BITCOIN making the FINAL PUSH! Only 6 months of BULL left!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had n astonishing symmetry among its Cycles in the past 11 years, as all three of the Bear Cycles have had identical durations (13 and 12 months twice) as well as the two Bull Cycles (both 35 months).
As a result, there is no reason to assume otherwise for the current Bull Cycle as well, which if it also lasts for 35 months, it will peak in October 2025. This means that BTC might 'only' have another 6 months of Bull Cycle ahead of it but that's not bad news as historically this phase tends to be the most aggressive part.
Even if it's not, various studies we've done before point out that a price around $150k would be more than fair and practically a 'pessimistic' scenario for the Cycle High.
Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencysignals
ALTSEASON is here!The Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding the Top 10 coins) broke above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and is consolidating on an overbought 1D RSI (>70.00).
Since October 2023 when this set of conditions emerge, the long-term Channel Up starts a rally (technically its Bullish Leg). This is what in the crypto world is known as 'Altseason',which is when the lower cap coins see enormous gains relative to the top 10.
The last Bullish Leg (2024) rose by +200%. The previous one, even more. If it 'just' repeats the +200% Leg, we are looking at a market cap of $525 Billion.
The time to invest in alts is now!
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DOGEUSD Massive Bull Flag targets $0.40 like late 2024!Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) is posting a Bull Flag pattern on the 4H time-frame, being supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
A similar Bull Flag was formed at the start of its previous major rally in October 2024, which made the price jump to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, in as much time as it took for the price to reach the Bull Flag's start from the bottom.
As a result, we expect DOGE's next short-term Target to be $0.40.
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BITCOIN on similar spot as before the U.S. elections! 155k next?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above the Lower Highs trend-line of its December 2024 High and so far on the current 1W candle, it's consolidating on it.
This is the exact same price action we saw on the October 21 2024 1W candle, which after breaking above that Lower Highs trend-line at the time, it spend 2 weeks consolidating on it before the November 05 U.S. election result started a relentless 7 week rally just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Note that on both fractals, the Lower Highs break-out and then re-test, took place on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC manages to close above it at all times, we will have a strong case to expect again a Bullish extension as last December. The symmetrical level just below the 2.0 Fib ext in today's terms is $155000.
Do you think that will be next after a short-term consolidation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN about to test its ATH following HUGE U.S. - China deal!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is marching towards the $109000 Resistance, which is its All Time High (ATH), following the U.S. - China trade agreement 3 hours ago. This can be a huge fundamental boost to the bullish trend as technically, every time the Resistance level broke during this Bull Cycle, the break-out that followed was extremely aggressive.
On October 2 2023, the Resistance test resulted into a strong break-out, which completed a +96.18% rise from the bottom before a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) pull-back. At the same time of the Resistance break-out, we had a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a 1W MACD Bullish Cross.
The October 29 2024 Resistance test on the other hand was initially unsuccessful and made a 5 day rejection back near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before the next successful test. Again the rise was more than +96.18%.
As a result, we are expecting to see at least $145k by July (+96.18%) once the Resistance breaks.
Do you think that is a realistic time-frame for $145000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Could the Bitcoin reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 106,807.00
1st Support: 98,376.73
1st Resistance: 112,169.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DOGEUSD Started its final rally and can hit $1.300Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) just broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) again for the first time since March 24 2025 and is doing so after a clear rebound on its 1W MA100 (green trend-line). This is a technical bottom formation, that resembles the one on September 11 2017, right before that Cycle's final rally was initiated.
The 1W RSI has already broken above its MA trend-line (yellow) and every time that took place since October 16 2023, DOGE posted a strong rally. As you can see, the similarities between the two fractals are remarkable, both unfolding a structured bullish pattern on similar stages, with a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross leading to the massive Bull Flag (green) that bottomed on the 1W MA100 and initiating the parabolic rally.
In 2017 it topped on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, so if it continues to replicate that fractal, we expect this run to hit $1.300 by the end of the year and make the Cycle's Top.
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TIAUSD just broke above the 5-month Falling Wedge!Celestia (TIAUSD) made a major bullish break-out today as not only did it break above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the 5-month Lower Highs trend-line (December 06 2024), which is the top of the Falling Wedge pattern!
