2024 rally. As you can see, once the price broke above the 1D MA50 and re-tested as Support, it sustained a 2-month rally, which reached the 3.0 Fibonacci extension from its bottom point (August 05 2024).
We can clearly see how similar the two fractals are, both started with a correction (red Rectangle) and then after the bottom, a Channel Down (also evident on their 1D RSI sequences) paved the way for the rally.
As a result, if DOGE tests the 1D MA50 again and holds it this time, we will have a confirmed buy signal to target $1.600 (Fibonacci 3.0 extension).
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LINK ANALYSIS 🚀#LINK Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #LINK that there is a formation of "Falling Wedge Pattern". In a daily timeframe #LINK broke out the pattern. Expecting a bullish move in few days if #LINK sustain above the major support area
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #LINK price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#LINK #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
DOGE about to rally on Double Bottom Bullish Cross signalDogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 20 2024 bottom. A very distinct buy signal emerges every time the price makes a Double Bottom near the Higher Lows trend-line of the pattern and the 4H MACD forms two Bullish Crosses in a row.
As you can see, this has already happened two times, with the price reaching at least the 2.618 Fibonacci extension for a Higher High and this is the 3rd time within the Channel Up that we see this indicator combo.
As a result, we turn bullish short-term, targeting 0.43250 (Fib 2.618 ext).
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AAVE Nearing Key Resistance. Will Bullish Momentum Persist? Key indicators used for analysis:
1. Zero lag moving average (ZLMA): Refined form of moving average that reduces lag while maintaining smoothness.
2. Price Volume Trend (PVT): Tracks price movement weighted by volume
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator indicating overbought and oversold conditions.
Support:$273.02
Resistance: $399.00
1.Price is trading above ZLMA9 and ZLMA51, signalling short and long term bullish momentum.
2.The PVT indicator is trending upward, reflecting strong volume-driven price increase.
3.RSI is forming higher lows, suggesting increasing strength in momentum.
Note: This is only for educational purposes and not a buy and sell recommendation. Teak Finance will not be liable for any loss or gain. Please consult your trading advisor.
ARUSDTThis is a long-term analysis.
To buy spot and medium term..
We may experience strong negative fluctuations, but it is worth the risk.
The numbers 11.5 to 12.5 dollars and 8.5 to 10 dollars are attractive prices to buy..
It is better to look at this purchase as a short-term investment.
Important trading times and nodes for the end of wave B and the beginning of wave C were determined..
Alikze »» AI| Bullish Scenario - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Scenario - 1H
📣 BINANCE:AIUSDT
🟢 If this price reversal meets support and reversal to the green box area and the Invalidation LVL bar is not touched. The currency correction is complete.
🟢 In the medium term, it will be ready to continue the upward rally.
🟢 If the area is touched. The correction will continue, which in the higher time frame can continue to the bottom of the ascending channel and the blue bar of the 0.39 range and be ready to continue the upward trend by forming a reversal pattern.
💎 The second scenario, if the Entry Area area is touched, it can have an upward trend in the short term by creating demand.
💎 In addition, if the Entry Area is broken, there is a possibility of further correction.
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Alikze »» IO| Bullish Wave Five - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave Five - 1D
📣 BINANCE:IOUSDT
🟢 In the analysis of the previous post on the 8-hour timeframe, it was noted that it is moving in a descending channel that can continue to correct to the Buyer Zone.
🟢 According to the analysis, after reaching the area, the price broke out of the congestion by touching the Buyer Zone several times and forming an ascending triangle pattern and continued its growth to the supply zone.
🟢 Currently, on the daily timeframe, it is suffering from a congestion in the supply zone.
💎 Therefore, if the price does not touch the Invalidation LVL zone, by breaking out of the congestion and breaking the supply zone, it can continue its growth to the next supply zone after breaking it.
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BITCOIN The March effect is about to kick-inTrump's inauguration took place yesterday and that's perhaps the one event that the markets have been waiting for to kick-start the year without distractions. On today's analysis we go through every January of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) final year of its Bull Cycles and present to you what we will call from now on 'The March effect'.
As you can see, the price action coming to those January months is fairly similar between that last 4 Cycles. The price finds Support below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), then breaks above it and with that as its new Support, it rises towards January where it starts the first Consolidation Phase. After a new Low near (or on) the 1D MA100, the market resumes the uptrend and rise towards March where again it starts a second Consolidation Phase.
As a result, January - March during the Bull Cycle's final year deliver this incredibly bullish sequence and we can claim that the phenomenon has already started as January 13 2025 was a close enough test for the 1D MA100. We are expecting a March peak around $130k.
So do you think we will see the 'March effect' unfold once more and if yes is $130k a plausible target in your opinion? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TRUMP reached $15B in market cap! Should this even be legal??OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMPUSDT) was launched officially on Friday by President Donald Trump, reaching a market capitalization peak of $15 billion.
It naturally falls into the category of memecoins and even though the token may very well keep rising with its technical corrections and rallies, the big question that is on everyone's mind is this:
SHOULD IT EVEN BE LEGAL?
