BITCOIN Gaussian Channel telling you the rally has already begunBitcoin (BTCUSD) is illustrated here on the 1W time-frame from the 2011 Cycle until today. We've used the Gaussian Channel (GC) after a long time and the reason is simple. Since the August 05 2024 Low, it has been supporting the uptrend up to today's test of the All Time High (ATH).
** Gaussian October support every 4 years **
This continuous support is a critical feature moving forward as every time the GC held at this stage of the previous Cycles (October 2020, 2016 and 2012), BTC started its final (and most aggressive) Parabolic Rally of the Cycle.
** Resistance turned Support **
What's equally interesting is that during those stages, the price also re-tested and held the former Resistance (of the previous Higher High), turned it into a Support (while the GC held) and bounced to the Parabolic Rally. This is a remarkably consistent feature taking place every 4 years!
** The green GC length matters **
Now as to the GC in more detail. What we want you to keep from it, is that the green part of the GC has lasted in the previous Cycles 123, 144 and 148 weeks respectively, which translates to 861, 1008 and 1036 days, until it turned red. As a result, we can expect the current green phase to last until December 08 2025 (minimum) and June 01 2026 (maximum). It is more reasonable to expect the longer case as the recent Cycles tend to have stabilized most of their common time patterns.
The Bear Cycle tends to start when a 1W candle is closed below the GC. Until then, based on the parallel Channel Up patterns that encompass 3 Cycles each time, we can even expect a price as high as $200000 for this Cycle Top.
Do you think that's realistic? And if so, do you also expect the GC wave to support a parabolic rally all the way to the top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencysignals
Could Ethereum drop from here?The price has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 2,651.09
1st Support: 2,557.66
1st Resistance: 2,766.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Trading Signal For JASMYUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the JASMYUSDT JasmyCoin (Spot) (4h)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.01822
⭕️SL @ 0.01722
🔵TP1 @ 0.02193
🔵TP2 @ 0.02543
🔵TP3 @ 0.03165
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Is SUI the SOLANA killer?A lot of talk has been going around about Sui's (SUIUSD) long-term potential and many have gone as far as to compare it with Solana (SOLUSD), claiming it is a threat to the already established token. But is Sui really the new Solana?
We've made today's comparison for those people in an attempt to find any technical similarities between the two. The time-frame is 1W and as you can see, we compare Sui's price action from its start (May 2023) with SOL's from the first trading day back in April 2020.
As you can see, Sui has started off in quite similar fashion as Solana back in the day: initial correction, then big rally into a Bull Flag (dotted Channel Down). This gave Solana way to an even bigger rally, which after another Bull Flag, it peaked just above the 2.618 Fibonacci extension in early November 2021.
Sui is so far enjoying the first post Bull Flag rally, by making a new All Time High (ATH). Their 1W RSI sequences are also fairly similar. We expect the recent 2-week pull-back to resume the uptrend and as long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds and continues to offer support, attempt to reach as high as possible within a 1-year time-frame.
If that's on the 2.618 Fib, as Solana did, then look towards a $40.00 Target. Now would that make Sui the Solana killer? No, but it will be interesting to see if it will indeed follow in its footsteps.
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Bitcoin is mainting strong bullish momentumHey traders,
BTC price was rejected from a major weekly level at 69566 and retraced back to another major level which is 67355 and consolidated building a strong market structure then the priced flactuated between minor levels up and down the 1H 66398 and 68844 where the actual price is stuck now during the Chicago and New York sessions. There is a high probability that the price could reach a main level which is the Weekly level of 69566 but be cautious the price might reject back and look for the daily level 67346.
In case the price breaks the weekly level of 69566, should you wait for a pullback then long only for long positions targetting the 71591.
Keep a close eye on the chart and happy trading!
BITCOIN All indicators aligned for an incredible 12-month rallyBitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above its 7-month Bearish Megaphone pattern, which was essentially the pattern that absorbed via a relief pull-back the incredible rally that the market had since October 2023, fueled at large by the ETF speculation and then launch.
** Bearish Megaphones inside 7-year Channel Up **
This pattern is, as you can see, part of a greater 7-year Channel Up that encompasses the last two Cycles of BTC. Halfway through the 2018 - 2021 Cycle, the market also had a Bearish Megaphone, a little larger, lasting for 12 months before the price broke above it.
** The importance of the 1W MA50 **
That bullish break-out came when the price regained the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and until the Cycle Top, it was never compromised again. In an amazing display of Cycle symmetry, Bitcoin is also being supported by the 1W MA50 right now (has been since the March 13 2023 weekly candle), in fact it was successfully tested and held 3 times since August 05 2024.
** MACD Bullish Cross **
The Megaphone break-out and the 1W MA50 support aren't the only bullish indicators that point to a heavy price increase next. Perhaps the most important of all is the (L) MACD Bullish Cross on, also on the 1W time-frame, the first such formation in a whole year (since October 23 2023). This is a huge development as it comes after 7 months of non-bullish price action, indicating a shift in trend.