With the 1D RSI also on Higher Lows, this bullish momentum is targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level at 4.000, which is where contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is expected to be made.
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BITCOIN Monthly RSI Heatmap reveals ultimate Cycle Sell Zone!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has resumed the long-term bullish trend and as of the writing of this analysis, it is about to test the $100k key psychological level. Now that the Bull Cycle is entering its final stage (most likely for the next 6 months at most), it is time to see potential exit levels as close to the expected Top as possible.
There is no better long-term indicator to assist us on this than the 1M RSI, which historically offers a great level to Sell when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range of its Channel Down. Currently it is still considerably distanced from that Zone, so the upside potential despite the recent break-out, is huge.
The Sine Waves indicate that in symmetrical terms, the Cycle Top should be priced around November 2025 (previous ones on November 2021, December 2017, December 2013). The closer the 1M RSI is to this date when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fib Zone, the better as the higher the price will most likely be.
Based on this Cycle's Channel Up (blue), a fair Cycle Top range would be $150k - $200k. Would you agree? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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CAKEUSD Ahead of a monumental Triangle break-out.PancakeSwap (CAKEUSD) has been trading within a Triangle pattern since the December 04 2024 High and the price has been on the tightest squeeze possible since.
As you can see, it has been ranged for the past 2 weeks withing the 0.382 - 0.618 Fibonacci range and this is also reflected on the 1D RSI sequence.
If the price breaks above the top of the Triangle (Lower Highs trend-line), we expect a rally towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (5.3000). Alternatively, you may target on a safer note either Resistance 1 or the 1.618 Fib ext.
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BITCOIN Mirror fractal from the past calls for massive rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) appears to be repeating almost the exact same price action as mid-late 2020 as it has broken above the Pivot trend-line that separates the recent distribution from the 2nd Accumulation phase and has successfully re-tested it while the MA50 (blue trend-line) is holding as Support.
If the latter continues to hold, then it might fuel a massive rally similar to October 2020 - April 2021. As you can see both fractals started of with a 1st Accumulation Phase (blue Rectangle) being supported always by their respective MA200 (orange trend-line), which led to the eventual Distribution Phase (red Arc). Even their RSI sequences are identical.
Is this another pattern supporting that BTC will reach at least $150k next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PENGUUSDTA risky analysis of a popular meme coin..
Based on this analysis, we are in wave 4 and it is expected to end soon and enter wave 5..
Around 0.091 to 0.085, if the price reaches it, it will be suitable for a short swing to the target of 0.0163 and 0.0175..
Ideal time zones are also marked with low tolerance..
This analysis can be easily filled..
BITCOIN Climbing the Fibonacci Staircase..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has come into the Fed Rate Decision week stronger that ever, having staged an impressive rebound from the early-April Low. The consolidation of the last few days is of course a market reaction in anticipation of the big interest rate news.
Regardless of that, the Channel Up that is the underlying pattern from the start of this Bull Cycle has been filling on an impressive symmetrical scale all .382 Fibonacci extensions one by one. The most recent has been the 4.382 and naturally the next in line is the 5.382 Fibonacci extension.
Since the last one (4.382) was almost hit before the price pull-back, it would be more fitting to assume the next peak slightly below the 5.382 Fib ext as well as $170000.
This may very well be the final High i.e. the Cycle's Top before the next Bear Cycle begins, depending on the time it hits it.
Do you think that would be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 92,947.86
1st Support: 88,510.65
1st Resistance: 99,514.34
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BITCOIN 1st 1W MACD Bullish Cross in 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of completing this week a Bullish Cross on its 1W MACD, which will be the first one after 7 months (since October 14 2024).
This is a major technical bullish development as since the very first one (Sep 26 2022) right before the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, it has always kick-started the Bullish Legs of this 2.5-year Channel Up.
In addition to that, this was accompanied by an Ichimoku Bullish Cross, where the Conversion Line (green) crossed above the Base Line (black). Considering also that exactly 4 weeks ago BTC found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we can safely confirm a Bottom there and call for the minimum +100.73% rise, similar to the first Bullish Leg of this Channel Up. We remain consistent to our $150000 Target.