This post isn't a political one, we wouldn't care any less if the token was named Bidencoin or Obamacoin. Our concern falls purely in the economic sphere and the financial consequences a price collapse may have on its (naive?) investors and the whole crypto market in general.
Obviously, having released only 20% of supply to the general public while the remaining 80% of tokens that have yet to be publicly released are owned by the Trump Organization affiliate CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC (a company formed in Delaware on Jan. 7), is in principle a positive step and a small sign towards proper governance. But naturally the token’s website includes a disclaimer noting TRUMP is “not intended to be, or the subject of” an investment opportunity nor a security of any type, and is “not political and has nothing to do with” any political campaign, political office or government agency.
Again to avoid confusion, the token may very well extend the current rally, after all it has been on 3 enormous straight green candles, and even double in price and enter the top 10 of crypto with more than $30B cap.
But can you image the consequences to the whole market if some of that 20% of public supply or any of the 6 wallets that own more than $600 million each, makes a rug pull? Beyond the ethical aspect, should it be legal for the President of the United States to have such a large stake on this kind of venture? Does the idea of a 'free market' apply under the above conditions?
We are just raising our concerns and nothing more, as it took us, the whole crypto community, 25 years to get the market from a state of ridicule to a global force that is already reshaping the world as we know it. And it is our responsibility to question moves and call potential dangers if we see one. How will it reflect to crypto investors if the U.S. President's coin goes from no 15 in the market cap to bust? It took a lot of years and effort for the first BTC ETF to attract high profile capital to the market from investors that would otherwise never though of buying cryptocurrency if it weren't for Blackrock and others to back it up with an ETF. Will those people or even normal investors maintain their appetite if the U.S. President fails to safeguard even his own coin?
Lots of questions, tough answers. Feel free to tell us what you think about TRUMP's coin.
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Alikze »» LINK| Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 BINANCE:LINKUSDT currency on the daily timeframe touched its targets in accordance with the analysis presented earlier, the scenario of the first of 3 bullish waves.
🟢 Chainlink touched its target after breaking out of the short-term descending channel.
🟢 It is currently in the supply zone on the daily and weekly timeframes.
💎Given the bullish momentum, this bullish leg, after breaking the supply zone, will have the ability to grow to the large supply zone of $60-$100.
💎In the first step after breaking the supply zone, the target will be $38 and $55.
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Alikze »» ETC | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of wave 3 or C in the ascending channel
BINANCE:ETCUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier , it encountered demand after reaching the Buyer zone, which led to the breakdown of the descending channel and the touch of the target of $25.
- Currently, after exiting the congestion, it is moving within an ascending channel, which is currently at the ceiling of the first channel.
💎 In case of correction, at the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can encounter demand in the middle range of the channel or the OB zone and continue its growth to the ceiling of the second channel.
⚠️ In addition, in the bullish scenario, the Invalidation LVL zone should not be touched. ⚠️
💎In case of touching the mentioned zone, the currency's movement path should be reviewed and updated again.
Bullish Sentiments StrengthenBullish Sentiments Strengthen: Analyzing the Order Book and Key Levels
The crypto market often gives subtle signals that reveal the battle between bulls and bears, and the order book is one such powerful tool. Currently, the order book data suggests that bulls are actively dominating, indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Interestingly, the market exhibited similar bullish activity at the same time yesterday, adding weight to the ongoing momentum. However, a critical level to watch is the previous day’s high. If the price manages to break this level and sustain above it, it would serve as a strong confirmation for bullish trend continuation.
Traders should remain cautious and look for sustained strength beyond the breakout to avoid potential false signals. Keeping an eye on volume spikes and order book imbalances can provide further confirmation of market sentiment.
In conclusion, the market is signaling bullish activity, but a decisive move beyond the previous day’s high will be the key factor to solidify a long-term uptrend.
Alikze »» SOL | Ascending channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Last corrective leg, to the order block area
📣 BINANCE:SOLUSDT was analyzed and reviewed in the 4-hour and 8-hour time frames in previous posts, which touched their targets.
🟢 It is currently moving in an ascending channel on the daily time frame, which is correcting again to the bottom of the descending channel after reaching the channel ceiling and an unsuccessful breakout.
🟢 Given the current corrective structure, it can have two movement scenarios.
💎 Scenario 1: If it cannot break the red box area, it can continue the correction to the order block area.
💎 Scenario 2: If the red box area is not broken, the correction to the bottom of the channel and with a lower leg, it can meet demand and retest the previous ceiling.
🔔 If the behavior and structure change, the post will be updated.
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Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally
🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave.
🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally.
💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area.
⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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ETHEREUM The Parabolic Rally to $10k has started!Ethereum (ETHUSD) is having a strong recovery rebound this week after marginally breaking below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) earlier. This indicates enormous buying pressure on the Bull Cycles first core Support level (the second being the 1M MA50 (red trend-line) which supported twice last Aug/Sep).