** Can the top be at $200k or above? **
When all those indicators were aligned in mid 2020, BTC kick started the 2nd, final and most aggressive Rally of its Cycle. It was +65% stronger than the 1st Rally. As a result, we may experience in the next 12 months a rally of +615% (65% greater than the +373% 1st Rally).
But if this seems too great without a catalyst like the ETF launch was in January, even if BTC replicates the bullish price action of November 2022 - March 2024, it will still hit the $200k mark. What history has shown at least, is that we can stay bullish, until a 1W candle closes below the 1W MA50, whether that's at 100k, 150k or 200k and above.
So what do you think about this triple bullish combo? Is it enough to initiate a 12-month rally? And if so, what is your target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bearish drop?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,511.77
1st Support: 2,399.50
1st Resistance: 2,568.32
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Alikze »» DOT | Corner pattern in 4H time frame🔍 Technical analysis: Corner pattern in 4H time frame
- It is oscillating in a corner pattern in the 4H time frame.
- According to the hunt of the previous swing, as well as the correction to the green box area and the creation of demand, an upward movement cycle is observed.
- This motivational move can move up to the broken swing of the 4.145 range.
- In case of a break, the next target is the HL ceiling and finally it can continue its growth dynamics until the trigger.
⚠️ In addition, if there is a selling pressure reaction in dealing with the swing, the correction can continue until the green box area.⚠️
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MEXC:DOTUSDT
$LQTY Some People Are Going To Bed EarlyMission: Anticipating a downside move as $LQTY taps resistance.
Trade Details:
Position: Short
( -_•)Entry Price: 0.8735
❌🛑Stop Loss: Above key resistance level to limit exposure
Technical Rationale
Resistance Level: $LQTY has approached a resistance level, showing signs of potential reversal.
Bearish Sentiment: If resistance holds, the setup favors a short position with a strong risk-to-reward profile.
Risk Management
Stop-Loss Strategy: Tight stop above resistance to protect against upside risks.
Position Sizing: Ensure position size aligns with risk tolerance and stop loss placement.
Alikze »» SEI | Double top - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Double top formation in the supply area
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame.
- The upward corrective wave has been able to return up to 0.50% of the Fibo of the previous wave, which has faced selling pressure in the supply area with the formation of a twin ceiling.
- Currently, with the failure of the negative line and selling pressure, if the price cannot stabilize above the 0.3906 range, there is a continuation of the downward trend up to the block order range.
- If it encounters demand in the green box area, it can have a return to the blue box area.
💎 In addition, if the selling pressure is sharp, the probability of breaking the green box area for the target is 0. 1954 will exist.
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BINANCE:SEIUSDT
RENDERUSD Bottom accumulation almost over. Don't miss this buy.Render (RENDERUSD) has been consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for 3 months (since the week of July 29). This is the technical accumulation pattern that the token has gone through on every market bottom (green arc) in the past two years.
The 1W RSI has broken and been trading above its MA trend-line for the past 6 weeks, which is the first bullish sign and an indication that the current accumulation is almost over (similar to previous two bottom formations).
As a result, we expect an aggressive bullish break-out soon, the 3rd major rally towards the 2-year Higher Highs trend-line. Our Target is at least $45.00 (+300% more than the previous one).
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Alikze »» SOL | wave 3 out of 5 bullish scenario - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: The second bullish channel - wave 3 out of 5 bullish scenario
- According to the analysis presented by Solana in the previous post , the targets specified in the ceiling of the channel (the range of the first red box) were touched.
- It has now entered the second bullish channel with the break of the red box, which can continue with a pullback to the broken structure of this movement cycle.
- Therefore, according to the upward trend and the continuation of Solana's movement cycle, which is in wave 3 out of 5, the targets specified in the chart are within reach of the upward trend of Solana's currency.
💎 Objectives: The middle of the second ascending channel and then the ceiling of the channel and the specified supply area will be.
It is currently in wave 3 out of 5, which can crown the mentioned targets.
⚠️ In addition: if the Invalidation LVL area is updated and touched, the continuation of the upward scenario will be invalidated and must be checked and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT
BITCOIN This 1D Golden Cross can push it to the ATH ($73800).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of a major bullish formation as most likely by next Monday, it will form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first such formation since October 29 2023. As we've analyzed before, it is no coincidence that exactly 1 year later a new 1D Golden Cross emerges as seasonality and long-term Cycles play a pivotal role for BTC.
On top of that, the price made a major re-test (and so far bounce) at the top of the former Channel Down that broke upwards last week. If this re-test holds, it is the best short-term signal for a new High. In fact the price has been making Higher Highs since the August 05 bottom, forming a double Channel Up pattern, and those Higher Highs are the reason why the market got behind this rally and supported it to break above the 7-month Channel Down.
So the Higher Highs along with the 1D Golden Cross are the bullish combination that the market needs to look (much) higher. The first technical target now is naturally the 73800 All Time High (ATH). It is very possible to see it get tested by the election day.