So do you think this 1W MACD Bullish Cross is the final confirmation we need for the new Bullish Leg? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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APE Main trend. Channel. Wedge. Reversal zones 05 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week.
1️⃣ Decline from the maximum by -98% , which is acceptable for assets of such liquidity and capitalization, after that either a trend reversal (main), or a complete scam.
2️⃣X (twitter) of this crypto project has 473 thousand subscribers . This army will be sent to pump this cryptocurrency at the right time in the so-called 3rd alt season of this cycle.
🟣And now work with a breakout of the descending wedge, and the price movement to the resistance of the descending channel. The percentage locally - medium-term showed for clarity from two zones - scenarios.
3️⃣The third plus is that this cryptocurrency is traded on 4 liquid exchanges: binance, bybit, okx, and most importantly Coinbase.
Line chart (trend direction and liquidity).
SUIUSD is consolidating ahead of massive Leg. Can it hit $9.500?Sui (SUIUSD) has completed Stage 1 of its recovery process following the April 07 bottom. That was a Higher Low on the 2-year Fibonacci Channel Up and having already broken above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the price is now consolidating.
This is fairly similar to what it did on September 20 2024, which was followed by a strong rise to the 1.0 Fib (previous High) where the price pulled-back to the 1D MA50. That was its final test before the peak forming rally just above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we expect SUI to hit at least $9.500 on the long-term.
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BITCOIN is filling all gaps as it should.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having its strongest 1D green candle since April 22 (for now) and basically today's analysis is a continuation/ modification of our April 14 buy call (see chart below):
Our Target was $99500 but we now update it to $106000 as we see a different pattern through filling the Lower Highs gaps. As you can see, since BTC's April 07 bottom, the rebound has filled one Lower High of the downtrend after the other.
At the same time, it has posted identical rallies before consolidating, the 1st one +15.37% and the 2nd +15.11%. We are currently on the 3d and if it makes again +15.11%, then it gets us to $106.9k. That is marginally above the Lower High of January 30, practically the first Lower High after the January 20 All Time High (ATH).
Moreover, the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level is at $106k and this is why we've moved our short-term Target there. This fills all dynamic conditions of this uptrend.
Do you think that's a fair estimate? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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XRP Can Potentially Target $2.50FenzoFx—Ripple found support at $2.12 and began a bullish move, currently trading near $2.197.
Technically, the next target is $2.355, provided the price holds above $2.120. A break above $2.355 could open the way to $2.500.
Bearish Scenario : If XRP/USD falls and stabilizes below $2.120, the next support is at $2.034. A drop below this level may trigger a decline toward $1.924.
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SOLANA's massive 1W MA200 rebound hints to enormous rally ahead.Solana (SOLUSD) made a very strong rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the very first week of April. Now that the month is about to close, it has already completed three straight green 1W candles and is aiming for the critical 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test.
If broken, we expect it to turn into a long-term Support again and target the Higher Highs of the Wedge at $350. After all, the 1W MA200 rebound also made contact on the 2-year Higher Lows trend-line of the Bull Cycle, so technically it is a massive Bottom cluster. The 1W RSI also broke above its MA last week, confirmed the buying pressure.
Given that the recent 3-month correction was -67.23%, identical to the last correction (May 2021) of the previous Cycle, we expect one final rally to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $900, if the Higher Highs trend-line breaks.
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BITCOIN This is where the real BULL started in 2017.We've mentioned on numerous occasions how Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle resembles that of 2014 - 2017 and this evidence is self-explanatory on the chart. What we want to bring forward today, and the timing couldn't be better, is that symmetrically speaking, it was the exact same time of the year (April 2017) when the past Cycle started printing predominantly green candles that lasted until the very end of 2017 (December) and the Cycle Top.
The 3W RSI sequences are identical among the two fractals with a Pivot trend-line dominating both Cycles, first as a Resistance (red arrows) and then turned into Support (green arrows). Before the end-of-year Parabolic Rally, the Bull Cycle was classified into 3 pull-back/ consolidation Phases (blue Rectangles) and, no surprise, the mini rallies started around the same times.
Can this indicate that we are about to see a strong rally of predominantly green candles towards the end of the year to form the new Cycle High? What do you think?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bearish drop?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1,833.07
1st Support: 1,686.37
1st Resistance: 1,949.39
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.