In comparative terms, relative to ETH's previous Bull Cycle, we are around the October 2020 levels, which was the last consolidation before the Cycle's main Parabolic Rally started. This is also evident on the 1W RSI fractals among the two. The rally exceeded by a small margin the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and formed the Cycle Top.
As a result, we expect ETH to hit at least the $10k level before this Cycle tops towards the end of the year. Technically, we should see the 1W MA50 support until the end.
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BITCOIN The minimum target of this Cycle is $185kIf you follow us for long, you know that we are very fond of using Fibonacci levels on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Cycles in order to project future tops and bottoms. Today is one of those analyses, in fact it is a strong variation of the following Inverse Head and Shoulders call:
As you can see, that was based on the condition that BTC would make a first hit and rejection on the 0.786 Fib retracement and then (as it happened on the previous Cycle) would go for a Cycle Top on the 2.0 Fibonacci, which gives us a $165k Target.
Since the 0.786 Fib never really offered the rejection of the previous 3 Cycles, we are introducing a variation model with new parameters.
We take the Fib extension from the bottom of each Cycle to the moment it made contact with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As you can see by applying these conditions, every Cycle since BTC's inception has hit at least the 5.0 Fibonacci extension, with all Cycles in fact making a perfect Top there with the exception of 2017, which even exceeded it.
As a result, we can claim that this Cycle will have a minimum peak at $185000.
How realistic do you think this is for the 'bad case scenario'? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN vs GOLD Cycles. Yellow metal leads, BTC lags.In our early years as a channel we used to do a lot of analyses on the similarities of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Gold (XAUUSD) and how Gold Cycles could help predict BTC's future prices. The latter is called the 'digital Gold' after all.
Going back to our roots, we present to you today our latest cross-cycle comparison between the two assets, which offers interesting insights. As you can see, the Cycles of those two aren't always aligned. The correlation tends to end when Gold peaks and when it bottoms.
As you can see since 2018, when Gold starts a Bull Cycle, Bitcoin tends to lag behind, still being on its Bear Cycle. Then the two converge and correlate until Gold peaks and start its Bear Cycle. That is still relatively early for Bitcoin's bullish trend, which remains on its Bull Cycle, in fact has around 1 year ahead of it. As a result, the two start to diverge again.
Based on this model, it appears that Gold's Bull Cycle has peaked and Bitcoin is entering (black circle) its last stage of its Bull Cycle, with a Parabolic Rally being prepared. Still not too late to buy the 'Digital Gold' on this Cycle.
Do you agree with this correlation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Ethereum (ETH/USD) Elliott Wave Analysis: Preparing for Wave 5In this analysis, we explore the Elliott Wave structure for Ethereum (ETH/USD), highlighting the potential price trajectory in the mid-term. The chart indicates that the market has likely completed Wave 3 and is now entering the corrective phase of Wave 4. Key support levels and possible reversal zones are identified, making this analysis highly valuable for traders.
Key Highlights of the Analysis:
Critical Support Levels: A strong support zone lies between $2865-$3022. It is expected that the price might find a temporary bottom here and initiate a rebound.
Wave 4 Scenario: Wave 4 is typically characterized by complex corrections and sideways movements. This presents an excellent opportunity to plan long entries, especially if the price consolidates in the identified zone.
Wave 5 Projection: After completing Wave 4, Wave 5 is anticipated to push prices toward $4550. This move could present significant profit potential for traders with a long-term perspective.
Fibonacci and Timing Alignment: Using Fibonacci tools has enhanced the precision of this analysis, identifying key levels with high accuracy. Moreover, evaluating the timeframes of each wave provides deeper insights into the overall market structure.
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Suggestions for Traders:
In the short term, patience is key while the price approaches the support zone. Monitor price action carefully within this range. Once a confirmed reversal is observed, you can set up long positions targeting the top of Wave 5. Don’t forget to implement proper risk management, as Wave 4 corrections often involve unexpected movements.
Save this analysis and feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments section. Don’t forget to follow me for more detailed analyses like this one!
FILUSD Accumulation almost over. Next stop $19.00.Filecoin (FILUSD) has been consolidating around its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past 4 weeks and appears to be at the end of the Lower Highs pattern similar to the one in 2019/20.
Both patterns held FIL's historic Support Zone, printed identical 1W RSI Cup formations and the past pattern initiated a strong 1-year rally above the Symmetrical Resistance Zone once the Lower Highs broke. Essentially the Descending Triangle patterns are Accumulation Phases before the Bull Cycle's main rally.
As a result, even though one last test of the Support Zone is technically viable, the upside at this time is already considerably greater than the risk involved, so in our opinion it is worth going long and have a modest 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) Target at $19.00.
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Celer Network $CELR Price Predictions for January 2025Several factors could play a significant role in shaping Celer Network's price by January 2025. The main and most important one is that a strong weekly demand imbalance at $0.001494 has just gained control in the weekly timeframe, and when this happens, we should expect a decent reaction.