But what do you think? Do you expect the ATH to break aggressively after the elections, just like the October 2023 1D Golden Cross did? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Could the Bitcoin reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 68,102.13
1st Support: 66,091.35
1st Resistance: 69,487.36
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
STXUSD is about to turn parabolic to $10.Stacks (STXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 26 2022 bottom. It is currently consolidating around the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), coming off a Higher Low rebound at the bottom of the pattern and on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This current sideways trading is highly symmetric with the start of the previous Bullish Leg, as it is trading just below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. At the same time, the 1W MACD has been on a Bullish Cross for a month now and the last time it formed a Bullish Cross (October 16 2023), was right after the previous Higher Low and before the 0.5 Fib consolidation.
Once the 0.5 Fib broke, the price aggressively rose on the Bullish Leg and formed a Higher High at the top of the Channel Up, right below the 2.0 Fib extension. As a result, we expect STX to reach at least $10.00 by the end of Q1 2025.
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RUNEUSD The 1D Golden Cross is the last buy opportunity to $38.THORChain (RUNEUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame. It will be the first since September 06 2023, which at the time was incredibly bullish for the crypto.
As you can see basically, the pattern since the March 13 2024 High is quite similar to the price action from February 08 2023 to the time of the first 1D Golden Cross. Both sequences started declining under Lower Highs trend-lines and once broken, the 1D RSI turned overbought while the price entered a consolidation phase inside a Triangle pattern.
On the September 06 2023 Golden Cross, that Triangle broke to the upside just a week later and 6 months later it completed a +1368.50% rise from the bottom, reaching almost $11.500.
As a result, we expect a similar bullish break-out to take place and the upcoming 1D Golden Cross could perhaps be the last opportunity to buy. If the price follows another +1368.50% rise pattern, then we may very will see RUNE at $38.000 at the end of it.
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BITCOIN When the 4 year Cycles do the talking..It's been some time since we last used the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) but the timing is just right to bring you an update, only 2 weeks before the U.S. Presidential Elections with the market ahead on an imminent bullish break-out.
This time we look into how the price was trading on this date every 4 years. As you know BTC is trading roughly within 4 year Cycles that keep a high degree of symmetry and tend to repeat a lot of dynamics each time.
Right now, towards the end of October (2024), the price is trading within the Mean MM (black trend-line) and the 1st SD above (grey trend-line). It has already started rising off the Mean MM. Based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, it is no surprise then that the price was within the exact same range in October 2020, October 2016 and October 2012. The degree of symmetry is remarkable and is yet again showcased by this indicator.
We can also see that by this time every 4 years, the price had already started rising off the Mean MM, just as it is doing now. With the green Rectangles we display the date range between these 4-year intervals and the peak of the Bull Cycle. For October 2012 it took 58 weeks (406 days) until it topped, October 2016 was 60 weeks (420 days) while October 2020 was 55 days (385 days). So time-wise the Cycle tends to peak roughly the same period.
As a result, if we take the minimum scenario of 55 weeks, we can expect the Cycle to top by mid November 2025. As far as targets are concerned, the first two Cycles hit (and broke) the 3 SD above (red trend-line), while the last one the 2 SD above (orange trend-line). Again assuming a 'worst case scenario' hitting 'just' the 2 SD trend-line, we can set a Target Range of 190k - 250k, depending on whether the price hits it halfway through the 55 week range or towards its end. Nevertheless, an exciting rally appears to be starting for Bitcoin.
So what do you think? Is this October MMB fractal about to break to a parabolic rally? And if so, will it hit the orange trend-line? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Alikze »» SUSHI | Reverse head and shoulders pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Reverse Head and Shoulders Pattern - Reversal Motivational Wave
- According to the analysis presented before , after filling the FVG gap, wave 3 continued up to the 0.47 range of the 100 Fibo zone.
- After creating demand in the range of 100 Fibo, it has encountered a motivational wave.
- It is currently in an uptrend, which has faced a temporary correction after breaking the supply zone.
Due to the upward trend, it can encounter the bottom of the channel and meet the demand again and continue its upward trend until the next supply area.
- This upward trend can continue in the range of 1.56.
💎 Therefore, by breaking the supply area (red box) and after pulling back to it, it can continue its ascent to the next supply area.
⚠️ Note: In addition, if this modification touches the "Invalidation LVL" area, the ascending scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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BINANCE:SUSHIUSDT
Potential bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,593.65
1st Support: 2,523.16
1st Resistance: 2,685.21
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
KASUSD Can the 1D Death Cross really save the day???KASPA (KASUSD) has been trading within a Falling Wedge pattern since the July 31 top and is almost on the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the January 23 2024 Low. The key development of the day however, is the formation of the 1D Death Cross, a technically bearish pattern.
Last time it was formed though (May 16), it provided the basis for a strong rally that made a new High. Interestingly enough, the price was also coming off a Falling Wedge at the time that successfully broke above its top. In the meantime the 1D RSI was after a Bullish Divergence, essentially a bottoming process. In fact, it was the same formation of that the Falling Wedge before it (November - December 2023) had, that also broke aggressively above its top.
As a result, we have a potential triple bullish signal and as long as the Higher Lows hold, there are high probabilities of seeing the price break above the Wedge and target at least the previous High at 0.20800.
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